ICONA Cohort Research Articles

Predictors for choosing doravirine‐based versus INSTI‐based regimen in ART‐naïve and ART‐experienced people with HIV in real‐world setting: Data from the Icona cohort

AbstractRationaleDoravirine (DOR) is an attractive new option both for ART‐naïve people with HIV (PWH) and those with suppressed HIV‐RNA who seek treatment simplification. We used real‐world data to examine the pattern of use of DOR‐containing regimens in these settings.MethodsAll PWH enrolled in the Icona cohort after January 2020 who initiated a three‐drug regimen (3‐DR) with DOR or an integrase inhibitor (INSTI)‐based regimen as first antiretroviral therapy (ART) or when switching ART, with HIV‐RNA ≤50 copies/mL, were included. We used univariate and multivariable logistic regression models to identify demographic factors, immuno‐virological and laboratory markers associated with the prescription of 3‐DR DOR instead of INSTI‐based regimens.ResultsA total of 5803 PWH were included; 1958 were in the first regimen (80 DOR, 1,878 INSTI) and 3854 (387 DOR, 3,458 INSTI) were ART‐experienced virologically suppressed. In the first line, 3‐DR DOR was more frequently started in people who inject drugs, and its use was also associated with higher body mass index, higher low‐density lipoprotein levels, and less advanced HIV disease compared with PWH initiating an INSTI‐based regimen. In the switch setting, older age, Italian origin, higher estimated glomerular filtration rate and aspartate aminotransferase levels were all strongly associated with 3‐DR DOR use, as well as higher a CD4/CD8 ratio (only vs. 3‐DR INSTI), while the association with lipid abnormalities was attenuated.ConclusionsOur analysis shows that among PWH in care in Italy, those with less advanced HIV disease but with other fragilities and potential risk factors for comorbidities are more likely to use DOR‐ than INSTI‐based regimens, regardless of prior treatment history.

Long-acting injectable antiretrovirals for HIV treatment in the ICONA cohort: physicians' and nurses' points of view.

Implementation level of long-acting injectable agents cabotegravir/rilpivirine (LAI CAB/RPV) for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) treatment in Italy is still not known. The aim of this study is to identify the status of implementation of LAI CAB-RPV and its barriers. A cross-sectional online survey was conducted among infectious diseases (ID) physicians and nurses belonging to the ICONA network in Italy. Three validate 4-items measures were used: Acceptability of Intervention Measure (AIM), Intervention Appropriateness Measure (IAM) and Feasibility of Intervention Measure (FIM). Out of 61 ICONA centres, 38 (62%) completed the survey: 57.9% were academic centres, 42.1% were hospital-based. In total, 104 respondents were ID physicians (57.4%), 77 were nurses (42.5%); 4.5% of all PWH followed at the 38 centres started LAI CAB/RPV at time of study. Centres taking care of >1000 PWH reported 95% application of procedures for LA implementation, higher than other centres (P = 0.009). Mean score of AIM was (16.0, standard deviation, SD, 3.3), of IAM (16.0, SD 3.0) and FIM (16.0, SD 2.9). A linear correlation was found between AIM and the number of people with HIV who started LAI CAB/RPV (25-50 versus <25, coefficient of correlation [b] 2.57, 95%CI 0.91-4.60, P = 0.004), academic versus hospital-based centres (b -1.59, 95%CI -2.76-0.110044, P = 0.007) and the absence of preliminary systematic assessment of staff (b -1.98, 95%CI -3.31-0.65, P = 0.004). Implementation barriers were not significantly different according to the number of PWH/centre. LAI CAB/RPV implementation was low, with a great variability according to centre size. Tailored and centre-specific interventions to address barriers and to optimize the LA treatment implementation should be designed.

Long-term outcomes of bictegravir/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide as first-line therapy and as switch strategy in virologically suppressed persons with HIV: data from the ICONA cohort.

To assess the effectiveness of bictegravir/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide (BIC/FTC/TAF) among people poorly represented in clinical trials and potentially at higher risk of suboptimal response to ART. Observational cohort study on persons with HIV (PWH) enrolled in ICONA who started BIC/FTC/TAF as initial therapy or as switching regimen while virologically suppressed. Primary endpoint was time to treatment failure (TF): new AIDS/death or virological failure (VF) or discontinuation for toxicity/failure. Secondary endpoints were time to treatment discontinuation for toxicity (TDT) and to VF. Groups of interest were those aged >50 years, female sex, and advanced HIV disease at first ART start. Probability of the events overall and according to groups and adjusted HR for every endpoint were calculated by Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression models. Nine hundred and thirty-three ART-naive and 1655 ART-experienced PWH initiated BIC/FTC/TAF. Over a median follow-up of 69.8 weeks, 89 (9.6%) PWH at their first regimen experienced TF. PWH aged >50 years had 1.83-fold (95% CI: 1.19-2.83) higher risk of TF; PWH with advanced HIV disease had 2.21-fold (95% CI: 1.53-3.82) higher risk; there were no differences in TF according to sex.Over a median follow-up of 146.3 weeks, 109 (6.6%) out of 1655 switching PWH experienced TF; no differences were found in the risk of TF, TDT and VF according to groups of interest. Overall, BIC/FTC/TAF is well tolerated and virologically effective in the real-world scenario for ART-naive and -experienced PWH. Older ART-naive PWH and those with advanced HIV disease may respond less well as the burden of diseases might compromise treatment efficacy.

