Implications For Greenhouse Gas Emissions Research Articles

Sulfate availability affect sulfate reduction pathways and methane consumption in freshwater wetland sediments

Methane (CH4) emissions from wetlands significantly contribute to global greenhouse gas fluxes, yet the mechanisms regulating CH4 production and oxidation in freshwater wetlands remain underexplored, particularly in the role of sulfate in the anaerobic oxidation of CH4. This study investigated the production, consumption, and release of CH4 in the sediments of the Qilihai wetland, focusing on the roles of hydrogenotrophic methanogenesis and sulfate dynamics across different seasons. CH4 concentrations ranged from 2.42 to 2290.52 μmol L⁻1, and δ13C–CH4 values became progressively more negative with depth, ranging from −87.37‰ to −57.18‰. Results indicate that hydrogenotrophic methanogenesis is the dominant pathway for CH4 production, particularly in sulfate-depleted environments, with CH4 concentrations in the sulfate-methane transition zone (SMTZ) strongly correlated with sulfate availability. Sulfate consumption through Sulfate Anaerobic Oxidation of Methane (SAOM) and Organoclastic Sulfate Reduction (OSR) demonstrated significant seasonal variation, with OSR accounting for up to 73% of sulfate consumption in the SMTZ. The SMTZ exhibited variations ranging from 2 to 40 cm in October, narrowing to 2–4 cm in July. These findings emphasize the complex interactions between sulfate availability, methanogenic pathways, and CH4 emissions in freshwater wetlands, highlighting the need for further research on sulfate dynamics and their implications for greenhouse gas emissions in the context of global climate change.

511 Assessing the carry-over effects of precision livestock technology on steer performance and carcass characteristics

Abstract Our objective was to evaluate how virtual fencing grazing management during the stocker phase influences steer growth performance, carcass traits, and enteric emissions during the finishing phase. Angus steers [n = 96; initial body weight (BW) = 375 ± 7.2 kg) grazed native rangeland from 07 June 2023 to 31 August 2023 in Cottonwood, SD at South Dakota State University’s Cottonwood Field Station. Following summer grazing, steers were transported to Brookings, SD and fed for 130-d at the South Dakota State University Cow-Calf Education and Research Facility. During the summer grazing season, steers were assigned to different stocking rates (Light, Moderate, and Heavy, at 0.32, 0.42, and 0.72 animal unit months, respectively), and grazing strategies [continuous (CG) or virtual fencing rotational (RG)] in a 2 × 3 factorial design. Steers were transitioned from a 30% roughage to a 10% roughage diet over 21-d. The finishing diet (13.7% CP, 17.2% NDF, 1.36 Mcal/kg NEg, and 30 g/907-kg monensin sodium) was manufactured twice daily and provided ad libitum. Feed consumption was tracked using precision monitoring equipment (Insentec, The Hague, Netherlands). Steers were individually weighed on d 1 (entry BW), 21, 63, 90, and 130 and administered a steroidal implant (200 mg trenbolone acetate and 20 mg estradiol; Revalor-200, Merck Animal Health, DeSoto, KS) on d 21. Enteric emissions, including methane and carbon dioxide, were monitored using the GreenFeed trailer system (C-Lock Inc., Rapid City, SD), growth performance, carcass traits, and categorical carcass traits were analyzed in a factorial design using a randomized complete block design with individual steer considered the experimental unit. Final BW was determined from hot carcass weight divided by 0.625. Steers from heavy-CG had greater feedlot entry BW (P ≤ 0.05) compared with all treatments except light-CG and light-RG. Light-CG and light-RG had greater entry BW compared with heavy-RG (P ≤ 0.05). Gain efficiency was greater for light-CG compared with light-RG, moderate-CG, and heavy-CG (P ≤ 0.05), while moderate-RG and heavy-RG were intermediate (P ≤ 0.05). Steers from moderate-RG had greater marbling scores compared with heavy-RG (P = 0.05), and all other treatments were intermediate. Neither stocking density (P ≥ 0.15) nor grazing management strategy (P ≥ 0.13) had any influence on other measures of growth performance, emissions (CH4 and CO2) production rate, or carcass traits. These findings suggest that stocking density and grazing-management strategy (CG vs. virtual fencing-RG) influence gains on pasture and alter feedlot entry BW, highlighting the need for further investigation into their implications for greenhouse gas emissions, as well as for determining optimal stocking densities and management strategies for ranchers

Exploring soil nitrogen and sulfur dynamics: implications for greenhouse gas emissions on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.

