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  • New
  • Research Article
  • 10.1007/s00477-026-03240-z
Expert-driven canal control using inverse reinforcement learning for minimizing water level and delivery errors in irrigation networks
  • Apr 24, 2026
  • Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
  • Kazem Shahverdi + 3 more

  • New
  • Research Article
  • 10.1007/s00477-026-03225-y
Machine learning technique for net ecosystem exchange of carbon dioxide simulation and assessment: a regional analysis of Japanese islands
  • Apr 24, 2026
  • Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
  • Artem Gorbarenko + 4 more

  • Research Article
  • 10.1007/s00477-026-03204-3
Spatial persistence in the Brahmaputra river: rescaled range and multiscaling analyses
  • Apr 1, 2026
  • Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
  • Samuele De Bartolo + 2 more

  • Research Article
  • 10.1007/s00477-026-03200-7
Analysis of ensemble and control forecasts from GEFS and NEPS for reservoir inflow prediction
  • Apr 1, 2026
  • Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
  • Ayushi Panchal + 1 more

  • Research Article
  • 10.1007/s00477-026-03193-3
Classifying urban regions by aggregated pollutant–weather correlation strength: a spatiotemporal study
  • Mar 27, 2026
  • Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
  • Koyena Ghosh + 3 more

  • Research Article
  • 10.1007/s00477-026-03196-0
A framework for 3D direct sampling-based environmental contours of wind, wave, and current using ABKP model and R-vine copula
  • Mar 16, 2026
  • Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
  • Guangsong Song + 3 more

  • Open Access Icon
  • Research Article
  • 10.1007/s00477-026-03205-2
Estimation of urban heat island intensity and trends in Spanish cities
  • Mar 16, 2026
  • Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
  • M Ángeles García + 1 more

Abstract Studying urban heat islands (UHIs) in Southern Europe is crucial, as they amplify heat risks under climate change. UHIs and their temporal variability at seven urban–rural pair locations in Spain were analysed from 1970 to 2023. The UHI was defined as the air temperature difference between each urban site and its neighbouring rural sites, and trends were analysed using the non-parametric Mann–Kendall test with Sen’s slope estimator. Based on daily minimum air temperature data, results indicated a mean UHI intensity ranging from −0.15 °C in Alicante to 2.28 °C in A Coruña. The UHI annual trend was significant, increasing in Valladolid (0.023 °C/year) and Alicante (0.009 °C/year) and decreasing in Santander (-0.015 °C/year). Seasonal analysis showed statistically significant trends in Valladolid, particularly in spring and summer (0.029 °C/year). In Alicante, an increase of around 0.012 °C/year was observed in spring and summer, while Madrid showed a trend of 0.012 °C/year in winter. However, a warming effect at the rural site was identified in Barcelona (−0.028 ºC/year in autumn) and in Santander −0.025 °C/year in spring and summer), corresponding to negative UHI trends. The influence of synoptic patterns on UHI yielded values between 3 and 4 °C in A Coruña and Madrid for anticyclonic southeasterly, anticyclonic southerly, and southeasterly air flows. Lower intensities were found in Barcelona (2.5 °C) and were associated with hybrid anticyclonic westerly flows. UHI intensities below 2 °C were obtained at the other locations, with the lowest values being linked to hybrid cyclonic westerly and cyclonic north-westerly flows.

  • Research Article
  • 10.1007/s00477-026-03201-6
General circulation models for soil moisture simulation in global land areas: a complex network perspective
  • Mar 16, 2026
  • Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
  • Anagha Prabhakar + 1 more

  • Research Article
  • 10.1007/s00477-026-03194-2
A spatially-coherent attribution framework for interpreting black-box tropical cyclone intensity forecasts
  • Mar 16, 2026
  • Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
  • Ying-Fan Lin + 1 more

  • Research Article
  • 10.1007/s00477-026-03191-5
Dealing with hurricane surge flooding in a changing environment: part II: risk-based coastal adaptation design considering hazard-adaptation interactions
  • Mar 16, 2026
  • Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
  • Weiliang Jin + 1 more