Persistent poor clinical outcomes of people living with HIV presenting with AIDS and late HIV diagnosis – results from the ICONA cohort in Italy, 2009-2022

ObjectivesLimited data are available on the long-term outcomes in recent years for late HIV diagnosis (LD). MethodsAll subjects with HIV enrolled in the ICONA cohort in 2009-2022 who started antiretroviral treatment (ART) within 4 months from diagnosis were included and divided into: (i) pre-ART CD4 count ≥350/mm3 without AIDS (non-LD), (ii) pre-ART CD4 count <350/mm3 without AIDS (LD asymptomatic), and (iii) with AIDS events pre-ART (LD-AIDS). The estimated probability and independent risk for mortality (all-cause and cause-specific) and treatment failure were evaluated. ResultsOf 6813 participants (2448 non-LD, 3198 LD asymptomatic, and 1167 LD-AIDS), 161 (2.4%) died after ART initiation. At survival analysis, a higher probability of all-cause mortality has been identified for LD than non-LD (P <0.001) and within the former, for LD-AIDS over LD asymptomatic (P <0.001). After adjusting for confounders, LD showed a higher risk of all-cause mortality (vs non-LD adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 5.51, P <0.001) and, in particular, being an AIDS presenter predicted a greater risk of all-cause (aHR = 4.42, P <0.001), AIDS-related (adjusted subhazard ratio [aSHR] = 16.86, P <0.001), and non-AIDS–related mortality (aSHR = 1.74, P = 0.022) than the rest of the late presenters. Among the short-term survivors in the LD-AIDS group, the long-term mortality was mediated by the lack of immune recovery at 2 years. Finally, LD compared with non-LD and, particularly, among the former, LD-AIDS over LD asymptomatic showed a greater risk of treatment failure. ConclusionsIn recent years, LD subjects, particularly, AIDS presenters, remained at a higher risk of poorer outcomes. Public health strategies for early HIV diagnosis are urgently needed to constrain the mortality gap.

Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on retention in care of native and migrant people with HIV in the ICONA cohort

BackgroundCOVID-19 pandemic challenged the UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets. How the COVID-19 pandemic affected HIV retention in care and whether it has disproportionally affected migrant people with HIV (PWH) remained to be investigated. MethodsPWH in ICONA Cohort in follow-up in each of the study periods were included: 01/09/2019-29/02/2020 (pandemic period) and 01/03/2018-31/08/2018 (historical period, as a control). Risk of temporary loss to follow-up (LTFU, defined as no data recorded for a person for one year) was analyzed by logistic regression, with migrant status as the main exposure variable. Difference in difference (DID) analysis was applied to evaluate the effect of COVID-19 pandemic in the different risk of LTFU between natives and migrants. Results8864 (17.1% migrants) and 8071 (16.8% migrants) PWH constituted the pandemic and the historical period population, respectively.Proportion of PWH defined as LTFU in the pandemic period was 10.5% in native and 19.6% in migrant PWH.After controlling for age, sex and geographical location of enrolling site, risk of temporary LTFU was higher for migrants than native PWH [adjusted odds ratio 1.85 (95%CI 1.54–2.22)] in pandemic period. In PWH contributing to both periods, LTFU was 9.0% (95% CI 8.3–9.8) in natives vs 17.0% (95% CI 14.7–19.4) in migrants during the pandemic. Instead, LTFU was 1.2% (95%CI 0.9, 1.5) in natives vs 2.2% (95% CI 1.3–3.1) in migrants during the historical period, with a resulting DID of 7.0% (95% CI 4.4–9.6). ConclusionsA greater proportion of LTFU in migrant PWH was observed in both periods, which remained unaltered over time. Interventions to reduce LTFU of migrants are necessary.

