Abstract

By starting from the one-parameter Modified Borel-Tanner distribution proposed recently in the statistic literature, we introduce the zero-inflated Modified Borel-Tanner distribution. Additionally, on the basis of the proposed zero-inflated distribution, a novel zero-inflated regression model is proposed, which is quite simple and may be an interesting alternative to usual zero-inflated regression models for count data. The parameters of the proposed model are estimated by Maximum Likelihood Estimation technique. To check the potentiality of the zero inflated Modified Borel-Tanner regression, an application to the count of infected blood cells is taken. The results suggest that the new zero inflated Modified Borel-Tanner regression is more appropriate to model these count data than other familiar zero-inflated (or not) regression models commonly used in practice.

Highlights

  • Without any ambiguity, Poisson model is one of the basic and simplest count data model and most common in practice to deal with count data

  • The Poisson model assumes that the events taken into consideration occurs under the principle of complete randomness, but this principle always does not hold true

  • Deniz et al (Gomez-Deniz, Vazquez-Polo, and Garcia 2017) introduced a simple count distribution (namely Modified Borel- Tanner (MBT) distribution) which has some eye catching properties like: (I) the distribution consists of one parameter; (II) it is one of the member of exponential family of distributions; (III) it belongs to the class of power series distribution; (IV) it is infinitely divisible; (V) it is unimodal; and (VI) variance larger than the mean, indicating that the one-parameter MBT distribution may be useful to model over-dispersed data

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Summary

Introduction

Poisson model is one of the basic and simplest count data model and most common in practice to deal with count data. Deniz et al (Gomez-Deniz, Vazquez-Polo, and Garcia 2017) introduced a simple count distribution (namely Modified Borel- Tanner (MBT) distribution) which has some eye catching properties like: (I) the distribution consists of one parameter; (II) it is one of the member of exponential family of distributions; (III) it belongs to the class of power series distribution; (IV) it is infinitely divisible; (V) it is unimodal; and (VI) variance larger than the mean, indicating that the one-parameter MBT distribution may be useful to model over-dispersed data. The motivation behind proposing the zero-inflated version of MBT model is that; it consists of only one parameter, the probabilities of the model are monotonically decreasing in x, it is an over-dispersed model and it has very simple closed form expressions which are easy to deal with. Mixing a distribution degenerate at zero with a baseline MBT distribution, we will propose the zero-Inflated Modified Borel–Tanner (ZIMBT) model given by. An application of the proposed model on a real data is shown in section 4 followed by concluding remarks in the last section 5

Review of data and preliminary analysis
ZIMBT regression model
Parameter estimation
D1X X D2S S D2X S D3S
Numerical illustration
Conclusions
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