10-year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Score Research Articles

Waist-to-hip ratio as a contributor associated with higher atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk assessment in patients with diabetes: a cross-sectional study

IntroductionThis study aimed to identify the factors most strongly associated with an increased atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk score in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D).MethodsThis cross-sectional study included 4698 patients with T2D over an 11-year period (2010–2021). Patients were categorized into four groups based on their 10-year ASCVD risk score (< 5%, 5–7.5%, 7.5–20%, and > 20%). Multinominal regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between various modifiable and non-modifiable risk factors and the ASCVD risk score.ResultsOf the patients, 35.9% had a 10-year ASCVD risk score below 5%, 12.6% had a score between 5% and 7.5%, 30.8% had a score between 7.5% and 20%, and 19.7% had a score above 20%. Higher ASCVD risk scores were significantly associated with elevated waist-to-hip ratio (WHR > 0.93), pulse pressure, uric acid, triglycerides, and decreased glomerular filtration rate (all p-values < 0.05). WHR demonstrated the strongest association with higher ASCVD risk scores (OR: 4.55, 95% CI: 2.94–7.03, p < 0.001) when comparing patients with ASCVD scores > 5% to those with scores < 5%.ConclusionWHR was independently associated with higher ASCVD risk scores in patients with T2D. Incorporating WHR, along with traditional risk factors, could improve ASCVD risk assessments in this population.

Enhancing Air Quality Index Activity Guidelines for Preventing Cardiovascular Events in the General Adult Population

BackgroundThe public health relevance of daily Air Quality Index (AQI) activity guidelines for the general adult public in the United States to prevent atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events is questionable. ObjectivesThe purpose of the study was to explore the utility of a policy tailoring activity guidance to calculated ASCVD risk rather than uniform recommendations to the general adult public as currently provided. MethodsWe calculated the number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent one ASCVD event per day by following activity recommendations across 10-year ASCVD risk scores (1% to 20%). Second, we modeled the benefits of tailoring recommendations to ASCVD risk. ResultsThe NNT decreased as ASCVD risk and/or AQI levels increased. At AQIs up to 151 (68% of days with AQIs above moderate in the United States), the NNTs remained untenably high (>2.7-55.3 million) across ASCVD risk. Under unhealthy conditions (AQIs 151-200), 28% of elevated AQIs, NNTs <1 million could be achieved by current guidance (15% exposure reduction), but only among the highest-risk individuals (ASCVD 18% to 20%) on the most polluted days (AQIs 192-200). Tailoring guidance to ASCVD risk could yield NNTs <1 million at risk thresholds of 7.5% and 10% if activity restrictions were more stringent (35% to 50% exposure reductions) during unhealthy conditions. ConclusionsASCVD risk has a major influence on the NNT to prevent cardiovascular events by following AQI guidance. It may be possible for a future policy to improve the utility of AQI activity guidance for the general adult public by tailoring activity recommendations to ASCVD risk.

Recaticimab Monotherapy for Nonfamilial Hypercholesterolemia and Mixed Hyperlipemia: The Phase 3 REMAIN-1 Randomized Trial

BackgroundMonoclonal antibodies against proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) have been used to reduce the level of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), but require either biweekly or monthly dosing frequency. Recaticimab is a new humanized monoclonal antibody selectively targeting PCSK9, with long-acting characteristic. ObjectivesThe purpose of this study was to assess the efficacy and safety of recaticimab monotherapy in patients with nonfamilial hypercholesterolemia and mixed hyperlipemia at low-to-moderate atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk, and to explore different dosing strategies to provide patients with flexible administration options. MethodsThis was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 study conducted at 59 sites in China. Patients with fasting LDL-C ≥2.6 to <4.9 mmol/L, fasting triglyceride ≤5.6 mmol/L, and 10-year ASCVD risk score <10% were randomly assigned (2:2:2:1:1:1) to receive subcutaneous injections of recaticimab at 150 mg every 4 weeks (Q4W), 300 mg every 8 weeks (Q8W), or 450 mg every 12 weeks (Q12W), or matching placebo, on background lipid-lowering diet. Primary endpoint was percentage change in LDL-C from baseline to week 12 for 150 mg Q4W and 450 mg Q12W and to week 16 for 300 mg Q8W. ResultsA total of 703 patients underwent randomization and received recaticimab (n = 157, 156, and 155 for 150 mg Q4W, 300 mg Q8W, and 450 mg Q12W, respectively) or placebo (n = 78, 79, and 78, respectively). Compared with placebo, recaticimab further reduced LDL-C by 49.6% (95% CI: 44.2%-54.9%) at 150 mg Q4W, 52.8% (95% CI: 48.3%-57.2%) at 300 mg Q8W, and 45.0% (95% CI: 41.0%-49.0%) at 450 mg Q12W (P < 0.0001 for all comparisons). Safety with recaticimab was comparable to placebo. After 12 or 16 weeks of treatment, patients who received recaticimab continued treatment until week 24, whereas those allocated to placebo were switched to recaticimab treatment with the same dosing strategy. Both 24-week recaticimab and 12- or 8-week recaticimab switched from placebo were effective. With 24 weeks of recaticimab treatment, the most common treatment-related adverse event was injection site reaction (n = 23 [4.9%]). ConclusionsRecaticimab monotherapy yielded significant LDL-C reductions and showed comparable safety vs placebo in patients with nonfamilial hypercholesterolemia and mixed hyperlipemia at low-to-moderate ASCVD risk, even with an infrequent dosing interval up to Q12W.