Characterization and outcomes of difficult-to-treat patients starting modern first-line ART regimens: Data from the ICONA cohort

ObjectivesTreatment failures to modern antiretroviral therapy (ART) raise concerns, as they could reduce future options. Evaluations of occurrence of multiple failures to modern ART are missing and their significance in the long run is unclear. MethodsPeople with HIV (PWH) in the ICONA cohort who started a modern first-line ART were defined as ‘difficult to treat’ (DTT) if they experienced ≥1 among: i) ≥2 VF (2 viral loads, VL>200 copies/mL or 1 VL>1000 copies/mL) with or without ART change; ii) ≥2 treatment discontinuations (TD) due to toxicity/intolerance/failure; iii) ≥1 VF followed by ART change plus ≥1 TD due to toxicity/intolerance/failure. A subgroup of the DTT participants were matched to PWH that, after the same time, were non-DTT. Treatment response, analysing VF, TD, treatment failure, AIDS/death, and SNAE (Serious non-AIDS event)/death, were compared. Survival analysis by KM curves and Cox regression models were employed. ResultsAmong 8061 PWH, 320 (4%) became DTT. Estimates of becoming DTT was 6.5% (95% CI: 5.8–7.4%) by 6 years. DTT PWH were significantly older, with a higher prevalence of AIDS and lower CD4+ at nadir than the non-DTT. In the prospective analysis, DTT demonstrated a higher unadjusted risk for all the outcomes. Once controlled for confounders, significant associations were confirmed for VF (aHR 2.23, 1.33–3.73), treatment failure (aHR 1.70, 1.03–2.78), and SNAE/death (aHR 2.79, 1.18–6.61). ConclusionA total of 6.5% of PWH satisfied our definition of DTT by 6 years from ART starting. This appears to be a more fragile group who may have higher risk of failure.

Is HCV elimination among persons living with HIV feasible? Data from the NoCo study in the setting of the ICONA cohort.

Whether the HCV test-and-treat strategy impacted on the rate of new HCV infections among PLWH in Italy is unknown. Prospective study of PLWH in the ICONA network. At baseline, PLWH were tested for HCV-Ab; HCV-RNA (if HCV-Ab positive) and, if positive, treated with DAA. SVR12 indicated eradication. Seroconversions and re-infections were evaluated yearly in HCV-Ab neg and HCV-RNA neg at first screening. We estimated the following: HCV seroconversions, incidence of HCV reinfections, and access to DAA and SVR12 rates tighter with factors associated with each outcome. Data were analysed by Cox regression, Poisson regression and logistic regression models. Sixteen thousand seven hundred and forty-three PLWH were included; 27.3% HCV-Ab positive; of these, 39.3% HCV-RNA positive. HCV seroconversion incidence: .48/100 PYFU (95% CI: .36-.65); re-infections incidence: 1.40/100 PYFU (95% CI: .91-2.04). The risk factor for HCV re-infection was young age: aIRR 1.85, 95% CI: 1.17-2.95) per 10 years younger. 86.4% of HCV viremic in follow-up started DAA. PWID vs. heterosexuals (aHR .75, 95% CI .62-.90), HIV-RNA >50 copies/mL (aHR .70, 95% CI .56-.87), HCV genotype other than G1, G2, G3, G4 or with multiple/missing HCV genotype and post-COVID-19 calendar periods were associated with lower DAA access. 922/965 (95.5%) PLWH achieved SVR12. We estimated 72% reduction of chance to achieve SVR12 in PLWH with a CD4 count <200/mm3 (vs. CD4 ≥200/mm3 aOR .18, 95% CI: .07-.46). 95.5% of DAA-treated individuals eradicated HCV, but they represent only 53.2% of HCV viremic PLWH and 66.4% of those in follow-up. HCV-RNA positivity by year decreased from 41.7% in 2017 to 11.7% in 2022. The screening-and-treat campaign implemented in Italy, even if only partially effective, resulted in a dramatic drop in HCV circulation in our cohort.

Long-term outcome of dolutegravir-containing regimens according to sex: data from the ICONA study.

To compare the long-term risk of treatment failure of dolutegravir-based ART in men and women in a real-life setting. Persons living with HIV (PLWH) from the ICONA cohort were included if they had started dolutegravir in a two- or three-drug regimen as ART-naive or as virologically controlled ART-experienced. The primary endpoint was time to treatment failure (virological/clinical failure or dolutegravir discontinuation). Secondary endpoints were: time to dolutegravir discontinuation due to toxicity and to neuropsychiatric adverse events; and time to virological failure. Cox regression analyses focused on differences in outcomes by sex. A total of 2304 PLWH (15% women) initiated dolutegravir-based therapy from ART-naive, and 1916 (19.8% women) while experienced. After a median follow-up of 2.2 (IQR: 0.9-3.9) years in ART-naive and 2.4 (IQR: 1.1-4.3) years in experienced, the 4-year cumulative probability of treatment failure was 33% (95% CI 30.5-35.1) and 20% (95% CI 17.8-22.3), respectively. In the multivariable analyses, in ART-naive the risk of treatment failure was higher for women, but not different after excluding women discontinuing dolutegravir for pregnancy concerns. We also observed a higher risk of discontinuation for toxicity in women (ART-naives: Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR): 1.56%; 95% CI: 1.03-2.37; ART-experienced: AHR: 1.53%; 95% CI: 1.01-2.32), although the absolute 4-year probability was low: 7.7% (95% CI 6.5-9.2) in ART-naive and 8.3% (95% CI 6.9-9.9) in experienced. In our cohort of PLWH treated with dolutegravir-based regimens and followed up for up to 4 years, we observed a low risk of treatment failure and no evidence for a difference by sex, after excluding discontinuation due to pregnancy concerns. However, we observed a higher risk of dolutegravir discontinuation for toxicity in women.

