Italian Epidemiological Data Research Articles

Levofloxacin prophylaxis vs no prophylaxis in patients with neutropenia within an endemic country for carbapenem-resistant GNB.

Fluoroquinolone prophylaxis's (FQ-P) usefulness in patients with neutropenia is controversial. In recent decades, Italian epidemiological data has shown worrisome rates of FQ resistance. A single-center cohort study on 136 autologous stem cell transplantations (ASCTs) and 223 allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantations (allo-HSCTs) was performed from January 2018 to December 2020. Piperacillin/tazobactam was the first-line therapy for febrile neutropenia (FN). Since February 2019, FQ-P has been omitted. We evaluated the day+30 posttransplant cumulative incidence function (CIF) of gram-negative bacteria pre-engraftment bloodstream infections (PE-BSIs) and any changes in antimicrobial resistance, FN, and infection-related mortality (IRM). In ASCTs, ≥1 FN episode occurred in 74.3% of transplants, without differences among groups (P = .66). CIF of gram-negative bacteria PE-BSI was 10.1%, with a significant difference according to FQ-P (0% [LEVO-group] vs 14.1% [NO-LEVO-group], P = .016). CIF of IRM was 0% in both groups. In allo-HSCTs, ≥1 FN episode occurred in 96.4% of transplants, without differences among groups (P = .72). CIF of gram-negative bacteria PE-BSI was 28%, significantly higher without FQ-P (14.7% [LEVO-group] vs 34.4% [NO-LEVO-group], P = .003). CIF of IRM was 5%, superimposable in both groups (P = .62). Comparing antimicrobial resistance among gram-negative bacteria of allo-HSCT setting, in the group without FQ-P, a significantly higher proportion of pathogens was susceptible to piperacillin/tazobactam (71% vs 30%, P = .026), FQ (49% vs 10%, P = .03), and carbapenems (95% vs 50%, P = .001). FQ-P discontinuation increased gram-negative bacteria PE-BSI but did not impact IRM, both in the ASCT and allo-HSCT settings; importantly, it concurred to significantly decrease antimicrobial resistance in gram-negative bacteria.

Exploring the drop in flu cases during the 2020–2021 season: The Italian case study

To explore the 2020-2021 influenza season by describing the case of Italy. FluNet was searched for Italian data on virological samples. French, German, and Spanish data were collected for comparison. InfluNet was used for Italian epidemiological data on influenza-like illness (ILI). Data were extracted for the period from the 42nd week of 2020 to the 16th week of 2021 and for the previous 5-year period. The Containment and Health Index were used to describe the containment measures. Among 6818 samples, 0% were positive in Italy in the 2020-2021 season (28.8% in the previous 5-year period; the percentage change in the total number of tested specimens was -51.3%). In France, Germany, and Spain, the percentage change was -23%, -7%, and -61%, respectively. The Italian ILI incidence remained below the baseline levels (mean 0.0144/100,000 inhabitants; range 0.0085-0.0204). In the previous 5-year period, the mean incidence was 0.041/100,000 inhabitants. With the increase in containment measures, a deflection of ILI incidence was described (P=.015). Despite the reduced number of collected specimens compared to previous seasons and a slight rise in influenza vaccination rates, containment measures represent the most likely factor that helped to reduce cases in the 2020-2021 influenza season in Italy.

