Independent Prognostic Factor For Overall Survival Research Articles

EGFR-TKI combined with radiotherapy in 105 patients of lung adenocarcinoma with brain metastasis: a retrospective study of prognostic factors analysis.

This study aimed to retrospectively analyze the response and prognosis factors for patients of lung adenocarcinoma with brain metastasis and epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation, who were treated by EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) combined with brain radiotherapy (RT). From Jan 2021 to Jan 2024, the clinicopathological data of lung adenocarcinoma patients were collected from the First Affiliated Hospital of Hebei North University. SPSS version 26.0 statistical software was used for statistical analysis. P < 0.05 was determined to be statistically significant. 105 patients were included. The 1, 2, 3-year overall survival (OS) rate was 82.9%, 61.2%, and 33.7%, respectively. 1, 2 ,3-year progression-free survival 1 (PFS1) rate was 62.7%, 36.6%, 22.1%. 1,2,3-year PFS2 rate was 80.8%, 54.6%, and 31.4%. The median OS, PFS1 and PFS2 was 29.8, 18.0 and 28.1 months, respectively. The COX multivariate analysis showed that gene mutation status and brain radiation dose were independent prognostic factors for OS; Gene mutation status, brain radiation dose, and response evaluation to initial treatment (response evaluation) are independent prognostic factors for PFS1; Clinical stage, gene mutation status, brain radiation dose, and response evaluation are independent prognostic factors for PFS2. TKI combined with brain radiotherapy is effective on lung adenocarcinoma patients with EGFR mutation and brain metastasis. Patients with 19 Del or 21 L858R mutation and brain radiation doses ≥ 40 Gy have longer OS, PFS1, and PFS2, and complete remission (CR) + partial remission (PR) is associated with longer PFS1 and PFS2, Patients in stage IVA have longer PFS2.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio at the end of treatment with CDK4/6 inhibitors is an independent prognostic factor for ER-positive HER2-negative advanced breast cancer.

The aim of this study was to elucidate the clinical significance of peripheral blood biomarkers, including absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), at the end of treatment (EOT) with CDK4/6 inhibitors abemaciclib and palbociclib in patients with estrogen receptor-positive human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer. We included 67 patients treated with fulvestrant plus abemaciclib or palbociclib. Overall survival (OS) since the EOT with CDK/4/6 inhibitors was compared in relation to the levels of ALC and NLR. The cut-off values of ALC and NLR were set at 1000/μL and 3, respectively. Patients with a high ALC at EOT showed significantly longer OS than those with a low ALC (p = 0.0358). Moreover, patients with a low NLR at EOT showed significantly longer OS than those with a high NLR at EOT (p = 0.0044). Looking at the changes of ALC and NLR between baseline and the EOT, patients with a high ALC both at baseline and at the EOT showed significantly longer OS than others (p = 0.0201). Similarly, patients with a low NLR both at baseline and at the EOT showed significantly longer OS after EOT than others (p = 0.0136). Multivariable analysis revealed that the NLR at EOT (low vs. high) and changes in NLR (low at baseline to low at EOT vs. others) were significant and independent prognostic factors for OS after EOT (p = 0.0337, p = 0.0039, respectively). NLR at EOT with CDK4/6 inhibitors is a significant and independent prognostic marker for patients with ER-positive HER2-negative advanced breast cancer.

Comparisons of clinical characteristics, treatments, and outcomes among different pathological subtypes of chondrosarcoma in the spine.

Spinal chondrosarcoma exhibits higher invasiveness and a worse prognosis compared to chondrosarcoma in the extremities. The prognosis and therapeutic plan vary greatly among different pathological subtypes of chondrosarcoma. This study aimed to analyze the differences in clinical characteristics, molecular features, therapeutic effects, and prognostic factors among the subtypes of chondrosarcoma in the spine. A retrospective review was conducted on 205 patients with spinal chondrosarcoma. The clinical features and immunohistochemical (IHC) markers were compared among the pathological subtypes of chondrosarcoma grade 1, grade 2, grade 3, mesenchymal chondrosarcoma (MCS), dedifferentiated chondrosarcoma (DCS), and clear cell chondrosarcoma (CCCS). Chondrosarcoma grade 1/2/3 are collectively referred to as conventional chondrosarcoma (CCS) for multivariate survival analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to investigate independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with spinal chondrosarcoma. Furthermore, independent prognostic factors for OS and RFS were identified in CCS and MCS. MCS patients were younger than the other subtypes. Patients with chondrosarcoma grade 1/2 had better OS than those with chondrosarcoma grade 3, MCS and DCS, while only chondrosarcoma grade 1 patients showed better RFS than chondrosarcoma grade 2/3, MCS and DCS patients. Ki-67 index was higher in chondrosarcoma grade 3, MCS and DCS than chondrosarcoma grade 1/2. The comparison of IHC markers further highlighted the overexpression of P53/MDM2 in MCS and DCS. Gross total resection, including en-bloc and piecemeal resection, significantly improved OS and RFS for CCS patients, while only en-bloc resection significantly improved the prognosis of MCS patients. Chemotherapy appeared to be important for the OS of MCS patients. P53/MDM2 pathway was upregulated in MCS and DCS compared to chondrosarcoma grade 1/2. Radical tumor resection is crucial for the treatment of spinal chondrosarcoma, while MCS patients require further comprehensive treatments perioperatively.