Does Syphilis Increase the Risk of HIV-RNA Elevation >200 Copies/mL in HIV-Positive Patients Under Effective Antiretroviral Treatment? Data From the ICONA Cohort.

To assess the impact of syphilis infection on the risk of HIV-RNA elevation in people living with HIV (PLWH) with current HIV-RNA ≤50 copies/mL. The Italian Cohort Naive Antiretrovirals. All PLWH (2009-2020) under antiretroviral treatment with at least 2 consecutive HIV-RNA values ≤50 copies/mL before the date of syphilis diagnosis and at least 1 HIV-RNA determination after the syphilis event were enrolled. A control group of PLWH without syphilis was matched for mode of HIV transmission. Outcomes were defined using the first HIV-RNA measure in the time window ranging between -2 and +6 months of the diagnosis/index date. The primary outcome used a single value >200 copies/mL to define HIV-RNA elevation associated with risk of transmission. The association between syphilis infection and the protocol defined outcome was evaluated using logistic regression analysis. Nine hundred twenty-six PLWH with a syphilis event were enrolled and matched with a random sample of 1370 PLWH without syphilis. Eighteen of the 926 (1.9%) with syphilis had ≥1 HIV-RNA >200 copies/mL in the window vs. 29/1370 (2.1%) of the not exposed (P = 0.77). In the multivariable analysis adjusted for age, year of diagnosis/index date, and clinical site, syphilis infection was not associated with the risk of HIV-RNA >200 copies/mL (adjusted odds ratio 0.81; 95% confidence interval 0.43-1.52, P = 0.508). We did not find any evidence for an association between syphilis infection and viral elevation >200 copies/mL.

Impact of HCV Eradication on Lipid Metabolism in HIV/HCV Coinfected Patients: Data from ICONA and HepaICONA Foundation Cohort Study.

Objectives: HCV shows complex interactions with lipid metabolism. Our aim was to examine total cholesterol (TC) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) changes in HIV/HCV coinfected patients, after achieving sustained virological response (SVR), according to different HCV genotypes and specific antiretroviral use. Methods: HIV/HCV coinfected patients, enrolled in the ICONA and HepaICONA cohorts, who achieved DAA-driven SVR were included. Paired t-tests were used to examine whether the pre- and post-SVR laboratory value variations were significantly different from zero. ANCOVA regression models were employed to estimate the causal effect of SVR and of PI/r use on lipid changes. The interaction between the effect of eradication and HCV genotype was formally tested. Results: six hundred and ninety-nine HIV/HCV coinfected patients were enrolled. After HCV eradication, a significant improvement in liver function occurred, with a significant decrease in AST, ALT, GGT, and total plasmatic bilirubin. TC and LDL-C significantly increased by 21.4 mg/dL and 22.4 mg/dL, respectively (p < 0.001), after SVR, whereas there was no evidence for a change in HDL-C (p = 0.45) and triglycerides (p = 0.49). Notably, the TC and LDL-C increase was higher for participants who were receiving darunavir/ritonavir, and the TC showed a more pronounced increase among HCV genotype 3 patients (interaction-p value = 0.002). Conclusions: complex and rapid changes in TC and LDL-C levels, modulated by HCV genotype and PI/r-based ART combinations, occurred in HIV/HCV coinfected patients after SVR. Further studies are needed to evaluate the clinical impact of these changes on the long-term risk of cardiovascular disease.

Time spent with HIV-RNA ≤ 200 copies/ml in a cohort of people with HIV during the U=U era.

