Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the important factors of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality and to find not only patients with persistent AF but also individuals with paroxysmal AF among apparently healthy people is a crucial strategy for decreasing number of patients with serious cardio-embolic stroke. However, screening ability using previously known risk factors for future development of AF has not been examined in individuals with paroxysmal AF. Methods A total of 59730 male individuals, aged 40 years or older who underwent multiple comprehensive physical check-ups including 12 lead electrocardiogram (ECG) from 2012 to 2015 were enrolled. Persistent AF was defined a case that consecutively manifested AF till the last checkup. Paroxysmal AF was defined as a case who transiently manifested AF in each of the checkup and subsequently manifested sinus rhythm at the last checkup. Non-AF was defined as a case that never manifested AF in any of checkup. Age-adjusted prevalence rates and their 95% confidence intervals of known-risk factors in the first survey were estimated by logistic regression analysis separately by the three groups (non-AF (n=58602), paroxysmal AF (n=392) and persistent AF (736)). Results Age-adjusted prevalence rates (95% confidence interval) of risks factors for AF are shown in the table. Already known risk factors were evidently manifested in persistent AF group, however, prevalence rates of these factors in paroxysmal AF group were not different from the rates in non-AF group. Conclusion The repeated measurements of ECG study indicated that individuals who would develop paroxysmal AF in the near future did not have typical risk factors for AF and a screening test using risk factors for AF have no chance to find a high-risk individual for paroxysmal AF.
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