Effects Of Fiscal Policy Research Articles

Macroeconomic Factors and Policy Dynamics Influencing FDI Flows from Arab Countries to Malaysia: A Qualitative Analysis (2018-2023)

This study examines the macroeconomic factors and policy dynamics influencing Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows from Arab countries to Malaysia during the period 2018-2023. Employing a qualitative research design, the study utilizes semi-structured interviews with key stakeholders, analysis of policy documents, and examination of economic data to provide a comprehensive understanding of this evolving economic relationship. The research reveals that Malaysia's economic resilience, robust GDP growth, and effective fiscal policies have been instrumental in attracting Arab FDI, despite global challenges such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Strategic policy initiatives, including targeted FDI incentives and bilateral trade agreements, have played a crucial role in facilitating investment flows. The study identifies key sectors attracting Arab investment, including real estate, Islamic banking and finance, oil and gas, and tourism. Malaysia's position as a global hub for Islamic financial services and halal industries emerges as a significant factor in its appeal to Arab investors. However, the research also highlights persistent challenges, such as regulatory hurdles, cultural and language barriers, and increasing regional competition. The study concludes that while Malaysia has successfully positioned itself as an attractive destination for Arab FDI, continued policy refinement and focus on high-value, knowledge-intensive sectors are necessary to maintain this position. The findings contribute to the growing body of literature on South-South economic cooperation and provide valuable insights for policymakers, investors, and researchers. Future research directions, including the need for quantitative analysis and comparative studies with other Southeast Asian countries, are suggested to further enhance understanding of these complex investment dynamics.

Asymmetric effects of fiscal policy on inflation in Kenya

Asymmetric effects of fiscal policy on inflation in Kenya

The Nexus of Fiscal Policy and Growth in the Optimal Control Framework

This research investigates the effect of fiscal policy on economic growth, focusing on the intertwined relationship between public goods provision, taxation policies, and their impact on economic dynamics and growth. The study aims to contribute to this research domain by introducing an economic model within the optimal control framework that integrates taxation policies into the social constraint and incorporates public goods into the social utility function, addressing recent limitations in this research area. Through numerical analysis, the study examines the potential effects of taxes and public goods provision on consumption and economic growth, as reflected by the level of capital. Results indicate that increasing government spending on public goods can decrease private goods consumption without significant economic growth benefits. At the same time, high tax rates could potentially hinder economic growth by overly relying on government intervention. The research findings highlight the importance of an optimal approach to fiscal policy, with policy implications including the need to carefully evaluate public funds' allocation, enhance public spending efficiency, and implement optimal tax to foster economic growth.

Fiscal Tools for Promoting Efficient Economic Growth

Contemporary crisis phenomena, including financial, structural, political, and social aspects, underscore the need for effective fiscal policy to ensure the resilience and development of the country. Additionally, there are currently complex challenges related to the war, such as infrastructure destruction, business shutdowns, and mass migration, which have significantly impacted the country’s economy and require additional financial resources for recovery. This situation necessitates the search for new sources of income and the optimisation of existing resources, highlighting the importance of effective tax regulation to overcome economic challenges during conflict. This scientific article aims to determine the role of fiscal policy in ensuring effective economic development, as well as the importance of tax instruments and their efficiency in promoting economic growth and optimising financial resources. In the research process, literary sources were analysed, and statistical data was scrutinised to evaluate the dynamics of state revenues and expenditures and the impact of tax receipts on the state budget. The study emphasises the importance of tax instruments for economic development and meeting the country’s financial needs. The efficient use of tax instruments facilitates the collection of sufficient revenues to fund social and economic needs. The study highlights the importance of employing the necessary tax instruments to ensure the country’s effective economic development. In martial law conditions, mobilising fiscal reserves and activating tax instruments become critical strategies for ensuring financial stability and supporting the economy. However, the successful implementation of these measures requires the improvement of the organisational structure and administration. A balanced approach to tax burden, a conducive environment for business, and the development of new revenue sources are critical in ensuring financial stability and supporting economic growth during conflict.