Zero risk of linked HIV transmission in serodiscordant couples when the HIV-infected partner had viral load less than 200 copies/ml ('U status') was found in observational studies. We aimed at estimating the proportion of time in which 'U status' was maintained and identifying factors associated with the risk of losing it. Observational cohort study. We included participants in the ICONA cohort who had reached an established 'U status' (viral load ≤200 copies/ml for >6 months) as of December 2010. The outcome was the number of person-days of follow-up (PDFU) above a viral load greater than 200 copies/ml, relative to the total number of PDFU observed. A logistic regression model was used to identify factors independently associated with the risk of losing 'U status'. Eight thousand, two hundred and forty-one persons living with HIV were included in the analysis who contributed 2 670 888 PDFU. Of these, 1648 (20%) were women, 768 (9%) were people who inject drugs (PWID), and 2066 (25%) were foreign-born. The median of viral load measurements was 9 (IQR: 4-15). Overall, only 3.1% of PDFU were observed when viral load was above 200 copies/ml. The proportion of PDFU with viral load more than 200 copies/ml was higher than average in women (5.3%), unemployed (5.4%), PWID (4.7%), and in people with more than three previous virologic failures (6.3%). These variables were significant predictors of losing 'U status' in the multivariable logistic regression. Our results reinforce the validity of the U=U message in real-world setting. However, we identified subsets of our study population at higher risk of losing the 'U status' for whom additional efforts are needed.

Virological response and retention in care according to time of starting ART in Italy: data from the Icona Foundation Study cohort.

To describe: (i) factors associated with rapid and delayed ART initiation; (ii) rates of 12 week virological response; and (iii) virologically controlled retention in care by 1 year from ART initiation according to timing of start in a real-life setting. All individuals in the Icona cohort diagnosed with HIV in 2016-17 who initiated ART were grouped according to the time between HIV diagnosis and ART initiation: Group 1, ≤7 days; Group 2, 8-14 days; Group 3, 15-30 days; Group 4, 31-120 days; and Group 5, >120 days. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to identify factors associated with: (i) the probability of rapid (Group 1) and very delayed (Group 5) ART initiation; (ii) the 12 week virological response (by a modified snapshot algorithm); and (iii) the probability of retention in care at 1 year (on ART with HIV-RNA <50 copies/mL). A total of 1247 individuals were included [82 (6.6%) in Group 1, 115 (9.2%) in Group 2, 267 (21.4%) in Group 3, 641 (51.4%) in Group 4 and 142 (11.4%) in Group 5]. Main predictors of rapid ART start (Group 1) were low CD4 cell count and high HIV-RNA at first contact with the infectious diseases centre. There was no association between probability of virological response and timing of ART initiation. Overall, 90% of individuals remained on ART after 1 year, 91% with undetectable HIV-RNA. Participants of Italian nationality, those with higher CD4 cell count and lower HIV-RNA at ART initiation were more likely to be retained in care after 1 year. In our high-income observational setting, we did not observe differences in the 1 year rate of virological response and retention in care according to timing of ART initiation.

Incidence and risk factors for liver enzyme elevation among naive HIV-1-infected patients receiving ART in the ICONA cohort.

To evaluate the incidence and risk factors for liver enzyme elevations (LEE) in patients initiating first-line ART in the ICONA prospective observational cohort, between June 2009 and December 2017. In total, 6575 ART-naive patients were selected, initiating two NRTIs with the third drug being a boosted PI (n=2436; 37.0%), an NNRTI (n=2384; 36.3%) or an integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI) (n=1755; 26.7%). HBV surface antigen and HCV RNA were detected in 3.9% and 5.8% of the study population. Inverse probability weighted Cox regression analysis was used to calculate the HRs, according to first-line regimen, for LEE, defined as ALT or AST increases of ≥2.5× upper limit of normal (ULN) for patients with normal baseline values or ≥2.5× baseline for patients with higher baseline values. One hundred and eighty-three LEE occurred over 20722 patient-years of follow-up. After adjusting for the main confounders, the risk of LEE halved with INSTIs compared with NNRTIs (HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.25-0.86), with a significant reduction in the raltegravir group (HR 0.11, 95% CI 0.02-0.84 using the NNRTI class as reference). HRs for LEE were significantly higher in subjects with HBV or HCV coinfection, in patients with poorly controlled HIV infection and in those who acquired HIV through homosexual transmission. In our study, INSTI use almost halved the risk of LEE compared with other regimens. This finding could be particularly important for choosing ART in patients with risk factors for liver toxicity such as HCV and HBV coinfections.