Atopic dermatitis in schoolchildren and adolescents: a critical review of Italian epidemiological data and systemic treatments

The epidemiology of atopic dermatitis (AD) is largely different in pre-school and schoolchildren. We summarized the available epidemiological data on schoolchildren (6-11 years) and adolescents (12-17 years) in Italy and reviewed information on systemic treatments for moderate-to-severe AD in adolescents.In January 2019, we searched for data on prevalence and/or incidence of AD and on the efficacy, effectiveness and safety of systemic AD therapies. Papers were evaluated and selected, and relevant information was extracted. Twenty papers from 17 studies reported original epidemiological information on AD in Italy.Most studies were conducted before 2005. Though variations emerged between studies, the lifetime prevalence of AD was estimated between 15-17% in schoolchildren and between 8-13% in adolescents. The (12-months) period prevalence of AD was estimated between 8-10% in children and between 8-11% in adolescents. Up-to-date information on the prevalence of severe AD is not available. Cyclosporine A may be used in pediatric age patients (children and adolescents) with persistent or severe AD refractory to topical treatments, but its use has several limitations, and is not recommended in patients younger than 16 years. The treatment paradigm of AD is still far from being satisfactory.We provided a quantitative synthesis of AD epidemiology in Italian schoolchildren and adolescents. Recent data are needed, as most information dates back to the 1990s or early 2000s, and data on the incidence of AD, the proportion of severe cases, and treatment of severe cases in the real-world setting are scanty.

Atopic dermatitis in schoolchildren and adolescents: a critical review of Italian epidemiological data and systemic treatments

The epidemiology of atopic dermatitis (AD) is largely different in pre-school and schoolchildren. We summarized the available epidemiological data on schoolchildren (6-11 years) and adolescents (12-17 years) in Italy and reviewed information on systemic treatments for moderate-to-severe AD in adolescents. In January 2019, we searched for data on prevalence and/or incidence of AD and on the efficacy, effectiveness and safety of systemic AD therapies. Papers were evaluated and selected, and relevant information was extracted. Twenty papers from 17 studies reported original epidemiological information on AD in Italy. Most studies were conducted before 2005. Though variations emerged between studies, the lifetime prevalence of AD was estimated between 15-17% in schoolchildren and between 8-13% in adolescents. The (12-months) period prevalence of AD was estimated between 8-10% in children and between 8-11% in adolescents. Up-to-date information on the prevalence of severe AD is not available. Cyclosporine A may be used in pediatric age patients (children and adolescents) with persistent or severe AD refractory to topical treatments, but its use has several limitations, and is not recommended in patients younger than 16 years. The treatment paradigm of AD is still far from being satisfactory. We provided a quantitative synthesis of AD epidemiology in Italian schoolchildren and adolescents. Recent data are needed, as most information dates back to the 1990s or early 2000s, and data on the incidence of AD, the proportion of severe cases, and treatment of severe cases in the real-world setting are scanty.

Budget impact analysis of extended half-life recombinant factor IX (rFIXFc) in the treatment of haemophilia B.

Prophylaxis with factor IX (FIX) concentrates, produced by recombinant DNA technology (rFIX) or human plasma-derived concentrates, is the treatment of choice for haemophilia B (HB); rFIX covalently fused to the Fc domain of human immunoglobulin G1 (rFIXFc) allows for prophylaxis/treatment with one infusion every 7-14 days. The purpose of this study is to quantify the financial impact of prophylaxis with rFIXFc vs. other approved rFIX and reimbursed for treatment of HB in Italy. The number of patients was estimated according to Italian epidemiological data and use of rFIX. Dose and frequency of administration used for weekly prophylaxis were those recommended in the Summary of Product Characteristics (SPC), while clinical trials and literature data were used to calculate bleeding rates and management. Drug costs were calculated using regional ex-factory net prices. In the model, a reference scenario (Reference) vs. an alternative scenario (Alternative) were created to account for introduction of rFIXFc, estimating an increasing trend of the market share of rFIXFc in a 3-year timeframe. The analysis was developed in the perspective of the National Health Service and included healthcare costs related to rFIX for prophylaxis and resolution of bleeding events. The model estimated an overall cumulative expenditure (years 1-3) of €209,453,646 for the Reference and €207,465,568 for Alternative scenarios, with calculated cumulative savings of €1,988,068. The increasing use of rFIXFc as a substitute for other rFIX concentrates in the treatment of HB can represent a financially viable choice for the Italian National Health Service while ensuring effective control of bleeding.

