In this study, the dilatancy of tunnel surrounding rock in coal measure strata was comprehensively investigated by means of field monitoring, theory analysis and algorithm analysis. The study reveals that dilatancy is related to many phenomena of coal mine disasters such as gas outburst, rib spalling and rock burst. Accordingly, the method of predicting these phenomena through dilatancy monitoring was proposed. Furthermore, a method based on support vector machine was proposed to predict the dilatancy of coal seams, and the dilatancy limit of coal and rock mass was defined as the criterion for judging whether a working face was to undergo dynamic disasters. A working face will undergo disasters when its dilatancy exceeds the dilatancy limit, in which case the support of working face should be strengthened. The criterion was then verified in the stope. The research results have important guiding significance for prediction and prevention of coal seam disasters.
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