Ice Flow Acceleration Research Articles

Representing Grounding Line Dynamics in Numerical Ice Sheet Models: Recent Advances and Outlook

Recent satellite observations of the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets show accelerated ice flow and associated ice sheet thinning along coastal outlet glaciers in contact with the ocean. Both processes are the result of grounding line retreat due to melting at the grounding line (the grounding line is the contact of the ice sheet with the ocean, where it starts to float and forms an ice shelf or ice tongue). Such rapid ice loss is not yet included in large-scale ice sheet models used for IPCC projections, as most of the complex processes are poorly understood. Here we report on the state-of-the art of grounding line migration in marine ice sheets and address different ways in which grounding line migration can be attributed and represented in ice sheet models. Using one-dimensional ice flow models of the ice sheet/ice shelf system we carried out a number of sensitivity experiments with different spatial resolutions and stress approximations. These are verified with semi-analytical steady state solutions. Results show that, in large-scale finite-difference models, grounding line migration is dependent on the numerical treatment (e.g. staggered/non-staggered grid) and the level of physics involved (e.g. shallow-ice/shallow-shelf approximation).

The imbalance of glaciers after disintegration of Larsen-B ice shelf, Antarctic Peninsula

Abstract. The outlet glaciers to the embayment of the Larsen-B Ice Shelf started to accelerate soon after the ice shelf disintegrated in March 2002. We analyse high resolution radar images of the TerraSAR-X satellite, launched in June 2007, to map the motion of outlet glaciers in detail. The frontal velocities are used to estimate the calving fluxes for 2008/2009. As reference for pre-collapse conditions, when the glaciers were in balanced state, the ice fluxes through the same gates are computed using ice motion maps derived from interferometric data of the ERS-1/ERS-2 satellites in 1995 and 1999. Profiles of satellite laser altimetry from ICESat, crossing the terminus of several glaciers, indicate considerable glacier thinning between 2003 and 2007/2008. This is taken into account for defining the calving cross sections. The difference between the pre- and post-collapse fluxes provides an estimate on the mass imbalance. For the Larsen-B embayment the 2008 mass deficit is estimated at 4.34 ± 1.64 Gt a−1, significantly lower than previously published values. The ice flow acceleration follows a similar pattern on the various glaciers, gradually decreasing in magnitude with distance upstream from the calving front. This suggests stress perturbation at the glacier front being the main factor for acceleration. So far there are no signs of slow-down indicating that dynamic thinning and frontal retreat will go on.

Greenland ice sheet mass balance: distribution of increased mass loss with climate warming; 2003–07 versus 1992–2002

AbstractWe derive mass changes of the Greenland ice sheet (GIS) for 2003–07 from ICESat laser altimetry and compare them with results for 1992–2002 from ERS radar and airborne laser altimetry. The GIS continued to grow inland and thin at the margins during 2003–07, but surface melting and accelerated flow significantly increased the marginal thinning compared with the 1990s. The net balance changed from a small loss of 7 ± 3 Gt a−1 in the 1990s to 171 ± 4 Gt a−1 for 2003–07, contributing 0.5 mm a−1 to recent global sea-level rise. We divide the derived mass changes into two components: (1) from changes in melting and ice dynamics and (2) from changes in precipitation and accumulation rate. We use our firn compaction model to calculate the elevation changes driven by changes in both temperature and accumulation rate and to calculate the appropriate density to convert the accumulation-driven changes to mass changes. Increased losses from melting and ice dynamics (17–206 Gt a−1) are over seven times larger than increased gains from precipitation (10–35 Gt a−1) during a warming period of ∼2 K (10 a)−1 over the GIS. Above 2000 m elevation, the rate of gain decreased from 44 to 28 Gt a−1, while below 2000 m the rate of loss increased from 51 to 198 Gt a−1. Enhanced thinning below the equilibrium line on outlet glaciers indicates that increased melting has a significant impact on outlet glaciers, as well as accelerating ice flow. Increased thinning at higher elevations appears to be induced by dynamic coupling to thinning at the margins on decadal timescales.