The role of local ablative therapy in patients with advanced invasive mucinous adenocarcinoma of the lung

PurposeInvasive mucinous adenocarcinoma (IMA) of the lungs is a rare subtype of lung adenocarcinoma with a limited understanding of its prognosis, particularly in advanced stages. This study aimed to assess the prognosis of patients with advanced IMA by focusing on treatment modalities.MethodsThis single-center retrospective study evaluated 33 patients with IMAs diagnosed with advanced-stage disease or disease progression after curative treatment between 2011 and 2021. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS), and the secondary outcome was progression-free survival (PFS). OS and PFS were calculated from the date of the diagnosis of advanced IMA.ResultsThe study cohort included 13 patients at the initial advanced stage and 20 patients who progressed after curative treatment. Treatment modalities included conventional chemotherapy in 24 patients (72.7%), targeted therapy in seven (21.2%), immunotherapy in 13 (39.4%), and local ablative therapy (LAT) in 13 (39.4%). The median OS was 32 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.9–61.0), with LAT significantly associated with improved OS compared to non-LAT treatment (not reached vs. 11.3 months, p = 0.001). However, there was no significant difference in OS based on conventional chemotherapy (p = 0.396), targeted therapy (p = 0.655), or immunotherapy (p = 0.992). In multivariate analysis, LAT remained an independent prognostic factor for OS (hazard ratio, 0.125; 95% CI, 0.026–0.608; p = 0.01). PFS was 8.6 months (95% CI, 3.6–13.7), with no significant differences observed among the treatment modalities.ConclusionOur findings suggest that LAT may provide favorable survival outcomes in patients with advanced IMA.

236. THE ROLE OF ADJUVANT THERAPY FOLLOWING NEOADJUVANT CHEMORADIOTHERAPY AND ESOPHAGECTOMY IN ESOPHAGEAL CANCER

Abstract Background The objective of this study was to assess the role of adjuvant therapy following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and esophagectomy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Methods We conducted a retrospective analysis involving 506 ESCC patients who underwent trimodal therapy. The clinical significance of adjuvant therapy on overall survival and disease-free survival was evaluated using Kaplan–Meier curves with log-rank tests, the Cox regression model, and a forest plot displaying hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals. Results Among the 506 patients who had clinically positive lymph nodes and no metastasis after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and esophagectomy, those who received adjuvant therapy exhibited shorter post-resection overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), with a statistically significant difference between the two groups (Log-Rank, OS: P = 0.002; DFS: P < 0.001). Adjuvant therapy was not identified as an independent prognostic factor for OS (HR: 1.249; 95% CI: 0.869-1.796; P = 0.230), but it was a significantly unfavorable independent prognostic factor for DFS (HR: 1.868; 95% CI: 0.349-2.586; P < 0.001). Conclusion Adjuvant therapy is associated with poorer overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) outcomes in ESCC patients with ypTNM stage I and II on final pathology following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and esophagectomy. However, there was no significant difference observed in patients with ypTNM stage III or IV. Therefore, it is not recommended to undergo postoperative adjuvant therapy for patients with ypTNM stage I and II ESCC. However, for patients with ypTNM stage III and IV ESCC, further research is needed to explore adjuvant treatment strategies.