The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change and disturbances caused by human activity. To better understand the interactions between soil nitrogen and sulfur cycles and human activities on the plateau, the distribution characteristics of soil nitrogen and sulfur density and their influencing factors for three soil layers in Machin County at depths of 0-20cm, 0-100cm, and 0-180cm are discussed in this paper. The results indicated that at depths of 0-180cm, soil nitrogen density in Machin County varied between 1.36 and 16.85kg/m2, while sulfur density ranged from 0.37 to 4.61kg/m2. The effects of three factors-geological background, land use status, and soil type-on soil nitrogen and sulfur density were all highly significant (p < 0.01). Specifically, natural factors such as soil type and geological background, along with anthropogenic factors including land use practices and grazing intensity, were identified as decisive in causing spatial variations in soil nitrogen and sulfur density. Machin County on the Tibetan Plateau exhibits natural nitrogen and sulfur sinks; However, it is crucial to monitor the emissions of N2O and SO2 into the atmosphere from areas with high external nitrogen and sulfur inputs and low fertility retention capacities, such as bare land. On this basis, changes in the spatial and temporal scales of the nitrogen and sulfur cycles in soils and their source-sink relationships remain the focus of future research.

Greenhouse gas emission implications of small-scale sugarcane farmers’ trash management practices: A case for bioenergy production in South Africa

Sugarcane trash is a source of biomass available for energy generation. However, this potential has not been explored in the South African small-scale sugarcane sector. The current trash management practices of farmers, especially, pre-harvest burning, have huge negative environmental implications. Sustainable management of sugarcane trash could help address several challenges in the sugarcane industry including the high cost of irrigation. Therefore, this study is meant to assess small-scale growers’ trash management practices and their implications on greenhouse gas emissions. It also ascertains the potential for using sugarcane trash in the co-generation of electricity. The study was conducted in two communities in KwaZulu-Natal and Mpumalanga provinces with 330 small-scale farmers. A probit regression was used to determine factors that influence farmers’ trash management practices. Other analyses such as estimations of the amount of available trash, burning emissions and potential energy from sugarcane were informed by previous studies. The findings showed that pre-burning of sugarcane is a common practice among smallholder producers in South Africa. However, some farmers have attempted to move away from this practice opting to leave their sugarcane in the field or use it for compost. The farmers’ burning of sugarcane releases an estimated 0.08 tCO2-e per ha into the atmosphere. In total, the estimated greenhouse gas emissions from sugarcane burning of all small-scale growers in the two provinces are 725 tCO2-e per annum. The findings also revealed that having more land, poor endowment with psychological capital, lack of access to extension, limited resources, and working in silos compound the practice of burning sugarcane. The estimated energy potential from small-scale sugarcane producers in the country, using a 50 % recovery efficiency and 36 % energy conversion efficiency is 150,323.3 MWh. The study proposes several recommendations for improving trash management practices and initiating the co-generation of electricity from trash in the small-scale sugarcane industry.

The (Non-)Disclosure of Energy Efficiency: The Case of Cooling Technologies across Africa

The adoption of air conditioning (AC) could grow exponentially across Africa under the joint effect of acute warming, sustained income growth, and rapid urbanization. The implications for greenhouse gas emissions will crucially depend on the energy efficiency of the models adopted. Little is known, however, about how energy efficiency information is conveyed to consumers in these markets. To fill this gap, we gathered data on cooling appliances characteristics from Africa’s largest e-commerce platform, serving 13 countries — Algeria, Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Kenya, Morocco, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, Tanzania, Tunisia, and Uganda. We find that less than 10% of the AC models available on the marketplace (N = 1229) have information disclosed about their energy performance. Information disclosure appears to be highly idiosyncratic with weak strategic motives. This overall lack of information about energy efficiency represents an important challenge for enforcing energy performance standards and steering demand toward energy-efficient cooling appliances.

Future material demand and greenhouse gas emissions implications for electrification of the UK light-duty vehicle fleet

Understanding the material challenge of electrifying passenger vehicles is key to delivering the greenhouse gas emissions reduction that is targeted by transportation sector policies.

