Independent Predictor Of Disease Progression Research Articles

Changes in serum uric acid, glutathione, and amyloid-β1-42 levels in Parkinson’s disease patients and their association with disease progression and cognitive decline

Objective This study aims to evaluate the diagnostic significance of serum uric acid (UA), glutathione (GSH), and amyloid-β1-42 (Aβ1-42) levels in relation to disease progression and cognitive impairment in patients with Parkinson’s disease (PD). Methods A total of 209 PD patients with disease duration ranging from 4.0 to 6.8 years were enrolled. Based on the Hoehn-Yahr staging system, patients were classified into Early (n = 67), Medium-term (n = 70), and Advanced (n = 72) stages. Cognitive function was assessed using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), dividing the cohort into CD (cognitive dysfunction, n = 94) and NO-CD (no cognitive dysfunction, n = 115) groups. Serum UA, GSH, and Aβ1-42 levels were analyzed for correlations with clinical data. Independent risk factors and diagnostic value were determined through multivariable logistic regression models and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Results Serum UA and GSH levels progressively declined with advancing disease stage, while Aβ1-42 increased. Compared to the NO-CD group, the CD group showed lower serum UA and GSH levels, and higher Aβ1-42 levels. Serum UA and GSH were inversely correlated with disease duration, levodopa equivalent daily dose, and Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale scores, while Aβ1-42 showed positive correlations. UA (p = 0.006), GSH (p < 0.001), and Aβ1-42 (p = 0.040) were independent predictors of disease stage. Similarly, UA (p = 0.003), GSH (p < 0.001), and Aβ1-42 (p < 0.001) were independent predictors of cognitive dysfunction. The combined assessment of these markers demonstrated a higher area under the curve (AUC) than individual markers for disease and cognitive decline identification. Conclusions Serum UA, GSH, and Aβ1-42 are independent predictors of disease progression and cognitive decline in PD patients. Their combined use offers enhanced diagnostic accuracy for disease staging and cognitive impairment in PD.

Exploiting the role of CSF NfL, CHIT1, and miR-181b as potential diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers for ALS

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a rare neurodegenerative disorder characterized by relentless and progressive loss of motor neurons. A molecular diagnosis, supported by the identification of specific biomarkers, might promote the definition of multiple biological subtypes of ALS, improving patient stratification and providing prognostic information. Here, we investigated the levels of neurofilament light chain (NfL), chitotriosidase (CHIT1) and microRNA-181b (miR-181b) in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) of ALS subjects (N = 210) as well as neurologically healthy and neurological disease controls (N = 218, including N = 74 with other neurodegenerative diseases) from a large European multicentric cohort, evaluating their specific or combined utility as diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers. NfL, CHIT1 and miR-181b all showed significantly higher levels in ALS subjects compared to controls, with NfL showing the most effective diagnostic performance. Importantly, all three biomarkers were increased compared to neurodegenerative disease controls and, specifically, to patients with Alzheimer’s disease (AD; N = 44), with NfL and CHIT1 being also higher in ALS than in alpha-synucleinopathies (N = 22). Notably, ALS patients displayed increased CHIT1 levels despite having, compared to controls, a higher prevalence of a polymorphism lowering CHIT1 expression. While no relationship was found between CSF miR-181b and clinical measures in ALS (disease duration, functional disability, and disease progression rate), CSF NfL was the best independent predictor of disease progression and survival. This study deepens our knowledge of ALS biomarkers, highlighting the relative specificity of CHIT1 for ALS among neurodegenerative diseases and appraising the potential diagnostic utility of CSF miR-181b.

C4d Is an Independent Predictor of the Kidney Failure in Primary IgA Nephropathy.

Background: C4d deposits are present in a substantial proportion of patients with IgA nephropathy (IgAN), indicating the activation of the lectin pathway (LP) of the complement system. It seems that patients with activated LP have worse renal prognosis. The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence and prognostic significance of C4d in our cohort of patients with primary IgA nephropathy (pIgAN). Methods: Patients with pIgAN were recruited from a hospital register of kidney biopsies of the Department of Nephrology and Dialysis, Dubrava University Hospital, Zagreb. Additional immunohistochemistry staining for C4d was performed on paraffin-embedded kidney tissue, and patients were stratified into being C4d positive or C4d negative. The clinical and histologic features of patients were analyzed and compared regarding C4d positivity. The primary outcome was defined as kidney failure (KF), and predictor variables of KF and renal survival were analyzed. Results: Of a total of 95 patients with pIgAN included in the study, C4d was present in 43 (45.3%). C4d-positive patients had a higher value of systolic (p = 0.039) and diastolic (p = 0.006) blood pressure at diagnosis as well as higher 24 h proteinuria (p = 0.018), serum urate (p = 0.033), and lower eGFR (p < 0.001). C4d-positive patients had worse renal survival (p < 0.001), higher rates of disease progression to KF (p < 0.001), and higher proteinuria (p < 0.001) and lower eGFR (p < 0.001) at the last follow-up. Glomerular C4d was an independent predictor of disease progression to KF (HR = 5.87 [0.95 CI 1.06-32.44], p = 0.032). Conclusions: C4d is an independent predictor of disease progression in patients with pIgAN. C4d may be used as an additional marker of progressive disease course in IgAN. The therapeutic implications of C4d status in IgAN, particularly in terms of complement inhibitors application, are not yet known.