585. COMPREHENSIVE RISK SCORE OF THE E-PASS SERVES A PROGNOSTIC INDICATOR FOR PATIENTS AFTER NEOADJUVANT THERAPY AND CURATIVE ESOPHAGEAL CANCER SURGERY

Abstract Background Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and curative surgery have been recommended as the standard treatments for locally advanced esophageal cancer. In addition, the comprehensive risk score (CRS) of the physiological ability and surgical stress (E-PASS) scoring system, incorporating both clinical and surgical factors, has proven effective in predicting postoperative complications and mortality. However, the impact of E-PASS scoring system on the prognosis of esophageal cancer remains uncertain. This study aimed to evaluate the comprehensive risk score of E-PASS scoring system for predicting the short- and long-term outcomes of patients treated with nCRT and esophageal cancer surgery. Methods Patients with esophageal cancer who underwent curative resection between 2010 and 2022 were retrospectively enrolled in this study. The cohort was divided into the low and high CRS groups. The CRS cutoff value was determined using the Youden index applied to overall survival (OS) curves. Prognostic value was assessed through Cox regression and Kaplan–Meier analyses. Results In total, 814 patients were enrolled, including 556 and 258 patients with low and high CRS, respectively. ROC curve analysis determined that the CRS was a highly specific and sensitive predictive tool for postoperative complication occurrence and severity (AUC=0.889 and 0.838, respectively). When the cutoff value was established using the Youden index applied to overall OS curves, multivariate analysis demonstrated that the CRS was an independent prognostic factor for OS (HR: 1.48; 95% CI 1.14–1.92, P=0.003) and recurrence-free survival (HR: 1.44; 95% CI 1.13–1.82, P=0.002), irrespective of esophageal cancer stage and tumor regression scores. Conclusion The E-PASS scoring system emerges as a visible predictor of short- and long-term outcomes in patients with esophageal cancer undergoing nCRT and curative surgery.

Unmasking the silent killer: The hidden aggressiveness of signet-ring cell carcinoma in gallbladder cancer.

The prognostic significance of the signet-ring cell component in gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) has not been systematically evaluated. The aim of this study was to assess the similarities and differences between gallbladder signet-ring cell carcinoma (GBSRCA) and gallbladder adenocarcinoma (GBAC) in terms of clinicopathological features and long-term survival. Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we analyzed 6,612 patients diagnosed with gallbladder cancer between 2000 and 2021. The cohort included 147 patients with GBSRCA and 6,465 with GBAC. Patients with GBSRCA were significantly younger, with 33.3% being age 60 or younger compared to 23.9% of patients with GBAC (p = 0.009). There was a higher proportion of females in the GBSRCA group (77.6%) compared to the GBAC group (70.1%, p = 0.049). GBSRCA was associated with a more advanced tumor stage (T3-T4: 56.5% vs. 44.4%, P = 0.004), higher rates of lymph node metastasis (43.5% vs. 28.0%, P < 0.001), and poorer differentiation status (poorly to undifferentiated: 80.3% vs. 29.7%, P < 0.001). Survival analysis revealed that patients with GBSRCA had significantly worse overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) compared to patients with GBAC (p < 0.001). GBSRCA was an independent prognostic factor for OS (P = 0.001) in the entire cohort, while the T stage and N stage were independent prognostic factors for OS and CSS in patients with GBSRCA. Even after propensity score matching, patients with GBSRCA still had a poorer prognosis.

Effect of family history of cancer on postoperative survival in patients with non-small cell lung cancer.

Family history of cancer (FHC) has been reported to increase mortality of non-small cell lung cancer, mainly comprised of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC). However, the impact of FHC on long-term survival remains controversial. This study aims to identify the impact of FHC on postoperative survival in LUAD and LUSC. Patients underwent lung resection for LUAD or LUSC in West China Hospital from 2009 to 2021 were enrolled. The 5-year overall survival (OS), lung cancer-specific survival (LCSS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared between the patients with and without FHC. Multivariable Cox regression was also performed. A total of 6,253 patients were enrolled, including 5,685 LUAD and 568 LUSC. Altogether 18.9% (1,077/5,685) patients had FHC in LUAD, and 12.7% (72/568) patients had FHC in LUSC. In LUAD, the patients with FHC showed comparable survival compared with the patients without FHC regarding 5-year OS (87.9% vs. 86.5%, P=0.49), 5-year PFS (84.8% vs. 80.9%, P=0.06), and 5-year LCSS (89.2% vs. 88.0%, P=0.96). In LUSC, the patients with FHC had poorer survival compared with the patients without FHC according to 5-year OS (40.9% vs. 68.2%, P=0.007), 5-year PFS (42.3% vs. 66.2%, P=0.003), and 5-year LCSS (45.8% vs. 72.7%, P=0.003). Multivariate analyses indicated that FHC was an independent prognostic factor of OS, PFS, and LCSS in the patients with LUSC. FHC was associated with a poor survival after lung resection in LUSC not LUAD patients. More attention should be paid in postoperative monitoring and treatment in LUSC patients with FHC.

Identification of clinical prognosis features and significant DNA methylation regulation in pineoblastoma.

