American Joint Committee On Cancer 8th Research Articles

Proposal of a new T-stage classification system for ampullary carcinoma based on Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Result (SEER) database

BackgroundTumor size is still considered a useful prognostic factor in currently available tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification staging systems for most solid tumors, but the significance of tumor size on the prognosis of ampullary carcinoma remains controversial. The aim of the current study was to propose a new T-stage classification system for ampullary carcinoma to address the impact of tumor size on the prognostic outcome. MethodsUsing the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we identified 1080 patients with ampullary carcinoma who underwent radical surgical resection between 2004 and 2015. Based on the results obtained from analysis of various clinicopathologic factors, a new T-stage classification system was proposed. ResultsAmong the 1080 patients, 618 were men and 462 were women, with a median tumor size of 2.3 (range 0.1–12) cm. Using the 7th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging manual, we noticed significant differences in overall survival (OS) between T2 vs. T3 tumors (P < 0.001) and T3 vs. T4 tumors (P = 0.002), but failed to observe significant differences between T1 vs. T2 tumors (P = 0.498) in our pair-wise comparison. Using the newly developed T-stage classification system, we were able to differentiate significant differences in OS between T1 vs. T2 tumors (P = 0.032), T2 vs. T3 tumors (P < 0.001) and T3 vs. T4 tumor (P = 0.003) in all pair-wise comparisons. The c-index of the new staging system was 0.653 (95% CI: 0.629–0.677), showing a better discriminatory power than the 0.636 of the 7th AJCC staging system (95% CI: 0.612–0.660). ConclusionsThe new T-stage classification system described herein can better differentiate prognostic outcomes after radical resection in patients with ampullary carcinoma by incorporating tumor size and depth of tumor infiltration.

Dynamic nomograms combining N classification with ratio-based nodal classifications to predict long-term survival for patients with lung adenocarcinoma after surgery: a SEER population-based study

BackgroundThe prognostic roles of three lymph node classifications, number of positive lymph nodes (NPLN), log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS), and lymph node ratio (LNR) in lung adenocarcinoma are unclear. We aim to find the classification with the strongest predictive power and combine it with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th TNM stage to establish an optimal prognostic nomogram.Methods25,005 patients with T1-4N0–2M0 lung adenocarcinoma after surgery between 2004 to 2016 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database were included. The study cohort was divided into training cohort (13,551 patients) and external validation cohort (11,454 patients) according to different geographic region. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed on the training cohort to evaluate the predictive performance of NPLN (Model 1), LODDS (Model 2), LNR (Model 3) or LODDS+LNR (Model 4) respectively for cancer-specific survival and overall survival. Likelihood-ratio χ2 test, Akaike Information Criterion, Harrell concordance index, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the models. Nomograms were established according to the optimal models. They’re put into internal validation using bootstrapping technique and external validation using calibration curves. Nomograms were compared with AJCC 8th TNM stage using decision curve analysis.ResultsNPLN, LODDS and LNR were independent prognostic factors for cancer-specific survival and overall survival. LODDS+LNR (Model 4) demonstrated the highest Likelihood-ratio χ2 test, highest Harrell concordance index, and lowest Akaike Information Criterion, and IDI and NRI values suggested Model 4 had better prediction accuracy than other models. Internal and external validations showed that the nomograms combining TNM stage with LODDS+LNR were convincingly precise. Decision curve analysis suggested the nomograms performed better than AJCC 8th TNM stage in clinical practicability.ConclusionsWe constructed online nomograms for cancer-specific survival and overall survival of lung adenocarcinoma patients after surgery, which may facilitate doctors to provide highly individualized therapy.

Validation and modification of AJCC 8th edition staging system for hepatocellular carcinoma--analysis based on SEER database