Evaluating the atherosclerosis cardiovascular disease risk score in patients with brain metastases: Associations with overall survival and high-value care outcomes

ObjectiveBrain metastases (BM) constitute the most common intracranial tumor in adults. Prior literature indicates the 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk score is associated with increased risk of cancer, potentially attributable to shared risk factors. Understanding the role of ASCVD risk scores in BM may help optimize their care and inform clinical decision-making. Our aim was to explore associations between ASCVD risk score in BM patients and their overall survival, hospital charges, and non-routine discharge disposition. MethodsElectronic medical records were reviewed to collect clinical data for BM patients undergoing surgery at a single institution (2017–2021). Regression analyses were performed accordingly and maximally selected rank statistics were employed to identify an optimal cutoff for ASCVD risk scores. The random survival forest (RSF) machine learning technique identified the most important variable associated with survival outcomes in BM patients. ResultsA total of 139 patients were included with average age 62.93±9.29 years, 48.2 % male, 25.2 % with high hospital charges, and 23.7 % experiencing non-routine discharge. Among these patients, 32.3 % had prior history of an ASCVD event, while 67.7 % did not. Overall, this cohort had an average 10-year ASCVD risk score of 12.51±12.98, indicating intermediate risk of ASCVD among all BM patients. On multivariate logistic regression, prior history of ASCVD was associated with higher odds of high hospital charges (OR=3.670, p=0.018), and higher ASCVD risk scores were associated with greater odds of non-routine discharge (OR=1.059, p=0.012). On the multivariate Cox regression model, higher ASCVD risk scores correlated with worse overall survival (HR=1.031, p=0.014). A threshold of 25.1 was identified for high-risk ASCVD scores. Patients with ASCVD scores >25.1 exhibited reduced overall survival in Kaplan-Meier analysis (p=0.015) and multivariate Cox regression (HR: 2.811, p=0.016). Notably, ASCVD risk scores were found to be the most important variable in predicting worse survival outcomes in BM patients compared to other established frailty indices. ConclusionThis study indicates higher ASCVD risk scores in BM patients are associated with worse overall survival. Integrating ASCVD assessment into clinical workflow may facilitate more informed risk-based decision-making.

Evaluation of Cardiovascular Risk Profile and Risk Scores of Antiretroviral Therapy-naïve HIV Patients in Eastern India

Abstract Introduction: People living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLHIV) are known to have an increased prevalence of traditional cardiovascular risk factors and are at a higher risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study was done to assess the CVD risk factors in treatment naïve PLHIV in a center of the national program. Methods: In this cross-sectional explorative study, traditional CVD risk factors were assessed, and 10-year Framingham and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk score were calculated in treatment naïve PLHIV attending the antiretroviral therapy (ART) center, IMS, BHU. Results: The study included 337 ART naïve patients. The prevalence of CVD risk factors in treatment naïve PLHIV - were low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels (81.4%), high triglyceride levels (32.7%), smoking (32.3%), obesity (13.6%), hypertension (5%), diabetes (2.7%), and high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels (2.1%). Moderate-to-high 10-year Framingham Risk Score and American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology 10-year ASCVD risk score were 10.8% and 8.9%, respectively. In Framingham Risk Score, age ≥40 years (odds ratio [OR] - 131) (95% confidence interval [CI] - 6.5–1043) alcohol intake (OR - 5.14 [95% CI - 1.82–14.46] and presence of tuberculosis (OR - 4.78) (95% CI - 1.48-15.40), while in ASCVD risk score history of alcohol intake (OR - 26.20 [95% CI - 3.1-216.8] were at higher risk of CVD in multivariate variate analysis. Conclusion: CVD risk factors were common among ART naïve patient. Thus, screening, education, and treatment of CVD risk factors should be done in these patients at initiation of care.

Adherence to the 2018 AHA cholesterol management guideline in hyperlipidemia treatment among adults in an outpatient setting.