Pineoblastoma (PB) represents a great challenge for clinical management due to lack of a specific therapeutic regimen. This study aims to identify relevant prognostic factors and potential treatment targets by mining public databases. The clinical characteristics and survival data of PB patients were obtained from the SEER database between 2000 and 2019 for Cox regression analysis and nomogram construction. The PB's DNA methylation data was acquired from two GEO datasets, GSE133801 and GSE215240, for bioinformatics analysis. Of 383PB patients, Cox univariate analysis unveiled that male gender (p = 0.017), age younger than 3years at diagnosis (p < 0.001) and absence of radiotherapy (p < 0.001) correlated with poorer overall survival (OS), the subsequent multivariate analysis confirmed sex (p = 0.036), age (p < 0.001) and radiotherapy (p = 0.005) as independent prognostic factors for OS. A nomogram showed robust predictive accuracy as evidenced by AUC values (1-year OS: 0.774, 3-year OS: 0.692, 5-year OS: 0.643). DNA methylation analysis observed tumor hypomethylation, notably in promoter regions. Later, the GO enrichment analysis of aberrantly methylated genes indicated associations with embryonic organ development, cellular membrane composition and DNA-binding transcription, while KEGG analysis revealed enrichment in tumor-associated MAPK, calcium and RAS signaling pathways. The prognosis of PB is closely associated with sex, age and receipt of radiotherapy, potentially linked to aberrations in the RAS and MAPK signaling pathways. The individual case suggests that dasatinib and trametinib are potential targeted therapies for improving PB prognosis.

Prognostic value and predictive model of tumor markers in stage I to III gastric cancer patients.

Preoperative serum tumor markers have been widely used in the diagnosis and treatment of gastric cancer patients. However, few studies have evaluated the prognosis of gastric cancer patients by establishing statistical models with multiple serum tumor indicators. To explore the prognostic value and predictive model of tumor markers in stage I and III gastric cancer patients. From October 2018 to April 2020, a total of 1236 patients with stage I to III gastric cancer after surgery were included in our study. The relationship between serum tumor markers and clinical and pathological data were analyzed. We established a statistical model to predict the prognosis of gastric cancer based on the results of COX regression analysis. Overall survival (OS) was also compared across different stages of gastric cancer. The deadline for follow-up was May 31, 2023. A total of 1236 patients were included in our study. Univariate analysis found that age, clinical stage, T and N stage, tumor location, differentiation, Borrmann type, size, and four serum tumor markers were prognostic factors of OS (P < 0.05). It was shown that clinical stage, tumor size, alpha foetoprotein, carcinoembryonic antigen, CA125 and CA19-9 (P < 0.05) were independent prognostic factors for OS. According to the scoring results obtained from the statistical model, we found that patients with high scores had poorer survival time (P < 0.05). Furthermore, in stage I patients, the 3-year OS for scores 0-3 ranged from 96.85%, 95%, 85%, and 80%. In stage II patients, the 3-year OS for scores 0-4 were 88.6%, 76.5%, 90.5%, 65.5% and 60%. For stage III patients, 3-year OS for scores 0-6 were 70.9%, 68.3%, 64.1%, 50.9%, 38.4%, 18.5% and 5.2%. We also analyzed the mean survival of patients with different scores. For stage I patients, the mean OS was 55.980 months. In stage II, the mean OS was 51.550 months. The mean OS for stage III was 39.422 months. Our statistical model can effectively predict the prognosis of gastric cancer patients.

Prognostic value of Naples Prognostic Score in locally advanced cervical cancer patients undergoing concurrent chemoradiotherapy.

This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of the Naples Prognostic Score (NPS) in patients with locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC) who received curative concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT). Clinicopathological data from 213 (training set) and 106 (validation set) LACC cases undergoing CCRT were retrospectively analyzed. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to compare the predictive ability of NPS and other indicators for survival. Cox proportional hazard regression was conducted for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). A prediction model using a nomogram was developed with independent prognostic factors in the training set and validated in the validation set. The 5-year OS for the NPS = 1, 2, and 3 groups was 56.8%, 45.4%, and 28.9% (P < 0.001), and the 5-year PFS for the NPS = 1, 2, and 3 groups was 44.9%, 36.7%, and 28.4% (P = 0.001), respectively. NPS showed better predictive ability for OS and PFS compared to other indicators. Multivariate regression analysis identified NPS as an independent prognostic factor for OS (P < 0.001) and PFS (P < 0.001). A predictive nomogram based on NPS was established and validated. The C-indices of the nomogram in the training set were 0.722 for OS and 0.683 for PFS, while in the validation set the C-indices were 0.731 for OS and 0.693 for PFS. This study confirmed that preoperative NPS could serve as a useful independent prognostic factor in LACC patients treated with CCRT.