Durability of different initial regimens in HIV-infected patients starting antiretroviral therapy with CD4+ counts &lt;200 cells/mm3 and HIV-RNA &gt;5 log10 copies/mL

Our aim was to investigate the durability of different initial regimens in patients starting ART with CD4+ counts <200 cells/mm3 and HIV-RNA >5 log10 copies/mL. This was a retrospective study of HIV-infected patients prospectively followed in the ICONA cohort. Those who started ART with boosted protease inhibitors (bPIs), NNRTIs or integrase strand transfer inhibitors (InSTIs), with CD4+ <200 cells/mm3 and HIV-RNA >5 log10 copies/mL, were included. The primary endpoint was treatment failure (TF), a composite endpoint defined as virological failure (VF, first of two consecutive HIV-RNA >50 copies/mL after 6 months of treatment), discontinuation of class of the anchor drug or death. Independent associations were investigated by Poisson regression analysis in a model including age, gender, mode of HIV transmission, CDC stage, HCV and HBV co-infection, pre-treatment HIV-RNA, CD4+ count and CD4+/CD8+ ratio, ongoing opportunistic disease, fibrosis FIB-4 index, estimated glomerular filtration rate, haemoglobin, platelets, neutrophils, calendar year of ART initiation, anchor drug class (treatment group) and nucleos(t)ide backbone. A total of 1195 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria: 696 started ART with a bPI, 315 with an InSTI and 184 with an NNRTI. During 2759 person-years of follow up, 642 patients experienced TF. Starting ART with bPIs [adjusted incidence rate ratio (aIRR) (95% CI) 1.62 (1.29-2.03) versus starting with NNRTIs; P < 0.001] and starting ART with InSTIs [aIRR (95% CI) 0.68 (0.48-0.96) versus starting with NNRTIs; P = 0.03] were independently associated with TF. In patients starting ART with <200 CD4+ cells/mm3 and >5 log10 HIV-RNA copies/mL, the durability of regimens based on InSTIs was longer than that of NNRTI- and bPI-based regimens.

Is the rate of virological failure to cART continuing to decline in recent calendar years?

BackgroundDespite the high rate of virological success of combined antiretroviral therapy (cART), HIV infected individuals continue to fail. In this contest, it is unclear whether having previously experienced virological failure (VF) of cART remains an important predictor of future risk of VF in people receiving cART in modern times. We investigated the rate of VF and factors potentially associated with this event in 9220 HIV-1 infected patients enrolled in the Icona Cohort who showed a stable viral suppression on modern cART regimens after January 1, 2006. MethodsWe investigated two main exposure factors: current calendar period (2006–2009; 2010–2013; 2014–2017) and number of VFs (0; 1–3; >3) prior to baseline. Relative rates of VF were estimated from fitting a Poisson regression model. ResultsSeven-hundred-seventy-nine patients experienced VF over follow-up for an overall rate of 2.08 per 100 person years of follow-up (PYFU, 95%CI: 1.93–2.22). The rate of VF increased with higher numbers of previous VFs: patients with >3 previous VFs had a rate of 4.87 (4.10–5.78), 2.75-fold higher than that observed in patients without any previous VF (p < 0.001). The rate of VF was lower in recent years: 3.81 (3.36, 4.32) in 2006–2009; 1.36 (1.20–1.53) in 2014–2017 (p < 0.001). Other factors independently associated with lower risk of VF were Italian origin, longer history of virological suppression, and university education level. ConclusionsIn HIV-infected patients virologically suppressed after January 2006, the rate of VF continues to show a decline even in the most recent years. Previous VFs should be carefully considered.

Effectiveness of dolutegravir-based regimens as either first-line or switch antiretroviral therapy: data from the Icona cohort.

IntroductionConcerns about dolutegravir (DTG) tolerability in the real‐life setting have recently arisen. We aimed to estimate the risk of treatment discontinuation and virological failure of DTG‐based regimens from a large cohort of HIV‐infected individuals.MethodsWe performed a multicentre, observational study including all antiretroviral therapy (ART)‐naïve and virologically suppressed treatment‐experienced (TE) patients from the Icona (Italian Cohort Naïve Antiretrovirals) cohort who started, for the first time, a DTG‐based regimen from January 2015 to December 2017. We estimated the cumulative risk of DTG discontinuation regardless of the reason and for toxicity, and of virological failure using Kaplan–Meier curves. We used Cox regression model to investigate predictors of DTG discontinuation.ResultsAbout 1679 individuals (932 ART‐naïve, 747 TE) were included. The one‐ and two‐year probabilities (95% CI) of DTG discontinuation were 6.7% (4.9 to 8.4) and 11.5% (8.7 to 14.3) for ART‐naïve and 6.6% (4.6 to 8.6) and 7.6% (5.4 to 9.8) for TE subjects. In both ART‐naïve and TE patients, discontinuations of DTG were mainly driven by toxicity with an estimated risk (95% CI) of 4.0% (2.6 to 5.4) and 2.5% (1.3 to 3.6) by one year and 5.6% (3.8 to 7.5) and 4.0% (2.4 to 5.6) by two years respectively. Neuropsychiatric events were the main reason for stopping DTG in both ART‐naïve (2.1%) and TE (1.7%) patients. In ART‐naïve, a concomitant AIDS diagnosis predicted the risk of discontinuing DTG for any reason (adjusted relative hazard (aRH) = 3.38, p = 0.001), whereas starting DTG in combination with abacavir (ABC) was associated with a higher risk of discontinuing because of toxicity (aRH = 3.30, p = 0.009). TE patients starting a DTG‐based dual therapy compared to a triple therapy had a lower risk of discontinuation for any reason (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 2.50, p = 0.037 for ABC‐based triple‐therapies, aHR = 3.56, p = 0.012 for tenofovir‐based) and for toxicity (aHR = 5.26, p = 0.030 for ABC‐based, aHR = 6.60, p = 0.024 for tenofovir‐based). The one‐ and two‐year probabilities (95% CI) of virological failure were 1.2% (0.3 to 2.0) and 4.6% (2.7 to 6.5) in the ART naïve group and 2.2% (1.0 to 3.3) and 2.9% (1.5 to 4.3) in the TE group.ConclusionsIn this large cohort, DTG showed excellent efficacy and optimal tolerability both as first‐line and switching ART. The low risk of treatment‐limiting toxicities in ART‐naïve as well as in treated individuals reassures on the use of DTG in everyday clinical practice.

