Validation of the cutaneous impact location to predict intracranial lesion among elderly admitted to the Emergency Department after a ground-level fall

Abstract

IntroductionIn the Emergency Departments, almost one out of two head CT scans are carried out for traumatic brain injuries among elderly victims of ground level-falls. Recently, a new predictive factor for intracranial lesions in this population has been suggested: presence and location of cutaneous impact. The aim of this study was to establish determinants of intracranial lesion among older patients admitted to EDs due to ground-level falls with traumatic brain injury using the head cutaneous impact location. MethodsA retrospective, observational and monocentric study of patients admitted to Emergency Department for ground-level falls with traumatic brain injury was carried out between 01 January 2017 and 31 July 2017. The primary outcome was identification of an acute intracranial lesion. A bootstrap procedure was employed to evaluate performance and internal validity of the final model. ResultsAmong the 1036 patients included, the mean age was 85.6 (SD 7.6) years and 94/1036 (9.1%, 95% CI 7.4–10.9) patients presented with an acute intracranial lesion. Multivariable analysis adjusted by bootstrap shrinkage showed that compared with temporal-parietal or occipital impact, Odds Ratio of intracranial lesions were 0.61 (95% CI 0.39–0.95, p = 0.03) in patients with frontal impact, 0.27 (95% CI 0.12–0.59, p = 0.001) in patients with facial impact and 0.21 (95% CI 0.06–0.77, p = 0.018) in patients without cutaneous impact. Subcutaneous hematoma (OR 1.97, p = 0.007), loss of consciousness (OR 4.66, p<0.001), fall-related amnesia (OR 2.58, p = 2.6), vomiting (OR 2.62, p = 0.002) and altered Glasgow Score (OR 6.79, p<0.001) were as well associated with high risk of intracranial lesion. Taking antiplatelets or anticoagulants were not associated with an increased risk of intracranial lesions. The model discrimination was adequate (C-statistic 0.79; 95% CI 0.73 – 0.85). ConclusionOur results establish specific determinants of intracranial lesions among elderly after ground level-falls. The cutaneous impact location may identify patients with high risk of intracranial lesion. Further researches are needed to propose a specific score based on these determinants so as to better target Head CT scan use.