Recent ice-surface-elevation changes of Fleming Glacier in response to the removal of the Wordie Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula

AbstractRegional climate warming has caused several ice shelves on the Antarctic Peninsula to retreat and ultimately collapse during recent decades. Glaciers flowing into these retreating ice shelves have responded with accelerating ice flow and thinning. The Wordie Ice Shelf on the west coast of the Antarctic Peninsula was reported to have undergone a major areal reduction before 1989. Since then, this ice shelf has continued to retreat and now very little floating ice remains. Little information is currently available regarding the dynamic response of the glaciers feeding the Wordie Ice Shelf, but we describe a Chilean International Polar Year project, initiated in 2007, targeted at studying the glacier dynamics in this area and their relationship to local meteorological conditions. Various data were collected during field campaigns to Fleming Glacier in the austral summers of 2007/08 and 2008/09. In situ measurements of ice-flow velocity first made in 1974 were repeated and these confirm satellite-based assessments that velocity on the glacier has increased by 40–50% since 1974. Airborne lidar data collected in December 2008 can be compared with similar data collected in 2004 in collaboration with NASA and the Chilean Navy. This comparison indicates continued thinning of the glacier, with increasing rates of thinning downstream, with a mean of 4.1 ± 0.2 m a−1 at the grounding line of the glacier. These comparisons give little indication that the glacier is achieving a new equilibrium.

Empirical Retrieval of Surface Melt Magnitude from Coupled MODIS Optical and Thermal Measurements over the Greenland Ice Sheet during the 2001 Ablation Season.

Accelerated ice flow near the equilibrium line of west-central Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS) has been attributed to an increase in infiltrated surface melt water as a response to climate warming. The assessment of surface melting events must be more than the detection of melt onset or extent. Retrieval of surface melt magnitude is necessary to improve understanding of ice sheet flow and surface melt coupling. In this paper, we report on a new technique to quantify the magnitude of surface melt. Cloud-free dates of June 10, July 5, 7, 9, and 11, 2001 Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) daily reflectance Band 5 (1.230-1.250μm) and surface temperature images rescaled to 1km over western Greenland were used in the retrieval algorithm. An optical-thermal feature space partitioned as a function of melt magnitude was derived using a one-dimensional thermal snowmelt model (SNTHERM89). SNTHERM89 was forced by hourly meteorological data from the Greenland Climate Network (GC-Net) at reference sites spanning dry snow, percolation, and wet snow zones in the Jakobshavn drainage basin in western GIS. Melt magnitude or effective melt (E-melt) was derived for satellite composite periods covering May, June, and July displaying low fractions (0-1%) at elevations greater than 2500m and fractions at or greater than 15% at elevations lower than 1000m assessed for only the upper 5 cm of the snow surface. Validation of E-melt involved comparison of intensity to dry and wet zones determined from QSCAT backscatter. Higher intensities (> 8%) were distributed in wet snow zones, while lower intensities were grouped in dry zones at a first order accuracy of ∼ ±2%.

Seasonal Speedup Along the Western Flank of the Greenland Ice Sheet

It has been widely hypothesized that a warmer climate in Greenland would increase the volume of lubricating surface meltwater reaching the ice-bedrock interface, accelerating ice flow and increasing mass loss. We have assembled a data set that provides a synoptic-scale view, spanning ice-sheet to outlet-glacier flow, with which to evaluate this hypothesis. On the ice sheet, these data reveal summer speedups (50 to 100%) consistent with, but somewhat larger than, earlier observations. The relative speedup of outlet glaciers, however, is far smaller (<15%). Furthermore, the dominant seasonal influence on Jakobshavn Isbrae's flow is the calving front's annual advance and retreat. With other effects producing outlet-glacier speedups an order of magnitude larger, seasonal melt's influence on ice flow is likely confined to those regions dominated by ice-sheet flow.

Larsen B Ice Shelf rheology preceding its disintegration inferred by a control method

A new, complete velocity field from satellite remote sensing is combined with numerical modeling to infer the rheology of the Larsen B Ice Shelf before its disintegration. The resulting spatial distribution of the flow parameter exhibits large variability, which reflects very well observed ice shelf features. This variability is explained by factors including advection of colder ice from tributary glaciers, bottom melting, and the presence of zones of strong shear and fracture. The inferred distribution is applied to simulate numerically the flow regime of the ice shelf and to examine its modification by the presence of open rifts and by the retreat of ice shelf front between 1996 and 2000. Results demonstrate that variable rheology is essential to understanding ice shelf evolution, especially the close relationship among frontal retreat, fracture, ice flow acceleration, and the destabilization of ice shelves.