Objective: To assess the accuracy of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition staging system for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to make an appropriate modification. Methods: Data of patients diagnosed with HCC who underwent surgery were extracted from 2004 to 2015 within the SEER database. Overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) of patients were analyzed. Results: A total of 7 911 patients were included and there were 2 117 females and 5 794 males. The male-to-female ratio was 1.00: 0.36. There were 4 050 patients older than 60 years old. Tumor size ranged from 24 to 65 mm. Tumors with single lobes (80.8%) or single lesions (62.8%) were more common. There were 230 cases and 2 052 cases received radiotherapy and chemotherapy, accounting for 2.9% and 25.9%, respectively. The median follow-up was 42 months. Analysis of the 8th edition of AJCC staging system showed that the survival curves of ⅣA stage and ⅢA stage intersected in both OS and DSS, and the differences were not statistically significant between them (both P>0.05). Analysis of patients in subgroup of ⅣA stage showed that there was no statistically significant difference in the four groups of T1N1M0/T2N0M0, T2N1M0/T3N0M0, T3N1M0/T4N0-1M0 and T3N1M0/T1-4N0-1M1 (all P>0.05). Therefore, the modified 8th edition of the AJCC staging system was proposed after retaining the definition of T/N/M in the old edition: ⅠA and ⅠB stages were retained; ⅣA stage was split: T1N1M0 was included in Ⅱ stage, T2N1M0 in Ⅲ stage, and Ⅳ stage included T3N1M0, T4N0-1M0 and T1-4N0-1M1. Cox proportional risk regression analysis of the modified 8th edition of the AJCC staging showed that significant differences were observed among the four groups, with ⅠB/ⅠA (HR=1.462, 95%CI:1.294-1.651), Ⅱ/ⅠB (HR=1.091, 95%CI:1.003-1.186), Ⅲ/Ⅱ (HR=2.034, 95%CI: 1.793-2.307) and Ⅲ/Ⅳ (HR=1.374, 95%CI: 1.192-1.583) for OS, respectively. The similar findings were seen in DSS, with ⅠB/ⅠA (HR=2.007, 95%CI:1.671-2.411), Ⅱ/ⅠB (HR=1.140, 95%CI:1.023-1.271), Ⅲ/Ⅱ (HR=2.344, 95%CI: 2.018-2.724) and Ⅲ/Ⅳ (HR=1.391, 95%CI:1.180-1.639), respectively. Conclusion: The modified AJCC 8th edition staging system could predict the survival outcome of HCC more accurately.

Comparison of a Tumor-Ratio-Metastasis Staging System and the 8th AJCC TNM Staging System for Gastric Cancer.

BackgroundDespite the implementation of the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging system for gastric cancer (GC) in 2017, it still holds a significant level of stage migration which affects patients’ proper classification and accurate prognosis. Here, to reduce this effect, we evaluated the prognostic value of a lymph node ratio (LNR) and established a novel tumor–ratio–metastasis (TRM) staging system.MethodThe data of 15,206 GC patients from the Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (Training set; n=2,032) and the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (Validation set; n=13,174) were analyzed. The training set was classified into 5 LNR categories, based on which the novel TRM staging system was constructed. The overall survival (OS) between the TRM and AJCC TNM systems was compared in the training set and validated in the validation set. The likelihood ratio x2, liner trend x2, C-index, and Akaike information criterion (AIC) values were used to measure the discriminatory ability between the two different staging systems. Decision curve analyses (DCAs) were conducted to test the clinical value of the two staging systems.ResultThe patients were classified into the following categories: LNR0: 0%, LNR1: 0%<LNR ≤ 10%, LNR2: 10%<LNR ≤ 25%, LNR 3a: 25%<LNR ≤ 60%, and LNR 3b: LNR>60%. Univariate analyses demonstrated that the log-rank x2 of the LNR stage (Training/Validation set: x2 = 463.1/2880.8) was larger than the AJCC pN stage (Training/Validation set: x2 = 281.5/2240.8). For both the training set and validation set, stratified analyses using the Kaplan-Meier method identified significantly heterogeneous OS in every pN category but only one using the LNR. The TRM staging system had higher likelihood ratio x2, liner trend x2, C-index and smaller AIC values than the TNM system.ConclusionThe TRM staging system demonstrated improved homogeneity and discriminatory ability in predicting the prognosis of GC patients compared with the AJCC TNM staging system.

Post-resection prognosis of combined hepatocellular carcinoma-cholangiocarcinoma according to the 2019 WHO classification

Combined hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA) has wide histologic diversity. This study investigated the prognostic impacts of cHCC-CCA histology according to the 2019 World Health Organization (WHO) classification. This retrospective observational study included 153 patients who underwent surgical resection for cHCC-CCA at Asan Medical Center between August 2012 and July 2019. During the study period, 153 patients, 112 (73.2%) men and 41 (26.8%) women with a mean age of 56.4 ± 10.8 years, underwent R0 resection for cHCC-CCA. Mean tumor diameter was 4.2 ± 2.6 cm, and 147 (96.1%) patients had solitary tumors. According to 2019 World Health Organization (WHO) classification, 111 (72.5%) patients had cHCC-CCA alone, and 29 of them (26.1%) showed stem cell features. cHCC-CCA-intermediate cell carcinoma and cHCC-CCA-cholangiolocellular carcinoma were identified in 27 (17.6%) and 15 (9.8%), respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year tumor recurrence and patient survival rates were 31.8% and 92.1%, 49.8% and 70.9%, and 59.0% and 61.7%, respectively. Univariate analyses revealed that significant prognostic factors were tumor size > 5 cm, microscopic and macroscopic vascular invasion, lymph node metastasis, 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) tumor stage, and status of stem cell feature. Multivariate analysis revealed 8th AJCC tumor stage and status of stem cell features as independent prognostic factors. The 2019 WHO classification was not associated with post-resection prognosis. The 2019 WHO classification was not associated with post-resection prognosis, thus was considered as a simple histologic classification. We suggest that stem cell features should be included as an essential component of the pathology report for cHCC-CCA.