An Econometric Evaluation of the Variation effect of the Nigerian Rate of Exchange on the Economic Progression

This research work investigated an econometric evaluation of the variation effect of the Nigerian rate of exchange on the economic progression between the years 1986-2017. A secondary source of data was employed in this work, which was extracted from the National Bureau Statistical Bulletin published by the Central Bank of Nigeria. Maximum Likelihood estimation of the R-software was carried out to evaluate the parameter estimate of the multiple regression coefficients and analyzed the influence of the explanatory variables (Gross Domestic Product, Unemployment and Inflation on the rate of Exchange). It was observed that the Gross Domestic Product and Unemployment rate influenced negatively on the Exchange rate but significant with (β = -1.646, t = -2.409, sig.val = 0.0228) and (β = - 0.8602, t = -3.302, sig.val = 0.00263) respectively. Nevertheless Inflation rate had positive influence on the rate of Exchange but not significant with (β = 1.311, t = 0.852, sig.val = 0.40122). The Coefficient of determination (R2 = 82.7) implies that the variation of the Nigerian rate of exchange has significant effect on the economic progression between the years 1986-2017. However, the paper recommends the following; a control of the sequential rising of inflation so as to have a stabilized rate of exchange and a promising economy for the citizens, adequate security, effective fiscal and monetary policies, as well as the provision of infrastructural facilities so that foreign investors will be attracted to invest in Nigeria.

Impact of Fiscal Policy on Corporate Innovation in an Emerging Market Economy: Evidence from Brazil

This study investigates the impact of fiscal policy on corporate innovation in an emerging market economy, focusing on Brazil. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset of firms listed on the B3 Brazilian Stock Exchange from 2010 to 2020, we employ panel data analysis and the difference-in-differences (DiD) method to examine the effects of tax incentives, government subsidies, and public investment in innovation infrastructure on corporate innovation activities. Our findings reveal that tax incentives significantly enhance innovation outputs by reducing the financial burden of R&D investments. Similarly, government subsidies are shown to lower the cost and risk associated with R&D projects, thereby fostering greater innovation. Furthermore, public investment in innovation infrastructure plays a crucial role in creating an enabling environment for corporate innovation. These results provide robust evidence supporting the effectiveness of fiscal policy in promoting innovation in emerging markets, offering valuable insights for policymakers aiming to foster sustainable economic growth and competitiveness.

Government size and the effectiveness of fiscal policy: the bigger the better?

Abstract This study investigates the effect of government size, as measured by the tax revenue to gross domestic product (tax-GDP) ratio, on output responses to increases in government purchases. First, we show that in a standard static neoclassical model, the stimulus effect of fiscal expansion on output increases with the tax-GDP ratio. This finding is quantitatively confirmed using a dynamic neoclassical model with standard functional forms and parameter values. To empirically test the theoretical findings, we analyze the responses of macroeconomic variables to an unanticipated increase in government purchases for 12 Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries during 1985–2019 using a state-dependent local projection method. The estimation results reveal that while output responses to an unanticipated fiscal expansion are significantly positive when the tax-GDP ratio is high, they are statistically indistinguishable from zero when the ratio is low. Overall, our findings suggest that fiscal expansion can stimulate output more effectively at high tax rates, unlike the well-known predictions of the traditional Keynesian model.

Retraction Note: Evaluating the effect of green fiscal policy on firm energy performance: evidence from China

Retraction Note: Evaluating the effect of green fiscal policy on firm energy performance: evidence from China

Analyzing the impact of tax-based vs. rent-based funding on the effectiveness of environmental protection policies

The necessity of government intervention, particularly through public spending, to address market failure in providing public goods like environmental quality is widely recognized. However, the effectiveness of fiscal environmental policies in improving the environment remains unclear. This paper aims to explore the impact of funding sources for government expenditures on environmental quality. Using a Ramsey growth model, we investigate the consequences of two alternative funding sources for environmental protection: Taxes and natural resources rents. The model highlights that along the balanced growth path, financing environmental spending through taxes enhances environmental quality, while funding from natural resources rents leads to its deterioration. Furthermore, the model emphasizes the crucial role of socio-political institutions governing the economy in understanding the link between environmental protection expenditures and environmental outcomes. To test the model's propositions, we utilize a panel dataset of 76 countries spanning from 1995 to 2018. Our empirical findings corroborate the notion that the funding sources of environmental protection expenditures significantly impact environmental outcomes. Additionally, the results indicate that higher institutional quality, such as greater state capacity, enhances the effectiveness of the government's environmental spending in improving environmental quality. Our findings offer valuable insights for policymakers and researchers seeking to design effective strategies for environmental preservation and sustainable growth.