Although evidence-based guidelines and effective treatments exist for dyslipidemia, a significant disparity remains between guidelines and clinical practice. In this study, we investigated adherence to statin therapy per the 2018 ACC/AHA Guideline recommendations. This is a retrospective, descriptive-analytical study involving 1,224 individuals who presented to the laboratories located in Birjand, Eastern Iran, from June 2022 to March 2023. Analyses were conducted on 700 patients. Data collection utilized a checklist and serum value measurements of laboratory factors deemed necessary for the study. Treatment was administered per the guidelines for 348 out of the 700 patients (49.7%). With 60.7%, the diabetes group exhibited the highest level of adherence to guidelines. In the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) group, 31.7% followed the recommendations. The lowest adherence rates were in groups with a 10-year ASCVD risk score of ≥20% and severe hypercholesterolemia, respectively (0% and 2.8%). In our study, atorvastatin was the most frequently prescribed statin, with the majority of patients consuming a moderate-intensity statin. None of the severely hypercholesterolemic patients achieved the LDL goal. Moreover, LDL-C goal achievement was low among the ASCVD group and those with an ASCVD risk score of ≥20%. Patients with hypercholesterolemia adhere inadequately to the AHA Guideline. Consequently, training courses are needed to inform medical doctors, particularly general practitioners, of the latest dyslipidemia treatment recommendations as the AHA advises.

Associations of 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk scores with cerebral small vessel disease: the PolyvasculaR Evaluation for Cognitive Impairment and vaScular Events (PRECISE) study.

10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk scores were useful for predicting large vessel disease, but the relationships between them and cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) were unclear. Our study aimed to evaluate associations of 10-year ASCVD risk scores with CSVD and its magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) markers. Community-dwelling residents from the PolyvasculaR Evaluation for Cognitive Impairment and vaScular Events study were included in this cross-sectional study. At baseline, we collected data related to the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), pooled cohort equation (PCE), prediction for ASCVD risk in China (China-PAR) and Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation model 2 (SCORE2), and classified participants into low, moderate and high groups. Participants underwent brain MRI scans. We evaluated white matter hyperintensity (WMH), lacunes, cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) and enlarged perivascular spaces in basal ganglia (BG-EPVS) according to criteria of Wardlaw and Rothwell, and calculated total CSVD score and modified total CSVD score. A total of 3063 participants were included, and 53.5% of them were female. A higher FRS was associated with higher total CSVD score (moderate vs. low: cOR 1.89, 95% CI 1.53-2.34; high vs. low: cOR 3.23, 95%CI 2.62-3.97), and the PCE, China-PAR or SCORE2 score was positively related to total CSVD score (P < 0.05). Moreover, higher 10-year ASCVD scores were associated with higher odds of WMH (P < 0.05), lacunes (P < 0.05), CMBs (P < 0.05) and BG-EPVS (P < 0.05). The 10-year ASCVD scores were positively associated with CSVD and its MRI markers. These scores provided a method of risk stratification in the population with CSVD.

Abstract MP28: Declines in Plasma Levels of Nonnutritive Sweetener Erythritol Are Related to Two-Year Improvements in Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Estimates Among Adults With Overweight and Obesity

Background: A potential adverse relationship between the consumption of low-calorie sweeteners and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk has been proposed. High levels of circulating erythritol, a sugar alcohol (polyol) used as one of the non-nutritive sweeteners, have been recently linked to increased risks of major adverse cardiovascular events. However, associations of temporal changes in plasma erythritol and other polyols with cardiometabolic risk remain unclear. Hypothesis: We tested whether changes in plasma levels of non-nutritive sweetener erythritol and other polyols in response to weight-loss dietary interventions were associated with improved atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk estimates and atherogenic lipoproteins among adults with overweight and obesity. Methods: This study included 804 adults (mean BMI: 32.7 [SD 3.9] kg/m 2 ) without diabetes or unstable CVD at baseline who participated in a 2-year intervention of weight-loss diets, the POUNDS Lost trial. Metabolomic profiling was performed to measure plasma erythritol and its precursor erythronate, other sugar alcohols, and low-calorie sweeteners at baseline and 6 months after randomization. The primary outcome was the change in 10-year ASCVD risk scores calculated by the validated pooled cohort equations. Two-year changes in lipid profiles and cholesterol [Chol] in lipoprotein subfractions defined by the presence or absence of apolipoprotein CIII (apoCIII) were analyzed as secondary outcomes. Results: The mean estimated value of the 10-year ASCVD risk was 4.0% at baseline; 16% of the participants were at intermediate or high ASCVD risk (score ≥7.5%). Higher levels of erythritol (per 1 SD increment: β 1.1% [SE 0.2%], p &lt;.0001) and erythronate (β 1.3% [0.2%], p &lt;.0001), as well as other sugar alcohols, such as mannitol-sorbitol, myoinositol, arabitol-xylitol ( p &lt;.0001 for all), and low-calorie sweetener saccharin ( p = 0.02), but not acesulfame ( p =0.8), were related to a higher ASCVD risk at baseline after adjusting for BMI. There was large variability in the changes in metabolite levels across participants; greater decreases in erythritol in response to the interventions were significantly related to greater reductions in ASCVD risk estimates at 6 months (per 1 SD reduction: β -0.2% [SE 0.1%]; p =0.023) and at 2 years (β -0.3% [0.1%]; p = 0.015) after adjusting for covariates, including BMI, the initial metabolite levels, and baseline ASCVD risk. The 6-month decrease in erythritol was associated with long-term (2-year) improvements in atherogenic lipids, including Chol in VLDL+LDL with apoCIII ( p &lt;0.05). Conclusions: Higher plasma levels of erythritol and other sugar alcohols were associated with greater 10-year ASCVD risk scores among adults with overweight and obesity. Weight-loss diet-induced decreases in erythritol levels were related to improved ASCVD risk and atherogenic lipid profiles.

