Conditional Logistic Regression Analysis Research Articles

Dietary risk factors for colorectal cancer in Uganda: a case-control study

IntroductionLow-income countries in East Africa have a lower incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) than high-income countries; however, the incidence has steadily increased in the last few decades. In Uganda, the extent to which genetic and environmental factors, particularly dietary factors, contribute to the aetiology of CRC is unclear. Therefore, the objective of our study was to determine the relationship between dietary factors and CRC in Uganda.MethodsWe conducted a case-control study and recruited 128 cases and 256 controls, matched for age (± 5 years) and sex. Data regarding the frequency of consumption of the dietary factors were obtained from all the participants using an interview-based questionnaire. The potential dietary risk factors and protective factors evaluated included the type and frequency of meat consumed and the type and frequency of high-fibre foods consumed. The frequency was either 4 or more times/week, 2–3 times/week, once/week or never. Conditional logistic regression analyses were used to determine the odds ratios associated with the different risk and protective factors.ResultsThe median age (IQR) for the case participants was 55.5 (43-67.5) years, and that of the control participants was 54 (42–65) years. The male-to-female ratio was 1:1 for all the participants. Factors significantly associated with CRC cases included:- the consumption of boiled beef 2–3 times/week (aOR:3.24; 95% CI: 1.08–9.69; p < 0.035). Consumption of high-fibre foods, including:- millet for ≥ 4 times/week (aOR: 0.23; 95% CI: 0.09–0.62; p = 0.003)), spinach for ≥ 4 times/week (aOR:0.32; 95% CI: 0.11–0.97; p = 0.043), and potatoes 2–3 times/week (aOR: 0.30; 95% CI: 0.09–0.97; p = 0.044), were protective against CRC. Boiled cassava showed a tendency to reduce the likelihood of CRC when consumed ≥ 4 times/week (aOR:0.38; 95% CI: 0.12–1.18) however this did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.093).ConclusionsThe consumption of boiled beef increases the risk of CRC, while the intake of high-fibre foods may reduce the risk of CRC among Ugandans. We recommend nutritional educational programmes to increase public awareness regarding the protective role of a high-fibre diet and to limit the intake of cooked meat in our Ugandan population.

Association of diet and outdoor time with inflammatory bowel disease: a multicenter case-control study using propensity matching analysis in China.

To investigate the association between dietary and some other environmental factors and the risk of inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) in Chinese population. A multicenter case-control study was conducted involving 11 hospitals across China. A total of 1,230 subjects were enrolled consecutively, and diet and environmental factor questionnaires were collected. IBD patients were matched with healthy controls (HC) using propensity-score matching (PSM) at a 1:1 ratio with a caliper value of 0.02. Multivariate conditional logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the associations between diet, environmental factors, and IBD. Moderate alcohol and milk consumption, as well as daily intake of fresh fruit, were protective factors for both Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). Conversely, the consumption of eggs and chocolate increased the risk of IBD. Outdoor time for more than 25% of the day was a protective factor only for CD. In eastern regions of China, CD patients had higher egg consumption and less outdoor time, while UC patients consumed more chocolate. IBD patients from urban areas or with higher per capita monthly income consumed more fruit, eggs, and chocolate. This study reveals an association between specific foods, outdoor time, and the emergence of IBD in the Chinese population. The findings emphasize the importance of a balanced diet, sufficient outdoor time and activities, and tailored prevention strategies considering regional variations.

Forest management plan pathways for non-industrial private forest owners in Norway: from acquisition to implementation

AbstractForest management plans (FMP) are key decision-support tools for forest managers and a central policy instrument in many countries. Despite its pivotal importance in forest management, there is a lack of studies that analyze the acquisition, familiarity and implementation of the FMP. These steps collectively contribute to making FMP a successful decision-support tool and forest policy instrument. We surveyed a sample representative of the population of Norwegian non-industrial private forest (NIPF) owners to quantify the importance of a broad set of factors, including ownership objectives, socio-demographic, property and information sources variables on the FMP pathway, i.e. acquisition of FMP, awareness of its content and implementation of the plans’ proposals. Applying principal component analysis on twelve ownership objectives, we found that most forest owners are multiobjective. We combined conditional classification trees and logistic regression analyses on the FMP pathway to unveil familiarity and use of FMP in forest owner subgroups as well as individual drivers. The results indicate that 37% of Norwegian NIPF owners have a FMP. Among the owners having FMP, 66% have good knowledge of its content and 40% implement its proposals. The strongest variables to predict FMP familiarity and use were previous harvests, productive area, advice about forestry from the public management, knowledge of public support schemes for forestry and perceived relevance of the FMP. We conclude that FMP suppliers, consultants, forestry bureaucracy and policy-makers should emphasize information dissemination and relevance of the FMP to increase its success as a decision-support tool and forest policy instrument.

Risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia in twin preterm infants: a multicenter study

To investigate the risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) in twin preterm infants with a gestational age of <34 weeks, and to provide a basis for early identification of BPD in twin preterm infants in clinical practice. A retrospective analysis was performed for the twin preterm infants with a gestational age of <34 weeks who were admitted to 22 hospitals nationwide from January 2018 to December 2020. According to their conditions, they were divided into group A (both twins had BPD), group B (only one twin had BPD), and group C (neither twin had BPD). The risk factors for BPD in twin preterm infants were analyzed. Further analysis was conducted on group B to investigate the postnatal risk factors for BPD within twins. A total of 904 pairs of twins with a gestational age of <34 weeks were included in this study. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that compared with group C, birth weight discordance of >25% between the twins was an independent risk factor for BPD in one of the twins (OR=3.370, 95%CI: 1.500-7.568, P<0.05), and high gestational age at birth was a protective factor against BPD (P<0.05). The conditional logistic regression analysis of group B showed that small-for-gestational-age (SGA) birth was an independent risk factor for BPD in individual twins (OR=5.017, 95%CI: 1.040-24.190, P<0.05). The development of BPD in twin preterm infants is associated with gestational age, birth weight discordance between the twins, and SGA birth.

Risk factors for subsequent fractures in hip fracture patients: a nested case-control study

BackgroundThe risk factors for subsequent fractures following an initial hip fracture are not entirely understood. This study examined the clinical characteristics of hip fracture patients to identify potential risk factors associated with a higher risk of experiencing subsequent fractures.MethodsWe conducted a nested case-control study using data from the Chinese PLA General Hospital Hip Fracture Cohort between January 2008 and March 2022. The cases were individuals who experienced subsequent fractures following an initial hip fracture. Each case was matched with up to 2 controls who did not develop subsequent fractures. Important clinical factors were compared across groups, including traditional fracture risk factors and potential risk factors (e.g., comorbidities, falls risk, physical impairment, calcium or vitamin D use, and anti-osteoporosis medications). Conditional logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate the impact of these clinical features as potential risk factors for subsequent fractures.ResultsA total of 96 individuals who suffered from subsequent fractures were matched with 176 controls. The median time between the initial hip fracture and the subsequent fracture was 2.1 years. The overall proportion of patients receiving anti-osteoporosis treatment after initial hip fracture was 25.7%. In the multivariable regression analysis, living in a care facility (OR = 3.78, 95%CI: 1.53–9.34), longer hospital stays (OR = 1.05, 95%CI: 1.00–1.11), and falls after discharge (OR = 7.58, 95%CI: 3.37–17.04) were associated with higher odds of subsequent fractures.ConclusionsThis study showed that living in a care facility, longer hospital stays, and falls after discharge may be independent risk factors for repeat fractures following an initial hip fracture. These findings could be used to identify and manage patients at high risk of subsequent fractures.

Continuous co-prescription of rebamipide prevents upper gastrointestinal bleeding in NSAID use for orthopaedic conditions: A nested case-control study using the LIFE Study database.

Rebamipide has been widely co-prescribed with non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) in Japan for decades. This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of rebamipide in preventing upper gastrointestinal bleeding in new users of NSAIDs without risk factors of NSAID-induced ulcers other than age. A nested case-control study was conducted using medical claims data of 1.66 million inhabitants of 17 municipalities participating in Japan's Longevity Improvement & Fair Evidence study. The cohort entry (t0) corresponded to a new user of NSAIDs for osteoarthritis or low back pain. Patients with risk factors of NSAID-induced ulcers other than age were excluded. Cases were defined as patients who underwent gastroscopy for upper gastrointestinal bleeding (occurrence date was defined as index date). A maximum of 10 controls were selected from non-cases at the index date of each case by matching sex, age, follow-up time, and type and dosage of NSAIDs. Exposure to rebamipide was defined as prescription status from t0 to index date: Non-user (rebamipide was not co-prescribed during the follow-up period), Continuous-user (rebamipide was co-prescribed from t0 with the same number of tablets as NSAIDs), and Irregular-user (neither Non-user nor Continuous-user). Conditional logistic regression analysis was conducted to estimate each category's odds ratio compared to non-users. Of 67,561 individuals who met the inclusion criteria, 215 cases and 1,516 controls were selected. Compared with that of Non-users, the odds ratios and 95% confidence interval were 0.65 (0.44-0.96) for Continuous-users and 2.57 (1.73-3.81) for Irregular-users. Continuous co-prescription of rebamipide significantly reduced the risk of upper gastrointestinal bleeding in an Asian cohort of new users of NSAIDs with osteoarthritis or low back pain without risk factors other than age.