An ARIMA Model to Forecast the Spread of COVID-2019 Epidemic in Italy

Coronavirus disease (COVID-2019) is a severe ongoing novel pandemic that is spreading quickly across the world. Italy, that is widely considered one of the main epicenters of the pandemic, has registered the highest COVID-2019 death rates and death toll in the world, to the present day. In this article I estimate an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to forecast the epidemic trend over the period after April 4, 2020, by using the Italian epidemiological data at national and regional level. The data refer to the number of daily confirmed cases officially registered by the Italian Ministry of Health (salute.gov.it) for the period February 20 to April 4, 2020. The main advantage of this model is that it is easy to manage and fit. Moreover, it may give a first understanding of the basic trends, by suggesting the hypothetic epidemic's inflection point and final size.

Syringomyelia and Chiari Syndrome Registry: advances in epidemiology, clinical phenotypes and natural history based on a North Western Italy cohort.

Syringomyelia and Chiari Syndrome are classified as rare diseases, but current known occurrence in Europe is missing. The increased ability to diagnose these pathologies by magnetic resonance imaging and its widespread availability has led to an increase of reported cases, often asymptomatic, with the need to standardize definitions, diagnostic criteria and treatments. We present shared Interregional Recommendations developed with the primary aim to estimate Syringomyelia and Chiari Syndrome prevalence and incidence in North Western Italy, with special reference to symptomatic forms. An agreement for the standardization of definitions, classifications, diagnostic criteria and surgical Recommendations was reached by the multidisciplinary Interregional Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Chiari-Syringomyelia Consortium (Delphi method); next, in 2011 a census for Syringomyelia and Chiari Malformation was performed through the Interregional Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Rare Disease Registry, integrated by a dedicated form in order to estimate prevalence and incidence. 436 patients, 292 females, met shared interregional diagnostic criteria. Syringomyelia prevalence was estimated in 4.84:100 000; Chiari Malformation prevalence was 7.74:100 000; incidence was 0.82:100 000 and 3.08:100 000 respectively. Demographics, neuroradiological parameters and aetiology were reported (in symptomatic and asymptomatic forms). Finally, symptoms and signs, familiar and natural history were analyzed. First Italian epidemiological data (prevalence, incidence) on Chiari and syringomyelia was collected, according to shared diagnostic Recommendations. Future perspectives include the adoption of these Recommendations at national level to standardize the access to diagnosis and care process and promote multicenter clinical trials.

Direct and indirect costs associated with respiratory allergic diseases in Italy. A probabilistic cost of illness study

The respiratory allergies, including allergic rhinitis and allergic asthma, represent a substantial medical and economic burden worldwide. Despite their dimension and huge economic-social burden, no data are available on the costs associated with the management of respiratory allergic diseases in Italy. The objective of this study was to estimate the average annual cost incurred by the National Health Service (NHS), as well as society, due to respiratory allergies and their main co-morbidities in Italy. A probabilistic prevalence-based cost of illness model was developed to estimate an aggregate measure of the economic burden associated with respiratory allergies and their main co-morbidities in terms of direct and indirect costs. A systematic literature review was performed in order to identify both the cost per case (expressed in present value) and the number of affected patients, by applying an incidence-based estimation method. Direct costs were estimated multiplying the hospitalization, drugs and management costs derived by the literature with the Italian epidemiological data. Indirect costs were calculated based on lost productivity according to the human capital approach. Furthermore, a one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analysis with 5,000 Monte Carlo simulations were performed, in order to test the robustness of the results and define the proper 95% Confidence Interval (CI). Overall, the total economic burden associated with respiratory allergies and their main co-morbidities was € 7.33 billion (95% CI: € 5.99-€ 8.82). A percentage of 27.5% was associated with indirect costs (€ 2.02; 95% CI: € 1.72-€ 2.34 billion) and 72.5% with direct costs (€ 5.32; 95% CI: € 4.04-€ 6.77 billion). In allergic asthma, allergic rhinitis, combined allergic rhinitis and asthma, turbinate hypertrophy and allergic conjunctivitis, the model estimate an average annual economic burden of € 1,35 (95% CI: € 1,14-€ 1,58) billion, € 1,72 (95% CI: € 1,14-€ 2,43) billion, € 1,62 billion (€ 0,91-€ 2,53) billion, € 0,12 (€ 0,07-€ 0,17) billion, € 0,46 (€ 0,16-€ 0,92) billion respectively. To our knowledge, this is the first study in which direct costs (incurred by NHS) and indirect ones (incurred by the society) were taken into account to estimate the overall burden associated with respiratory allergies and their main co-morbidities in our Country. In conclusion, this work may be considered an efficient tool for public decision-makers to correctly understand the economic aspects involved by the management and treatment of respiratory allergies-induced diseases in Italy.