Basal processes beneath an Arctic glacier and their geomorphic imprint after a surge, Elisebreen, Svalbard

The foreground of Elisebreen, a retreating valley glacier in West Svalbard, exhibits a well-preserved assemblage of subglacial landforms including ice-flow parallel ridges (flutings), ice-flow oblique ridges (crevasse-fill features), and meandering ridges (infill of basal meltwater conduits). Other landforms are thrust-block moraine, hummocky terrain, and drumlinoid hills. We argue in agreement with geomorphological models that this landform assemblage was generated by ice-flow instability, possibly a surge, which took place in the past when the ice was thicker and the bed warmer. The surge likely occurred due to elevated pore-water pressure in a thin layer of thawed and water-saturated till that separated glacier ice from a frozen substratum. Termination may have been caused by a combination of water drainage and loss of lubricating sediment. Sedimentological investigations indicate that key landforms may be formed by weak till oozing into basal cavities and crevasses, opening in response to accelerated ice flow, and into water conduits abandoned during rearrangement of the basal water system. Today, Elisebreen may no longer have surge potential due to its diminished size. The ability to identify ice-flow instability from geomorphological criteria is important in deglaciated terrain as well as in regions where ice dynamics are adapting to climate change.

Runoff and mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet: 1958–2003

Meteorological models were used to retrieve annual accumulation, runoff, and surface mass balance on a 5 km × 5 km grid for the Greenland ice sheet for 1958–2003. We present the first such history that provides insight into seasonal and interannual variability, which should prove useful for those studying the ice sheet. Derived runoff was validated by means of a control model run and independent in situ data. Modeled accumulation has already been validated using shallow ice core data. Surface mass balance (SMB) responds rapidly on a yearly basis to changing meteorological (surface air temperature and precipitation) forcing. There are distinct signals in runoff and SMB following three major volcanic eruptions. Runoff losses from the ice sheet were 264 (±26) km3 yr−1 in 1961–1990 and 372 (±37) km3 yr−1 in 1998–2003. Significantly rising runoff since the 1990s has been partly offset by increased precipitation. Our best estimate of overall mass balance declined from 22 (±51) km3 yr−1 in 1961–1990 to −36 (±59) km3 yr−1 in 1998–2003, which is not statistically significant. Additional dynamical factors that cause an acceleration of ice flow near the margins, and possible enhanced iceberg calving, may have led to a more negative mass balance in the past few years than suggested here. The implication is a significant and accelerating recent contribution from the ice sheet to global sea level rise, with 0.15 mm yr−1 from declining SMB alone over the last 6 years.

Improved estimation of the mass balance of glaciers draining into the Amundsen Sea sector of West Antarctica from the CECS/NASA 2002 campaign

AbstractIn November–December 2002, a joint airborne experiment by Centro de Estudios Cientifícos and NASA flew over the Antarctic ice sheet to collect laser altimetry and radio-echo sounding data over glaciers flowing into the Amundsen Sea. A P-3 aircraft on loan from the Chilean Navy made four flights over Pine Island, Thwaites, Pope, Smith and Kohler glaciers, with each flight yielding 1.5–2 hours of data. The thickness measurements reveal that these glaciers flow into deep troughs, which extend far inland, implying a high potential for rapid retreat. Interferometric synthetic aperture radar data (InSAR) and satellite altimetry data from the European Remote-sensing Satellites (ERS-1/-2) show rapid grounding-line retreat and ice thinning of these glaciers. Using the new thickness data, we have reevaluated glacier fluxes and the present state of mass balance, which was previously estimated using ice thicknesses deduced largely from inversion of elevation data assuming hydrostatic equilibrium. The revised total ice discharge of 241 ± 5km3 a–1 exceeds snow accumulation by 81 ± 17 km3 a–1 of ice, equivalent to a sea-level rise of 0.21 ± 0.04 mma–1. This magnitude of ice loss is too large to be caused by atmospheric forcing and implies dynamic thinning of the glaciers. This is confirmed by ice-flow acceleration observed with InSAR. We attribute the flow acceleration and ice thinning to enhanced bottom melting of the ice shelves by a warmer ocean, which reduces buttressing of the glaciers, and in turn accelerates them out of balance.