Analysis of Antipsychotic Dosage in Patients With Tardive Dyskinesia: A Case-Control Study Using the Claims Database of the Corporate Health Insurance Association.

This study aimed to assess the association between antipsychotic doses and the risk of tardive dyskinesia (TD) in clinical practice using a Japanese claims database from 2010 to 2020. The study population included patients 15 years or older with a diagnosis record of schizophrenia, depression, or bipolar disorder who were prescribed antipsychotics. Using a case-control design, we categorized patients newly diagnosed with TD as cases, with corresponding 1:10 matching in the control group. The primary endpoint was the relative risk of TD in the >median dose and ≤median dose groups, as determined using conditional logistic regression analysis adjusted for age. The analysis population included 58,452 patients, and the median daily antipsychotic dose was 75 mg/d of chlorpromazine equivalent (CPZE). Of these, 80 were identified as TD cases, and doses >75 mg/d were associated with a significantly increased risk of TD at the last prescription and the maximum dose, respectively, before the date of the first diagnosis of TD. Post-hoc analysis further showed a significant association between doses ≥300 mg/d and the risk of TD compared to doses ≤75 mg/d and doses >75 to <300 mg/d. Comparing ≥300 mg/d versus >75 to <300 mg/d, the odd ratios at the last prescription and maximum dose before the first diagnosis of TD were 3.40 and 3.50, respectively. In the Japanese medical claims database of patients receiving relatively low doses of antipsychotics, doses >75 mg/d were associated with an increased risk of TD in a dose-dependent manner.

Sociodemographic factors leading to preventable emergency department visits after bariatric surgery: a single-institution analysis

BackgroundAn important quality benchmark after bariatric surgery is 30-day emergency department (ED) visits. ObjectivesWe aimed to identify risk factors for ED visits not requiring readmission and thus deemed preventable. SettingUniversity Hospital. MethodsPatients who underwent a minimally invasive sleeve gastrectomy between 2017 and 2022 at a single institution were identified. Among these patients, those who presented to the ED within 30 days after surgery were matched 3:1 to controls. Sociodemographic and clinical variables were collected from the Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery Accreditation and Quality Improvement Program database and the electronic medical record. Univariate conditional logistic regression analysis was performed to determine predictive factors of ED visits. ResultsOverall, 648 patients underwent sleeve gastrectomy, of which 53 (8.2%) presented to the ED within 30 days postoperatively without requiring readmission. Patients who presented to the ED were more likely to be unemployed (42% versus 24%, P = .04) and have government insurance (68% versus 41%, P = .001). Significant risk factors included lower versus upper socioeconomic bracket (odds ratio [OR] 3.6, P = .042), primary care physician (PCP) outside the health system versus within (OR 2.15, P = .032), greater number of PCP visits within the past year (OR 1.27, P < .001), and greater number of postoperative clinic phone calls (OR 2.04, P < .001). The number of ED visits within 1 year before surgery was a significant risk factor, with an OR of 1.44 for each visit (P < .001). ConclusionsModifiable and unmodifiable risk factors contribute to ED visits after bariatric surgery. Identifying these risk factors can aid in the development of quality improvement initiatives.

Burden of cardiovascular disease on coronavirus disease 2019 hospitalizations in the USA.

Patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and risk factors have increased rates of adverse events and mortality after hospitalization for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). In this study, we attempted to identify and assess the effects of CVD on COVID-19 hospitalizations in the USA using a large national database. The current study was a retrospective analysis of data from the US National (Nationwide) Inpatient Sample from 2020. All adult patients 18 years of age and older who were admitted with the primary diagnosis of COVID-19 were included. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality, while secondary outcomes included prolonged hospital length of stay, mechanical ventilation, and disposition other than home. Prolonged hospital length of stay was defined as a length of stay greater than the 75 th percentile for the full sample. The diagnoses were identified using the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) codes. A total of 1 050 040 patients were included in the study, of which 454 650 (43.3%) had prior CVD. Patients with CVD had higher mortality during COVID-19 hospitalization (19.3 vs. 5.0%, P < 0.001). Similarly, these patients had a higher rate of prolonged hospital length of stay (34.5 vs. 21.0%, P < 0.001), required mechanical ventilation (15.4 vs. 5.6%, P < 0.001), and were more likely to be discharged to a disposition other than home (62.5 vs. 32.3%, P < 0.001). Mean hospitalization cost was also higher in patients with CVD during hospitalization ($24 023 vs. $15 320, P < 0.001). Conditional logistic regression analysis showed that the odds of in-hospital mortality [odds ratio (OR), 3.23; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.91-3.45] were significantly higher for COVID-19 hospitalizations with CVD, compared with those without CVD. Similarly, prolonged hospital length (OR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.43-2.23), mechanical ventilation (OR, 3.31; 95% CI, 3.06-3.67), and disposition other than home (OR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.87-2.21) were also significantly higher for COVID-19 hospitalizations with coronary artery disease. Our study showed that the presence of CVD has a significant negative impact on the prognosis of patients hospitalized for COVID-19. There was an associated increase in mortality, length of stay, ventilator use, and adverse discharge dispositions among COVID-19 patients with CVD. Adjustment in treatment for CVD should be considered when providing care to patients hospitalized for COVID-19 to mitigate some of the adverse hospital outcomes.

Gut Inflammation Markers, Diet, and Risk of Islet Autoimmunity in Finnish Children – A Nested Case-Control Study

BackgroundGut dysbiosis and increased intestinal permeability have been reported to precede type 1 diabetes-related autoimmunity. The role of gut inflammation in autoimmunity is not understood. ObjectivesThis study aimed to assess whether gut inflammation markers are associated with risk of islet autoimmunity and whether diet is associated with gut inflammation markers. MethodsA nested case-control sample of 75 case children with islet autoimmunity and 88 control children was acquired from the Finnish Type 1 Diabetes Prediction and Prevention cohort. Diet was assessed with 3-d food records, and calprotectin and human β-defensin-2 (HBD-2) were analyzed from stool samples at 6 and 12 mo of age. Conditional logistic regression analysis was used in a matched case-control setting to assess risk of autoimmunity. Analysis of variance, independent samples t test, and a general linear model were used in secondary analyses to test associations of background characteristics and dietary factors with inflammation markers. ResultsIn unadjusted analyses, calprotectin was not associated with risk of islet autoimmunity, whereas HBD-2 in the middle (odds ratio [OR]: 3.23; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03, 10.08) or highest tertile (OR: 3.02; 95% CI: 1.05, 8.69) in comparison to the lowest at 12 mo of age showed borderline association (P-trend = 0.063) with higher risk of islet autoimmunity. Excluding children with cow milk allergy in sensitivity analyses strengthened the association of HBD-2 with islet autoimmunity, whereas adjusting for dietary factors and maternal education weakened it. At age 12 mo, higher fat intake was associated with higher HBD-2 (β: 0.219; 95% CI: 0.110, 0.328) and higher intake of dietary fiber (β: −0.294; 95% CI: −0.510, −0.078), magnesium (β: −0.036; 95% CI: −0.059, −0.014), and potassium (β: −0.003; 95% CI: −0.005, −0.001) with lower HBD-2. ConclusionsHigher HBD-2 in infancy may be associated with higher risk of islet autoimmunity. Dietary factors play a role in gut inflammatory status.

The Tryptophan Index Is Associated with Risk of Ischemic Stroke: A Community-Based Nested Case-Control Study.

The relative availability of the essential amino acid tryptophan in the brain, as indicated by the tryptophan index, which is the ratio of tryptophan to its competing amino acids (CAAs) in circulation, has been related to major depression. However, it remains unknown whether tryptophan availability is involved in the pathogenesis of ischemic stroke. We aimed to investigate the relationship between the tryptophan index and the risk of ischemic stroke. We performed a nested case-control study within a community-based cohort in eastern China over the period 2013 to 2018. The analysis included 321 cases of ischemic stroke and 321 controls matched by sex and date of birth. The plasma levels of tryptophan and CAAs, including tyrosine, valine, phenylalanine, leucine, and isoleucine, were measured by ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Conditional logistic regression analyses were employed to determine incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). After adjustment for body mass index, current smoking status, educational attainment, physical activity, family history of stroke, hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and estimated glomerular filtration rate, an elevated tryptophan index was significantly associated with a reduced risk of ischemic stroke in a dose-response manner (IRR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.63-0.93, per standard deviation increment). The plasma tryptophan or CAAs were not separately associated with the risk of ischemic stroke. The tryptophan index was inversely associated with the risk of ischemic stroke. Our novel observations suggest that the availability of the essential amino acid tryptophan in the brain is involved in the pathogenesis of ischemic stroke.

