To evaluate the safety and efficacy of chemoembolization in patients with intermediate-stage infiltrative Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This retrospective study evaluated outcomes in treatment-naïve patients who received chemoembolization as first-line treatment for intermediate-stage infiltrative HCC between 2002 and 2022. Of the 2029 treatment-naïve patients who received chemoembolization as first-line treatment for intermediate-stage HCC, 244 (12%) were identified as having the infiltrative type. After excluding two patients lost to follow-up, 242 patients were evaluated. Median post-chemoembolization overall survival (OS) was 16months. Multivariable Cox analysis identified four factors predictive of OS: Child-Pugh class B (hazard ratio [HR], 1.84; p = 0.001), maximal tumor size ≥ 10cm (HR, 1.67; p < 0.001), tumor number ≥ 4 (HR, 1.42; p = 0.037), and bilobar tumor involvement (HR, 1.64; p = 0.003). These four factors were used to create pretreatment prediction models, with risk scores of 0-1, 2-4, and 5-7 defined as low, intermediate, and high risk, respectively. Median OS times in these three groups were 34, 18, and 8months, respectively (p < 0.001). The objective tumor response rate following chemoembolization was 53%. The major complication rate was 9% overall and was significantly higher in the high-risk group (22%) than in the low (2%) and intermediate (3%) risk groups (p < 0.001). Chemoembolization is safe and effective in selected patients with intermediate-stage infiltrative HCC. Chemoembolization is not recommended in high-risk patients with intermediate-stage infiltrative HCC because of poor OS and high rates of major complications. A pretreatment prediction model was developed using four risk factors associated with overall survival following chemoembolization for intermediate-stage infiltrative hepatocellular carcinoma. This model may provide valuable information for clinical decision-making. • Four risk factors (Child-Pugh score B, maximal tumor size ≥ 10cm, tumor number ≥ 4, and bilobar tumor involvement) were used to create pretreatment prediction models, with risk scores of 0-1, 2-4, and 5-7 defined as low, intermediate, and high risk, respectively. • Median overall survival (OS) times and major complication rate in these three groups were 34, 18, and 8months, and 2%, 3%, and 22%, respectively (p < 0.001). Chemoembolization is not recommended in high-risk patients with intermediate-stage infiltrative Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) because of poor OS and high rates of major complications.
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