Reconstructing the basal thermal regime of an ice stream in a landscape of selective linear erosion: Glen Avon, Cairngorm Mountains, Scotland

The Cairngorm Mountain area of Scotland is a classic example of a landscape of selective linear glacial erosion, with sharp contrasts in the intensity of glacial erosion between the deeply incised troughs and valleys and the undulating high plateau. This article examines the Quaternary development of Glen Avon, a 200 m deep glacial trough set within the high plateau of the mountains. Evidence concerning the aggregate basal thermal regimes of the topographically controlled ice streams that formerly developed in this area is reconstructed from the geomorphological record, including bedforms indicative of wet‐based, sliding ice and of dry‐based ice frozen to its bed. This mapping indicates that basal sliding was not confined exclusively to the troughs but extended towards valley heads and on to parts of the plateau adjacent to troughs. The extent of basal sliding appears to have been greatest beneath pre‐Late Devensian ice sheets. Basal ice temperatures are modelled under steady‐state conditions for the last ice sheet at c. 18 ka BP. Basal thermal regimes are predicted using a reconstruction of the preglacial relief and for the current topography of the area. Convergent flow of ice through the preglacial valley system appears to have been sufficient to induce basal melting and therefore to initiate valley deepening. This effect is enhanced when the model is run across the present topography. Comparison of results of the geomorphological mapping and the modelling reveals significant differences between the actual and predicted extent of basal sliding outside the main ice stream. The overall conclusion is that many ice streams in mountainous terrain are inherited from the locations of preglacial valleys, which serve to accelerate ice flow and promote frictional heating beneath ice sheets.

Acceleration of Pine Island and Thwaites Glaciers, West Antarctica

AbstractRecent satellite investigations revealed that in the 1990s the grounding line of Pine Island and Thwaites Glaciers, West Antarctica, retreated several km, the ice surface on the interior of the basins lowered 10 cm a–1, and Pine Island Glacier thinned 1.6 ma–1. These observations, however, were not sufficient to determine the cause of the changes. Here, we present satellite radar interferometry data that show the thinning and retreat of Pine Island Glacier are caused by an acceleration of ice flow of about 18 ± 2% in 8 years. Thwaites Glacier maintained a nearly constant flow regime at its center, but widened along the sides, and increased its 30 ± 15% mass deficit by another 4% in 4 years. The combined mass loss from both glaciers, if correct, contributes an estimated 0.08 ± 0.03 mma–1 global sea-level rise in 2000.

Short-term velocity and water-pressure variations down-glacier from a riegel, Storglaciären, Sweden

AbstractDuring the 1991 94 summer held seasons, time-correlated measure-merits of water pressure and surface speed were made over and down-glacier from a major riegel on Storglaciären, Sweden. Measurements were made at sub-hourly time-scales in order to discern details in the diurnal cycle. Large water-input events, typically associated with rain storms, produced coherent, lagged surface-velocity responses that could be understood in terms of till deformation or decoupling, and these have been discussed elsewhere. The consequences of smaller diurnal water-pressure events w ere more enigmatic, in that acceleration of ice flow generally preceded the onset of the local water-pressure rise. From consideration of these data and other work done on the hydrology of Storglaciären, we infer that the ice in this area is generally pushed from behind via a relaxation in extensional strain across the riegel. Hence, accelerations occur in response to increases in water pressure that occur up-glacier and that precede local water-pressure rises. In addition, following a period of large storm events, surface speeds became more spatially coherent and were in phase with the diurnal water-pressure cycle. This suggests that the large water-pressure events lead to a spatially more homogeneous subglacial drainage system. Sliding laws need to take into account such temporal changes in spatial coherence of the subglacial drainage system.

Short-term velocity and water-pressure variations down-glacier from a riegel, Storglaciären, Sweden

AbstractDuring the 1991 94 summer held seasons, time-correlated measure-merits of water pressure and surface speed were made over and down-glacier from a major riegel on Storglaciären, Sweden. Measurements were made at sub-hourly time-scales in order to discern details in the diurnal cycle. Large water-input events, typically associated with rain storms, produced coherent, lagged surface-velocity responses that could be understood in terms of till deformation or decoupling, and these have been discussed elsewhere. The consequences of smaller diurnal water-pressure events w ere more enigmatic, in that acceleration of ice flow generally preceded the onset of the local water-pressure rise. From consideration of these data and other work done on the hydrology of Storglaciären, we infer that the ice in this area is generally pushed from behind via a relaxation in extensional strain across the riegel. Hence, accelerations occur in response to increases in water pressure that occur up-glacier and that precede local water-pressure rises. In addition, following a period of large storm events, surface speeds became more spatially coherent and were in phase with the diurnal water-pressure cycle. This suggests that the large water-pressure events lead to a spatially more homogeneous subglacial drainage system. Sliding laws need to take into account such temporal changes in spatial coherence of the subglacial drainage system.