#2555 C4d—a novel predictor of the disease progression and treatment failure in primary focal segmental glomerulosclerosis?

Abstract Background and Aims Complement system seems to play a role in the pathogenesis of primary focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (pFSGS) where, due to unpredictable clinical course and outcome, novel prognostic factors are sought. The split product of C4 and tissue marker of complement activation, C4d, is a potential candidate whose prognostic significance was determined in this study. Method Patients &amp;gt;18 years with features consistent with pFSGS (full blown nephrotic syndrome, diffuse podocyte foot processes effacement and exclusion of known causes of FSGS), were recruited from our Hospital registry of kidney biopsies, from 2003 to 2021. Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) defined as eGFR &amp;lt;15 ml/min/1.73 m2 were not included. Every renal biopsy specimen was analyzed by light, immunofluorescence and electron microscopy with additional immunochemistry for C4d performed on paraffin-embedded tissue using monoclonal rabbit antibody (detection system Ventana BenchMark Ultra). Samples with at least one non-globally sclerosed glomerulus (GSG) were examined by two renal pathologists who classified every non-GSG into C4d positive and negative. Based on ratio of C4d+ non-GGS/total N of non-GSG and C4d+ nonsclerotic glomeruli (NSG)/total N of NSG, patients were stratified into two groups: &amp;lt;50% and ≥50%. Primary outcome was defined as composite of ESRD and initial eGFR declining &amp;gt;50%. Failure to meet criteria for at least partial remission at the last follow-up visit according to KDIGO 2021 Guidelines was defined as treatment failure. Numeric variables are shown as median with interquartile range (IQR) and P value &amp;lt;0.05 was considered as significant. Results Relevant data of 58 included patients with renal outcomes are shown in Table. Median follow up was 90.7 (IQR 48-167) months. Patients with ≥50% of C4d+ non-GSG had higher proportion of treatment failure (Table) and worse renal survival (log-rank test, p = 0.006). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, after inclusion of age, sex, initial eGFR and 24-h proteinuria, IFTA, serum albumin and C4d category, only C4d ≥50% (HR = 4.077, 95% CI 1.101-15.09, p = 0.035) and IFTA (HR = 1.052, 95% CI 1.019-1.085, p = 0.002) remained independent predictors of progression to defined endpoint. Likewise, patients with ≥50% of C4d+ NSG/total N of NSG had higher proportion of treatment failure (chi-square, p = 0.03) and worse renal survival (log-rank, p = 0.037). Conclusion C4d deposition is an independent predictor of disease progression, treatment failure and renal survival in pFSGS. Significant influence of NSG-C4d deposition on disease progression may indicate pathophysiological role of the complement system activation in pFSGS independently of the presence of glomerular sclerosis.

A Novel Score Using Lymphocyte-to-Monocyte Ratio in Blood and Malignant Body Fluid for Predicting Prognosis of Patients with Advanced Ovarian Cancer

(1) Background: The lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), one of the systemic inflammatory markers, has been shown to be associated with prognosis of various solid tumors. However, no study has reported clinical utility of the LMR of malignant body fluid (mLMR) (2) Methods: We retrospectively analyzed clinical data of the final 92 patients of a total of 197 patients with advanced ovarian cancer newly diagnosed from November 2015 and December 2021 using our institute big data. (3) Results: Patients were divided into three groups according to their combined bLMR and mLMR scores (bmLMR score): 2, both bLMR and mLMR were elevated; 1, bLMR or mLMR was elevated; and 0, neither bLMR nor mLMR was elevated. A multivariable analysis confirmed that the histologic grade (p = 0.001), status of residual disease (p &lt; 0.001), and bmLMR score (p &lt; 0.001) were independent predictors of disease progression. A low combined value of bLMR and mLMR was strongly associated with a poor prognosis in patients with ovarian cancer. (4) Conclusions: Although further studies are required to apply our results clinically, this is the first study to validate the clinical value of mLMR for predicting prognosis of patients with advanced ovarian cancer.