Abstract MP11: Sodium Reduction in Combination With the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension Diet Lowers 10-year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk: Results From the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension-Sodium Trial

Introduction: The Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) diet lowers estimated 10-year ASCVD (atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease) risk. The impact of sodium reduction, alone or in combination with the DASH diet, is not known. Objective: To determine the effects of the sodium reduction alone and when combined with the DASH diet on 10-year ASCVD risk. Methods: The DASH-Sodium trial randomized 412 adults with systolic blood pressure (BP) 120-159 mmHg and diastolic BP 80-95 mmHg to the DASH diet or a typical American diet (control). Within each arm, individuals consumed 3 different levels of sodium in random order: low (50 mmol/day), medium (100 mmol/day), and high (150 mmol/day). Each period lasted 4 weeks. Pooled cohort equation-estimated 10-year ASCVD risk scores were calculated at baseline and at 4, 8, and 12 weeks of feeding. Results: Among the 412 participants (mean [SD] age 48 [10] years; 57% female, 57% Black), sodium reduction decreased ASCVD risk scores in both DASH and control diets ( Figure 1 ). Compared to high sodium intake, low sodium intake changed ASCVD risk by -9.4% (95% CI -11.7, -7.0). Compared to a typical American diet, the DASH diet changed 10-year ASCVD by -5.3% (95% CI -9.3, -1.2). Compared to a high sodium-control diet, the combination of both low sodium intake with DASH changed ASCVD risk by -14.1% (95% CI -18.6, -9.3). Conclusions: Sodium reduction and the DASH diet both independently reduced 10-year ASCVD risk. Moreover, the combined impact was additive. These findings support dietary sodium reduction in addition to the DASH diet for ASCVD prevention.

Harnessing Metabolic Indices as a Predictive Tool for Cardiovascular Disease in a Korean Population without Known Major Cardiovascular Event.

This study evaluated the usefulness of indices for metabolic syndrome, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and insulin resistance (IR), as predictive tools for cardiovascular disease in middle-aged Korean adults. The prospective data obtained from the Ansan-Ansung cohort database, excluding patients with major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). The primary outcome was the incidence of MACCE during the follow-up period. A total of 9,337 patients were included in the analysis, of whom 1,130 (12.1%) experienced MACCE during a median follow-up period of 15.5 years. The metabolic syndrome severity Z-score, metabolic syndrome severity score, hepatic steatosis index, and NAFLD liver fat score were found to significantly predict MACCE at values above the cut-off point and in the second and third tertiles. Among these indices, the hazard ratios of the metabolic syndrome severity score and metabolic syndrome severity Z-score were the highest after adjusting for confounding factors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) score for predicting MACCE was 0.716, and the metabolic syndrome severity Z-score had an AUC of 0.619. The metabolic syndrome severity score is a highly reliable indicator and was closely associated with the 10-year ASCVD risk score in predicting MACCE in the general population. Given the specific characteristics and limitations of metabolic syndrome severity scores as well as the indices of NAFLD and IR, a more practical scoring system that considers these factors is essential to achieve greater accuracy in forecasting cardiovascular outcomes.

Appendicular Skeletal Muscle Mass to Visceral Fat Area Ratio Predicts Hepatic Morbidities.

: Reports on the association between sarcopenic visceral obesity and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-associated morbidities remain scarce. We investigated the association between sarcopenia and visceral obesity, and the influence of this association on hepatic and coronary comorbidities. : The appendicular skeletal muscle mass to visceral fat area ratio (SV ratio) was evaluated using bioelectric impedance analysis. NAFLD and significant liver fibrosis were assessed using transient elastography, and high atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk was defined as a 10-year ASCVD risk score >10%. Sarcopenia was defined as appendicular skeletal muscle mass adjusted by body mass index (<0.789 for men and <0.512 for women). : In total, 82.0% (n=1,205) of the entire study population had NAFLD, and 14.6% of these individuals (n=176) exhibited significant liver fibrosis. Individuals with the lowest SV ratio had a significantly increased risk of NAFLD, significant liver fibrosis, and high ASCVD risk (all p<0.05). Individuals with both the lowest SV ratio and sarcopenia had the highest risk of developing NAFLD (odds ratio [OR]=3.11), significant liver fibrosis (OR=2.03), and high ASCVD risk (OR=4.15), compared with those with a higher SV ratio and without sarcopenia (all p<0.05). : Low SV ratio combined with sarcopenia was significantly associated with an increased risk of NAFLD, significant liver fibrosis, and high ASCVD risk among individuals with a high risk of NAFLD.

