A detailed analysis of literature data on the retention of divalent metal by purified montmorillonite or montmorillonite-rich material (e.g. bentonite) was conducted. Data for which sufficient experimental conditions were available were modeled with the 2SPNE SC/CE model available in the literature, and with a “minimalist” model, which uses a minimum number of parameters to reproduce the data.A successful data modeling could only be achieved if considering (i) cation exchange competition with aqueous Ca2+ and Mg2+, originating from the dissolution of the clay mineral itself or accessory minerals and (ii) precipitation, at high pH, of phases incorporating the divalent metal of interest. However, in many studies, the concentration of aqueous Ca2+ and Mg2+ and, more generally, a full characterization of solution composition (e.g., Si, Al, dissolved organic carbon, alkalinity) is not provided, thus impeding accurate data modeling. Further difficulties stem from uncertainties related to the nature of the solids precipitating at high pH and missing or inaccurate thermodynamic data related to mineral solubility.Log KD values cannot be predicted from available literature data with an accuracy better than ±1 log unit, without sorption data obtained on a material representative of in situ conditions. In addition, the most reactive sites, commonly referred to as strong sites, which have been characterized only on some, but not all, reference clay materials, should not be considered in blind predictions based on the mineralogical composition of clay materials.
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