Preoperative endogenous total testosterone predicts prostate cancer progression: results in 580 consecutive patients treated with robot assisted radical prostatectomy for clinically localized disease

To test the role of endogenous total testosterone (ETT) as a predictor of prostate cancer (PCa) progression in patients treated with robot assisted radical prostatectomy for clinically localized disease. Between November 2014 and December 2019, 580 consecutive patients were evaluated. Preoperative ETT levels were classified as ≤ 350ng/dL vs. > 350ng/dL. The associations between ETT levels and the risk of PCa progression, defined as any event of biochemical recurrence and/or local recurrence and/or distant metastases, or other clinical and pathological factors were evaluated by regression analyses. Preoperative ETT levels resulted ≤ 350ng/dL in 173 (29.8%) patients. Disease progression occurred in 101 (17.1%) cases. Progressing patients were more likely to present with PSA levels > 10ng/mL, as well as with unfavorable tumor grade (ISUP 4-5) and stage (pT3b) at final pathology, but less likely to have ETT levels ≤ 350ng/mL. On clinical multivariable Cox regression models, ETT ≤ 350ng/mL exhibited a statistically significant protective effect on tumor progression (hazard ratio: 0.57, p = 0.013). Subjects presenting with ETT levels ≤ 350ng/mL were less likely to harbor ISUP 4-5 tumor grade either at biopsy (odds ratio [OR]: 0.46, p = 0.028) or final pathology (OR: 0.45, p = 0.032). At PCa diagnosis, ETT, which associates with ISUP tumor grade, is an independent predictor of disease progression. Accordingly, as ETT decreases to levels ≤ 350ng/dL, the risk of unfavorable tumor grade decreases, and a more favorable prognosis is expected. Preoperative ETT levels may allow further patient stratification along prognostic risk groups.

Abstract P5-06-04: The prognostic value of c-MET monitoring by using c-MET-enriched circulating tumor cells in HR-positive HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer

Abstract [Background] As the development of endocrine resistance and late recurrences are the major clinical concerns in hormone receptor (HR)-positive/HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer (MBC) patients, biomarkers to predict the occurrence of endocrine resistance or disease progression are crucial for improving patient outcomes. Aberrant HGF/c-MET signaling pathway has been reported to play a role in various cellular processes in cancer. Estrogen Receptor 1 (ESR1) mutations, encoding estrogen receptor α, are associated with endocrine resistance in HR+ breast cancer. PIK3CA hotspot mutations that induce hyperactivation of the PI3K are found in 30-40% of HR+ advanced breast cancers. In this context, we evaluated the prognostic values of c-MET-enriched CTC, ESR1 mutations, PIK3CA mutations, and cfDNA concentrations detected in the blood of HR+HER2- MBC patients. [Methods] MBC patients were prospectively enrolled during standard treatments at Samsung Medical Center (IRB No.2019-08-119). Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) were isolated using the GenoCTC® with c-MET-enriched or EpCAM-enriched CTC isolation kits (Genobio Corp., South Korea) from 4mL of blood each. PIK3CA and ESR1 hotspot mutations were analyzed by droplet digital PCR kits (Gencurix Inc., South Korea). cfDNA concentrations were calculated using ESR1 gene copy numbers from plasma. To compare the proportion of c-MET overexpression between primary breast tumors and metastatic sites in HR+HER2- breast cancer patients, primary breast (n=358) and metastatic sites (n=27) were independently collected. c-MET expression was evaluated by an immunohistochemistry assay using an anti-total c-MET (SP44) antibody with a Ventana Discovery XY automated system according to the manufacturer’s instruction. c-MET overexpression was defined if the staining was scored as 2+ or 3+. Progression-free survival (PFS) was defined as the time from blood draw to the first of either disease progression or death during standard therapy. [Results] Out of 93 patients with HR+ MBC, analysis was performed in 63 HR+HER2- MBC patients. Seventeen patients (27%) had one or more EpCAM-enriched CTCs, and fourteen patients (22%) had one or more c-MET-enriched CTCs detected in their blood. The median follow-up time and median time to censoring were 8.4 months and 18.7 months, respectively. According to the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis by log-rank test, c-MET-enriched CTCs, cfDNA concentrations, and ESR1 mutations were significantly associated with PFS (p=0.0026, 0.0064, and 0.011, respectively). However, PIK3CA mutations and EpCAM-enriched CTCs were not statistically significant with PFS (p=0.38 and 0.86, respectively). Multivariate analysis showed that both c-MET-enriched CTCs (HR=3.5, p=0.014) and cfDNA concentrations (HR=2.2, p=0.031) were independent predictors for PFS in HR+HER2- MBC. The proportion of c-MET overexpression was significantly higher in metastatic sites (22.2%) than in primary breast tumors (4.7%) in HR+HER2- breast cancer patients (p=0.00002). As c-MET-enriched CTCs and cfDNA concentrations were independent predictors of disease progression, patients were divided into two groups depending on the result of c-MET-enriched CTCs and cfDNA concentration. When patients with low c-MET-enriched CTC and cfDNA concentrations were classified as a low-risk group and other patients into a high-risk group, the high-risk group had a shorter PFS than the low-risk group (p=0.003). [Conclusion] This study provided c-MET-enriched CTCs and cfDNA concentrations calculated by ESR1 copy numbers in patient blood were significant independent predictors of disease progression in HR+HER2- MBC. The poor prognosis in the c-MET-enriched CTC-high group and the difference in the c-MET overexpression rate between the primary breast and metastatic sites suggested the importance of monitoring c-MET-enriched CTCs in the blood of HR+HER2- MBC patients. Citation Format: Jieun Park, Eun Sol Chang, Ji-Yeon Kim, Chaithanya Chelakkot, Minjung Sung, Ji-Young Song, Kyungsoo Jung, Na Young Kim, Hyegyeong Lee, Mi-Ran Kang, Yeon Hee Park, Young Kee Shin, Yoon-La Choi. The prognostic value of c-MET monitoring by using c-MET-enriched circulating tumor cells in HR-positive HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2022 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2022 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(5 Suppl):Abstract nr P5-06-04.