Abstract 14601: Increased Risk of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events Attributed to Lipoprotein(a) Across Current Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Categories

Introduction: AHA guidelines recommend measurement of lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a); an inherited, causal risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD)] in individuals with a family or personal history of premature ASCVD. Lp(a) measurement is also recommended for recalibrating the 10-year risk score for borderline or intermediate risk individuals. However, there is limited evidence on the risk of MACE attributed to elevated Lp(a) across ASCVD risk categories. Hypothesis: To assess the impact of elevated Lp(a) levels on MACE across ASCVD 10-year risk categories. Methods: This observational, retrospective study included a primary prevention cohort of Caucasian and Black ethnicities from the UK Biobank (2006-2020). Associations of Lp(a) level (categories of 105-150, 150-190, 190-215, and 215-260 nmol/L were compared to Lp(a) &lt;105 nmol/L) with time to first MACE and MI were assessed using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for age, sex, and ethnicity, stratified by ASCVD 10-year risk score category. Results: The cohort (N=362,061) included 55.2% female, 94.3% Caucasian and 1.6% Black. MACE incidence rates (IR, per 100 person/years) increased with 10-year ASCVD risk score: low risk IR=0.14 (n=161,183), intermediate risk IR=0.72 (n=121,272) and high-risk IR=1.52 (n=27,733). Within and across these risk categories, elevated Lp(a) conferred a significant increase in risk of MACE and myocardial infarction (MI). In the low-risk category, HRs ranged from 1.15-1.55 (MACE) and 1.32-1.72 (MI), in the intermediate risk category HRs ranged from 1.19-1.51 (MACE) and 1.37-1.77 (MI), and in the high-risk category HRs ranged from 1.12-1.55 (MACE) and 1.14-1.76 (MI) (Figure 1). Conclusions: Our study demonstrates that elevated Lp(a) increases the risk of MACE independently of ASCVD risk score. Measuring and considering elevated Lp(a) levels as part of individual ASCVD risk assessment in routine clinical practice may help improve the risk predication.

Abstract 16491: The Relationship Between Cardiovascular Health and 10-year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Risk in American Adults

Introduction: Life’s Essential 8 (LE8) is a metric of overall cardiovascular health (CVH) while 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk is routinely used to guide primary prevention. Yet, the relationship between LE8 and 10-year ASCVD risk is unclear. Hypothesis: CVH has an inverse relationship with 10-year ASCVD risk in adults aged 40–75 years from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2020 cycle. Methods: Adults with ASCVD and data missing to calculate 10-year ASCVD risk and LE8 scores were excluded. LE8 score was estimated from the mean of LE8 components (scored 0 to 100), with scores ≥80, 79–50, and &lt;49 grouped into ideal, intermediate, and poor CVH, respectively. 10-year ASCVD risk was estimated using pooled cohort equation, with scores &lt;5%, 5–19.9%, and ≥20% grouped as low, borderline/intermediate, and high risk, respectively. The survey weighted chi-square and ANOVA analysis was performed. Results: We included 1,550 adults representing nearly 45 million US adults with a mean age of 57.8 years, 35.3% women. Overall, 35.4%, 42.3%, and 22.3% had low, borderline/intermediate, and high 10-year ASCVD risk, respectively. Low, borderline/intermediate, and high-risk individuals had a mean LE8 score of 68.2, 61.8, and 62.6 (p-value: &lt;0.001) while 18.1%, 7.4%, and 5.6% (p-value: 0.002) had ideal CVH, respectively. Diet, nicotine exposure, body mass index (BMI), and blood lipids metrics were very low across the risk groups (figure). Additionally, the mean blood pressure metric was 41.3 among high-risk and 61.1 among intermediate/borderline-risk individuals. Conclusions: The prevalence of ideal CVH is very low across all 10-year ASCVD risk groups primarily due to poor diet, nicotine exposure, high BMI, and high blood lipids. Since ASCVD risk is predominantly age-dependent and given comparable LE8 scores among borderline/intermediate and high-risk individuals, LE8 may denote an age-independent long-term/lifetime risk.