Urolithiasis in Italy: an epidemiological study.

Worldwide the urolithiasis is the third most frequent urological disease affecting both males and females. In literature there are not recent Italian epidemiological data about stone disease. The objective of this study is the evaluation of current epidemiology of urolithiasis in Italy using the Health Search/CSD Longitudinal Patient Database (HS) database. An observational, descriptive, retrospective trial was conducted. Inclusion criteria were: family physician- assisted Italian living population member of HS database within 31 December 2012, both genders, age over 17 years, at least two years of clinical history recorded from the beginning the trial. Data were collected by HS database and elaborated by its software Millewin®. In Italy prevalence of urolithiasis in 2012 was 4.14%, it was higher in males than in females (4.53% versus 3.78%) with a positive relation with increasing age. The highest prevalence rate of urolithiasis was reported in the region Campania (6.08%). The general incidence was 2.23 * 1000, with the highest incidence in the region Sicilia (3.15 * 1000). Incidence was higher in group age 65-74 years (3.18 * 1000). In Italy the incidence and prevalence of urolithiasis is increasing with particular distribution in relation to gender, age and regional position.

A Lattice Model for Influenza Spreading

We construct a stochastic SIR model for influenza spreading on a D-dimensional lattice, which represents the dynamic contact network of individuals. An age distributed population is placed on the lattice and moves on it. The displacement from a site to a nearest neighbor empty site, allows individuals to change the number and identities of their contacts. The dynamics on the lattice is governed by an attractive interaction between individuals belonging to the same age-class. The parameters, which regulate the pattern dynamics, are fixed fitting the data on the age-dependent daily contact numbers, furnished by the Polymod survey. A simple SIR transmission model with a nearest neighbors interaction and some very basic adaptive mobility restrictions complete the model. The model is validated against the age-distributed Italian epidemiological data for the influenza A(H1N1) during the season, with sensible predictions for the epidemiological parameters. For an appropriate topology of the lattice, we find that, whenever the accordance between the contact patterns of the model and the Polymod data is satisfactory, there is a good agreement between the numerical and the experimental epidemiological data. This result shows how rich is the information encoded in the average contact patterns of individuals, with respect to the analysis of the epidemic spreading of an infectious disease.

A simple stochastic lattice gas model for H1N1 pandemic. Application to the Italian epidemiological data

We construct a very simple epidemic model for influenza spreading in an age-class-distributed population, by coupling a lattice gas model for the population dynamics with a SIR stochastic model for susceptible, infected and removed/immune individuals. We use as a test case the age-distributed Italian epidemiological data for the novel influenza A(H1N1). The most valuable features of this model are its country-independent and virus-independent structure (few demographic, social and virological data are used to fix some parameters), its large statistic due to a very short run-time machine, and its easy generalizability to include mitigation strategies. In spite of its simplicity, the model presented reproduces the epidemiological Italian data, with sensible predictions for the reproduction number and theoretically interesting results for the generation time distribution.