The efficacy of neoadjuvant EGFR-TKI therapy combined with radical surgery for stage IIIB lung adenocarcinoma harboring EGFR mutations: A retrospective analysis based on single center.

Epidermal growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) could provide survival benefits for locally advanced EGFR-mutant (EGFRm) non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, the role of radical surgery for EGFR-TKI treated stage IIIB EGFRm NSCLC remains controversial. This study attempted to assess the feasibility of neoadjuvant EGFR-TKI followed by radical surgery for stage IIIB EGFRm NSCLC. Between 2013 and 2020, EGFRm lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) patients in clinical stage IIIB undergoing neoadjuvant EGFR-TKI followed by surgery (T-S-Arm) and EGFR-TKI alone (T-Arm) were reviewed retrospectively in Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital (SPH). The chi-square test, Student's t-test or Fisher's exact test was performed for analysis of baseline characteristics. Progression-free survival (PFS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier analysis. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of progression. A total of 43 patients were divided into T-S-Arm (n = 21) and T-Arm (n = 22). Patients were well-balanced between the two arms. The majority of patients were female (n = 25, 58.1%), non-smokers (n = 35, 81.4%), first-generation of EGFR-TKI treatment (n = 39, 90.7%), and exon 19 deletions (19-DEL) (n = 26, 60.5%). The median diagnostic age was 63.0 years [interquartile range (IQR), 54.0-67.5 years). At the cut-off date with June 30th 2022, median follow-up time was 28 months (IQR, 20-39 months). Neoadjuvant EGFR-TKI treatment followed by radical surgery could significantly improve the median PFS compared with patients underwent EGFR-TKI alone (23.0 months vs 14.5 months, P = 0.002). Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that radical surgery (T-S-Arm vs. T-Arm, HR: 0.406; 95% CI: 0.207-0.793, P = 0.027) was the only independent predictor for disease progression. The stratified analysis demonstrated patients with N2 disease could benefit from radical surgery (HR, 0.258; 95% CI, 0.107-0.618), especially for patients harboring L858R mutation (HR, 0.188; 95% CI, 0.059-0.604). For stage IIIB EGFRm NSCLC patients, the prognosis might be improved by neoadjuvant EGFR-TKI followed by radical surgery versus EGFR-TKI alone, especially for those with N2 disease and harboring L858R mutation.

Profiling the Expression and Prognostic Values of FYN, A Non-Receptor Tyrosine Kinase, in Different Histological Types of Epithelial Ovarian Cancer.

This study was aimed at evaluating FYN expression among different histologic types of epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) and its associated prognostics. The FYN expression levels using quantitative real-time PCR method were evaluated in 98 primary EOC. Receiver operating characteristic curve were used to select an optimal cut-off value for determining the presence or absence of a disease progression. The median level of FYN expression varied among different EOC types, being the highest in high-grade serous carcinomas and the lowest in clear cell carcinomas (CCC). Using the cutoff FYN value to predict disease progression, the FYN-positive group had a poorer progression-free survival (PFS) compared to the FYN-negative group (p = 0.001). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, FYN expression was an independent predictor for disease progression (Hazard ratio = 2.30; 95% CI: 1.21- 4.38; p = 0.011). In subgroup analysis, FYN expression was significantly associated with lower PFS in early stage CCC patients (p = 0.009). FYN expression is variable among different types of EOC while impacting on the prognostic values in patients with early stage CCC.

