Abstract The 2023 U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) seismicity model for faults in the western United States (USGS-SMF-WUS) includes many earthquake scenarios (EQS) that rupture multifault sections (MFS), reflecting decades of observations that large crustal earthquakes often rupture sections of different neighboring faults in complex ways. Many of the complex MFS scenarios include rupture sections, on different faults, that are not contiguous, with spacing up to 15 km. The USGS-SMF-WUS uses an inversion methodology, referred to as magnitude-rate optimization, to optimally formulate the occurrence rates of the EQS in such a way that they collectively release the accumulating seismic moment rates on faults, at subsection level, defined by various types of geologic, geodetic, and seismologic data and constraints. This raises questions about the treatment of the MFS scenarios in the USGS-SMF-WUS regarding their rupture states and how that could potentially impact the magnitude-rate optimization and ground motions (GMs) for hazard analysis. Among many different possible rupture states for the MFS earthquakes, the two extreme scenarios could be visualized as (1) a series of noncontiguous sections rupturing in such a way that their total seismic moment and GM footprints are scaled with the sum of their rupture areas and (2) a series of noncontiguous triggered events, grouped together based on the spacing between the participating fault sections and other criteria, each releasing seismic moment and generating GM footprints that are scaled with its own rupture area. It will be shown later that the average slips on the participating sections for these two extreme rupture states would not be the same. In addition, the GM footprints from these two rupture states would be different and the differences are frequency dependent. This is especially the case when considering the complexity of rupture directivity on the participating fault sections in the USGS-SMF-WUS. It is the objective of this study to explore and discuss the implications of the triggered rupture state assumption in estimating the average slips and GM footprints of the MFS earthquakes in the USGS-SMF-WUS.
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