Abstract The use of a diagnostic and prognostic tool for predictive maintenance serves as a continuous inspection, detective and predictive tool for making important decisions on maintenance activities before failure occurs. The prediction of failure is important in the railway industry in reducing the maintenance and operating cost, minimizing interruptions, risk, unscheduled maintenance and accidents while enhancing higher productivity and component lifespan. In this study, a diagnostic and prognostic tool was developed to constantly monitor and predict the rate of degradation and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of a railcar wheel bearing. The tool uses the envelope spectrum and kurtosis analysis, which employs the wheel acceleration data obtained from a primary source and the data was interpreted with the aid of statistical and computational methods. The input data was first pre-processed and important features are extracted in a MATLAB 2018b environment. The extracted features were thereafter integrated into the diagnostic and prognostic tool with a pre-set threshold value or feature for the wheel acceleration for predictive purpose. The results obtained indicate the suitability of the diagnosis and prognostic tool for the determination of the railcar wheel condition, prediction of the Mean Time to Failure (MTTF), as well as the remaining useful life of the railcar bearing.
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