Pre-ART HIV-1 DNA in CD4+ T cells correlates with baseline viro-immunological status and outcome in patients under first-line ART.

We evaluated the association between pre-ART HIV DNA and HIV-infected participant characteristics at baseline as well as with their response to first-line ART. Four hundred and thirty-three patients from the ICONA cohort, starting first-line ART after the year 2000, were analysed. Pre-ART HIV DNA was quantified with the modified COBAS TaqMan HIV-1 Test and normalized by CD4+ T cells. Linear correlation between pre-ART HIV DNA and other continuous markers (HIV RNA, CD4 count, markers of inflammation and coagulation) at baseline was evaluated by means of Pearson correlation coefficient and a linear regression model. Survival analyses and Cox regression models were used to study the association between pre-ART HIV DNA and time to viro-immunoclinical events. Pre-ART HIV DNA [median (IQR): 10 702 (3397-36 632) copies/106 CD4+ T cells] was correlated with pre-ART HIV RNA [R2 = +0.44, (P < 0.0001)], CD4+ T cells [R2 = -0.58, (P < 0.0001)] and CD4/CD8 ratio [R2 = -0.48, (P < 0.0001)], while weaker correlations were observed with CD8+ T cells (R2 = -0.20, P = 0.01), IL-6 (R2 = +0.16, P = 0.002) and soluble CD14 (R2 = +0.09, P = 0.05). Patients with higher pre-ART HIV DNA showed lower rate and delayed virological response (defined as HIV RNA ≤50 copies/mL), compared with those having lower HIV DNA (67.2% for >10 000, 81.1% for 1000-10 000 and 86.4% for 10-1000 copies/106 CD4+ T cells; P = 0.0004). Higher pre-ART HIV DNA was also correlated with increased risk of virological rebound (defined as HIV RNA >50 copies/mL) by 24 months (17.2% for >10 000, 7.4% for 1000-10 000 and 4.3% for 10-1000 copies/106 CD4+ T cells; P = 0.0048). Adjusted HRs of all virological rebound definitions confirmed these findings (P ≤ 0.02). Pre-ART HIV DNA, along with HIV RNA and CD4+ T cell count, should be considered as a new staging marker to better identify people at lower (or higher) risk of viral rebound following achievement of virological suppression (≤50 copies/mL).

Impact of social determinants on antiretroviral therapy access and outcomes entering the era of universal treatment for people living with HIV in Italy

BackgroundSocial determinants are known to be a driving force of health inequalities, even in high income countries. Aim of our study was to determine if these factors can limit antiretroviral therapy (ART) access, outcome and retention in care of people living with HIV (PLHIV) in Italy.MethodsAll ART naïve HIV+ patients (pts) of Italian nationality enrolled in the ICONA Cohort from 2002 to 2016 were included. The association of socio-demographic characteristics (age, sex, risk factor for HIV infection, educational level, occupational status and residency area) with time to: ART initiation (from the first positive anti-HIV test), ART regimen discontinuation, and first HIV-RNA < 50 cp/mL, were evaluated by Cox regression analysis, Kaplan Meier method and log-rank test.ResultsA total of 8023 HIV+ pts (82% males, median age at first pos anti-HIV test 36 years, IQR: 29–44) were included: 6214 (77.5%) started ART during the study period. Women, people who inject drugs (PWID) and residents in Southern Italy presented the lowest levels of education and the highest rate of unemployment compared to other groups. Females, pts aged > 50 yrs., unemployed vs employed, and people with lower educational levels presented the lowest CD4 count at ART initiation compared to other groups. The overall median time to ART initiation was 0.6 years (yrs) (IQR 0.1–3.7), with a significant decrease over time [2002–2006 = 3.3 yrs. (0.2–9.4); 2007–2011 = 1.0 yrs. (0.1–3.9); 2012–2016 = 0.2 yrs. (0.1–2.1), p < 0.001]. By multivariate analysis, females (p < 0.01) and PWID (p < 0.001), presented a longer time to ART initiation, while older people (p < 0.001), people with higher educational levels (p < 0.001), unemployed (p = 0.02) and students (p < 0.001) were more likely to initiate ART. Moreover, PWID, unemployed vs stable employed, and pts. with lower educational levels showed a lower 1-year probability of achieving HIV-RNA suppression, while females, older patients, men who have sex with men (MSM), unemployed had higher 1-year risk of first-line ART discontinuation.ConclusionsDespite median time to ART start decreased from 2002 to 2016, socio-demographic factors still contribute to disparities in ART initiation, outcome and durability.