46 Radiological tumor burden is an independent risk factor for survival in patients with metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma (mccRCC) treated with first line immunotherapy (IO)-based regimens

Abstract Background IO-based regimens (IO + IO or IO + VEGF inhibitor) represent current standard of care systemic therapies for the management of patients with mRCC. IMDC is the current standard to assess prognosis in patients with mRCC of clear cell histology. Baseline radiological tumor burden (BRTB) is a readily available measurement to calculate using routine CT-scans. Here we describe the utility of BRTB as prognostic factor in patients with mccRCC treated with first line IO-based regimens. Methods We reviewed data of 183 patients with mccRCC treated at Dana-Farber Cancer Institute from August 2014 to October 2023 and who received ≥ 1 dose of an IO-based regimen (IO + IO or IO + VEGF inhibitor). Patients with available CT-scan reports within 1 month prior to first line treatment initiation were included in our analysis. BRTB was assessed by a single operator as the sum of all measurable lesions as listed on the RECIST v1.1 report. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS), and secondary outcomes were time to treatment failure (TTF) and time to next therapy (TTNT). To evaluate the impact of BRTB on OS, TTF and TTNT, we used univariable and multivariable Cox regression models accounting for IMDC risk group, history of nephrectomy, and presence of either bone, liver, or brain metastases prior to first line initiation. Results A total of 150 patients satisfied the inclusion criteria and were included in our final analysis, of which 80% of patients were male (120/150). 9% (13/150) had favorable risk, 51% (77/150) had intermediate risk and 20% (30/150) had poor risk by IMDC criteria. Overall, 73% (109/150) of patients had nephrectomy prior to first line therapy initiation and 41% (61/150) had either brain, bone, or liver metastasis. Median follow-up was 44.8 months. Every 1 cm increase in BRTB was associated with a 5% increase in risk of death (HR: 1.05; 95% CI: 1.03 – 1.08; p &amp;lt; 0.0001). On multivariable analysis, radiological tumor burden was significantly associated with OS (HR: 1.04; 95%CI: 1.00 – 1.08; p = 0.03). After categorizing BRTB by tertiles, tertile 1 included 0 - 7.5 cm, tertile 2: 7.6– 15.3 cm and tertile 3: 15.4 – 47.7 cm. The 4-year OS estimates were 84% (95%CI: 74 – 97%), 60% (95%CI: 45 – 81%) and 43% (95%CI: 29 – 66%), respectively, for the 1st, 2nd and 3rd tertile (log-rank P &amp;lt; 0.0001). BRTB did not show a significant association with TTF on univariable (HR: 1.00; 95%CI: 0.99 – 1.01; p = 0.783), or multivariable analysis (HR: 0.99; 95%CI: 0.97 – 1.01; p = 0.428). As for TTNT, BRTB also did not show a significant association on univariable (HR: 1.01; 95%CI: 1.0 – 1.02; p = 0.234) or multivariable analysis (HR: 1.01; 95%CI: 0.99 – 1.03; p = 0.453). Conclusions Baseline radiological tumor burden is an independent prognostic factor for OS in patients with mccRCC treated with first line immunotherapy-based regimens. However, tumor burden is not significantly associated with TTF or TTNT. Figure: Kaplan-Meier curves representing OS based on baseline radiological tumor burden assessed by RECIST v1.1 (Tertile 1: 0 - 7.5 cm; Tertile 2: 7.6 - 15.3 cm; Tertile 3: 15.4 – 47.7 cm). P value is derived from the log-rank test.

Comprehensive assessment of postoperative recurrence and survival in patients with cervical cancer

BackgroundThe prediction of postoperative recurrence and survival in cervical cancer patients has been a major clinical challenge. The combination of clinical parameters, inflammatory markers, intravoxel incoherent motion diffusion-weighted imaging (IVIM-DWI), and MRI-derived radiomics is expected to support the prediction of recurrence-free survival (RFS), disease-free survival (DFS), tumor-specific survival (CSS), and overall survival (OS) of cervical cancer patients after surgery. MethodsA retrospective analysis of 181 cervical cancer patients with continuous follow-up was completed. The parameters of IVIM-DWI and radiomics were measured, analyzed, and screened. The LASSO regularization was used to calculate the radiomics score (Rad-score). Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to construct nomogram models for predicting postoperative RFS, DFS, CSS, and OS in cervical cancer patients, with internal and external validation. ResultsClinical stage, parametrial infiltration, internal irradiation, D-value, and Rad-score were independent prognostic factors for RFS; Squamous cell carcinoma antigen, internal irradiation, D-value, f-value and Rad-score were independent prognostic factors for DFS; Maximum tumor diameter, lymph node metastasis, platelets, D-value and Rad-score were independent prognostic factors for CSS; Lymph node metastasis, systemic inflammation response index, D-value and Rad-score were independent prognostic factors for OS. The AUCs of each model predicting RFS, DFS, CSS, and OS at 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.985, 0.929, 0.910 and 0.833, 0.818, 0.816 and 0.832, 0.863, 0.891 and 0.804, 0.812, 0.870, respectively. ConclusionsNomograms based on clinical and imaging parameters showed high clinical value in predicting postoperative RFS, DFS, CSS, and OS of cervical cancer patients and can be used as prognostic markers.

