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Территориальные различия в доле русских в постсоветских странах Восточной Европы и Балтии

The article presents the analysis results of the Russian and Russian-speaking population dynamics at the state and regional level of the European CIS countries (Belarus, Ukraine and Moldova) and Baltic states (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania) in the post-Soviet period. In accordance with the population censuses in these countries, the study interval is divided into two periods: the last decade of the 20th century and first decade of 21st century. The 1990s were characterized by a significant outflow of the Russian population from the Baltic states and Moldova, and a decrease in the proportion of Russians due to a change of ethnic identity in the Republic of Belarus and Ukraine. In the first decade of the 21st century, the outflow of Russians from the Baltic states continued, it was the most significant in Latvia, the minimal in Estonia. In the Republic of Belarus due to the Russian language adoption as the second state language in 1995 there has been a significant increase in the number and proportion of the population that recognizes Russian as mother tongue. The analysis results of the dynamics of Russians’ proportion are viewed through the prism of the concept of geo-cultural space. According to this concept, the Russian population proportion can be the quantitative criterion for distinguishing the components of the Russian geoethnocultural system territorial structure, which has experienced significant “shrinking” in the post-Soviet period.

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Использование системы критериев для комплексной оценки состояния островных дальневосточных побережий России

The criterion system for a complex estimation of the economic and geoecological state of the coasts, their resistance to possible natural and man-made impacts is presented and tested in the paper on examples of Sakhalin and Iturup islands. This criterion system takes into account both the current state of the seacoasts and their past and forecasted variability. For complex estimation of the coasts’ state by proposed criterion system coastal sections with different geographical characteristics, intensity and types of economic use were selected. The estimation showed that the natural variability of geosystems and their high susceptibility to natural threats create the greatest difficulty for the economic use of selected coast sections. The probability of largescale actions’ carrying out to increase the coastline resilience to natural threats is low. Natural features of coastal landscapes, combined with a relatively low population density and small number of economic sites in the analyzed area, as a rule, do not lead to insoluble inter-industry contradiction. Recommendations about the feasibility of the type of economic use for coast sector are given based on the complex estimation fulfilled.

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Спрол в России: рост и структурная трансформация пригородов Белгорода

Belgorod is one of the earliest and most prominent examples of the development of Western-style suburbanization in post-Soviet Russia. Based on the analysis of satellite images’ time-series, we traced dynamics of Belgorod suburbia development, and determined factors of its localization. We propose a method to interpret types of suburban settlement patterns (e.g. a system of the elements’ interpretation) and identified main shortcomings. A key feature of the rapid suburbanization of Belgorod during the post-Soviet period was the formation of extensive suburban sprawl areas, which are completely morphologically different from traditional seasonal (dachas) and rural single-story suburbs. Sprawl expansion on this territory occurred in two distinct waves, the first of which was induced by an influx of ethnic-Russian migrants from the near abroad, and the second coincided with the period of relatively high rates of economic development of Russia and Belgorod oblast in the 2000s and began to decline in early 2010. Growing systems of genetically related sprawling areas form tree-like graphs (due to the requirement for access to utilities and to the major transportation routes), the roots of which are the areas of high-rise buildings, and the leaves—younger “generations” of sprawling areas.

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Пространственная дифференциация чистых доходов и проблемы сохранения населения в приграничных регионах на востоке России

