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Resilience Architecting and Methodology Development for the Space Enterprise

The Development Planning Directorate of the Space and Missile Systems Center is responsible for developing future Air Force Space Command mission architectures, beyond the current programs of record. Additionally, this directorate is studying the emergent issue of resilience of our space capabilities. As a result, we are able to provide here a set of heuristics for resilient architecting. This is not intended as an exhaustive list, and the quantitative data to validate these is still new: the universal applicability has yet to be proven. As with all architecting heuristics, they are a shorthand to be used early in the design process and will eventually require the architect to confirm for applicability for a specific mission. By studying the long trail of vulnerability analysis, especially as it has been applied to aircraft, we were able to start by translating many of the air platform survivability techniques into their space-based analogs. In this initial study, we assessed the contributions to space mission resilience from increasing maneuverability on-orbit, disaggregating missions (where multiple previously shared a single satellite platform), changing constellation size, developing allied hosting arrangements, re-aggregating (cohosting) dissimilar missions on a single satellite, and exploring non-traditional orbits (to avoid historically congested altitude/inclinations). One goal of study is to propose viable architectural inputs into the formal Air Force Space Command planning, programming and budgeting cycle. Because of this, the study also developed a cost estimate for each of the candidate architectures. This results in anecdotal data on the relative cost for achieving increased resilience by each method. This paper shows how to translate the authors’ strategy into a framework so that candidate architectures can be quantitatively compared with respect to the performance they provide, their resiliency, and their cost so decision makers can identify the best architecture to adopt given a cost constraint. This framework is current being used to assess a wide range of future space system architectures.

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