Advanced age portends poorer prognosis after radical prostatectomy: a single center experience

Introduction and objectiveAlthough advanced age doesn’t seem to impair oncological outcomes after robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP), elderly patients have increased rates of prostate cancer (PCa) related deaths due to a higher incidence of high-risk disease. The potential unfavorable impact of advanced age on oncological outcomes following RARP remains an unsettled issue. We aimed to evaluate the oncological outcome of PCa patients > 69 years old in a single tertiary center.Materials and methods1143 patients with clinically localized PCa underwent RARP from January 2013 to October 2020. Analysis was performed on 901 patients with available follow-up. Patients ≥ 70 years old were considered elderly. Unfavorable pathology included ISUP grade group > 2, seminal vesicle, and pelvic lymph node invasion. Disease progression was defined as biochemical and/or local recurrence and/or distant metastases.Results243 cases (27%) were classified as elderly patients (median age 72 years). Median (IQR) follow-up was 40.4 (38.7–42.2) months. Disease progression occurred in 159 cases (17.6%). Elderly patients were more likely to belong to EAU high-risk class, have unfavorable pathology, and experience disease progression after surgery (HR = 5.300; 95% CI 1.844–15.237; p = 0.002) compared to the younger patients.ConclusionsElderly patients eligible for RARP are more likely to belong to the EAU high-risk category and to have unfavorable pathology that are independent predictors of disease progression. Advanced age adversely impacts on oncological outcomes when evaluated inside these unfavorable categories. Accordingly, elderly patients belonging to the EAU high-risk should be counseled about the increased risk of disease progression after surgery.

Carbonic anhydrase 10 functions as a tumor suppressor in renal cell carcinoma and its methylation is a risk factor for survival outcome.

Carbonic anhydrase 10 (CA10), one of the carbonic anhydrase isozymes, is explored to be downregulated in several tumor types, which indicates its critical role in tumorigenesis. However, its biologic and pathological function remains elusive in the pathogenesis of renal cell carcinoma (RCC). We examined expressions and functions of CA10 in RCC primary tumors and cell lines, assessed its tumor suppressive functions and further explored its impact on survival outcome of RCC patients. We found that CA10 was down-expressed in RCC primary tumors compared with adjacent non-malignant renal tissues. Promoter CpG methylation seemed to directly suppress the transcription of CA10 in RCC cells, which could be reversed by demethylation treatment. Restoration of CA10 in 786-O and Caki-2 cell lines inhibited their cell proliferation and promoted their apoptosis by regulating relevant apoptosis factors. Kaplan-Meier curve identified that CA10 methylation status was associated with progression-free survival in RCC (P = 0.021). Multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated the CA10 methylation status [HR, 4.724; 95% CI, 1.056-21.136; P = 0.042] was an independent predictor of disease progression. Collectively, our study demonstrates that CA10 as a tumor suppressor is frequently inactivated by promoter CpG methylation in RCC and its methylation is a risk factor for the prognosis of RCC.

The impact of metabolic health on non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). A single center experience

BackgroundThe role of patients’ metabolic clinical and biochemical profile in NAFLD has not been extensively explored. AimsThe aim of the study was to assess the role of metabolic health in NAFLD patients and to examine liver disease progression in these populations. MethodsThe medical charts of 569 patients diagnosed with fatty liver were thoroughly reviewed; 344 patients were excluded because of other chronic liver diseases. Metabolically healthy people were defined as those who met none of the following criteria: blood pressure ≥ 130/85 mmHg or under hypertension treatment, fasting glucose ≥ 100 mg/dl or under diabetes treatment, serum triglycerides > 150 mg/dl, high density lipoprotein-cholesterol <40/50 mg/dl for men/women. Study participants were followed-up over a median period of 22 months. ResultsThe present observational case-control study included 225 NAFLD patients; 14 (6.2%) were metabolically healthy. Metabolically healthy participants were younger (p = 0.006), had lower age at diagnosis (p = 0.002), lower levels of γ-GT (p = 0.013), fasting glucose (p <0.001) and triglycerides (p <0.001) and higher HDL-cholesterol (p = 0.005) compared to metabolically non-healthy. By the last follow up assessment, 8 metabolically healthy patients had developed dyslipidemia; 1 patient (14.4%) had presented liver disease progression compared to 8 patients (10.5%) from the unhealthy group (p = 0.567). In multivariate analysis, diabetes mellitus (p = 0.017) and hemoglobin levels (p = 0.009) were the sole independent predictors of disease progression. No significant difference was observed in liver disease progression-free survival rates among the two patient groups (p = 0.503). ConclusionsMetabolically healthy NAFLD patients presented with a favorable biochemical profile; however, they were diagnosed with NAFLD at a younger age and the liver disease progression risk was similar to that of metabolically unhealthy patients. These findings suggest that metabolically healthy NAFLD may not constitute a benign condition and patients could potentially be at increased risk of metabolic syndrome and liver disease progression.

