Abstract Previous studies of cold surges during the northern winter monsoon suggested a short-term midlatitude-tropical interaction such that the variations of the midlatitude jet over East Asia correspond to variations in tropical convection. However, because cold surges occur during periods of intensified baroclinicity, it is possible that the strengthening of the jet may be due entirely to midlatitude baroclinic development rather than the enhanced local Hadley circulation forced by the increase in tropical convection. In this study objectively analyzed 200 mb wind data for the 1983/84 winter are examined to address the problem of determining cause and effect in short-term midlatitude-tropical interactions. Significant positive correlation between the midlatitude jet acceleration and tropical divergence was found in several regions in the Asia-Pacific-Indian Ocean region. Among six major intensifications of the East Asian jet streak maximum during December 1983, three were related to tropical cyclone a...
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