Glaciomarine facies from the western sector of the last British ice sheet, Malin Beg, County Donegal, Ireland

The coastal margins and mountainous core of County Donegal, Republic of Ireland have been areally scoured and deeply-eroded along structural lineaments by major Late Devensian ice streams which moved generally westwards onto the continental shelf. A raised glaciomarine sequence is selectively preserved along a gully at Malin Beg and comprises mud/muddy diamict, sand and diamict. (1) The mud, which was deposited from suspended sediment plumes, passes upwards into muddy diamict, which reflects an increase in ice-rafting. The muds contain a redeposited foraminiferal assemblage of ice-proximal origin pumped into the water column by jets reworking previously deposited outwash. The presence of Middle Devensian shells have been identified from the mud by amino-acid analysis. This suggests a Late Devensian age for the succession. (2) The overlying sand indicates an increase in traction current activity at the site. (3) There is a sharp planar contact between the sands and the overlying tabular diamict unit. (4) A surficial sheet of coarse-grained breccia is attributed to intense periglacial weathering along the slopes of Leahan mountain. This sequence and those at other sites in western Ireland (e.g. Belderg, Co. Mayo) provide a record of deep isostatic depression and sedimentation in a peripheral trough at the north-western margin of the last British ice sheet. Directional indicators including drumlin fields and major troughs indicate that the north-western sector of the ice sheet was drained by major ice-streams. These ended in calving bays. Ice marginal response to ice wastage depended largely on catchment factors such as the magnitude of the ice reservoirs and the length of flow lines. Ultimately calving led to accelerated ice flow and areal down draw and collapse of the north-western sector of the ice sheet.

Sedimentology and Depositional Setting of Late Pleistocene Drumlins, Galway Bay, Western Ireland

Subaqueous sediments comprise the cores of a group of drumlins formed at about 17 ka YBP towards the margin of the Late Pleistocene ice sheet is Galway Bay, western Ireland. Four major lithofacies associations (L.F.A.s) are identified. Regional ice flow patterns and isostatic depression together with sedimentary characteristics indicate that the three lowermost L.F.A.s accumulated in shallow-water settings fed by meltwater venting under high hydrostatic pressure. These sediments are tabular, lensate or channelled and have not been deformed by glacially-influenced tectonics. L.F.A.1 is an apron of interbedded mud and muddy diamict deposited from sediment plumes and ice-rafting. L.F.A.2 infills channels cut in the underlying muddy diamict and consists of interbedded poorly-sorted pebbly gravels, sands and diamicts formed by sediment gravity flows. L.F.A.3 is tabular and comprises a massive diamict derived from powerful meltwater jets. L.F.A.4 is a massive diamict carapace which overlies stratified facies and was deposited by basal ice processes. The model presented envisages subaqueous deposition below floating ice followed by till deposition and drumlinization. Coarsening upwards facies transitions are interpreted in terms of progressive change from ice-distal to ice-contact sedimentation. The sequence preserved in the drumlin cores forms part of a regional apron of sediments probably of glaciomarine origin which normally occurs in front of the drumlin belt in Irish coastal areas. Deposition probably occurred in isostatically-depressed zones around the drumlin ice sheet when high relative sea levels occurred. Local streamlining of ice marginal sequences was probably a result of accelerated ice flow triggered by rapid calving, subglacial channel development, sea level change or soft bed conditions. It is concluded that high relative sea levels, calving and high longitudinal stretching rates provide suitable mechanisms which help to explain drumlinization and the rapid disintegration of the last ice sheet in western Ireland.

Mass-Balance Studies of Ice Streams A, B, and C, West Antarctica, and Possible Surging Behavior of Ice Stream Β