Prognostic value of coronary artery calcium score for the prediction of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in participants with suspected nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis: Results from the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events; thus, a diagnostic approach to help identify NAFLD patients at high risk is needed. In this study, we hypothesized that coronary artery calcium (CAC) screening could help stratify the risk of ASCVD events in participants with suspected nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis. A total of 713 participants with suspected nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis without previous cardiovascular events from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) were followed for the occurrence of incident ASCVD. Nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis was defined using nonenhanced computed tomography and liver/spleen attenuation ratio <1. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR). C-statistics and areas under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves (tAUC) were used to compare incremental contributions of CAC score when added to the clinical risk factors. In multivariable analyses, CAC score was found to be independently associated with incident ASCVD (HR=1.33, 95% CI=1.22-1.44, P < .001). The addition of CAC score to clinical risk factors increased the C-statistic from 0.677 to 0.739 (P < .001) and tAUC at 10 years from 0.668 to 0.771, respectively. In subgroup analyses, the incremental prognostic value of CAC score was more significant in participants with low/borderline- (<7.5%) and intermediate- (7.5%-20%) 10-year ASCVD risk scores. The inclusion of CAC score in global risk assessment was found to significantly improve the classification of incident ASCVD events in participants with suspected nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis, indicating a potential role for CAC screening in risk assessment.

Association Between the 10-Year ASCVD Risk Score and COVID-19 Complications Among Healthy Adults (Analysis from the National Cohort COVID Collaborative)

COVID-19 complications have been linked to worse outcomes among patients with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Less is known about the cumulative consequences of multiple ASCVD risk factors on COVID-19 outcomes. We evaluated the dose-response associations between 10-year ASCVD risk scores and COVID-19 complications. The National COVID-19 Cohort Collaborative collects electronic health record data from over 70 US health systems. Our analysis was limited to patients with positive COVID-19 tests without documented ASCVD events at the time of the first positive test. We evaluated the dose-response associations between 10-year ASCVD risk scores, categorized into categorized as low (<7.5%), intermediate (7.5% to 20.0%), or high (>20.0%), and COVID-19 complications, including hospitalizations and mortality. We reported the outcomes using multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Our cohort included 120,335 patients with documented positive COVID-19 test results who were free of ASCVD events. The mean age was 51.9 ± 16.1years, 59.4% were women, 15.3% were Black, and 13.7% were Hispanic/Latino. Overall, 15,363 patients (12.8%) were hospitalized and 2,058 (1.7%) died. Patients at intermediate risk of developing ASCVD were had a 1.49 (95% CI 1.41 to 1.56) increased risk of hospitalization and 1.77 (95% CI 1.76 to 1.79) increased risk of mortality compared with patients at low risk. Patients at high risk had a 2.23 (95% CI 2.10 to 2.38) increased risk of hospitalization and a 5.98 (95% CI 5.93 to 6.03) increased risk of mortality. In conclusion, patients in this nationwide cohort at high risk of developing ASCVD are at substantially greater risk of COVID-19 complications. COVID-19 mitigation efforts should focus on these patient populations.

Longitudinal Changes in the Myocardial T1 Relaxation Time, Extracellular Volume Fraction, and Left Ventricular Function in Asymptomatic Men.

(1) Background: Longitudinal changes in myocardial T1 relaxation time are unknown. We aimed to assess the longitudinal changes in the left ventricular (LV) myocardial T1 relaxation time and LV function. (2) Methods: Fifty asymptomatic men (mean age, 52.0 years) who underwent 1.5 T cardiac magnetic resonance imaging twice at an interval of 54 ± 21 months were included in this study. The LV myocardial T1 times and extracellular volume fractions (ECVFs) were calculated using the MOLLI technique (before and 15 min after gadolinium contrast injection). The 10-year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) risk score was calculated. (3) Results: No significant differences in the following parameters were noted between the initial and follow-up assessments: LV ejection fraction (65.0 ± 6.7% vs. 63.6 ± 6.3%, p = 0.12), LV mass/end-diastolic volume ratio (0.82 ± 0.12 vs. 0.80 ± 0.14, p = 0.16), native T1 relaxation time (982 ± 36 vs. 977 ± 37 ms, p = 0.46), and ECVF (24.97 ± 2.38% vs. 25.02 ± 2.41%, p = 0.89). The following parameters decreased significantly from the initial assessment to follow-up: stroke volume (87.2 ± 13.7 mL vs. 82.6 ± 15.3 mL, p = 0.01), cardiac output (5.79 ± 1.17 vs. 5.50 ± 1.04 L/min, p = 0.01), and LV mass index (110.16 ± 22.38 vs. 104.32 ± 18.26 g/m2, p = 0.01). The 10-year ASCVD risk score also remained unchanged between the two timepoints (4.71 ± 0.19% vs. 5.16 ± 0.24%, p = 0.14). (4) Conclusion: Myocardial T1 values and ECVFs were stable over time in the same middle-aged men.