Triple-negative breast cancer outcomes: Does AJCC 8th staging improve chemotherapy decision-making

PurposeTo investigate the effect of the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) pathological prognostic staging on chemotherapy decision-making for triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) patients with T1-2N0M0 disease. MethodsPatients diagnosed with T1-2N0M0 TNBC were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. Statistical methods including Kaplan-Meier survival curve, receiver operating characteristics curve, and Cox proportional hazard model. ResultsWe identified 12,156 patients, including 9371 (77.1%) patients who received chemotherapy. Overall, 57.4% of patients (n = 6975) were upstaged after being reassigned by the 8th AJCC staging. However, the 8th staging of AJCC did not have a greater prognostic value compared to the 7th staging (P = 0.064). The receipt of chemotherapy significantly improved the breast cancer-specific survival for stage T1c and T2 tumors (P < 0.001), but not for stage T1a (P = 0.188) and T1b (P = 0.376) tumors. Using AJCC 8th staging, chemotherapy benefit was only found in stage IIA patients (P = 0.002), but not for stage IA (P = 0.653) and IB (P = 0.492) patients. There were 9564 patients with stage T1c and T2 diseases and 4979 patients with 8th AJCC stage IIA disease. Therefore, approximately half of patients (47.9%, n = 4585) may be safe to omit chemotherapy using the AJCC 8th staging compared to the current chemotherapy recommendation for T1-2N0M0 TNBC. ConclusionThe 8th AJCC staging system did not demonstrate the superior discriminatory ability of prognostic stratification than the 7th AJCC staging system in T1-2N0M0 TNBC. However, this new AJCC staging could more accurately predict the chemotherapy benefit, thereby enabling more patients to avoid unnecessary chemotherapy.

Comparative assessment of the eighth and seventh AJCC staging edition prognostic performance of patients with p16 positive oropharynx cancer.

6067 Background: The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging system defines the anatomical extent of disease and serves as a guide for treatment and prognosis. The favorable prognosis of p16+ oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) compared to p16 negative counterpart led to major updates in the AJCC 8th edition. Its prognostic performance, however, warrants further validation. Methods: We included patients diagnosed with p16+ OPSCC enrolled in a prospective registry ( Stiefel) at The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center between March 2015 and December 2018. Patients’ stage at diagnosis was classified according to the AJCC 7th (AJCC-7) and 8th (AJCC-8) editions. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) was defined as time from diagnosis to death or to progression or death, respectively. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate 1- and 3-year survival probabilities. Differences between groups were compared using the log-rank test. Prognostic discriminative performance of each staging system was evaluated using Harrel’s C-statistic. Survival differences between heavy (&gt; 10 pack-years [PY]) vs. light/never smokers (≤ 10 PY) by AJCC-8 staging groups was assessed with the log-rank test. Results: Of 463 patients, the median follow-up was 34.7 months (2.3-169.74). Nearly 90% (N=413) of patients were down-staged from AJCC-7 to AJCC-8 with 69% of patients with IVA disease based on AJCC-7 (N=319) re-staged as stage I (N=196 [42%]), II (N=79 [17%]) or III (44 [10%]) according to AJCC-8. Over 60% (N=279) of patients were staged as I with AJCC-8. Compared to AJCC-7, AJCC-8 had improved prognostic ability (C-statistic, 0.58 for AJCC-7 vs. 0.63 for AJCC-8) and provided better discriminative survival probabilities at 1 and 3-year follow-up (Table). Similar results were observed for PFS. Smoking status did not impact OS when stratified by AJCC-8 staging groups: I, p=0.347; II, p=0.310; and III, p=0.532 for &gt; 10 vs. ≤ 10 PY. Conclusions: Our cohort validates that the AJCC-8 provides better prognostic discriminative performance when compared to AJCC-7, however, a disproportionate number of patients were classified as stage I. Smoking was not associated with survival within each staging group.[Table: see text]

Comparison of Two Major Staging Systems in Predicting Survival and Recommendation of Postoperative Radiotherapy Based on the 11th Japanese Classification for Esophageal Carcinoma After Curative Resection: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis.

