Future Investment Opportunities Research Articles

Does managerial market timing with stock repurchases exist in stock market?: Evidence from Thailand

This study examines the presence of managerial market timing with stock repurchases in the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) from 2008 to 2017. We find that managerial market timing with stock repurchases does not exist in an emerging market (namely, Thailand) supporting the theory of pseudo market timing, as the probability of stock repurchases is not related to undervalued stocks. However, there are other motivations for conducting stock repurchases rather than managerial market timing including the distribution of excessive cash flow due to high operating income and no good future investment opportunity, and the change of capital structure because of underleverage. Our findings are supportive to the free cash flow, capital market allocation, and trade-off theories. In addition, we also find that timing firms tend to suffer from the deterioration of Tobin q ratio, market value added (MVA) and economic value added (EVA), and they do not rebalance their capital structure after this event.

Dynamic mean-variance portfolio selection under factor models

Utilizing insights from financial literature and empirical financial data, we introduce a comprehensive system of factor models designed to capture both return and risk dynamics. Our focus extends to addressing the multi-period mean-variance portfolio selection challenge within the framework of these proposed factor models. Through rigorous analysis, we formulate a semi-analytical optimal portfolio policy, characterized by a linear relationship with the current wealth level. The coefficients of this optimal policy are intricately linked to a specific stochastic process known as the future investment opportunity (FIO), reflecting the investor's anticipation of future investment prospects. Furthermore, empirical examination within the U.S. market context underscores the efficacy of our approach. By incorporating the factor models for return and risk, our optimal portfolio policy exhibits superior out-of-sample Sharpe ratio compared to benchmark policies.

The value of a reputation for sustaining commitment in interfirm relationships: The inclusion of corporate venture capitalists in investment syndicates

We explore the importance of sustaining commitment in inter-firm relationships in the corporate venture capital setting. We find that a corporate investor's past behavior in terms of committing to investment relationships and not abandoning them prematurely confers reputational benefits that increase the likelihood of its participation in future investment opportunities. These reputational effects have a greater impact when the corporate investor has extensive patent stocks and has higher levels of potential slack. Our study highlights the value of sustaining commitment in interfirm relationships, and offers a deeper understanding of an important driver of corporate venture capital program investment opportunities.

The effects of government labour intervention on firm performance and innovation

ABSTRACT The government sets legal limits on the number of working hours to minimize the negative effects of long working hours. Reducing legal working hours increases employee life satisfaction by decreasing mental and physical health problems. However, reducing legal working hours may decrease the firm’s future investment opportunities, which reduces the firm’s competitiveness. This study uses a quasi-experimental design to explore the negative effects of reducing legal working hours on firms. Specifically, we build a difference-in-differences (DID) model to explore the negative effects of reducing legal working hours on a firm’s ROI and innovation. We find reducing legal working hours decreases a firm’s ROI and innovation.

External financing, corporate governance and the value of cash holdings

This study investigates the role of corporate governance in the deployment of internal resources when access to credit is hampered and external financing is costly. The extant literature has focused on the rise in cash holdings amongst firms, but little is still known about when and under what conditions firms deploy and use accumulated internal resources. Using a panel data of 1,599 U.S firms for the period 2004 to 2016, the 2008 financial crisis as a quasi-natural experiment and a difference-in-difference estimation strategy, we examine how managers deploy and allocate cash reserves and excess cash. We find that the propensity to invest out of pre-crisis cash reserves is highest for weakly-governed firms and that these firms finance additional investment using short-term debt and allocate a higher fraction of post-crisis excess cash towards building up cash balances. Contrastingly, well-governed firms have a higher propensity to allocate excess cash towards increasing the value of pledgeable assets and deploy any accumulated cash balances to reduce short-term debt financing. Our findings are important as they reconcile the flexibility and the spending hypothesis of cash holdings, showing that well-governed firms trade-off the cost of cash holdings against the benefit of minimizing future demand for costly external financing; effectively hedging against foregoing profitable future investment opportunities.

The boom of corporate debt in emerging markets: Carry trade or save to invest?