Environmental spaces for palsas and peat plateaus are disappearing at a circumpolar scale

Abstract. Anthropogenic climate change threatens northern permafrost environments. This compromises the existence of permafrost landforms, such as palsas and peat plateaus, which have been assessed to be critically endangered habitats. In this study, we integrated geospatial datasets and statistical methods to model the suitable environments for palsas and peat plateaus across the Northern Hemisphere permafrost region. The models were calibrated using data from years 1950–2000. The effects of climate change on the suitable environments for the landforms were assessed by using low-, moderate-, and high-emissions scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathway climate scenarios: RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5, respectively) for two periods (2041–2060 and 2061–2080). Hotspots for palsa and peat plateau environments occurred in northern Europe, western Siberia, and subarctic Canada. Climate change was predicted to cause an almost complete loss (decrease of 98.2 %) of suitable environmental spaces under the high-emissions scenario by 2061–2080, while under low- and moderate-emissions scenarios the predicted loss was 76.3 % and 89.3 % respectively. Our modeling results are in line with previously published thermokarst data pointing out areas of recent degradation of palsa and peat plateau environments. Our results provide new insights into the distribution of the permafrost landforms in less studied areas such as central and eastern Siberia. In addition, the predictions provide new understanding of the changing geoecological conditions of the circumpolar region with important implications for greenhouse gas emissions.

Sustainable meat consumption: global and regional greenhouse gas emission implications and counterfactual scenario analyses

Sustainable meat consumption: global and regional greenhouse gas emission implications and counterfactual scenario analyses

Techno-economic comparison of standalone solar PV and hybrid power systems for remote outdoor telecommunication sites in northern Ghana

Telecommunication services have continued to evolve to meet the ever-changing bandwidth demand requirements. The electricity grid network of Ghana is faced with challenges, including low voltages, a lack of quick fault response teams, and the proximity to specific locations. Using diesel generators to address the shortfall in grid supply is expensive and has implications for greenhouse gas emissions. This study evaluated the technical and economic benefits of using a standalone solar photovoltaic (PV) system, hybrid (Solar PV/diesel), conventional diesel generators (DG), and grid extension to power an off-grid outdoor telecommunication site. Power solutions configurations were simulated using hybrid optimization of multiple electric renewables (HOMER). The study found the optimum design to be a standalone solar PV/battery system with 56.3 kW solar PV array and Sixty (60) pieces of 12 V SAGM batteries of 135 Ah. The optimum design had a net present cost (NPC) of US$ 88,176.00 and a cost of energy (COE) of US$ 0.321/kWh. The COE and the NPC of the optimum system were approximately 50% less than the design with DG only, which could significantly impact service tariff and improve access to digital connectivity. The COE from the solar PV/battery system is not competitive with the grid power supply (COE = US$0.12). However, considering the electric distance limit or breakeven distance of 4.51km for grid extension, the solar PV/battery is preferred. Therefore, the stakeholders in providing power solutions to off-grid locations should consider solar PV technology.&#x0D;

Discursive and biophysical dimensions of land sparing policies in Laos: Implications for greenhouse gas emissions and food security

Land-use competition between forest conservation and agricultural food production poses major threats to climate change mitigation and food security. Land sparing policies aim at reconciling this conundrum by intensifying agriculture while conserving forests, but scientific debates prevail about their effectiveness. To contribute to this debate, we analyze the discursive dimension of land sparing efforts and their biophysical implications for Lao PDR. Applying an interdisciplinary mixed-methods approach, we examine how Lao land-use policies legitimize land sparing at the cost of shifting cultivation and how land use changed between 2000 and 2019. We quantify ecosystem carbon fluxes and agricultural emissions and investigate trends in agricultural production and food security. We find that policy documents use both socio-economic and environmental arguments to substantiate land sparing at the expense of shifting cultivation. In biophysical terms, the stabilization of shifting cultivation enhanced the recovery of some forest areas resulting in gross carbon sequestration while ecosystems in total remained a net source of emissions. Concomitant agricultural intensification improved dietary energy supply, reduced the prevalence of undernourishment, and increased agricultural exports. However, cropland expansion and the intensification of agriculture entailed greenhouse gas emissions of similar extent as the continuing shifting cultivation, and could not prevent the prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity in the total population until today. We conclude that the narrow focus of land-use policies on land sparing falls short in effectively balancing societal needs and ecosystem functions.

