Abstract

Lane change violations are a major cause of traffic conflicts and accidents at urban intersections and one of many road-safety issues in China. This study aims to explore the socio-psychological factors underlying drivers’ motivation for lane change violation behavior at urban intersections and examines how these factors predict this violation behavior. A self-reported questionnaire is designed by applying the construct of the theory of planned behavior (TPB) to collect data. Five hundred-six valid responses are received from the questionnaire survey conducted on the Internet in China. The data are then analyzed using structural equation modeling (SEM). The results of the analysis show that behavioral intention is the strongest predictor of self-reported lane change violation behavior at urban intersections. Perceived behavioral control has both direct and indirect effects on self-reported lane change violation behavior. Furthermore, attitude, subjective norms and perceived behavioral control are found to have significant correlations with drivers’ intention of lane change violations at urban intersections. The results of this study could provide a reference for designing more effective interventions to modify drivers’ lane change violation behavior at urban intersections.

Highlights

  • Traffic injuries at intersections account for a large proportion of total traffic-related injuries

  • The results show that all Average variance extracted (AVE) values ranging from 0.528 to 0.811 are above the threshold value of 0.5 and are below composite reliability (CR) values, indicating sufficient convergent validity [17,18, 21,22,23,24]

  • The results of this study show that behavioral intention is the strongest predictor of lane change violation behavior at urban intersections and correlates strongly with all three components of theory of planned behavior (TPB), which implies that future interventions for lane change violations at urban intersections should be associated with changing drivers’ behavioral intention

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Summary

Introduction

Traffic injuries at intersections account for a large proportion of total traffic-related injuries. In the United States in 2012, 2.5 million traffic crashes occurred at intersections, of which 2,850 were fatal [1]. In China, approximately 30% of total road fatalities occur at intersections [2]. The high number of intersection-related crashes can be partially attributed to drivers’ frequent traffic violation behaviors to a large extent [3]. Lane change violations have a great impact on road traffic accidents. According to statistics, during 2010, 5,464 accidents were related to lane change violations in China, with 1,046 deaths and 5,495 injured [4]

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