The decline in international interest rates following the global financial crisis encouraged firms in emerging markets to increase their corporate bond issuance abroad. Evidence shows that issuing offshore debt increases cash holdings, suggesting firms may exploit interest rate arbitrage. We argue that increasing contemporaneous cash holdings may also be undertaken for a “save to invest” motive to finance future investment opportunities. Using a sample of nonfinancial listed firms from 15 emerging market economies from 2001 to 2016, we show that companies accumulate cash when carry trade is favorable; however, we find that the increased cash holdings substantially revert in the following two periods, consistent with arguments for a “save to invest” motive. Indeed, offshore debt has a significant impact on both current and next-year investment.

Has the World of Finance Changed? A Review of the Influence of Artificial Intelligence on Financial Management Studies

Artificial intelligence (AI) has had a tremendous impact on financial management research, revolutionizing how financial data is analyzed and decisions are made. It has the ability to improve accuracy and efficiency while also lowering costs and providing fresh insights into financial markets and investments. This review will look at some of the important areas of financial management research that AI has influenced. One of the most notable effects of AI on financial management research has been in risk management. AI algorithms, with their ability to analyze vast amounts of data, can detect patterns and anomalies that humans may not notice right away and have had a significant impact on financial forecasting and prediction, generating predictions about future market movements and investment opportunities by analyzing historical data, market trends, and other relevant factors. In conclusion, artificial intelligence (AI) has had a tremendous impact on financial management research, revolutionizing how financial data is analyzed and decisions are made, with significant potential to disrupt traditional financial management techniques. AI has the ability to increase accuracy and efficiency, cut costs, and provide fresh insights into financial markets and investments. As AI technology advances, its impact on financial management studies is likely to rise.

Dampak Keputusan Investasi, Pendanaan, dan Kebijakan Dividen Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan Sektor Pertambangan di Indonesia: Kajian Mediasi Resiko Perusahaan

This study aims to study the impact of investment decisions, financing decisions and dividend policies on firm value in the mining sector in Indonesia, with firm risk as the mediating variable. The subject of this study includes companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the period 2018-2023. Investment decisions that have a direct impact on corporate value, focus on decisions that reflect future investment opportunities, such as introducing new products, expanding existing products, replacing replacement of equipment or facilities, research, development, and exploration. The results of the deterministic analysis show that the coefficient of determination (R^2) is 0.955, indicating that only about 95.5% of the variation in firm value (book value) can be explained simultaneously. by investment decisions, financing decisions and dividend policies. This means that the company's risk is not directly affected by these variables. Furthermore, the analysis results show that the coefficient of determination (R^2) is 0.041, indicating that only about 4.1% of the variation in firm risk can be explained by variations in investment decisions. investment, financing decisions and dividend policy. The remainder, about 96.9%, shows that firm risk does not play a mediating role between investment decisions, financing decisions, dividend policy, and firm value. In other words, firm risk does not partially link these variables to firm value. The results of this study indicate that although investment decisions, financing decisions and dividend policies have a significant impact on firm value, firm risk does not play a mediating role in the relationship. relationship between these variables.

Debt Structure and Future Financing and Investment. Evidence from Oil and Gas Sector of Pakistan

Purpose: This study aims to investigate the link between debt structure and future external financing and investment, existing empirical literature suggest various features of debt structure such as maturity structure, seniority and security profile might affect firms’ future financing and investment opportunities. However, literature is vague as to which way these characteristics of debt are actually related to observed financing and investment; this is partly due to the fact that the assumptions in theoretical predictions lack in terms of channels they consider relating to debt structure and future external financing and investment. This study investigates how debt structure is associated to financing and future growth opportunities in terms of fund raising, whether debt structure of oil and gas sector of Pakistan.
 Design/Methodology/Approach: Dynamic analysis were used to analyze the data
 Findings: The results provide interesting insights, as traditional positive relationship in between short-maturity of debt external financing has revealed negative relation, which is in conflict with existing literature from agency cost but supports the rollover risk. The sector might be better off if it opts out to equity financing, which will open up new investment avenues for future financing and investment. Interestingly secured-debt does not appear to be beneficial owing to differing leveraging patterns within the sector.
 Implications/Originality/Value: The paper provides new insights in terms of investment and financing patterns particularly in context of maturity structure of debt.