Exergy analysis of the Mexican energy sector

This paper proposes a step-by-step, replicable methodology for analyzing the exergy characteristics of a country’s energy system. It introduces a set of indicators comparable to those commonly used to describe national energy systems: (1) exergy intensity (2) exergy destruction per capita, (3) exergy destruction per gross domestic product (GDP), (4) exergy efficiency, and (5) exergetic cost. The energy efficiency of the energy sector in Mexico was roughly 20% lower than energy efficiency, with substantially less improvement over the 15 years from 2013 to 2018. This difference arises from a strong dependency on fossil fuels and associated exergy destruction, which is not immediately apparent when taking only an energy perspective. The economic value of exergy destruction could represent 2.9 % of GDP in Mexico. A decreasing trend in the final exergy consumption is not necessarily reflected in lower exergy destruction. Those indicators provide information about the Jevons’ paradox. And it points to substantial room for efficiency improvements in the energy sector, with important implications for greenhouse gas emissions. Applying the exergy perspective will allow policymakers to understand better opportunities to unlock new efficiencies and improve the sustainability of Mexico’s energy system and those of other countries.

Life cycle energy and greenhouse gas emissions implications of polyamide 12 recycling from selective laser sintering for an injection‐molded automotive component

AbstractThe selective laser sintering (SLS) process generates waste polymer powders, which can be recycled as feedstock for producing injection‐molded components. Recycling this powder has implications on the life cycle modeling of the SLS product, as well as the subsequent injection‐molded component. This study investigates the life cycle primary energy demand (PED) and global warming potential (GWP) of an automotive fuel‐line clip produced with recycled polyamide 12 (PA12) from an SLS process in comparison to the conventional polyamide 66 (PA66) counterpart, based on real‐world industry data. In addition, the life cycle PED and GWP of an SLS part are examined, with and without recycling PA12 from the SLS process. The results indicate a strong dependence on the approach to evaluate the environmental burden of waste PA12 from the SLS process (cut‐off, mass‐based allocation, economic allocation, and substitution). Compared with the PA66 fuel‐line clip, the recycled PA12 (rPA12) clip reduces the life cycle GWP by up to 26% (cut‐off) or increases by up to 68% (mass‐based allocation). For the SLS part, recycling PA12 powder provides a 42% reduction to its life cycle GWP (mass‐based allocation). Finally, from an expanded two‐part system perspective, the recycling of PA12 from the SLS process provides an 8% reduction in life cycle GWP. Similar trends are shown for the life cycle PED profiles. This study demonstrates the importance of recycling additive manufacturing (AM) wastes within a broader cascading system to improve the environmental performance of AM and the circular economy across industrial systems.

The EU's farm‐to‐fork strategy: An assessment from the perspective of agricultural economics

AbstractThe EU Farm to Fork (F2F) strategy includes a number of policy objectives that have implications for agricultural production in the EU and beyond. This contribution discusses the possible implications from an economic perspective. We draw on economic assessments by other authors and discuss their wider implications by considering only partially quantified benefits and costs. Overall, the assessments indicate a decline in EU agricultural production in quantitative terms. The F2F strategy negatively affects aggregate consumer surplus and—depending on the assumption made—a net increase or decrease in producer surplus, thereby inducing an overall net welfare loss. Partially quantified benefits and costs include the environmental benefits and costs linked to the F2F strategy, such as implications for greenhouse gas emissions, biodiversity, or the landscape. Therefore, by launching the strategy, policy makers have implicitly concluded that the additional net benefits outweigh the losses in consumer surplus. The economic studies combined with studies on the impact of agricultural practices on biodiversity and the emission of greenhouse gases do not support this claim without further technological and institutional changes, such as supporting the application of modern biotechnology by reducing regulatory hurdles. Also, whether most consumers will share this view remains to be seen. EU policy makers have it in their hands to implement the necessary institutional changes.

Historical and future global burned area with changing climate and human demography

Summary Wildfires influence terrestrial carbon cycling and represent a safety risk, and yet a process-based understanding of their frequency and spatial distributions remains elusive. We combine satellite-based observations with an enhanced dynamic global vegetation model to make regionally resolved global assessments of burned area (BA) responses to changing climate, derived from 34 Earth system models and human demographics for 1860–2100. Limited by climate and socioeconomics, recent BA has decreased, especially in central South America and mesic African savannas. However, future simulations predict increasing BA due to changing climate, rapid population density growth, and urbanization. BA increases are especially notable at high latitudes, due to accelerated warming, and over the tropics and subtropics, due to drying and human ignitions. Conversely, rapid urbanization also limits BA via enhanced fire suppression in the immediate vicinity of settlements, offsetting the potential for dramatic future increases, depending on warming extent. Our analysis provides further insight into regional and global BA trends, highlighting the importance of including human demographic change in models for wildfire under changing climate.