Evaluation of the prognosis in patients with small-cell lung cancer treated by chemotherapy using tumor shrinkage rate-based radiomics

BackgroundSmall-cell lung cancer (SCLC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death. However, the prognostic value of the tumor shrinkage rate (TSR) after chemotherapy for SCLC is still unknown.MethodsWe performed a retrospective analysis of 235 patients with SCLC. The TSR cutoff was determined based on receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis. The associations of TSR with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. Survival curves were obtained by the Kaplan–Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Recurrence patterns after first-line treatment were summarized in a pie chart. A nomogram was constructed to validate the predictive role of the TSR in SCLC.ResultsThe TSR cutoff was identified to be − 6.6%. Median PFS and OS were longer in the group with a TSR < –6.6% than in the group with a TSR ≥ − 6.6%. PFS and OS were also longer in patients with extensive SCLC when the TSR was < − 6.6% than when it was > − 6.6%. Brain metastasis-free survival was better in the group with a TSR < − 6.6%. There was a significant positive correlation between TSR and PFS. Furthermore, univariate and multivariate regression analyses showed that the TSR, patient age, and previous radiotherapy were independent prognostic factors for OS while TSR and M stage were independent prognostic factors for PFS.ConclusionsThe TSR may prove to be a good indicator of OS and PFS in patients receiving chemotherapy-based first-line treatment for SCLC.

Effect of Plasma Epstein-Barr Virus Nucleic Acid Loads on the Clinical Features and Prognosis in Adult Secondary Hemophagocytic Lymphohistiocytosis

To investigate the effect of pre-treatment plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA copy number on the clinical features and prognosis of patients with adult secondary hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis(sHLH). The clinical characteristics, survival rate, and prognostic factors of 171 patients with adult sHLH treated at Jiangsu Province Hospital from June 2017 to January 2022 were retrospectively analyzed in this study. Patients were divided into three groups, including the EBV DNA-negative group(<5.0×102 copies/ml), lower EBV-DNA loads group(5.0×102-8.51×104 copies/ml), and higher EBV-DNA loads group(＞8.51×104 copies/ml), according to pre-treatment plasma EBV-DNA copy number. Cox regression model was established for screening prognostic factors. Adult sHLH survival prediction model was constructed and realized through the nomogram based on EBV-DNA load after adjusted the factors affecting survival of etiology and treatment strategy.Concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves were calculated to verify model predictive and discriminatory capacity. Among 171 adult sHLH patients, 84 patients were not infected with EBV (EBV DNA-negative group), and 87 with EBV (EBV DNA-positive group, 48 lower EBV-DNA loads group and 39 higher EBV-DNA loads group). Consistent elevations in the levels of liver enzymes (ALT and AST), LDH, TG, β 2-microglobulin and ferritin across the increasing of EBV-DNA load (all P <0.05), while the levels of fibrinogen decrease (P <0.001). The median follow-up time was 52 days (range 20-230 days), and 123 patients died. The overall survival (OS) rate of patients in EBV DNA-positive group was lower than that in EBV DNA-negative group (median OS: 40 days vs 118 days, P <0.001). Higher EBV-DNA loads had worse OS (median OS: 24 days vs 45 days vs 118 days, P <0.0001 for trend) compared to lower EBV-DNA loads and EBV DNA-negative group. Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that higher EBV-DNA loads (P =0.005), fibrinogen≤1.5 g/L (P ＝0.012), ferritin (P ＝0.041), associated lymphoma (P ＝0.002), and anti-tumor based strategy (P ＝0.001) were independent prognostic factors for OS. The C-indexes of 30 day, 90 days, 365 days survival rate were all greater than 0.8 of the nomogram model and calibration curves provided credibility to their predictive capability. Subgroup analysis showed that patients with higher EBV-DNA loads had a significantly worse prognosis in adult sHLH who were women, ferritin＞5 000 μg/L, β2-microglobulin＞7.4 mmol/L and regardless of age, etiologies, HScore points. The EBV-DNA load is a strong and independent predictor for survival in patients with sHLH. The prognostic nomogram based on EBV-DNA loads was dependable and provides a visual tool for evaluating the survival of adult sHLH.