Relationship of Missed Statin Therapy and 10-Year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Score to Retear Rate After Arthroscopic Rotator Cuff Repair

Background: There is no practical consensus on managing cholesterol in patients with rotator cuff repair despite hyperlipidemia and statin therapy being well-known factors in rotator cuff healing. The 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk score is a commonly used guideline to determine statin administration for hyperlipidemia. Purpose: To identify the relationship between retear and preoperative factors, including 10-year ASCVD risk score and statin administration status, and to compare clinical outcomes and retear rates between patients who are taking and not taking statins. Study Design: Case-control study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: This study enrolled 182 patients with a symptomatic full-thickness rotator cuff tear who underwent arthroscopic repair. Serum lipid profile, 10-year ASCVD risk score, statin eligibility, and statin administration status were assessed. Patients were categorized into 2 groups based on magnetic resonance imaging to evaluate cuff integrity at postoperative 6 months: a healed group and a retear group. Radiographic and intraoperative factors related to retear were analyzed. Multiple regression analysis was performed to evaluate factors related to rotator cuff retear. For the subgroup analysis, patients eligible for statin therapy were divided into 2 subgroups according to administration status. Results: There were 149 (81.9%) patients in the healed group and 33 (18.1%) in the retear group. In the multiple regression analysis, missed statin therapy, 10-year ASCVD risk score, and fatty infiltration of the infraspinatus muscle were the independent factors related to retear. The cutoff value for 10-year ASCVD risk score was 11.85%, with a sensitivity of 0.75 and a specificity of 0.62. In the subgroup analysis of 104 patients eligible for statin therapy, 66 (63.5%; group 1) received statin therapy and 38 (36.5%; group 2) missed it. Group 2 showed a significantly higher retear rate than group 1 (36.8% vs 13.6%; P = .006). Conclusion: Missed statin therapy, 10-year ASCVD risk score, and fatty infiltration of the infraspinatus were the independent factors associated with rotator cuff retear. Patients who missed statin therapy showed a higher retear rate than patients receiving statin therapy. Optimal statin therapy for patients who undergo arthroscopic rotator cuff repair might improve repair integrity.

Metabolomics profile and 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk score.

The intermediate metabolites associated with the development of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remain largely unknown. Thus, we conducted a large panel of metabolomics profiling to identify the new candidate metabolites that were associated with 10-year ASCVD risk. Thirty acylcarnitines and twenty amino acids were measured in the fasting plasma of 1,102 randomly selected individuals using a targeted FIA-MS/MS approach. The 10-year ASCVD risk score was calculated based on 2013 ACC/AHA guidelines. Accordingly, the subjects were stratified into four groups: low-risk (n = 620), borderline-risk (n = 110), intermediate-risk (n = 225), and high-risk (n = 147). 10 factors comprising collinear metabolites were extracted from principal component analysis. C4DC, C8:1, C16OH, citrulline, histidine, alanine, threonine, glycine, glutamine, tryptophan, phenylalanine, glutamic acid, arginine, and aspartic acid were significantly associated with the 10-year ASCVD risk score (p-values ≤ 0.044). The high-risk group had higher odds of factor 1 (12 long-chain acylcarnitines, OR = 1.103), factor 2 (5 medium-chain acylcarnitines, OR = 1.063), factor 3 (methionine, leucine, valine, tryptophan, tyrosine, phenylalanine, OR = 1.074), factor 5 (6 short-chain acylcarnitines, OR = 1.205), factor 6 (5 short-chain acylcarnitines, OR = 1.229), factor 7 (alanine, proline, OR = 1.343), factor 8 (C18:2OH, glutamic acid, aspartic acid, OR = 1.188), and factor 10 (ornithine, citrulline, OR = 1.570) compared to the low-risk ones; the odds of factor 9 (glycine, serine, threonine, OR = 0.741), however, were lower in the high-risk group. "D-glutamine and D-glutamate metabolism", "phenylalanine, tyrosine, and tryptophan biosynthesis", and "valine, leucine, and isoleucine biosynthesis" were metabolic pathways having the highest association with borderline/intermediate/high ASCVD events, respectively. Abundant metabolites were found to be associated with ASCVD events in this study. Utilization of this metabolic panel could be a promising strategy for early detection and prevention of ASCVD events.