C4d as a Screening Tool and an Independent Predictor of Clinical Outcomes in Lupus Nephritis and IgA Nephropathy.

BackgroundAs an indispensable marker of complement cascades activation, C4d was confirmed of its crucial role in the pathogenesis of both lupus nephritis (LN) and IgA nephropathy (IgAN). While the studies directly comparing the diagnostic value, and outcomes predicting function of C4d between LN and IgAN are still absent.MethodsA cohort of 120 LN patients, 120 IgAN patients who were diagnosed by renal biopsy between January 2015 and December 2017 and 24 healthy age matched controls were prospectively analyzed. The patients were followed till December 2020. The outcomes were adverse disease treatment response (disease relapse) and kidney disease progression event (decline of estimated glomerular filtration rate by more than 20% or end-stage kidney disease). The renal C4d deposition proportion and pattern were compared between IgAN and LN patients. In addition, the relationship between renal C4d deposition and disease subtypes, disease relapse as well as disease progression for LN and IgAN patients were also analyzed.ResultsThe LN, IgAN patients and healthy controls were well matched in ages. The follow-up period was 38.5 (30.3–60.8) months for LN patients and 45.0 (30.5–57.0) months for IgAN patients. 78 patients (65.0%) with LN had renal C4d deposition, compared with only 39 IgAN patients (32.5%) with C4d deposition in renal tissues (P < 0.001). The LN patients shared different renal C4d distribution patterns with IgAN patients. Compared with IgAN patients, the C4d deposition in LN patients was significantly more in renal glomerulus (P < 0.001) and less in renal tubules (P = 0.003). For disease subtypes, renal C4d deposition was especially strong in class V membranous LN and IgAN with tubulointerstitial fibrosis (T1/T2) lesions. Renal C4d deposition was independently correlated with the disease relapse of LN patients (HR = 1.007, P = 0.040), and acted as an independent predictor of disease progression during the follow-up period for IgAN patients (HR = 1.821, P = 0.040).ConclusionsRenal C4d distribution proportion and pattern differed between LN and IgAN patients. The presence of C4d in renal tissue acted as an independent predictor of relapse for LN patients and disease progression for IgAN patients.

The clinical relevance of lymphocyte to monocyte ratio in patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF)

Disease course in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) is highly heterogeneous and markers of disease progression would be helpful. Blood leukocyte count has been studied in cancer patients and a reduced lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) has been show to predict survival. Thus, we aimed to investigate the role of monocytes count and LMR in three distinct population of patients with IPF: 77 newly-diagnosed IPF, 40 with end-stage IPF and 17 IPF with lung cancer. In newly-diagnosed IPF patients, we observed a negative correlation between forced vital capacity (FVC) at diagnosis and both white blood cells and monocytes count (r = −0.24; p = 0.04 and r = −0.27; p = 0.01; respectively). Moreover, a high monocytes count was independently associated with functional decline (OR: 1.004, 95%CI 1.00–1.01; p = 0.03). In newly-diagnosed IPF, the LMR cut-off at diagnosis was 4.18 with an AUC of 0.67 (95%CI 0.5417–0.7960; p = 0.025), and overall survival was significantly worse in patients with a LMR<4.18 compared to patients with a LMR≥4.18 (HR: 6.88, 95%CI 2.55–18.5; p = 0.027). LMR was significantly lower in IPF patients with lung cancer compared to those newly diagnosed with IPF [2.2 (0.8–4.4), 3.5 (0.8–8.8); p < 0.0001] and those with end-stage disease [3.6 (2–6.5); p < 0.0001]. In conclusion, a LMR<4.18 is associated with significantly shorter survival in newly-diagnosed IPF patients. In addition, LMR is significantly lower in patients with IPF and lung cancer compared to patients with newly-diagnosed IPF. High monocytes count at baseline negatively correlates with FVC and is an independent predictor of disease progression in newly-diagnosed IPF patients.