The aim of this study was to compare the prognostic predictive power of the 11th Japan Esophageal Society (JES) staging system with the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system in patients with thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (TESCC), and to estimate the survival benefits of postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) based on a substage of the JES staging system. Area under the curve (AUC) values of the receiver operating characteristic curve were calculated to evaluate prognostic efficacy. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was conducted to balance the two groups (surgery only [S group] or surgery plus PORT [S+RT group]) across substages of the 11th JES staging system according to independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) identified using Cox proportional hazards regression. A total of 2960 patients were eligible. The 5-year OS AUC for the 8th AJCC staging system was significantly higher than that for the 11th JES staging system (0.701 vs. 0.675, p<0.001). Before PSM, PORT significantly improved 5-year OS rates for patients in stage III and IVA by 9.1% (p<0.001) and 21.1% (p<0.001), respectively. After PSM, the 5-year OS rates in stage II, III, and IVA of the S+RT group were significantly higher than those in the S group (70.9%, 39.7%, and 35.1% vs. 57.8%, 27.2%, and 10.3%, respectively; p<0.001). The 11th JES staging system was less capable of predicting prognosis than the 8th AJCC staging system and patients in stage III of the JES staging system were highly recommended to undergo PORT.

Impaired Sleep Influences Health Care Related Quality of Life in Patients With Well Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma

Background: Most patients with well differentiated thyroid carcinoma (WDTC) have a favorable prognosis but often report lower health care related quality of life (HRQoL). Sleep quality is one contributor to HRQoL that has also been reported to be impaired in WDTC patients. We evaluated patient reported outcome measures (PROM) of HRQoL and sleep quality in patients with WDTC, and compared them to patients with thyroid nodules.Methods: This is a single institution cohort study utilizing data on consented adult patients with WDTC or thyroid nodules from an integrated cancer research database. We included participants with WDTC and thyroid nodules who completed the SF-36v2 HRQoL survey and the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI). HRQoL was reported as a composite mental (MCS) and physical (PCS) component score that was compared with population-based norms and reported as the frequency of patients scoring below or well below the age-controlled reference population. Sleep quality was reported as PSQI raw score. Poor sleep quality was defined as a PSQI score >5. Cancer stage was calculated as American Joint Commission on Cancer (AJCC) 7th and 8th edition for each subject in the registry.Results: We evaluated 727 patients and 424 (58%) had WDTC: 219 (72%) with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), 28 (9%) with follicular variant of PTC, 53 (18%) with follicular thyroid carcinoma and 3 (1%) with Hurthle cell carcinoma. Of these, 208 (68.7%) were treated with radioactive iodine ablation with a mean cumulative dose of 197.7 (range 29-700) mCi. Mean age for WDTC was 42.7 years (standard deviation SD 15.4), and 53.4 years (SD 14.3) for nodules (p < 0.001). Eighty one percent of WDTC and 368 (87%) of nodules were female (p = 0.022). PSQI indicated worse sleep quality for WDTC patients with a mean of 6.85 (SD 3.97) and 174 (57.4%) reporting poor sleep quality with a PSQI > 5, compared with a mean score of 6.8 (SD 4.05) and 170 (40.1%) with PSQI > 5 for nodules (p < 0.001). WDTC diagnosis was associated with poor sleep quality with an odds ratio of 2.02 (95% confidence interval 1.48 - 2.75), p < 0.001. Poor quality sleep was also associated with WDTC stage using AJCC8 (0.017) but not AJCC7 (p = 0.067). Overall PCS, MCS, and HRQoL category were not significantly different between WDTC and nodule groups. When stratified by stage, MCS was inversely associated with cancer stage using AJCC7 (p = 0.035) but not AJCC8 (p = 0.96); PCS was associated with cancer stage using both AJCC7 (p = 0.003) and AJCC8 (p < 0.001).Conclusions: Patients with WDTC report worse sleep quality than those with thyroid nodules and it is correlated with AJCC8 stage. HRQoL is similar between all WDTC patients and those with thyroid nodules in this cohort, though WDTC patients with higher stage reported worse physical function. The AJCC 8th was more sensitive to differences in sleep quality and physical function by stage than AJCC 7th.

