Due to high speed and high maneuverability of hypersonic glide vehicles (HGVs), the state estimation of such targets has always been a research hotspot. In order to improve accuracy of the trajectory estimation, a nonlinear aerodynamic parameter model for target estimation based on aerodynamic performance analysis is proposed. Firstly, the dynamic characteristics of the hypersonic glide vehicle during the hypersonic gliding stage was analyzed. Then, aiming at HTV-2-liked vehicle, the engineering calculation method was used to form the reference aerodynamic model for the target estimation. Secondly, a deviation model described by first-order Markov process was introduced to compensate the uncertainties of the unknown maneuver information from the target. Finally, extended Kalman filter was utilized to estimate the state of the target. The simulation results show that the proposed model is able to improve the accuracy of acceleration estimation for the HTV-2-liked hypersonic gliding vehicles.
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