CBIO-24. NF2 LOSS-OF-FUNCTION COOPERATES WITH HYPOXIA TO DRIVE RADIATION RESISTANCE IN GRADE 2 MENINGIOMAS

Abstract World health organization grade 2 meningiomas (G2M) are associated with an aggressive natural history characterized by frequent recurrence, resistance to radiation therapy (RT), and poor survival. We and others have shown that intratumoral necrosis is an independent predictor of disease progression in G2Ms treated with RT, suggesting that necrosis is a histopathological biomarker of radiation resistance. However, the mechanisms of radiation resistance in G2M remain unclear and treatment of radioresistant G2M is challenging. We performed genetic sequencing and histopathological analysis of 121 G2Ms and found that NF2 mutations are associated with intratumoral necrosis. To further investigate the relationship between NF2 loss-of-function, necrosis, and radiation resistance, we developed an in vitro model system using the IOMM-Lee meningioma cell line. In clonogenic survival assays, we found that NF2 knockdown under normoxia had little to no effect on radiation resistance compared to control. However, in the setting of hypoxia, NF2 knockdown significantly increased radiation resistance by maintaining cellular proliferation without impacting cell death. To understand the molecular basis of NF2 loss-of-function on radiation resistance, we performed bulk RNA sequencing of cells in our in vitro hypoxia/RT model and 10 patient G2Ms (5 necrotic and 5 non-necrotic tumors). GO and KEGG pathway analysis of the in vitro dataset revealed that NF2 deficiency triggers upregulation of pathways involved in DNA damage repair and cellular proliferation. Integration of differentially expressed genes between the in vitro NF2 loss-of-function model and necrotic patient tumors identified shared upregulation of S100A4, which promotes cell cycle progression, and downregulation of WNK2, a cell proliferation inhibitor. Together, these results suggest NF2 loss-of-function in the setting of hypoxia confers radiation resistance through a transcriptional program that promotes proliferation and DNA repair.

Clinical potential of circulating free DNA and circulating tumour cells in patients with metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer treated with pembrolizumab.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors, such as pembrolizumab, are revolutionizing therapeutic strategies for different cancer types, including non‐small‐cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, only a subset of patients benefits from this therapy, and new biomarkers are needed to select better candidates. In this study, we explored the value of liquid biopsy analyses, including circulating free DNA (cfDNA) and circulating tumour cells (CTCs), as a prognostic or predictive tool to guide pembrolizumab therapy. For this purpose, a total of 109 blood samples were collected from 50 patients with advanced NSCLC prior to treatment onset and at 6 and 12 weeks after the initiation of pembrolizumab. Plasma cfDNA was measured using hTERT quantitative PCR assay. The CTC levels at baseline were also analysed using two enrichment technologies (CellSearch® and Parsortix systems) to evaluate the efficacy of both approaches at detecting the presence of programmed cell death ligand 1 on CTCs. Notably, patients with high baseline hTERT cfDNA levels had significantly shorter progression‐free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) than those with low baseline levels. Moreover, patients with unfavourable changes in the hTERT cfDNA levels from baseline to 12 weeks showed a higher risk of disease progression. Additionally, patients in whom CTCs were detected using the CellSearch® system had significantly shorter PFS and OS than patients who had no CTCs. Finally, multivariate regression analyses confirmed the value of the combination of CTCs and cfDNA levels as an early independent predictor of disease progression, identifying a subgroup of patients who were negative for CTCs, who presented low levels of cfDNA and who particularly benefited from the treatment.

Clinical Predictors of Response to Anti-PD-1 First-Line Treatment in a Single-Centre Patient Cohort: A Real-World Study

AimsCutaneous melanoma is one of the most immunogenic tumours. Immunotherapy with checkpoint inhibitors, such as anti-PD-1 antibodies, has significantly improved the prognosis in metastatic melanoma. However, only half of the patients respond to this therapy and have a favourable outcome. Identifying factors associated with treatment failure and early identification of responders are both important to select the best treatment approach for each patient. The aim of our study was to investigate clinical biomarkers of response to treatment with anti-PD-1 antibodies. Materials and methodsWe selected all patients with stage IV melanoma (n = 147), subjected to first-line treatment with anti-PD-1 in the last 10 years. We investigated the associations between patients' different clinical features and progression-free survival, using the Cox proportional hazards models. ResultsIn the multivariate analysis, an increased risk of disease progression was observed among patients with stage M1d metastases (hazard ratio 3.30; 95% confidence interval 1.58–6.91), compared with patients with stage M1a-M1b. Moreover, the risk of progression was greater in patients with the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS) 1 (hazard ratio 2.04; 95% confidence interval 1.02–4.06) and in patients with ECOG PS ≥ 2 (hazard ratio 2.19; 95% confidence interval 1.05–4.55) compared with ECOG PS 0. High levels of lactate dehydrogenase (hazard ratio 2.06; 95% confidence interval 1.18–3.59) and the presence of respiratory diseases (hazard ratio 4.14; 95% confidence interval 1.42–12.0) at the beginning of anti-PD-1 treatment were also associated with an increased risk of disease progression. In a subgroup analysis, neutrophil count and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio before anti-PD-1 treatment were higher in patients who underwent disease progression. ConclusionIn our study population, independent predictors of disease progression among patients treated with first-line anti-PD-1 were as follows: ECOG PS, staging, lactate dehydrogenase and the presence of respiratory diseases.