Interactive effects of temperature and redox on soil carbon and iron cycling

Shifts in temperature and rainfall regimes with climate change can feed back on redox dynamics and associated biogeochemical cycling in humid environments. This has global implications for greenhouse gas emissions and ecosystem carbon (C) storage and loss. Though aerobic carbon dioxide (CO2) production is generally understood to follow an Arrhenius-type temperature dependence, the temperature sensitivity of anaerobic metabolisms such as iron (Fe) reduction and methane (CH4) fluxes, both processes affecting C cycling in soils, remains unclear in upland soils. We used a fully factorial incubation experiment to examine the interactive effects of temperature (8, 26, and 35 °C) and redox (oxic and anoxic) conditions on CO2 production, CH4 fluxes, Fe reduction, microbial biomass C, and the microbial metabolic quotient (MMQ) in upland soils from two contrasting climate regimes and redox environments: a tropical forest in Puerto Rico (PR) and a temperate peatland in California (CA). Under oxic conditions, we found that CO2 production increased across both temperature gradients (8–26 °C and 26–35 °C). In contrast, under anoxic conditions, net CH4 fluxes and Fe reduction exhibited a greater temperature sensitivity between 26 and 35 °C than 8–26 °C in both PR and CA soils. We also observed coupling between Fe reduction and net CH4 fluxes in PR and CA soils consistent with competition for acetate. The anoxic MMQ increased in PR soils at high temperature, but not in CA soils, suggesting that the native PR environment may favor the development of more efficient microbial communities better able to tolerate warmer, wetter conditions. Together, our results suggest that anaerobic microbial metabolisms may be much more sensitive to higher temperature than aerobic ones, possibly due to proportionally greater anaerobic microbial activity at high temperature. Our results suggest that increased global temperatures combined with higher rainfall regimes may significantly increase anaerobic greenhouse gas production in humid environments.

Co-development of East African regional water scenarios for 2050

Summary The development of and access to freshwater resources in East Africa is fundamental to the region's sustainable development goals. Following vision documents for regional development and working with local stakeholders, we developed water scenarios up to 2050 that inform the hydro-economic modeling analysis of the extended Lake Victoria Basin, the headwaters of the Nile River. Water scenarios that take an integrated approach to assessing the combined effects of climate change, land use, and increasing human water use suggest that the flow regime of the Nile may remain relatively stable. However, if this stability is to be achieved, while at the same time sufficient water is preserved for healthy freshwater ecosystems, a large fraction of water infrastructure must rely on advanced, often costly technologies and management. Interconnected analyses of both upstream and downstream water resources over time, guided by co-developed scenarios, are indispensable for planning sustainable water-development pathways.

Life cycle energy and greenhouse gas emissions implications of using carbon fiber reinforced polymers in automotive components: Front subframe case study

Vehicle lightweighting benefits consumers through fuel savings, manufacturers through a more fuel-efficient vehicle portfolio, and the environment through reduced fossil fuel use and lower emissions. Vehicle components can be lightweighted by replacing conventional materials with alternatives such as aluminum or composites. However, lightweight materials come with their own set of environmental and economic challenges. Often, manufacturing of lightweight materials requires more energy than for conventional materials such as steel. Understanding the net energy and environmental benefits of lightweighting requires life cycle assessment with a large enough system boundary to prevent shifting of impacts and to ensure a fair comparison between different material options. Life cycle assessments of carbon fiber composite parts are hampered by substantial uncertainties in the energy needed for their production and recycling and the vehicle fuel consumption benefits. The present study addresses these deficiencies using a detailed vehicle fuel consumption model and industrially relevant carbon fiber production data and component design. The front subframe case study considered illustrates the challenges associated with achieving life cycle energy and greenhouse gas savings using carbon fiber. The base case with no powertrain resizing, secondary weight savings, or recycled carbon fiber and with 160,000 miles vehicle lifetime has no energy or emission benefits. When powertrain resizing, secondary weight savings, carbon fiber recycling, and increased vehicle lifetime travel were considered, energy and greenhouse gas benefits were found.