Durability and tolerability of first-line regimens including two nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors and raltegravir or ritonavir boosted-atazanavir or -darunavir: data from the ICONA Cohort

BackgroundWe aimed to mimic the ACTG 5257 trial, comparing raltegravir (RAL), ritonavir-boosted atazavavir (ATV/r) and ritonavir-boosted darunavir (DRV/r) in the observational setting.MethodsAll the ICONA patients starting a first cART with 2NRTI + ATV/r, DRV/r or RAL were included. Primary end-point was treatment failure, i.e. virological failure (confirmed HIV-RNA > 200copies/mL > 6 months therapy) or discontinuation for any reason of the third drug. Secondary end-points: virological failure50 (50 copies/mL threshold), and discontinuation of the third drug due to intolerance/toxicity. Cox regression analyses were run to compare the risk of outcomes between the three regimens.Results2249 patients were included, 985 (44%) initiated ATV/r, 1023 (45%) DRV/r and 241 (11%) RAL; median follow-up of 3.6 years (IQR: 2.3–5.2). After controlling for baseline confounding factors, patients given ATV/r showed a 26% higher risk of treatment failure (TF) vs. DRV/r (AHR 1.26, 95%CI 1.11–1.43); patients on RAL had a lower risk of TF vs. ATV/r (AHR 0.81, 95%CI 0.66–0.99). The probability of virological failure50 was significantly lower for people initiating RAL vs. DRV/r (AHR 0.46, 95%CI 0.24–0.87) or ATV/r (AHR 0.52, 95%CI 0.27–0.99). In addition, RAL was associated to a lower risk of discontinuation for toxicity vs. both DRV/r (AHR: 0.37, 95%CI: 0.19–0.72) and ATV/r (AHR: 0.18, 95%CI: 0.09–0.34). ATV/r was associated with a higher risk of discontinuing due to toxicity (AHR 2.09, 95%CI 1.63–2.67) vs. DRV/r.ConclusionsIn our observational study, we confirmed higher risk of treatment failure and lower tolerability of ATV/r-based regimens as compared to those including DRV/r or RAL.

HIV-1 co-receptor tropism and liver fibrosis in HIV-infected patients.

BackgroundIn vitro, gp120 of both X4 and R5 HIV-1 strains activates human hepatic stellate cells, but if it can promote liver fibrosis in vivo is unknown. We aimed to evaluate if patients carrying X4 or R5 strains have a different liver fibrosis (LF) progression over time.MethodsA total of 1,137 HIV-infected patients in ICONA cohort (21% females, 7% HCV co-infected) with an available determination of HIV-1 co-receptor tropism (CRT), a Fibrosis-4 Index for Liver Fibrosis (FIB-4) <3.25 and at least one-year follow-up were included. CRT was assessed by gp120 sequencing on plasma RNA and geno2pheno algorithm (10% false positive rate) or by Trofile. LF was assessed by means of FIB-4. LF progression was defined as an absolute score increase or a transition to higher fibrosis stratum and/or occurrence of liver-related clinical events.ResultsA total of 249 (22%) patients carried X4 strains, which were associated with older age, lower CD4 count, lower nadir CD4, and intravenous drug use. Overall, X4 and R5 patients had similar baseline FIB-4 scores and similar mean FIB-4 slope after a median follow-up of 35 months. There was no difference between X4 and R5 for time to LF progression (p = 0.925). Estimated risk of LF at 24 months (95% CI) after baseline in X4 and R5 was 10.6% (8.3–12.9) and 9.9% (5.9–14.0), respectively. Age, HCV co-infection, diabetes, HIV-duration, HIV-RNA>100.000 cp/mL, antiretroviral therapy exposure were associated with LF progression at multivariate analysis.ConclusionsA slight LF progression over time was observed in HIV-infected patients. No difference was demonstrated for X4 and R5 HIV-1 strains in accelerating LF evolution.