Laparotomy for Traumatic Splenic Injury: Should we Increase our Efforts to Preserve the Spleen?

Abstract Background In trauma laparotomy the spleen is removed very liberally, and often little effort is made for splenic preservation. Aims The aim of this study was to assess the effect of surgical management (splenic repair vs. splenectomy) on outcomes in patients undergoing trauma laparotomy. Methods This is a trauma registry (TQIP) study (2013–2019), including adult patients with severe splenic injuries (grades III-V) undergoing trauma laparotomy. Characteristics and outcomes of patients who underwent splenic repair vs. splenectomy within 6 hours of admission were compared using different statistical approaches, i.e. 1:1 exact matching with consecutive conditional logistic regression analysis as primary analysis, multivariable logistic regression, propensity score matching and inverse-probability weighting as sensitivity analyses. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Results A total of 11,247 patients with a severe splenic injury undergoing trauma laparotomy within 6 hours of admission were identified. Of these, 10,820 (96.2%) patients underwent splenectomy and 427 (3.8%) patients splenic repair within 6 hours of admission. Among patients who underwent an initial splenic salvage procedure, 23 (5.3%) patients underwent a splenectomy during the subsequent hospital stay. 400 patients with splenic preservation, were matched with 400 patients who underwent splenectomy (matched for age, sex, hypotension, trauma mechanism as well as AIS spleen grades 3,4,5 and AIS groups (AIS 0-2, AIS 3, AIS 4-5) for head, face, neck, thorax, spine, and lower &amp; upper extremity). The mortality was significantly lower in the group of patients with splenic repair (6.5% vs 12.8%, p=0.002). The mortality benefit was subsequently verified by conditional regression analysis (aOR 0.4, CI 95% 0.2; 0.9). Multivariable logistic regression, propensity score matching, and inverse-probability weighting confirmed the lower mortality in the splenic repair group. Conclusion In trauma laparotomy splenic repair was independently associated with lower mortality compared with splenectomy. Splenectomy was required in approximately 5% of the patients after initial splenic repair. The findings provide evidence that efforts for spleen preservation in trauma laparotomy should be considered in selected cases.

Association of area- and volumetric-mammographic density and breast cancer risk in women of Asian descent: a case control study

BackgroundMammographic density (MD) has been shown to be a strong and independent risk factor for breast cancer in women of European and Asian descent. However, the majority of Asian studies to date have used BI-RADS as the scoring method and none have evaluated area and volumetric densities in the same cohort of women. This study aims to compare the association of MD measured by two automated methods with the risk of breast cancer in Asian women, and to investigate if the association is different for premenopausal and postmenopausal women.MethodsIn this case–control study of 531 cases and 2297 controls, we evaluated the association of area-based MD measures and volumetric-based MD measures with breast cancer risk in Asian women using conditional logistic regression analysis, adjusting for relevant confounders. The corresponding association by menopausal status were assessed using unconditional logistic regression.ResultsWe found that both area and volume-based MD measures were associated with breast cancer risk. Strongest associations were observed for percent densities (OR (95% CI) was 2.06 (1.42–2.99) for percent dense area and 2.21 (1.44–3.39) for percent dense volume, comparing women in highest density quartile with those in the lowest quartile). The corresponding associations were significant in postmenopausal but not premenopausal women (premenopausal versus postmenopausal were 1.59 (0.95–2.67) and 1.89 (1.22–2.96) for percent dense area and 1.24 (0.70–2.22) and 1.96 (1.19–3.27) for percent dense volume). However, the odds ratios were not statistically different by menopausal status [p difference = 0.782 for percent dense area and 0.486 for percent dense volume].ConclusionsThis study confirms the associations of mammographic density measured by both area and volumetric methods and breast cancer risk in Asian women. Stronger associations were observed for percent dense area and percent dense volume, and strongest effects were seen in postmenopausal individuals.

Development and Validation of a Fusion Model Based on Carotid Plaques and White Matter Lesion Burden Imaging Characteristics to Evaluate Ischemic Stroke Severity in Symptomatic Patients.

