Abstract

Background: Alcohol and tobacco strongly increases the risk of cancers of the tongue, mouth, pharynx, larynx, and oesophagus, and are also established risk factors for cancer of the liver, colon, and rectum. It is well documented that these habits are unequally distributed among occupational groups. Most occupational cohort studies lack information on these potentially important confounders, and may therefore be prone to bias. Aim: The aim of the study is to present Nordic standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for alcohol and tobacco related cancer by occupation, after adjustment for alcohol and tobacco, and to compare to the unadjusted SIRs. Material and Methods: The study is based on the Nordic Occupational Cancer (NOCCA) database. We used confirmatory factor analysis models for simultaneous analysis of the cancer sites related to alcohol and tobacco, to obtain factors that allow for computation of adjusted expected numbers from the reference rates. We then calculated adjusted SIRs for the relevant cancer sites for each occupation. Results: For some occupations and cancers, the changes of risk estimates were striking, from significantly high to significantly low and vice versa. Among Nordic farmers, unadjusted SIRs for cancer of the mouth and oesophagus were 0.56 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.51–0.61) and 0.67 (CI 0.63–0.70), respectively. After adjustment, estimates changed to 1.10 (CI 1.01–1.21) and 1.16 (CI 1.10–1.22). Unadjusted SIR for pharynx cancer among wood workers was 0.83 (CI 0.75–0.91), adjusted SIR was 1.14 (CI 1.03–1.25). For larynx cancer, results in the opposite direction were seen: unadjusted SIR for economically inactive was 1.38 (CI 1.31–1.46) while the adjusted SIR was 0.91 (CI 0.86–0.96). Conclusions: Adjustment for the latent indicators of alcohol and tobacco consumption changed risk estimates for several occupations, gave a less confounded description of risk, and may guide in the identification of true risk factors.

Highlights

  • Alcohol and tobacco are strong risk factors, alone or in combination, for many types of cancer [1], and it has regularly been observed that these risk factors are unevenly distributed between occupations [2,3,4,5,6]

  • This potential confounding is a well-known problem in occupational cancer research, as in record linkage studies based on registry data computing standardized incidence or mortality ratios

  • No data on consumption of alcohol and tobacco was available for all occupational groups in all five Nordic countries, and we used the incidence pattern of the relevant cancer types and confirmatory factor analysis models to estimate the effect on cancer risk ascribed to alcohol and tobacco

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Summary

Introduction

Alcohol and tobacco are strong risk factors, alone or in combination, for many types of cancer [1], and it has regularly been observed that these risk factors are unevenly distributed between occupations [2,3,4,5,6]. It is reasonable to expect that tobacco and alcohol may confound, more or less strongly, the association between occupation and cancer risk. This potential confounding is a well-known problem in occupational cancer research, as in record linkage studies based on registry data computing standardized incidence or mortality ratios. Nordic standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for alcohol and tobacco related cancer by occupation, after adjustment for alcohol and tobacco, and to compare to the unadjusted SIRs. Material and Methods: The study is based on the Nordic Occupational Cancer (NOCCA) database. We used confirmatory factor analysis models for simultaneous analysis of the cancer sites related to alcohol and tobacco, to obtain factors that allow for computation of adjusted expected numbers from the reference rates

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