Post-resection prognosis of combined hepatocellular carcinoma-cholangiocarcinoma cannot be predicted by the 2019 World Health Organization classification

BackgroundCombined hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA) has wide histologic diversity. This study investigated the prognostic impacts of cHCC-CCA histology according to the 2019 World Health Organization (WHO) classification. MethodsThis retrospective observational study included 153 patients who underwent surgical resection for cHCC-CCA at Asan Medical Center between August 2012 and July 2019. ResultsDuring the study period, 153 patients, 112 (73.2%) men and 41 (26.8%) women with a mean age of 56.4 ± 10.8 years, underwent R0 resection for cHCC-CCA. Mean tumor diameter was 4.2 ± 2.6 cm, and 147 (96.1%) patients had solitary tumors. According to 2019 WHO classification, 111 (72.5%) patients had cHCC-CCA alone, and 29 of them (26.1%) showed stem cell features. cHCC-CCA-intermediate cell carcinoma and cHCC-CCA-cholangiolocellular carcinoma were identified in 27 (17.6%) and 15 (9.8%), respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year tumor recurrence and patient survival rates were 31.8% and 92.1%, 49.8% and 70.9%, and 59.0% and 61.7%, respectively. Univariate analyses revealed that significant prognostic factors were tumor size >5 cm, microscopic and macroscopic vascular invasion, lymph node metastasis, 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) tumor stage, and status of stem cell features. Multivariate analysis revealed 8th AJCC tumor stage and status of stem cell features as independent prognostic factors. 2019 WHO classification was not associated with post-resection prognosis. Conclusions2019 WHO classification was not associated with post-resection prognosis, thus was considered as simplified histologic classification requiring prognostic validation. We suggest that stem cell features should be included as an essential component of the pathology report for cHCC-CCA.

Proposed modification of the eighth edition of the AJCC staging system for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

BackgroundTo improve the prognostic accuracy of the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) with establishment and validation of a modified TNM (mTNM) staging system. MethodsData on patients who underwent curative-intent resection for ICC was collected from 15 high-volume centers worldwide (n = 643). An external validation dataset was obtained from the SEER registry (n = 797). The mTNM staging system was proposed by redefining T categories, and incorporating the recently proposed N status as N0 (no lymph node metastasis [LNM]), N1 (1–2 LNM) and N2 (≥3 LNM). ResultsThe 8th AJCC TNM staging system failed to stratify overall survival (OS) of stage II versus IIIA, stage IIIB versus IV, as well as overall stage III versus IV among all patients from the two databases, as well as stage I versus II, and stage III versus III among patients who had ≥6 LNs examined. There was a monotonic decrement in survival based on the proposed mTNM staging classification among patients derived from both the multi-institutional (Median OS, stage I 69.8 vs. II 37.1 vs. III 18.9 vs. IV 16.4 months, all p < 0.05), and SEER (Median OS, stage I 87.0 vs. II 29.3 vs. III 17.7 vs. IV 14.2 months, all p < 0.05) datasets, which was also verified among patients who had ≥6 lymph node harvested from both databases. ConclusionThe modified TNM staging system for ICC using the new T and N definitions provided an improved means to stratify patients relative to long-term OS versus the 8th AJCC staging.

Development of a predictive nomogram for early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients undergoing liver transplantation.

BackgroundAn individual prognostic model that includes inflammation caused by the delayed recovery of liver function after surgery for the early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following liver transplantation (LT) has not been well determined. Our aim was to develop a nomogram model for predicting individual survival and early recurrence following LT for patients.MethodsRetrospective data, including clinical pathology and follow-up data, on HCC patients were collected between October 2016 and October 2019 at Huashan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University. A nomogram estimating recurrence post-transplantation was constructed using multivariate Cox regression analysis.ResultsA total of 210 patients were included in the present study. The multivariate estimators of recurrence consisted of age, maximum tumor diameter, tumor thrombus, microvascular invasion (MVI), alanine aminotransferase and alpha-fetoprotein on postoperative day 7. Nomogram of recurrence-free survival was developed. The calibration and discrimination of the novel model were assessed with the calibration curves and concordance index (C-index). Its reliability and advantages were evaluated by comparing it with the conventional American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition staging system using integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and net reclassification improvement (NRI). In comparison to the AJCC 8th edition staging system, the C-index (development set: 0.796 vs. 0.643, validation set: 0.741 vs. 0.563), the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the validation set (1-year AUC: 0.732 vs. 0.586, 2-year AUC: 0.705 vs. 0.504), the development set (1-year AUC: 0.799 vs. 0.551, 2-year AUC: 0.801 vs. 0.512), and this model’s calibration plots all showed improved performance. In addition, NRI and IDI verified that the nomogram is an accurate prognostic tool. Subsequently, a web calculator was generated to assess the risk of tumor recurrence post-LT.ConclusionsThe nomogram, based on clinical and pathological factors, showed good accuracy in estimating prognostic recurrence and can be used to guide individual patient follow-up and treatment.