Sustainable investment strategies in the palm oil industry in Indonesia

The purpose of this study is to look at the negative environmental impacts and social problems, which require a government response to maintain the sustainability of the palm oil industry. This research uses Online Research Methods (ORMs) to collect data and information through the internet and other digital technologies. The collected data was then coded using Nvivo 12 Plus. The purpose of this study is to fill the research void left by previous researchers by analyzing investment strategies and services in supporting the sustainability of the palm oil industry in Riau Province. This study shows that to support the potential of the palm oil industry to remain optimal, the central and local governments coordinate to provide investment services and pay attention to the sustainability issues of the palm oil industry. Some important aspects to consider are strengthening regulations, an integrated plantation licensing system, improving access to markets, RSPO certification, realization of foreign investment, downstream industry, replanting programme, plantation revitalisation programme, and sustainable plantation partnerships. However, there are still some crucial challenges, particularly land conflicts, climate change, environmental issues, limited technology and innovation, and export market dependence. These challenges may hamper future investment opportunities.

An alter-centric perspective on status disparity and newcomer additions in multiparty syndicates

Status dynamics play a critical role in venture capital (VC) syndication. Prior research on multiparty syndicates has shown how status differences among current syndicate members affect how the syndicate searches for new investors in later investment rounds. However, it is unclear how potential newcomers evaluate whether or not to join a syndicate based on the degree of status disparity among current syndicate members. We adopt an alter-centric approach by examining how an existing syndicate’s status disparity affects a potential newcomer’s willingness to join. For potential newcomers, we contend that syndicate status disparity is a double-edged sword, both deterring newcomers due to low perceptions of syndicate trust while simultaneously attracting newcomers at the prospect of accessing diverse future investment opportunities. Whether the perceived costs of syndicate status disparity outweigh the perceived benefits for newcomers depends upon the degree of risk associated with the venture deal. Across two studies—a field experiment of 193 institutional investors and an archival study of 3644 multiparty syndicates—we found that newcomers are attracted to syndicate status disparity when deal risk is low but deterred from syndicate status disparity when deal risk is high. Our article highlights how newcomer additions to multiparty syndicates entail a complex interplay between features of co-investors and features of the venture deal.

A Review of Critical Element Concentrations in High Enthalpy Geothermal Fluids in New Zealand

This review compiles publicly available datasets describing the chemical composition of geothermal fluids from eight wells in the Taupo Volcanic Zone (TVZ) and Ngāwhā, New Zealand. Our review allows previously reported geothermal reservoir water compositions at various locations around the TVZ (and Ngāwhā) to be assessed and compared for the first time. The combined data present a new perspective on potential critical elements of geothermal resources and will be a valuable tool for future research projects and investment opportunities. Composition data were used to estimate the annual flux of different elements in New Zealand geothermal systems. Several elements found in New Zealand geothermal fluids are currently considered ‘critical’ for the transition to a carbon-neutral economy and are present in economically extractable quantities. We estimate that each year, approximately 1100 tons of lithium pass as heat exchange fluids through Wairakei geothermal power station. An overview of the critical elemental capture and extractive potential from New Zealand’s geothermal fields is provided.

Narrative Asset Pricing: Interpretable Systematic Risk Factors from News Text

Abstract We estimate a narrative factor pricing model from news text of The Wall Street Journal. Our empirical method integrates topic modeling (LDA), latent factor analysis (IPCA), and variable selection (group lasso). Narrative factors achieve higher out-of-sample Sharpe ratios and smaller pricing errors than standard characteristic-based factor models and predict future investment opportunities in a manner consistent with the ICAPM. We derive an interpretation of the estimated risk factors from narratives in the underlying article text. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online

Cash holding management for self-financing phase-able and non-phase-able project portfolio selection and scheduling problems