Prospects of Food Taxes for Planetary Health: A Systematic Review of Modeling Studies.

The aim of this study was to analyze the modeling methodologies of fiscal policies on food with health or environmental outcomes. Evidence suggests that fiscal policies on food can contribute to addressing the growing burden of noncommunicable diseases and climate change. These policies should be modeled in advance to see the implications for the environment and health. A systematic review was conducted of studies that modeled fiscal policies on the food groups targeted by the EAT-Lancet Commission and examined their health or environmental outcomes. The Scopus and PubMed databases were searched on November 30, 2021. The records were double-screened and data on modeling methods were extracted from the included studies. A total of 55 studies were included in the review. The most frequently modeled interventions were fruit and vegetable subsidies (n = 19) and carbon taxes on food (n = 17). One study also included a consumer education campaign to enhance the effect of fiscal policy. The outcomes are highly sensitive to consumption change and price elasticities. None of the studies modeled the health effects of environmental outcomes. A model that covered all the relevant aspects of the issue was not found. Some parts were missing from all the included models. It is advisable to model the stability of the amount of diet consumed, either by keeping the amount of food in the diet stable or by taking a more conservative approach and keeping the consumed calories stable. It is preferable to keep the included diseases and environmental boundaries broad to have more valid outcome estimates on this complex issue. A more comprehensive understanding of fiscal policies would allow us to better anticipate the impact of our actions and inactions and thus could lead to more sophisticated measures taken by policymakers. PROSPERO registration no. 2022 CRD42022291945/.

Present Bias Amplifies the Household Balance-Sheet Channels of Macroeconomic Policy

Abstract We study the effect of monetary and fiscal policy in a heterogeneous-agent model where households have present-biased time preferences and naive beliefs. The model features a liquid asset and illiquid home equity, which households can use as collateral for borrowing. Because present bias substantially increases households’ marginal propensity to consume (MPC), present bias increases the impact of fiscal policy. Present bias also amplifies the effect of monetary policy but, at the same time, slows down the speed of monetary transmission. Interest rate cuts incentivize households to conduct cash-out refinances, which become targeted liquidity-injections to high-MPC households. But present bias also introduces a motive for households to procrastinate refinancing their mortgages, which slows down the speed with which this monetary channel operates.

The carbon emission reduction effect of green fiscal policy: a quasi-natural experiment

Carbon emission reduction is crucial for mitigating global climate change, and green fiscal policies, through providing economic incentives and reallocating resources, are key means to achieve carbon reduction targets. This paper uses data covering 248 cities from 2003 to 2019 and applies a multi-period difference-in-differences model (DID) to thoroughly assess the impact of energy conservation and emission reduction (ECER) fiscal policies on enhancing carbon emission (CE1) reduction and carbon efficiency (CE2). It further analyzes the mediating role of Green Innovation (GI), exploring how it strengthens the impact of ECER policies. We find that: (1) ECER policies significantly promote the improvement of carbon reduction and CE2, a conclusion that remains robust after excluding the impacts of concurrent policy influences, sample selection biases, outliers, and other random factors. (2) ECER policies enhance CE1 reduction and CE2 in pilot cities by promoting green innovation, and this conclusion is confirmed by Sobel Z tests. (3) The effects of ECER policies on CE1 reduction and the improvement of CE2 are more pronounced in higher-level cities, the eastern regions and non-resource cities. This research provides policy makers with suggestions, highlighting that incentivizing green innovation through green fiscal policies is an effective path to achieving carbon reduction goals.

An ARDL Approach to Investigate the Effectiveness of Fiscal and Monetary Policies in Making Bangladesh, A Role Model of Development