One of the main problems hindering the development of the territories adjoining state boundary in the east of Russia is the population outflow-mainly departure of educated, young and active citizens. Among its reasons are territorial differences in the level and quality of life. The indicators of dynamics of net income (adjusted for price increases in Russian regions) of citizens legally employed in various industries and sectors, were chosen as quantitative characteristics of the interregional differentiation factors. The period from 2011— from the time of economic stabilization after the crisis of2008-2009-to 2016 was considered. Processing and analysis of official statistical information were carried out using GIS technologies; the results are presented by thematic maps of the spatial distribution of the studied indicators in the regions of the Russian Federation. Crises and economic shocks undoubtedly had a significant impact on the regions’ economy, however the degree of sensitivity to them (determined by socio-economic policy) was highly heterogeneous. The policy of import substitution has had a positive impact on the agricultural sector, and in most Russian regions the net income of rural workers has increased significantly. Citizens net incomes in the agro-industrial complex remain low, the share of people living in rural settlements in the eastern border regions is quite high, so it is necessary to state that the geopolitical problems in the East of the country are still far from being solved. As a result of processing and analysis of a large data array, it was found that the dynamics of net income of employees in the economy in the Far East is generally more favorable than in Eastern Siberia, although there are significant sectoral differences.

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Предпосылки техногенной метаморфизации ионного состава воды р. Надым в условиях глобальных климатических изменений

The hydrochemical regime changes of Nadym River near city of Nadym from the start of regular observations in 1955 till 2016 in conditions of anthropogenic impact and global climate change was reviewed. Shown, that the relations between the major ion concentrations (ions of sodium and potassium, calcium, magnesium, chlorides, sulfates and bicarbonates) and water discharge from 1980 are getting weaker down to insignificant. Likewise, disturbances the natural ratio between the major ions, which most pronounced in a strong positive trend of the sulfate ions content in river water, are arise. The data on the long-term dynamics of the main ions in the main phases of the hydrological regime (spring high water, summer-autumn and winter low water) are presented. The probable causes of the observed preconditions to technogenic metamorphization of Nadym River ionic composition are considered: impact of untreated sewage discharge, atmospheric transport of anthropogenic and natural sulfur compounds, and pollution by mineralized formation waters. It has been suggested that the sulfates increased during all phases of the hydrological regime, including the winter low water, is associated with contamination of ground waters as a result of filtration and leakage of drilling waste from slurry barns. Probably, it occurs due to the degradation of their natural waterproofing layer of permafrost rocks under the influence of global climate change.

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Б.Н. Зимин и отечественная социально-экономическая география: к 90-летию со дня рождения

In the works of B.N. Zimin laid the basic principles and approaches to geo-graphical world economic analysis. One of the key ones is the complementarity of sectoral and territorial approaches. He identified the key patterns of industry placement in a mature market environment, the influence of integration processes on shifts in industry placement. He considered European integration as a periodic, cyclical phenomenon and as a process having rational dimensions and finite values of functioning efficiency. Based on clearly formulated criteria (GDP volume, excess of GNP over domestic demand by more than 1/3, narrow sectoral structure of the economy focused primarily on foreign markets, increased share of non-domestic production), B.N. Zimin developed the theory of “Small countries”. From his work on the geography of the “black market” grew a fullfledged direction of economic and geographical research. Assessing the prospects of post-socialist transformation of the Russian economy Zimin proved that it will not take place in an autarkic way, but in the context of reintegration in world economic system and will be determined by the situation in world markets in the global economy.

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Тепловое воздействие на территории России в середине XXI века по модельным данным

The assessment of heat waves’ number, intensity and duration change during summer (June-August) in the Russia territory for the “historical period” (1980-1999) and for the middle of the 21st century (2046-2055) was made according to the data of the global climate model (INMCM4) of the Institute of Numerical Mathematics, Russian Academy of Sciences. The definition of the extreme events’ criteria depends on the thresholds’ choice. In this paper, heat waves’ thresholds are considered as the values of the 95th percentile of maximum daily temperature distribution. An increase in the number of days with maximum temperatures exceeding the threshold values for the south of the European Russia and Western Siberia, Yakutia, the north of Chukotka, and Primorsky krai in the middle of the 21st century according to the “soft” scenario of RCP4.5 was revealed. Maximum changes are expected in Taimyr and Yamal. In the rest of the territory, the number of such days will be reduced. For the “hard” scenario of RCP8.5, more contrast changes in the similar locations are expected. Under the “hard” scenario, by the middle of the 21st century the maximum temperature in the heat wave will exceed 40°C in the south of the country.

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