This article presents a novel mathematical model for managing the level of cash reserves for the self-financing phase-able as well as non-phase-able project portfolio selection and scheduling problems. Practically, the executive managers of project-oriented organizations tend to keep cash within their organization to increase their decision-making power. Although this allows managers and investors to invest in future economic projects, it imposes opportunity costs on owners and investors, in which case maintaining cash reserves can turn out to be a major challenge between owners and executive managers. This issue becomes more acute when the project-based organization operates self-financing. Because the financing is limited to the revenues of the finished projects, money withdrawn from the project account without proper management exacerbates financial constraints. Consequently, managers will bypass some future valuable investment opportunities. In this article, from the point of view of cash holding, the expectations of managers and investors in a self-financing phase-able and non-phase-able project-based organization will be met simultaneously. The proposed model is a nonlinear integer program. After linearization, an example is provided to illustrate the applicability and performance of the proposed model.

Economic Actors as Human Rights Watchers: The Effects of Government Sexual Violence on Foreign Direct Investment

AbstractDo reports of sexual violence by state forces influence foreign direct investment? While studies have examined the impact of government human rights performance on FDI, how investors react to civilian victimization during wartime remains understudied. We investigate this with a focus on conflict-related sexual violence (CRSV). We argue that sexual violence by state governments results in the loss of FDI during conflict due to reputational and economic costs faced by foreign investors. With increasing international developments on CRSV, ties to governments that perpetrate sexual violence can be harmful to how the global community perceives foreign corporations. Moreover, government sexual violence signals that the government is relatively weaker than its opponent, creating uncertainties for foreign corporations regarding future investment opportunities in the host state. Analyzing sexual violence by government forces for all civil conflicts from 1989 to 2008, our findings show a decline in FDI as government sexual violence increases.

Preferências, fontes e condicionantes: uma nova abordagem de teste para as decisões de financiamento

Abstract This article aims to propose a new approach to the empirical testing of the pecking order theory that tackles commonly reported issues and apply it to the analysis of Brazilian companies. The main gaps bridged herein are the lack of clear definitions for safe debt and financial slack; the lack of control, in regressions, for the financing sources’ capabilities; and the failure to consider future investment opportunities in financing analyses. We adopt methods that enable controlling for the information the companies have about each financing source’s capabilities, at the time their financing decisions are made, while taking current and future investment opportunities into account. The proposed methodology offers a rather controlled environment to test the pecking order theory, which can be adapted to study other topics in finance, supporting advances in understanding the raising and allocation of funds by listed companies. Four integrated financing and cash holding policies are defined, which lead to different expected internal deficits (or surpluses). The relationships between these deficits (or surpluses), at different levels, and the flows that are observed at the external sources of funds are analyzed in cross-section and panel data quantile regressions, controlling for each source’s capabilities, in unbalanced data panels with 4,465 observations of 223 companies. By studying the relationships between expected internal financing deficits (or surpluses) and the flows that are observed at the external sources of funds, we contribute with a new capital structure testing methodology, and we find strong evidence that Brazilian listed companies follow the pecking order theory.

Optimal Corporate Taxation Under Financial Frictions

Abstract This article studies the optimal design of corporate taxes when firms have private information about future investment opportunities and face financial constraints. A government whose goal is to efficiently raise a given amount of revenue from its corporate sector should attempt to tax unconstrained firms, which value resources inside the firm less than financially constrained firms. We show that a corporate payout tax (a tax on dividends and share repurchases) can both separate constrained and unconstrained firms and raise revenue and is therefore optimal. Our quantitative analysis implies that a revenue-neutral switch from profit taxation to payout taxation would increase the overall value of existing firms and new entrants by $7\%$. This switch could be implemented in the current US tax system by making retained earnings fully deductible.