Refining breast cancer prognosis by incorporating age at diagnosis into clinical prognostic staging: introduction of a novel online calculator.

American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) clinical staging is used to estimate breast cancer prognosis, but individual patient survival within each stage varies considerably by age at diagnosis. We hypothesized that the addition of age at diagnosis to the staging schema will enable more refined risk stratification. We performed a retrospective population analysis of adult women diagnosed with invasive breast cancer between 2010 and 2015 registered in SEER. Multivariable Cox hazards models were used to evaluate the association of AJCC 8th edition clinical prognostic stage (CPS) and age with risk of overall mortality. Separate hierarchical models were fit to the data: Model 1: CPS alone; Model 2: CPS + age + age2; and Model 3: CPS + age + age2 + CPS x age + CPS x age2. Models were compared by the Akaike information criterion (AIC), the c-statistic for time-dependent receiver operator characteristic curves, and category-free net reclassification improvement (NRI). Internal validation was performed using bootstrapping samples. Among 86,637 women, the median follow-up was 36months and 3-year overall survival was 91.9% ± 0.1%. Age significantly modified the effect of CPS on survival (p < 0.0001). Model 3 was the most precise, with the lowest AIC (126,619.63), the highest c-statistic (0.8212, standard error 0.0187), and superior NRI indices. Age at diagnosis is a highly prognostic variable that warrants consideration for inclusion in future editions of the AJCC Breast Cancer Staging Manual.

Original study: The rescue staging for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma with inadequate examined lymph nodes

BackgroundIn previous studies, it’s recommended that the lymph node involvement should be evaluated with enough examined lymph nodes (eLNs) in the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for pancreatic cancer. This study aims to put forward a rescue staging system for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients with inadequate eLNs after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). Method11,224 PDAC patients undergoing PD in The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were included. Another Ruijin Pancreatic Disease Center (RJPDC) database consisted of 821 patients was utilized for external validation. ResultsThe proportions of patients with eLNs≥15 were 44.7% and 32.8% in SEER and RJPDC database separately. The rescue staging system was put forward relying on LNR (HR = 1.83, 95% CI 1.74–1.92, P < 0.001) for N staging of eLNs<15 population and pLNs for the rest. The TNM modalities were also rearranged in the rescue system for better survival coordination. The C-index of rescue staging system was 0.638 while that of AJCC 8th staging system was 0.613 in SEER database. Similar phenomena were observed in RJPDC database. Kaplan-Meier analyses revealed reliable internal coherences (SEER: Ib: P = 0.26; IIa: P = 0.063; IIb: P = 0.53; IIIa: P = 0.11. RJPDC: Ib: P = 0.32; IIa: P = 0.66; IIb: P = 0.76; IIIa: P = 0.66) and significant staging efficiency (SEER: P < 0.001; RJPDC: P = 0.002). ConclusionA rescue staging system was put forward regardless of the eLNs number. And the novel system manifested better predictive capacity than 8th AJCC staging system.

Prognostic Value of HPV Infection Assessed by p16 Immunohistochemistry and the Influence of Tobacco Usage in Oropharyngeal Cancers: Real World Scenario.

To find if an association could be established between Human Papilloma Virus (HPV) infection and oropharyngeal cancers (OPCs) in a group of patients known to be regular users of tobacco, and to determine the impact of HPV status on clinical outcomes.Case records of 212 patients with AJCC-7 (The American Joint Committee on Cancer 7th edition) stages II-IVB non metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the oropharynx treated using radical radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy during the years 2015-2018 were retrieved. Formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded blocks from oropharyngeal biopsies were available for 177 patients and were evaluated for p16 expression by immunohistochemical (IHC) staining. More than 50% nuclear staining with or without cytoplasmic staining was considered HPV+ . The association between tobacco use and HPV, as well as the influence of HPV status on survival outcomes were assessed. p16 expression was found to be positive in 23(13%) patients. Significant association was found between chewable tobacco usage and HPV positivity (p = 0.051). The median follow up was 20.5months (range: 3-80). 5-year Overall Survival was 43.4% and 29.8% (p = 0.044) in HPV+ and HPV- patients, respectively. Local control was significantly better in HPV+ patients (38.6% vs. 25.3%, p = 0.049). There was also a trend towards improved Disease-free Survival in HPV+ patients (31months vs. 15months, p = 0.078). Though less in prevalence among the Indian population, improved outcomes in HPV+ OPC patients and widely available IHC HPV assays signifies the routine implementation of p16 testing in day-to-day clinical practice.