Greenhouse gas emissions associated with food packaging for online food delivery services in Australia

The food service industry has seen the advent of online food delivery services (OFDS) due to the development of online retailing and a rise in mobile phone usage. OFDS are growing in popularity around the world and are increasing the use of take-away food packaging and the subsequent environmental implications from its production and disposal. While a large number of studies have considered packaging-related environmental effects, there has been limited focus on the effect of OFDS-related packaging demand on the environment, particularly in relation to greenhouse gas emissions. This study quantifies the packaging-related greenhouse gas emissions associated with OFDS orders. Data on food packaging for a range of the most popular cuisines delivered by OFDS in Australia were collected from restaurants. The assessment was performed using the Packaging Impact Quick Evaluation Tool, which showed that the packaging-related greenhouse gas emissions for a single order ranges from 0.15 to 0.29 kg CO2e, depending on packaging type. Of this, production of packaging raw materials contributes at least 50%. With the expansion of the OFDS sector, the annual greenhouse gas emissions associated with OFDS food packaging in Australia is predicted to grow by 132% by 2024. This preliminary examination of the greenhouse gas emissions implications of food packaging production and disposal associated with the Australian OFDS industry adds to the limited knowledge in this area and provides valuable insights into the greenhouse gas emissions implications of the emerging global OFDS industry.

Could Cryoturbic Diapirs Be Key for Understanding Ecological Feedbacks to Climate Change in High Arctic Polar Deserts?

AbstractHigh Arctic polar deserts cover 26% of the Arctic. Increasing temperatures are predicted to significantly alter polar desert freeze‐thaw and biogeochemical cycles, with important implications for greenhouse gas emissions. However, the mechanisms underlying these changing cycles are still highly uncertain. Cryoturbic, carbon‐rich Bhy horizons (diapirs) in frost boils are key nutrient sources for Salix arctica. We hypothesized that diapirism leads to organic carbon characteristics that alter microbial pathways, which then control root foraging and greenhouse gas production. During July and August 2013, we characterized soil properties and examined gross nitrogen transformation rates in frost boils both with and without diapirs in two High Arctic polar deserts (dolomite and granite) near Alexandra Fjord (78°51′N 75°54′W), Ellesmere Island, Nunavut, Canada. Diapiric frost boils had 18% higher soil organic carbon in the dolomitic and 9% higher in the granitic deserts, and 29% higher total dissolved nitrogen in the dolomitic desert. However, diapirs decreased gross nitrogen mineralization rates by 30% in the dolomitic and by 48% in the granitic deserts. Attenuated total reflectance Fourier transformed mid‐infrared spectroscopy revealed greater concentrations of polysaccharides and recalcitrant carbon in diapiric versus nondiapiric frost boils. These increased polysaccharide concentrations likely facilitate diapirism as soil viscosity increases with polysaccharides. Lower microbial activity or ectomycorrhizae that are known to colonize S. arctica may accumulate total dissolved nitrogen in diapirs. Our results suggest geomorphologic‐plant‐microbe interactions may underlie important patterns of geochemical cycling in arctic systems. Thus, polar desert frost boils should represent a key focus of future investigations of climate change in arctic systems.

Forest Carbon Resilience of Eastern Spruce Budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana) Salvage Harvesting in the Northeastern United States

The next major eastern spruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana) outbreak is likely to begin impacting the forests of the northeastern US over the next few years. More than 4.7 million ha of forest and 94.8 million Mg of carbon in spruce (Picea spp.) and balsam fir (Abies balsamea) are at risk. Vegetation shifts in at-risk forest stands are likely to occur as a direct result of mortality caused by spruce budworm and through post-outbreak salvage harvest operations designed to minimize economic impact. Management interventions have short-term and long-term consequences for the terrestrial carbon budget and have significant implications for the role of the region’s forests as a natural climate solution. We used regional forest inventory data and 40-year growth and harvest simulations from the USDA Forest Service Forest Vegetation Simulator to quantify a range of forest carbon outcomes for alternative silvicultural interventions in the northeastern US. We performed a life cycle assessment of harvested wood products, including bioenergy, to evaluate the full greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions consequences of salvage and business as usual silvicultural scenarios across a range of stand risk profiles in the presence and absence of spruce budworm attack. Salvaging dead trees in the most at-risk stands tends to produce net emissions of carbon dioxide for at least ten years compared to a baseline where dead trees are left standing. In most scenarios, GHG emissions reached parity with the baseline by year 20. Changes in forest carbon stocks were the biggest driver of net emission differences between salvage and no salvage scenarios. A benchmark scenario without timber harvesting or the occurrence of a spruce budworm outbreak had the greatest net carbon sequestration profile after 40 years compared to all other scenarios. Salvaging trees killed by a severe and widespread insect infestation has potential negative short-term implications for GHG emissions, but long-term resilience of these climate benefits is possible in the absence of future outbreaks or subsequent harvest activities. The results provide guidance on silvicultural interventions to minimize the impact of spruce budworm on forest carbon.