Is postoperative adjuvant radiotherapy necessary for patients with esophageal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy? An analysis based on the SEER database.

To evaluate the outcomes of adjuvant radiotherapy in patients with esophageal cancer (EC) who underwent esophagectomy following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT). The data of EC patients who received adjuvant therapy after NCRT between 2004 to 2019 was retrieved from the SEER database. The patients were split into the adjuvant radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy (RT±CT) and the adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) groups. The process of propensity score matching (PSM) was employed. Following PSM, 157 patients in total were recruited in each treatment group. There were no significant variations in either overall survival (OS) or cancer-specific survival (CSS) between the RT±CT and CT groups (median OS: 28 months versus. 51 months, p=0.063; median CSS: 31 months versus. 52 months, p=0.16). Within the CT group, patients with ypI/II or cI/II tumor stage, positive lymph node ratio (LNR) ≤0.1, and tumor size ≥50mm (p<0.05) had higher OS compared to the RT±CT groups. Among patients with cT3-4 tumors in N-stage downstaging group, the OS and CSS were significantly greater for those underwent RT±CT as opposed to the CT group (5-year OS:56.6% versus 19.4%, p=0.042; 5-year CSS:67.9% versus. 19.4%, p=0.023). Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified the tumor histology grade as an independent prognostic factor of OS and CSS. Radiotherapy-based adjuvant therapy does not significantly improve the prognosis of EC patients after NCRT, although it may provide a survival benefit for patients with cT3-4 tumors in N-stage downstaging.

Clinical Effectiveness and Safety of Transarterial Chemoembolization: Hepatic Artery Infusion Chemotherapy Plus Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitors With or Without Programmed Cell Death Protein-1 Inhibitors for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma-A Retrospective Study.

Locoregional treatment with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) or hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) and systemic targeted immunotherapy with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) and programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) inhibitors in the treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) have achieved promising efficacy. The retrospective study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of TACE and HAIC plus TKI with or without PD-1 for uHCC. From November 2020 to February 2024, the data of 44 patients who received TACE-HAIC+TKI+PD-1 (THKP group) and 34 patients who received TACE-HAIC+TKI (THK group) were retrospectively analyzed. Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and progress-free survival (PFS), and secondary outcomes were objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), conversion rates, and adverse events (AEs). A total of 78 patients were recruited in our single-center study. The patients in THKP group had prolonged median OS [25months, 95% confidence interval (CI) 24.0-26.0 vs 18months, 95% CI 16.1-19.9; p=0.000278], median PFS [16months, 95% CI 14.1-17.9 vs 12months 95% CI 9.6-14.4; p=0.004] and higher ORR (38.6% vs 23.5%, p=0. 156) and DCR (88.6% vs 64.7%, p=0.011) compared with those in THK group. Multivariate analysis showed that treatment option and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level were independent prognostic factors of OS and PFS. The frequency of AEs were similar between the two groups. The THKP group had better efficacy for uHCC than the THK group, with acceptable safety.

Prognostic factors of patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive breast cancer following neoadjuvant therapy: Development and validation of a predictive nomogram

ObjectiveHuman epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)–positive breast cancer exhibits an aggressive phenotype and poor prognosis. The application of neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) in patients with breast cancer can significantly reduce the risks of disease recurrence and improve survival. By integrating different clinicopathological factors, nomograms are valuable tools for prognosis prediction. This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of clinicopathological factors in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer and construct a nomogram for outcome prediction. MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed the clinicopathological data from 374 patients with breast cancer admitted to the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University between January 2009 and December 2017, who were diagnosed with invasive breast cancer through preoperative core needle biopsy pathology, underwent surgical resection after NAT, and were HER2-positive. Patients were randomly divided into a training and validation set at a ratio of 7:3. Univariate and multivariate survival analyses were performed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results of the multivariate analysis were used to create nomograms predicting 3-, 5-, and 8-year overall survival (OS) rates. Calibration curves were plotted to test concordance between the predicted and actual risks. Harrell C-index and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the discriminability of the nomogram prediction model. ResultsAll included patients were women, with a mean age of 50 ± 10.4 years (range: 26–72 years). In the training set, both univariate and multivariate analyses identified residual cancer burden (RCB) class, tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes(TILs), and clinical stage as independent prognostic factors for OS, and these factors were combined to construct a nomogram. The calibration curves demonstrated good concordance between the predicted and actual risks, and the C-index of the nomogram was 0.882 (95 % CI 0.863–0.901). The 3-, 5-, and 8-year areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) were 0.909, 0.893, and 0.918, respectively, indicating good accuracy of the nomogram. The calibration curves also demonstrated good concordance in the validation set, with a C-index of 0.850 (95 % CI 0.804–0.896) and 3-, 5-, and 8-year AUCs of 0.909, 0.815, and 0.834, respectively, which also indicated good accuracy. ConclusionThe nomogram prediction model accurately predicted the prognostic status of post-NAT patients with breast cancer and was more accurate than clinical stage and RCB class. Therefore, it can serve as a reliable guide for selecting clinical treatment measures for breast cancer.