The diagnostic value of carotid plaque characteristics based on higher-resolution vessel wall MRI (HRVW-MRI) combined with white matter lesion (WML) burden for the risk of ischemic stroke is unclear. To combine carotid plaque features and WML burden to construct a hybrid model for evaluating ischemic stroke severity and prognosis in patients with symptomatic carotid artery stenosis. Retrospective. One hundred and ninty-three patients with least one confirmed carotid atherosclerotic stenosis ≥30% and cerebrovascular symptoms within the last 2 weeks (136 in the training cohort and 57 in the test cohort). 3.0T, T2-weighted fluid attenuated inversion recovery (T2-FLAIR) and diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI); HRVW-MRI: 3D T1-weighted variable flip angle fast spin-echo sequences (VISTA), T2-weighted VISTA, simultaneous noncontrast angiography and intraplaque hemorrhage (SNAP), and contrast-enhanced T1-VISTA. The following features of the plaques or vessel wall were assessed by three MRI readers independently: calcification (CA), intraplaque hemorrhage (IPH), lipid-rich necrotic core (LRNC), ulceration, plaque enhancement (PE), maximum vessel diameter (Max VD), maximum wall thickness (Max WT), total vessel area (TVA), lumen area (LA), plaque volume, and lumen stenosis. WMLs were graded visually and categorized as absent-to-mild WMLs (Fazekas score 0-2) or moderate-severe WMLs (Fazekas score 3-6). WML volumes were quantified using a semiautomated volumetric analysis program. Modified Rankin scores (mRS) were assessed at 90 days, following an outpatient interview, or by telephone. LASSO-logistic regression analysis was performed to construct a model. The performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses, calibration curves, decision curve analyses, and clinical imaging curves. Conditional logistic regression analysis was used to explore the associations between the hybrid model-derived score and the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 90 days. The model was constructed using five selected features, including IPH, plaque enhancement, ulceration, NWI, and total Fazekas score in deep WMLs (DWMLs). The hybrid model yielded an area under the curve of 0.92 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.87-0.97) in the training cohort and 0.88 (0.80-0.96) in the test cohort. Furthermore, the hybrid model-derived score (odds ratio = 1.28; 95% CI 1.06-1.53) was independently associated with the mRS score 90 days after stroke. The hybrid model constructed using MRI plaque characteristics and WML burden has potential to be an effective noninvasive method of assessing ischemic stroke severity. The model-derived score has promising utility in judging neurological function recovery. Stage 2.

Risk of Mortality Associated with Potentially Inappropriate Medication Use Including Opioids in Older Adults.

As the population ages, understanding the potential risks associated with inappropriate medication use becomes increasingly important. Given the lack of studies in this area, our objective was to study the risk of mortality associated with potentially inappropriate medication use involving opioids in community-dwelling older adults. Data came from a longitudinal study on older adults aged ≥ 65 years recruited in primary care clinics between 2011 and 2013 with an average follow-up of 4.25 years. Older adults were excluded if they used an opioid or had a malignant tumor diagnosis in the year before the study survey. A nested case-control within a cohort of older adults with at least one opioid claim during follow-up was used to evaluate the risk of all-cause mortality. Four controls per case were matched on follow-up time using risk-set sampling, i.e., while still at risk of death when their matched case died. The risk of mortality was estimated using conditional logistic regression analyses. Exposure to potentially inappropriate medication use involving opioids, defined using the Beers 2019 criteria, was assessed from provincial drug claims data in the 0-90 days before death. In a cohort of 472 community-dwelling older adults with an incident episode of opioid use, there were 40 casesmatched to 160 controls. Exposure to inappropriate medication use involving opioids in the 90 days before death was associated with an increased risk of mortality (odds ratio 6.81, 95% confidence interval 1.69-27.47),after adjusting for potential confounders. Exposure to inappropriate medication use involving opioids in the 90 days before death is associated with an increased risk of mortality in older adults. These findings can be used to encourage safer pain management strategies in older adults.

Determinants of tuberculosis disease development in children in central Ethiopia: A matched case-control study.