Cardiovascular Disease Risk and Statin Use Among Adults with Metabolic Dysfunction Associated Fatty Liver Disease

BackgroundA leading cause of mortality in fatty liver disease is cardiovascular disease. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is new terminology that classifies fatty liver due to metabolic dysfunction attributable to obesity and associated complications. We evaluated atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk and statin use in adults with MAFLD. MethodsThis was a retrospective study of the 2011-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Adults with MAFLD were identified using established criteria: presence of hepatic steatosis (US Fatty Liver Index>30) plus ≥1 of the following: 1) body mass index >25 kg/m2 in non-Asians or >23 kg/m2 in Asians, 2) diabetes mellitus, and 3) ≥2 metabolic risk factors. Cardiovascular disease risk was estimated using the validated 10-year ASCVD risk score. Statin use was assessed in intermediate and high 10-year ASCVD risk groups. ResultsPrevalence of MAFLD was 34.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 33.9%-35.8%), comprising 54.4% males, 27.9% aged 65 years and older, and 38.2% non-Hispanic white. Among adults with MAFLD, 23.3% and 23.0% had intermediate and high 10-year ASCVD risk, respectively. Compared with females, males were more likely to have high 10-year ASCVD risk (28.7% vs 16.1%, adjusted odds ratio 5.24, 95% CI, 3.87-7.10, P < .01). In intermediate and high ASCVD risk groups, overall statin use was 48.3% (95% CI, 46.1-51.3). ConclusionsOver 46% of adults with MAFLD had intermediate or high 10-year ASCVD risk. Statin use was underutilized at 48.3% in those meeting statin criteria. These findings are alarming given the high cardiovascular disease risk and low statin use in this cohort.

Abstract P4-03-23: Comparison of Breast Cancer vs Cardiovascular Disease Risk and Uptake of Chemoprevention vs Statins in a Cohort of Predominantly Hispanic Women Undergoing Screening Mammography

Abstract Background: Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and breast cancer are two of the most diagnosed chronic diseases among women in the U.S. Although prevention of ASCVD with statins is widely practiced, breast cancer chemoprevention with selective estrogen receptor modulators (SERMs) or aromatase inhibitors (AIs) is underutilized in the primary care setting, despite significant evidence in randomized controlled trials demonstrating its clinical benefits. We compared the risk of ASCVD and breast cancer among predominantly Hispanic women undergoing screening mammography, as well as uptake of statins and SERMs/AIs for ASCVD and breast cancer risk reduction, respectively, among high-risk women. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among 1,655 English or Spanish-speaking women, age 40-79 years, with no prior history of breast cancer, who underwent screening mammography from 2014 to 2016 at Columbia University Irving Medical Center in New York City. Participants completed a survey collecting data on sociodemographic and breast cancer risk factors and had available data in the electronic health record (EHR) for calculating ASCVD risk, including systolic blood pressure, total and HDL cholesterol, history of diabetes, treatment for hypertension, and current smoking status. The main outcomes included 5-year and lifetime invasive breast cancer risk according to the Gail model, and 10-year and lifetime ASCVD risk score according to the 2013 American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA) ASCVD risk calculator. High-risk was defined as a 5-year invasive breast cancer risk 1.67% and 10-year ASCVD risk 7.5%. Secondary outcomes included uptake of chemoprevention with SERMs or AIs and statins among women at high-risk for breast cancer and ASCVD, respectively, based upon medication lists in the EHR. We compared mean lifetime risk of breast cancer vs ASCVD for the entire cohort using a paired t-test, and the proportion of high-risk women taking statins vs chemoprevention using McNemar’s test. Results: Among 1,655 evaluable women, mean age was 58 years (SD=10.1 years), with 76% Hispanic, 6% non-Hispanic White, 3% non-Hispanic Black, 2% Asian, and 13% other. About half (48%) of women met high-risk criteria for ASCVD compared to 15% who met high-risk criteria for breast cancer. Among all women, mean lifetime ASCVD risk was higher than mean lifetime breast cancer risk (10.71% vs. 5.46%, p&amp;lt; 0.001). Among women at high risk for ASCVD or breast cancer, respectively, statin uptake was higher compared to SERM/AI uptake for breast cancer chemoprevention (84% vs. 7%, p&amp;lt; 0.001). Overall, fewer Hispanic compared to non-Hispanic women met high-risk criteria for ASCVD (47% vs. 51%, respectively) and breast cancer (9% vs. 34%, respectively). Conclusions: In a population of predominantly Hispanic women undergoing screening mammography, we found that more women met high-risk criteria for ASCVD compared to breast cancer. Among women at high risk for ASCVD, statin uptake was about 12-fold higher compared to uptake of breast cancer chemoprevention among women at high risk for breast cancer. Given significant underutilization of breast cancer chemoprevention, placing this in the context of prevention of other chronic diseases, such as statins for ASCVD, may enhance uptake of SERMs or AIs in the primary care setting. Citation Format: Luisa Nilan, Mary M. McDermid, Jacquelyn N. Amenta, Julia E. McGuinness, Katherine D. Crew, Rita Kukafka. Comparison of Breast Cancer vs Cardiovascular Disease Risk and Uptake of Chemoprevention vs Statins in a Cohort of Predominantly Hispanic Women Undergoing Screening Mammography [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2022 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2022 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(5 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-03-23.