Establishment of nomogram to predict overall survival and cancer-specific survival of local tumor resection in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis with unresectable metastases: a large population-based analysis

Background and PurposeThe tumour-node metastasis (TNM) classification is a common model for evaluating the prognostic value of tumour patients. However, few models have been used to predict the survival outcomes of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) with unresectable metastases who received the primary local surgery. Thus, we utilized the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to establish novel nomograms for predicting the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of these patients.MethodsExtracted primary data on CRLM patients by local surgery from SEER database. All prognostic factors of OS and CSS were determined by Cox regression analysis. The concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves were used to further evaluate the accuracy and discrimination of these nomograms. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was executed to evaluate the nomograms for the clinical net benefit. Risk stratification analysis (RSA) was used to evaluate the reliability of them in clinical.Results3622 eligible patients were screened and assigned to training cohort (1812) or validation cohort (1810). The age, chemotherapy, tumour grade, primary tumour site, tumour size, lymph node positive rate (LNR), marital status, and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) were independent prognostic factors of OS. Additionally, the age, chemotherapy, tumour grade, primary tumour site, tumour size, LNR, and CEA were independent prognostic factors of CSS. The results of C-indexes and ROC curves indicated that the established nomograms exhibited better discrimination power than TNM classification. The calibration curves demonstrated excellent agreement between the predicted and actual survival rates for 1-, 3-, and 5 year OS and CSS. Meanwhile, the validation cohort demonstrated similar results. Background the clinic context, the DCA showed that these nomograms have higher net benefits, and the RSA showed that patients were further divided into low risk, medium risk, and high risk groups according to the predicted scores from nomograms. And, the Kaplan–Meier curve and log-rank test showed that the survival differences among the three groups are statistically significant.ConclusionsThe prognostic nomograms showed very high accuracy, identifiability, and clinical practicality in predicting the OS and CSS of CRLM patients with unresectable metastases treated by local surgery at 1-, 3-, and 5 years, which might improve individualized predictions of survival risks and help clinicians formulate treatment plans.

Construction of prognostic markers for gastric cancer and comprehensive analysis of pyroptosis-related long non-coding RNAs.

China's most frequent malignancy is gastric cancer (GC), which has a very poor survival rate, and the survival rate for patients with advanced GC is dismal. Pyroptosis has been connected to the genesis and development of cancer. The function of pyroptosis-related long non-coding RNAs (PRLs) in GC, on the other hand, remains uncertain. To explore the construction and comprehensive analysis of the prognostic characteristics of long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) related to pyroptosis in GC patients. The TCGA database provided us with 352 stomach adenocarcinoma samples, and we obtained 28 pyroptotic genes from the Reactome database. We examined the correlation between lncRNAs and pyroptosis using the Pearson correlation coefficient. Prognosis-related PRLs were identified through univariate Cox analysis. A predictive signature was constructed using stepwise Cox regression analysis, and its reliability and independence were assessed. To facilitate clinical application, a nomogram was created based on this signature. we analyzed differences in immune cell infiltration, immune function, and checkpoints between the high-risk group (HRG) and low-risk group (LRG). Five hundred and twenty-three PRLs were screened from all lncRNAs (absolute correlation coefficient > 0.4, P < 0.05). Nine PRLs were included in the risk prediction signature that was created through stepwise Cox regression analysis. We determined the risk score for GC patients and employed the median value as the dividing line between HRG and LRG. The ability of the risk signature to predict the overall survival (OS) of GC is demonstrated by the Kaplan-Meier analysis, risk curve, receiver operating characteristic curve, and decision curve analysis curve. The risk signature was shown to be an independent prognostic factor for OS in both univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. HRG showed a more efficient local immune response or modulation compared to LRG, as indicated by the predicted signal pathway analysis and examination of immune cell infiltration, function, and checkpoints (P < 0.05). In general, we have created a brand-new prognostic signature using PRLs, which may provide ideas for immunotherapy in patients with GC.