The risk factors for tuberculosis (TB) disease development in children remained understudied, particularly in low-income countries like Ethiopia. The objective of this study was to identify determinants of TB disease development in general and in relation to BCG vaccination in children in central Ethiopia. We employed a 1:1 age-matched case-control design to compare the characteristics of children who developed TB (cases) with those who did not (controls). Data were collected in healthcare facilities in Addis Ababa city, Adama, and Bishoftu towns between September 25, 2021, and June 24, 2022. Two hundred and fifty-six cases were drawn at random from a list of childhood TB patients entered into SPSS software, and 256 controls were selected sequentially at triage from the same healthcare facilities where the cases were treated. A bivariate conditional logistic regression analysis was performed first to select candidate variables with p-values less than or equal to 0.20 for the multivariable model. Finally, variables with a p-value less than 0.05 for a matched adjusted odds ratio (mORadj) were reported as independent determinants of TB disease development. The mean age of the cases was nine years, while that of the controls was 10 years. Males comprised 126 cases (49.2%) and 119 controls (46.5%), with the remainder being females. Ninety-nine (38.7%) of the cases were not BCG-vaccinated, compared to 58 (22.7%) of the controls. Household TB contact was experienced by 43 (16.8%) of the cases and 10 (3.9%) of the controls. Twenty-two (8.6%) of the cases and six (2.3%) of the controls were exposed to a cigarette smoker in their household. Twenty-two (8.6%) of the cases and three (1.2%) of the controls were positive for HIV. Children who were not vaccinated with BCG at birth or within two weeks of birth had more than twice the odds (mORadj = 2.11, 95% CI = 1.28-3.48) of developing TB compared to those who were. Children who ever lived with a TB-sick family member (mORadj = 4.28, 95% CI = 1.95-9.39), smoking family members (mORadj = 3.15, 95% CI = 1.07-9.27), and HIV-infected children (mORadj = 8.71, 95% CI = 1.96-38.66) also had higher odds of developing TB disease than their counterparts. Being BCG-unvaccinated, having household TB contact, having a smoker in the household, and being HIV-infected were found to be independent determinants of TB disease development among children.

Prediagnostic plasma proteomics profile for hepatocellular carcinoma.

Proteomics may discover pathophysiological changes related to hepatocellular carcinoma, an aggressive and lethal type of cancer with low sensitivity for early stage diagnosis. We measured 1305 prediagnostic (median = 12.7 years) SomaScan proteins from 54 pairs of healthy individuals who subsequently developed hepatocellular carcinoma and matched non-hepatocellular carcinoma control individuals from the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS). Candidate proteins were validated in the independent, prospective UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project (UKB-PPP). In NHS and HPFS, we identified 56 elevated proteins in hepatocellular carcinoma with an absolute fold change of more than 1.2 and a Wald test P value less than .05 in conditional logistic regression analysis. Ingenuity pathway analysis identified enrichment of pathways associated with cell viability, adhesion, proteolysis, apoptosis, and inflammatory response. Four proteins-chitinase-3-like protein 1, growth differentiation factor 15, interleukin-1 receptor antagonist protein, and E-selectin-showed strong positive associations with hepatocellular carcinoma and were thus validated by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (odds ratio = 2.48-14.7, all P < .05) in the NHS and HPFS and by Olink platform (hazard ratio = 1.90-3.93, all P < .05) in the UKB-PPP. Adding these 4 proteins to a logistic regression model of traditional hepatocellular carcinoma risk factors increased the area under the curve from 0.67 to 0.87 in the NHS and HPFS. Consistently, model area under the curve was 0.88 for hepatocellular carcinoma risk prediction in the UKB-PPP. However, the limited number of hepatocellular carcinoma patients in the cohorts necessitates caution in interpreting our findings, emphasizing the need for further validation in high-risk populations.

Determinants of second-dose measles vaccination dropout in Ethiopia: A community-based matched case-control study

BackgroundMeasles vaccination is the most important public health intervention and a cost-effective strategy to reduce morbidity and mortality in under-five children. Although Ethiopia's government developed a measles elimination strategic plan by 2020, the full coverage of immunization was 43 %. Therefore, this study aimed to identify determinants of second-dose measles vaccination (MCV2) dropout among children aged 24–35 months in East Bale Zone, Ethiopia. MethodA community-based matched case-control study was conducted among 351 children (117 cases and 234 controls). Children who received the first dose of measles vaccine but did not receive the second dose were cases, and children who received both doses of measles vaccine were control. The matches were based on age and residence. The data were collected using a structured questionnaire, entered into Epi Data 3.1, cleaned, exported, and analyzed using Stata version 16.1. A multivariable conditional logistic regression analysis was performed. Variables with a P value of <0.05 were considered significant determinants of the dependent variable at the 95 % confidence level. ResultsMothers who were unable to read and write (mAOR: 4.0; 95 % CI: 1.59–10.2), did not receive counseling (mAOR: 3.19; 95 % CI: 1.62–6.27), spent ≥30 min to reach health facilities (mAOR; 2.76, 95 % CI: 1.25–6.1), and did not attend postnatal care (mAOR; 3.46, 95 % CI: 1.58–7.57) were significantly and positively associated with second-dose measles vaccination dropout. In addition, mothers who had poor knowledge of second-dose measles vaccination (mAOR; 3.20, 95 % CI: 1.50–6.70) and waited more than an hour for measles vaccination at health facilities (mAOR; 2.61, 95 % CI: 1.0–6.20) were significantly more likely to experience second-dose measles vaccine dropout. ConclusionsThe key factors associated with second-dose measles vaccination dropout are maternal illiteracy, lack of PNC, inadequate maternal knowledge and poor counseling about MCV2 vaccination, long distances travel to healthcare facilities and extended waiting times at vaccination providing sites. Health extension workers emphasize strengthening home visit programs in catchment households to improve mothers' awareness of measles vaccination.