ABSTRACT: The purpose of the study is to analyze the relative efficacy of monetary and fiscal policies in fostering economic growth in Bangladesh concerning predictability, speed, and magnitude. Moreover, it aims to find the relationship between the economic boom of Bangladesh and two measures of macroeconomic management i.e., monetary and fiscal policy. The ARDL model and bound test are applied to examine the long-term link between monetary policy, fiscal policy, and economic growth. Data is obtained from the World Development Indicator (WDI) for Bangladesh for the period 1974 to 2022. Several diagnostics tests like CUSUM and CUSUMQ are used to identify both the strengths and weaknesses of the models. The findings demonstrated a long-term correlation between the two policies and economic growth. According to the calculated short-run coefficients, the short-term effect of fiscal policy is mentionable but the effect of monetary policy is negligible in the short term. But over time, the immediate effects become noteworthy. The long-term outcomes indicated that both fiscal and monetary policies have a favorable and substantial long-term impact on economic growth. The result shows fiscal policy is more effective compared to monetary policy for making Bangladesh, a role model of Bangladesh. Furthermore, all the diagnostics tests showed the stability of the estimated ARDL model. Expansionary fiscal and monetary policies lead to higher government spending and an increase in the money supply, which raises GDP levels. Conversely, if government spending and the money supply decline (contractionary fiscal and monetary policies), the GDP level falls. As a result, this study suggests using expansionary policies to boost Bangladesh’s economy.

Fiscal policy and deforestation

We investigate the impact of fiscal policy on deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon and Atlantic Forests. We first construct a theoretical dynamic model to examine the effects of government spending and tax revenues on the environment. We then run a VAR model to test the implications of fiscal policies on Brazilian deforestation, using data from June 1998 to May 2022. Our results suggest that government expenditures reduce deforestation in both forests. Moreover, deficit-inducing and balanced-budget fiscal policy shocks have dampening effects on deforestation, with the latter being more effective. This is good news for developing countries like Brazil. They can combat deforestation through fiscal policy in a way that doesn't worsen their fiscal situation. Our findings were unaltered when we considered the effects of a simulated fiscal policy based on spending on public goods only (social assistance, science and technology, defense, education, health, national security, and transportation).

Key Factors for Financial Market Stability and Policy Response

This paper examines the stability of financial markets, emphasizing their importance in economic systems by enabling efficient capital allocation, risk transfer, and information dissemination. It explores the impact of market volatility on the economy, highlighting wealth effects and financing conditions. The study identifies key factors influencing market stability, including robust regulatory frameworks, transparency, and risk management systems. It also evaluates the effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policies in mitigating market fluctuations. The paper underscores the need for adaptive policies, analyzing historical and international experiences to provide insights for future stability measures. Finally, it stresses the importance of international cooperation in enhancing global financial market resilience, advocating for shared information, unified regulatory standards, and collaborative efforts among international financial institutions.

Debt Dynamics and Fiscal Sustainability in Nigeria

This study investigated the stabilizing effect of sustainable fiscal policy on public debt dynamics as well as the impact of debt dynamics on fiscal sustainability in Nigeria for the period (1980 – 2022). Using secondary data obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin (2023), World Development Indicators (WDI, 2023), Debt Management Office (DMO – various years), Penn World Table (PWT – multiple years), and World Economic Outlook (WEO – various years), the study used suitable cointegration and other econometrics techniques viz: Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS), Markov-switching model and polynomial models. It was found, amongst other things, that (i) Automatic debt dynamics can influence debt dynamics, (ii) The robustness or otherwise of primary fiscal balance determines the direction of changes in the total debt stock, and (iii) positive debt dynamics vis-à-vis dwindling revenue flows and growing government expenditure, would result in fiscal unsustainability. It was recommended, amongst other things, that since automatic debt dynamics is one of the significant influences on debt dynamics and is being fuelled by the direction of adjustments in inflation and interest rate, there is a need for concerted efforts at stabilising inflation and interest rate to stabilise public debt dynamics. Also, the study revealed that the size of the primary balance influences the changes in public debt stock. It was recommended that the authorities should endeavour to maintain a robust primary fiscal surplus to stabilise growth in public debt, if not minimise it and grow the economy.

Econometric Analysis of South Africa’s Fiscal and Monetary Policy Effects on Economic Growth from 1980 to 2022