Validation of the 8th Edition American Joint Commission on Cancer (AJCC) Gallbladder Cancer Staging System: Prognostic Discrimination and Identification of Key Predictive Factors.

Simple SummaryDespite implementing numerous changes in the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for gallbladder cancer (GBC), the ability to accurately prognosticate survival in these patients has not been vigorously evaluated. The purpose of our study was to compare the prognostic ability of AJCC 7th and 8th edition, investigate the effect of AJCC 8th edition nodal status on the survival, and identify risk factors associated with the survival after N reclassification in GBC patients. We used the largest cancer database in the United States and determined that the updated AJCC 8th edition GBC staging system was comparable to the 7th edition, with no major improvements in survival discrimination. The recently implemented changes in N classification do not appear to improve the prognostic performance of the AJCC cancer staging system with regard to survival in GBC patients.The scope of our study was to compare the predictive ability of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th and 8th edition in gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) patients, investigate the effect of AJCC 8th nodal status on the survival, and identify risk factors associated with the survival after N reclassification using the National Cancer Database (NCDB) in the period 2005–2015. The cohort consisted of 7743 patients diagnosed with GBC; 202 patients met the criteria for reclassification and were denoted as stage ≥III by AJCC 7th and 8th edition criteria. Overall survival concordance indices were similar for patients when classified by AJCC 8th (OS c-index: 0.665) versus AJCC 7th edition (OS c-index: 0.663). Relative mortality was higher within strata of T1, T2, and T3 patients with N2 compared with N1 stage (T1 HR: 2.258, p < 0.001; T2 HR: 1.607, p < 0.001; Τ3 HR: 1.306, p < 0.001). The risk of death was higher in T1–T3 patients with Nx compared with N1 stage (T1 HR: 1.281, p = 0.043, T2 HR: 2.221, p < 0.001, T3 HR: 2.194, p < 0.001). In patients with AJCC 8th edition stage ≥IIIB GBC and an available grade, univariate analysis showed that higher stage, Charlson–Deyo score ≥ 2, higher tumor grade, and unknown nodal status were associated with an increased risk of death, while year of diagnosis after 2013, academic center, chemotherapy. and radiation therapy were associated with decreased risk of death. Chemotherapy and radiation therapy were associated with decreased risk of death in patients with T3–T4 and T2–T4 GBC, respectively. In conclusion, the updated AJCC 8th GBC staging system was comparable to the 7th edition, with the recently implemented changes in N classification assessment failing to improve the prognostic performance of the staging system. Further prospective studies are needed to validate the T2 stage subclassification as well as to clarify the association, if any is actually present, between advanced N staging and increased risk of death in patients of the same T stage.

A Comparison of the Seventh and Eighth Editions of the AJCC Staging Systems to Predict Recurrence in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma.

The incidence of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma has been constantly rising in recent decades. The tumor, node, metastasis staging system is designed to predict prognosis in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma. Recent studies have shown that the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition is superior to the 7th edition for predicting tumor recurrence in PTC patients. To date, whether the 8th edition is also better able to predict recurrence in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) remains unclear. We enrolled 1007 cases from our thyroid cancer database in the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, from 1997 to 2011. Univariable and multivariate Cox hazard regression analyses were used to identify the association between variables and recurrence. Disease-free survival was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. A total of 1007 PTMC patients were enrolled, with a median follow-up of 67 months. Of 93 (9.2%) patients downstaged by the changes in versions, 49 (52.7%) were downstaged because the age-at-diagnosis cut-off used for staging increased from 45 to 55years, while 35 (37.6%) were downstaged due to the weakening of the effects of lymph node metastasis. The recurrence rate of PTMC was 4.17%. Univariate Cox hazards regression analyses showed that TNM stage according to the AJCC 8th edition was significantly associated with recurrence, while the recurrence survival curves showed that TNM stage (stage I vs. stage II-IV) according to the AJCC 8th edition, but not the 7th edition, was significantly associated with disease-free survival (p<0.05). The AJCC 8th edition has better ability to predict recurrence in PTMC patients than the 7th edition.

Staging for Breast Cancer With Internal Mammary Lymph Nodes Metastasis: Utility of Incorporating Biologic Factors.

