The rainfall-induced instability of geosynthetic-reinforced is a time-dependent phenomenon owing to the infiltration process, and is influenced by rainfall patterns. Catering to the inherent uncertainty in soil properties, this study conducted a reliability analysis of three-dimensional (3D) vertical geosynthetic-reinforced slopes, in order to explore how the probabilistic stability of slope evolves over time under different rainfall patterns. A 3D horn-like mechanism incorporating the Conte-Troncone (CT) model is adopted as a framework for deterministic analysis. Through a Fourier transform-based theoretical reasoning, the CT model assesses the time-variable pore-water pressure of soils in response to any continuously varying rainfall intensity over time. Subsequently, the pore water pressure-driven changes in soil unsaturated strength and the corresponding extend power are integrated into the three-dimensional mechanism, enabling a rapid determination of the instantaneous safety factor at discrete time instants. To avoid the tedious computation generated by Monte Carlo simulation, a simplified Hasofer-Lind-Rackwitz-Fiessler (HLRF) algorithm is used to calculate the time-varying reliability indices. Using the implantation of the proposed method, the effects of rainfall pattern, slope width, and reinforcement tensile strength are investigated by parametric analysis.
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