This study examined South Africa’s economic growth rate from 1980 to 2022 through an econometric analysis of fiscal and monetary policies. The study sought to investigate the relationships between the economy’s growth rate and various fiscal and monetary policy variables, taking into account different economic approaches such as Keynesian, monetarist, and Wagner’s perspectives. The methodology used consisted of data preparation, multiple unit root tests, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration analysis, diagnostic tests, and pairwise Granger causality analysis. The empirical analysis found a long-term cointegration among the economic growth rate, government debt, expenditure, and revenue in fiscal policy, though government debt and expenditure were not statistically significant. Contrary to economic theory, increased government revenue had a negative correlation with economic growth. There was no long-term relationship found between the economic growth rate and monetary policy variables such as the official exchange rate, inflation rate, real interest rates, and M3 money supply. Pairwise Granger causality tests revealed a one-way relationship between government spending and economic growth, providing support to the Keynesian approach to fiscal policy. This study also discovered evidence that economic growth Granger-causes inflation, implying that economic growth may have predictive power for inflation, consistent with the demand-pull inflation hypothesis. However, no direct predictive relationships were found between the selected monetary policy variables and economic growth, supporting the long-run theory of monetary neutrality. This study suggests evaluating spending, managing inflation, implementing reforms, closing infrastructure gaps, encouraging investment, and ensuring fiscal sustainability.

Analyzing public sentiment toward economic stimulus using natural language processing

Purpose This study aims to investigate public sentiment toward economic stimulus using textual analysis. Specifically, it analyzes Twitter’s public opinion, emotion-based sentiment and topics related to COVID-19 economic stimulus packages. Design/methodology/approach This study applies natural language processing techniques, such as sentiment analysis, t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding and semantic network analysis, to a global data set of 88,441 tweets from January 2020 to December 2021 extracted from the Twitter platform, discussing COVID-19 economic stimulus packages. Findings Results show that in the fourth quarter of 2021, there is a declining trend of positive sentiment (−5%) and an increasing trend of negative sentiment (14%), which may indicate the perceived inadequacy of COVID-19 stimulus measures. Topic modeling identifies seven topics, highlighting the necessity of stimulus in the education sector. Practical implications The big-data findings of this study provide a better understanding of public sentiment about economic stimulus for regulators and policymakers, which can help in formulating more effective fiscal and monetary policies. Originality/value Public sentiment is a significant concern for regulators because of its associated ambiguity, such as how to design stimulus packages and evaluate the effectiveness of previous measures. This study applies natural language processing, contributing to the growing literature on designing effective economic stimulus.

External Financial Flows, Fiscal Policy and Human Development Index in Nigeria

The sustainable development goals that were rolled out and adjusted from the un-attainment of Millennium development goals of 2015, lacks a notable financial option and channel that would help developing countries like Nigeria to achieve goal 3, goal 4 and goal 8, which this study captured with the human development index. This study examines the effect of external financial flows, fiscal policy and human development index in Nigeria. The used the secondary data that was collected from World development indicators and Central bank of Statistical Bulletin. The period was between 1991 to 2022 bot year inclusive. The external financial flows was captured with foreign direct investment, foreign aid, remittances, net exports, external debt while fiscal policy was captured with government expenditure for education and government expenditure for health. The findings from the external financial flows revealed that foreign direct investment and remittances have a negative significant effect on human development index while net export have a positive significant human development index. The fiscal policy measures revealed that government expenditure on education have a positive significant effect on human development index while government expenditure on health have a negative significant effect on health. The Nigerian government should focus on policies that boost export sectors, especially those that add significant value to raw materials. This can be achieved through subsidies, tax incentives, and investment in infrastructure. The Nigerian government should allocate a larger portion of the national budget to education. This increase in funding should aim to address infrastructural deficits, enhance teacher training, and provide adequate learning materials. Implement robust mechanisms to ensure that health funds are used efficiently and transparently.

Strategic Operational Management in Regional Development: Analyzing the Efficiency and Effectiveness of Public Fiscal Policies in Banyumas, Indonesia

This research examines the strategic operational management of public fiscal policies and their impact on regional development in Banyumas, Indonesia. By analyzing the efficiency and effectiveness of the Regional Revenue and Expenditure Budget (RPP) and its influence on the Gross Regional Domestic Product (PDRB), this study aims to identify key strategic factors that enhance regional economic performance. Utilizing advanced statistical models and operational efficiency metrics, the study provides a comprehensive evaluation of how strategic fiscal management can drive sustainable regional growth. Operational management and strategic planning play pivotal roles in determining the efficiency and effectiveness of public fiscal policies, particularly in the context of regional development. This research seeks to investigate these dynamics within the Banyumas region of Indonesia, focusing on how strategic operational management of the Regional Revenue and Expenditure Budget (RPP) influences economic growth as measured by the Gross Regional Domestic Product (PDRB).