PurposeTo validate the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) pathological prognostic staging system for breast cancer patients with internal mammary lymph nodes (IMN) metastasis (N3b disease, stage IIIC in 7th AJCC anatomical staging).MethodsBreast cancer patients with IMN metastasis diagnosed between 2010 and 2014 were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. Chi-squared test, Log-rank test, Kaplan-Meier method, and Cox proportional hazard analysis were applied to statistical analysis.ResultsWe included 678 patients with N3b disease in this study. Overall, 68.4% of patients were downstaged to IIIA and IIIB diseases from the 7th anatomical staging to 8th pathological prognostic staging. The new pathological prognostic staging system had better discriminatory value on prognosis prediction among IMN-metastasized breast cancer patients, with a 5-year breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) of 92.7, 77.4, and 66.0% in stage IIIA, IIIB, and IIIC diseases, respectively (P<0.0001), and the 5-year overall survival (OS) rates was 85.9, 72.1, and 58.7%, respectively (P<0.0001). The results of the multivariate prognostic analysis showed that the new pathological prognostic staging was the independent prognosis related to BCSS and OS, the 8th AJCC pathological prognostic stages showed worse BCSS and OS with gradually increased hazard ratios.ConclusionThe 8th AJCC pathological prognostic staging system offers more refined prognostic stratification to IMN-metastasized breast cancer patients and endorses its use in routine clinical practice for this specific subgroup of breast cancer.

Clinical Calculator Based on Molecular and Clinicopathologic Characteristics Predicts Recurrence Following Resection of Stage I-III Colon Cancer.

Clinical calculators and nomograms have been endorsed by the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC), as they provide the most individualized and accurate estimate of patient outcome. Using molecular and clinicopathologic variables, a third-generation clinical calculator was built to predict recurrence following resection of stage I-III colon cancer. Prospectively collected data from 1,095 patients who underwent colectomy between 2007 and 2014 at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center were used to develop a clinical calculator. Discrimination was measured with concordance index, and variability in individual predictions was assessed with calibration curves. The clinical calculator was externally validated with a patient cohort from Washington University's Siteman Cancer Center in St Louis. The clinical calculator incorporated six variables: microsatellite genomic phenotype; AJCC T category; number of tumor-involved lymph nodes; presence of high-risk pathologic features such as venous, lymphatic, or perineural invasion; presence of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes; and use of adjuvant chemotherapy. The concordance index was 0.792 (95% CI, 0.749 to 0.837) for the clinical calculator, compared with 0.708 (95% CI, 0.671 to 0.745) and 0.757 (0.715 to 0.799) for the staging schemes of the AJCC manual's 5th and 8th editions, respectively. External validation confirmed robust performance, with a concordance index of 0.738 (95% CI, 0.703 to 0.811) and calibration plots of predicted probability and observed events approaching a 45° diagonal. This third-generation clinical calculator for predicting cancer recurrence following curative colectomy successfully incorporates microsatellite genomic phenotype and the presence of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, resulting in improved discrimination and predictive accuracy. This exemplifies an evolution of a clinical calculator to maintain relevance by incorporating emerging variables as they become validated and accepted in the oncologic community.

PET/CT Poorly Predicts AJCC 8th Edition Pathologic Staging in HPV-Related Oropharyngeal Cancer.

The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition introduced distinct clinical and pathological staging paradigms for human papilloma virus positive (HPV+) oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). Treatment planning for OPSCC often utilizes positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) to assess clinical stage. We hypothesize that PET/CT will accurately predict final pathologic AJCC 8th edition staging in patients with HPV+ OPSCC. All patients with primary HPV+ OPSCC with preoperative PET/CT who underwent transoral robotic surgery and neck dissection between 2011 and 2017 were identified. Data were collected via chart review. Two neuroradiologists performed blinded re-evaluation of all scans. Primary tumor size and cervical nodal disease characteristics were recorded and TNM staging was extrapolated. Cohen's kappa statistic was used to assess interrater reliability. Test for symmetry was performed to analyze discordance between radiologic and pathologic staging. Forty-nine patients met inclusion criteria. Interrater reliability was substantial between radiologists for nodal (N) and overall staging (OS) (κ=0.715 and 0.715). Radiologist A review resulted in identical OS for 67% of patients, overstaging for 31%, and understaging for 2%. Radiologist B review resulted in 61% identical OS, 39% overstaging, and 0% understaging. In misclassified cases, the test of symmetry shows strong bias toward overstaging N stage and OS (P < .001). Radiologic interpretation of extracapsular extension showed poor interrater reliability (κ=0.403) and poor accuracy. PET/CT predicts a higher nodal and overall stage than pathologic staging. PET/CT should not be relied upon for initial tumor staging, as increased FDG uptake is not specific for nodal metastases. PET/CT is shown to be a poor predictor of ECE. 4 Laryngoscope, 131:1535-1541, 2021.