Recent airborne radar sounding has made it possible to map accurately three of the West Antarctic ice streams that flow into Ross Ice Shelf. In previous work we have shown that ice streams A and Β have negative mass balances, whereas inactive Ice Stream C has a strongly positive balance. In this paper we examine in more detail the balance of ice streams A and Β by constructing several gates across them where velocities and ice thicknesses have been measured. We then examine the net fluxes in blocks of the ice streams delimited by successive pairs of gates.Ice Stream A as a whole is apparently discharging more ice than is being accumulated in the catchment area, and currently thinning at the rate of 0.08 ± 0.03 m a−1. The situation on Ice Stream Β is more complex. We have calculated separately the fluxes from tributary ice streams Bl and B2, and examined their individual fluxes within Ice Stream Β by tracing the suture zone between them down-stream of their confluence. The flow band that is the farthest up-stream (girdle), encompassing both Ice Stream Bl and Ice Stream B2, shows a strongly negative net flux that we attribute to lateral and headward expansion of the ice streams within the band. Such expansion can occur by lateral movement of an ice-stream boundary, by temporally accelerating ice flow at the head of the ice stream, or by activation of formerly slowly moving “island” or “peninsula” ice.The imbalance in this flow band, 8 ± 2 km3 a−1 (equivalent mean rate of change in ice thickness, is nearly half of the total excess outflow for the Ice Stream Β system (20 ± 4 km3 a−1), — the remainder is mostly the difference between flow through the uppermost gate and mass input to the catchment area .When for the whole of Ice Stream Β is plotted against the distance along the entire Ice Stream B, the overall pattern appears to be of mild thinning in the catchment, intense thinning in the girdle, and thickening in the main body of the ice stream, which decreases with distance from the girdle. This global behavior is suggestive of a major transient response, resulting from either a change in the internal dynamics or an internal adjustment to a change in the external forcings. We argue that there are a number of conditions which could lead to this type of response pattern. One possibility is a surge. Although the distribution of the changes in thickness is one characteristic of a surge, we caution that this alone is not sufficient to classify the behavior as a surge. Several other possibilities that support a picture of Ice Stream Β as a system in the process of dynamic change and in unsteady state are discussed.At present, Ice Stream C and its catchment area are thickening over their entire area The present surface elevation does not suggest that Ice Stream Β has captured part of Ice Stream C. Moreover, the shut-down of Ice Stream C and the large mass imbalance of Ice Stream Β are not related.

Mass-Balance Studies of Ice Streams A, B, and C, West Antarctica, and Possible Surging Behavior of Ice Stream Β

Recent airborne radar sounding has made it possible to map accurately three of the West Antarctic ice streams that flow into Ross Ice Shelf. In previous work we have shown that ice streams A and Β have negative mass balances, whereas inactive Ice Stream C has a strongly positive balance. In this paper we examine in more detail the balance of ice streams A and Β by constructing several gates across them where velocities and ice thicknesses have been measured. We then examine the net fluxes in blocks of the ice streams delimited by successive pairs of gates. Ice Stream A as a whole is apparently discharging more ice than is being accumulated in the catchment area, and currently thinning at the rate of 0.08 ± 0.03 m a−1. The situation on Ice Stream Β is more complex. We have calculated separately the fluxes from tributary ice streams Bl and B2, and examined their individual fluxes within Ice Stream Β by tracing the suture zone between them down-stream of their confluence. The flow band that is the farthest up-stream (girdle), encompassing both Ice Stream Bl and Ice Stream B2, shows a strongly negative net flux that we attribute to lateral and headward expansion of the ice streams within the band. Such expansion can occur by lateral movement of an ice-stream boundary, by temporally accelerating ice flow at the head of the ice stream, or by activation of formerly slowly moving “island” or “peninsula” ice. The imbalance in this flow band, 8 ± 2 km3 a−1 (equivalent mean rate of change in ice thickness, is nearly half of the total excess outflow for the Ice Stream Β system (20 ± 4 km3 a−1), — the remainder is mostly the difference between flow through the uppermost gate and mass input to the catchment area . When for the whole of Ice Stream Β is plotted against the distance along the entire Ice Stream B, the overall pattern appears to be of mild thinning in the catchment, intense thinning in the girdle, and thickening in the main body of the ice stream, which decreases with distance from the girdle. This global behavior is suggestive of a major transient response, resulting from either a change in the internal dynamics or an internal adjustment to a change in the external forcings. We argue that there are a number of conditions which could lead to this type of response pattern. One possibility is a surge. Although the distribution of the changes in thickness is one characteristic of a surge, we caution that this alone is not sufficient to classify the behavior as a surge. Several other possibilities that support a picture of Ice Stream Β as a system in the process of dynamic change and in unsteady state are discussed. At present, Ice Stream C and its catchment area are thickening over their entire area The present surface elevation does not suggest that Ice Stream Β has captured part of Ice Stream C. Moreover, the shut-down of Ice Stream C and the large mass imbalance of Ice Stream Β are not related.

Inland Ice Sheet Thinning Due to Holocene Warmth

The climatic warming of 10,000 years ago is now affecting the central portions of ice sheets, causing ice-flow acceleration. This process explains the present-day thinning of the ice sheet in West Antarctica. Former ice sheets must have also responded to climatic warming with a delay of thousands of years. This lag in response is important in the climatic interpretation of glacial deposits and of changes in ice volume obtained from deep-sea cores.