ZNF582 hypermethylation as a prognostic biomarker for malignant transformation of oral lesions.

This hospital-based cohort study evaluated whether ZNF582 and PAX1methylation levels at baseline can be used as biomarkers to identify lesions with a high potential for malignant transformation in patients with normal mucosa and oral potentially malignant disorders. We recruited 171 adult patients with normal mucosa and oral potentially malignant disorders in 2012-2014. They were followed until 2017. Outcomes, including advanced histopathological findings and oral cancer occurrence, were obtained from medical charts, the Taiwan Cancer Registry, and cause-of-death data. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the association of ZNF582 and PAX1methylation levels at baseline with subsequent outcome occurrences. After 260,192days of follow-up, 11 cases of oral cancer and 4 cases of advanced histopathological progression occurred. Patients with higher ZNF582 and PAX1methylation levels at baseline had a higher incidence of disease progression. After adjustment for all studied factors using Cox proportional hazards regression models, ZNF582m level (adjusted hazard ratio, 11.41; 95% CI, 2.05-63.36; p=0.005) was the only significant and independent predictor of disease progression. ZNF582hypermethylation can be an effective and noninvasive biomarker for identifying oral lesions with a high potential for malignant transformation.

A composite risk model predicts disease progression in early stages of COVID-19: A propensity score-matched cohort study.

BackgroundRecently, studies on COVID-19 have focused on the epidemiology of the disease and clinical characteristics of patients, as well as on the risk factors associated with mortality during hospitalization in critical COVID-19 cases. However, few research has been performed on the prediction of disease progression in particular group of patients in the early stages of COVID-19.MethodsThe study included 338 patients with COVID-19 treated at two hospitals in Wuhan, China, from December 2019 to March 2020. Predictors of the progression of COVID-19 from mild to severe stages were selected by the logistic regression analysis.ResultsCOVID-19 progression to severe and critical stages was confirmed in 78 (23.1%) patients. The average value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was higher in patients in the disease progression group than in the improvement group. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that elevated NLR, LDH and IL-10 were independent predictors of disease progression. The optimal cut-off value of NLR was 3.75. The values of the area under the curve, reflecting the accuracy of predicting COVID-19 progression by NLR was 0.739 (95%CI: 0.605–0.804). The risk model based on NLR, LDH and IL-10 had the highest area under the ROC curve.ConclusionsThe performed analysis demonstrates that high concentrations of NLR, LDH and IL-10 were independent risk factors for predicting disease progression in patients at the early stage of COVID-19. The risk model combined with NLR, LDH and IL-10 improved the accuracy of the prediction of disease progression in patients in the early stages of COVID-19.

Exploration of High-Grade Transformation and Postoperative Radiotherapy on Prognostic Analysis for Primary Adenoid Cystic Carcinoma of the Head and Neck.

BackgroundDespite Adenoid cystic carcinoma (ACC) with cribriform or tubular components being recognized as a potentially indolent malignancy, ACC displaying solid or, more rarely, high-grade transformation (HGT) components is considered a more aggressive variant of the disease. As it is difficult to measure the proportion of the solid component objectively, and the role of HGT in the current grading system remains unclear, the prognostic influence of tumor grading remains controversial. In addition, postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) has been proven to be effective in local control of ACC of the head and neck (ACCHN) with a high rate of nerve invasion and close surgical margin. However it remains to be explored that whether PORT could improve the survival of patients with ACC, particularly those with HGT.MethodsA series of 73 surgically treated primary ACCHN cases were retrospectively accessed. Immunohistochemical staining was performed to observe the biphasic ductal-myoepithelial differentiation and to identify the HGT components of ACC for tumor grading. The correlation between tumor grading and clinicopathological characteristics was analyzed. Univariate and multivariate prognostic analysis were performed for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).ResultsOf the 73 included cases, 47 were grade I-II ACC and 26 were grade III ACC. Among the grade III cases, 14 with loss of biphasic ductal-myoepithelial differentiation identified by immunostaining were classified as HGT, and could be distinguished from conventional grade III cases. These HGT cases were correlated with a high propensity of lymph node metastases and more advanced stage. Univariate analysis demonstrated that tumor grading, perineural invasion, T stage, stage groups, and PORT were predictors for PFS, whereas tumor grading, margin status, and PORT were predictors for OS. However, only tumor grading and PORT were independent predictors for PFS and OS. The patients with HGT had significantly worse prognosis than those with conventional ACC. Moreover, disease progression tended to occur more frequently in younger patients. Among the patients with HGT, those who received PORT had a longer median survival time than those who did not.ConclusionHGT ACC identified by loss of biphasic differentiation should be considered in tumor grading. Tumor grading and PORT were independent predictors for disease progression and OS in surgically treated ACCHN patients.