Hand-Arm-Vibrationsdosis und arbeitstechnische Voraussetzungen für die Berufskrankheit Nr. 2103 – Eine epidemiologische Fall-Kontroll-Studie

Hand-arm vibration dose and work-related requirements for occupational disease no. 2103 – An epidemiological case-control study Background: An epidemiological case-control study of dose-effect relationships between hand-arm vibration exposure and musculoskeletal disorders of occupational disease no. 2103 (BK 2103) was carried out in order to provide evidence-based recommendations for the recognition of BK 2103. Methods: Male cases and controls were recruited and standardised personal interviews were conducted between 1 January 2010 and 30 November 2021. In addition to leisure activities and comorbidities, work histories regarding the use of hand-operated and hand-held technical tools that can induce hand-arm vibrations were recorded in detail. To quantify the individual vibration exposure, a database of industrial hygiene measurements of vibration values of over 700 technical power tools was established (vibration register). The vibration measurements recorded in the database allows quantification of the daily dose and lifetime dose of the vibration exposure. The dose-effect relationships between hand-arm vibration exposure and musculoskeletal disorders as defined by BK 2103 were quantified for the various dose models using conditional logistic regression analyses. Results: In total, 209 cases and 614 controls were recruited. Compared to controls, cases suffered more frequently from gout, arm fractures, hip osteoarthritis, knee osteoarthritis, spinal osteoarthritis and trauma injuries or inflammatory conditions of the finger, elbow and shoulder joints. After adjusting for relevant confounders, the study analyses demonstrate consistent and statistically significant dose-effect relationships between hand-arm vibration exposure and musculoskeletal disorders as defined by BK 2103. A vibration dose of Dhv = 142.331 m2/s4 x day or Dhw = 38.724 m2/s4 x day is associated with a doubling of the risk of musculoskeletal disorders of the upper extremities as defined by BK 2103. Conclusions: These dose values serve as a guide and could also be applied in an assessment of the work-related requirements for the recognition of BK 2103. Sensitivity analyses indicate that an exposure duration with a defined threshold daily dose is not suitable for guiding the recognition of BK 2103. Keywords: hand-arm vibration – musculoskeletal disorders – dose-effect relationship – epidemiology – risk-doubling dose

Doses to the right coronary artery and the left anterior descending coronary artery and death from ischemic heart disease after breast cancer radiotherapy: a case-control study in a population-based cohort.

Doses to the coronary arteries in breast cancer (BC) radiotherapy (RT) have been suggested to be a risk predictor of long-term cardiac toxicity after BC treatment. We investigated the dose-risk relationships between near maximum doses (Dmax) to the right coronary artery (RCA) and left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD) and ischemic heart disease (IHD) mortality after BC RT. In a cohort of 2,813 women diagnosed with BC between 1958 and 1992 with a follow-up of at least 10 years, we identified 134 cases of death due to IHD 10-19 years after BC diagnosis. For each case, one control was selected within the cohort matched for age at diagnosis. 3D-volume and 3D-dose reconstructions were obtained from individual RT charts. We estimated the Dmax to the RCA and the LAD and the mean heart dose (MHD). We performed conditional logistic regression analysis comparing piecewise spline transformation and simple linear modeling for best fit. There was a linear dose-risk relationship for both the Dmax to the RCA (odds ratio [OR]/Gray [Gy] 1.03 [1.01-1.05]) and the LAD (OR/Gy 1.04 [1.02-1.06]) in a multivariable model. For MHD there was a linear dose-risk relationship (1,14 OR/Gy [1.08-1.19]. For all relationships, simple linear modelling was superior to spline transformations. Doses to both the RCA and LAD are independent risk predictors of long-term cardiotoxicity after RT for BC In addition to the LAD, the RCA should be regarded as an organ at risk in RT planning.