Cash holding and bankruptcy risk in Egyptian firms: the moderating effect of corporate social responsibility

PurposeThis study aims to investigate the impact of cash holding (CH) on bankruptcy (BR) risk. This study also examines the moderating effect of corporate social responsibility (CSR) practices on this relationship.Design/methodology/approachThe data were extracted from firms' annual reports. The panel data were used for 68 firms listed at the Egyptian Stock Exchange (EGX) with a total of 340 observations from 2015 to 2019. The research hypotheses were tested using the panel corrected standards errors (PCSE) method and the feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) method.FindingsThe results reveal that (1) CH has a positive effect on the Z-score (decreasing bankruptcy risk) of the Egyptian listed firms. (2) Egyptian firms that practice CSR have a low level of bankruptcy risk. (3) CSR practices in Egyptian listed firms support the positive relationship between CH and Z-score (declining bankruptcy risk).Research limitations/implicationsThe limitations of this study include a relatively small sample size. In addition, the analysis doesn't include other measures of bankruptcy risk due to a lack of data.Practical implicationsThe findings of this study will help investors and creditors to evaluate and predict the firms' bankruptcy risk. This study highlights the importance of cash holding for firms in emerging economies. Firms may hold cash to support liquidity, overcome financial distress risk, lower the cost of capital, increase future investment opportunities and reduce uncertainty. Additionally, the results would also help the policymakers, regulators at the EGX and Financial Regulatory Authority and stakeholders to realize the importance of cash holding, evaluate the cash liquidity in Egyptian listed firms, predict the firms' financial distress and consider the consequences of the CSR practices in accordance with Egypt's vision 2030.Originality/valueConsistent with liquidity preference theory and trade-off theory, this study adds evidence to the literature on bankruptcy risk by investigating the effect of cash holding on bankruptcy risk in emerging economies. According to Egypt's vision 2030, the empirical findings in this study extend previous findings by providing strong additional evidence in emerging economies regarding the moderating effect of CSR practices on the association between cash holding and bankruptcy risk. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to investigate the relationship between CSR, CH and BR risk in Egypt.

The Effects of New Accounting Standards on Firm Value: The K-IFRS 1116 Lease

We examine how the implementation of the K-IFRS No.1116 Lease affects firm value. This new accounting standard mandates capitalization of all leases, resulting in changes in the key accounting leverage ratios and rates of return. The contracting costs hypothesis suggests that changes in accounting techniques have economic consequences because lending contracts are expressed in terms of accounting numbers. We find that capitalizing operating leases, which were off-balance-sheet transactions prior to K-1116 implementation, increases the lease liabilities-to-assets ratio and lease liabilities-to-debt ratio significantly. While a firm’s business fundamentals do not change with the K-1116, we show that the value of firms that use high levels of operating leases decreased with the implementation of K-1116. The declines in firm value are significant for the subgroups of firms that are likely to raise external financing, suggesting that the implementation of K-1116 increased the level of financing frictions and decreased the value of future investment opportunities.

Big Data analytics and financial reporting quality: qualitative evidence from Canada

PurposeBig Data analytics (BDA) and its implications for the accounting profession continue to be a key issue that requires more research and evaluation. As a result, the purpose of this study is to evaluate the impact of BDA on financial reporting quality, as well as to assess the accounting challenges associated with Big Data. It provides qualitative evidence from Canada.Design/methodology/approachThis study used a qualitative approach to ascertain the thoughts and perceptions of auditors, financial analysts and accountants at Canadian audit and accounting firms in BDA and its impact on financial reporting quality, using semi-structured interviews. To obtain their consent to participate in the interview, 127 auditors, financial analysts and accountants from Canadian audit and accounting firms were initially approached. The final number of respondents was 41, representing a response rate of 32%.FindingsThe authors’ findings underscored the relevance of Big Data and BDA in affecting financial report quality and revealed that BDA had a significant effect on improving financial reporting quality. Big Data improves accounting reporting and expert judgment by providing professional. In summary, participants agreed that when analytical methods in Big Data are implemented effectively, businesses may possibly achieve a variety of benefits, including customized goods, simplified processes, improved risk assessment process and, finally, increased risk management.Practical implicationsThe authors’ findings indicate that BDA may help predict investment returns and risks, estimate future investment opportunities, forecast revenues, detect fraud and susceptibility early and identify economic growth opportunities. As a result, auditors, financial analysts, accountants, investors and other strategic decision-makers should be aware of these findings to make informed choices.Originality/valueBig Data has become the norm in recent years; accountants and other decision-makers have struggled to analyze massive amounts of data. This limits their capacity to profit from such data even more. Therefore, this study is motivated by the lack of research on Big Data’s influence on financial report quality.