Validating the Amyloid Cascade Through the Revised Criteria of Alzheimer's Association Workgroup 2024 for Alzheimer Disease

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Background and ObjectivesThe amyloid cascade hypothesis posits that Alzheimer disease (AD) progresses from amyloid deposition to tau deposition, neurodegeneration, and eventually cognitive impairment and is the foundation of the revised criteria of Alzheimer's Association Workgroup 2024 (AA-2024). To account for copathologies and cognitive resilience that affect the penetrance of the AD cascade, AA-2024 introduced a 2-dimensional biological-clinical staging framework. We aimed to estimate the proportion of persons along the AD continuum whose biological and clinical trajectories align with the amyloid cascade.MethodsCross-sectional data of the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) cohort were tested in the 4 × 4 biological/clinical staging matrix adapted from the AA-2024 criteria. Biological stages were defined by amyloid and tau-PET burden: stage A (amyloid positivity, A+), stage B (medial temporal tau, A+/T2MTL+), stage C (moderate neocortical tau, A+/T2MOD+), and stage D (high neocortical tau, A+/T2HIGH+). Clinical stages were cognitively unimpaired (stage 1), subtle cognitive impairment (stage 2), mild cognitive impairment (stage 3), and dementia (stages 4–6). Tau-PET cutoffs were defined through the implementation of 5 distinct methods. Participants were categorized into (1) compliant with the amyloid cascade (matrix diagonal), (2) resilient (advanced biological stage—early clinical stage), and (3) copathologic (early biological stage—advanced clinical stage). Observed distributions were compared with hypothetical scenarios with zero and high amyloid cascade penetrance using the χ2 test, and differences among the 5 methods were tested using the Cochran Q test.ResultsTwo-hundred and fifty-six amyloid-positive individuals (mean age: 72.7 years; 51% female) from the ADNI cohort were considered. The proportion of participants compliant with the amyloid cascade was between 31% (95% CI 25%–37%) and 36% (95% CI 30%–42%) depending on the tau-PET cutoff method. The observed number of individuals compliant with the amyloid cascade was higher than in the zero-penetrance scenario but lower than in the high-penetrance distribution (p < 0.01). The proportion of copathologic (17%–63%) and resilient (6%–52%) individuals varied widely by tau-PET cutoff (p < 0.001).DiscussionOnly approximately one-third of persons with an AA-2024 diagnosis of AD complied with the predictions of the amyloid cascade hypothesis. These results suggest the heterogeneity in how clinical symptoms and pathology are coupled along the AD continuum, which has significant implications for interpreting completed antiamyloid clinical trials and designing future studies.

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Cerebrospinal fluid biomarker signature in Alzheimer's disease neuroimaging initiative subjects.
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A Blood-Based Screening Tool for Alzheimer's Disease That Spans Serum and Plasma: Findings from TARC and ADNI
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ContextThere is no rapid and cost effective tool that can be implemented as a front-line screening tool for Alzheimer's disease (AD) at the population level.ObjectiveTo generate and cross-validate a blood-based screener for AD that yields acceptable accuracy across both serum and plasma.Design, Setting, ParticipantsAnalysis of serum biomarker proteins were conducted on 197 Alzheimer's disease (AD) participants and 199 control participants from the Texas Alzheimer's Research Consortium (TARC) with further analysis conducted on plasma proteins from 112 AD and 52 control participants from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI). The full algorithm was derived from a biomarker risk score, clinical lab (glucose, triglycerides, total cholesterol, homocysteine), and demographic (age, gender, education, APOE*E4 status) data.Major Outcome MeasuresAlzheimer's disease.Results11 proteins met our criteria and were utilized for the biomarker risk score. The random forest (RF) biomarker risk score from the TARC serum samples (training set) yielded adequate accuracy in the ADNI plasma sample (training set) (AUC = 0.70, sensitivity (SN) = 0.54 and specificity (SP) = 0.78), which was below that obtained from ADNI cerebral spinal fluid (CSF) analyses (t-tau/Aβ ratio AUC = 0.92). However, the full algorithm yielded excellent accuracy (AUC = 0.88, SN = 0.75, and SP = 0.91). The likelihood ratio of having AD based on a positive test finding (LR+) = 7.03 (SE = 1.17; 95% CI = 4.49–14.47), the likelihood ratio of not having AD based on the algorithm (LR−) = 3.55 (SE = 1.15; 2.22–5.71), and the odds ratio of AD were calculated in the ADNI cohort (OR) = 28.70 (1.55; 95% CI = 11.86–69.47).ConclusionsIt is possible to create a blood-based screening algorithm that works across both serum and plasma that provides a comparable screening accuracy to that obtained from CSF analyses.

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Background and ObjectivesTau-PET is increasingly used in Alzheimer disease (AD) clinical trials, both for participant selection based on disease stage and as an outcome measure. However, the longitudinal patterns of tau accumulation according to AD stages remain unclear. We aimed to examine the patterns of tau-PET accumulation in different AD stages defined by the Alzheimer's Association Workgroup to inform trial design.MethodsThis was a retrospective analysis of data collected from participants in 2 longitudinal observational cohort studies: the Translational Biomarkers in Aging and Dementia (TRIAD) study from Montreal, Canada, and Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), a multisite study in North America. Amyloid-PET–positive participants were biologically staged as one of the following based on tau-PET uptake: A+T2− (initial), A+T2MTL+ (early), A+T2MOD+ (intermediate), and A+T2HIGH+ (advanced). Amyloid-PET–negative participants were included as non-AD controls. All participants underwent amyloid-PET and tau-PET imaging, with longitudinal follow-up (mean: 2.96 ± 1.35 years). Linear mixed-effects models evaluated stage-specific regional longitudinal tau-PET changes; statistical power analyses estimated the sample sizes needed to detect differences in tau-PET accumulation for future AD trials.ResultsThe study included 542 participants (mean age: 67.9 ± 15.3 years; 56.3% female), comprising 321 non-AD controls and 221 individuals with AD. The baseline AD stage determined both the regional distribution and magnitude of tau accumulation. No significant accumulation occurred in A+T2− individuals over 4–6 years. In those with early-stage AD, tau accumulation was localized to early affected regions (TRIAD: β = 0.15, 95% CI 0.09–0.21, p < 0.001; ADNI: β = 0.21, 95% CI 0.03–0.40, p = 0.03). Individuals with intermediate-stage AD showed accumulation in intermediate regions (TRIAD: β = 0.16, 95% CI 0.10–0.22, p < 0.001; ADNI: β = 0.37, 95% CI 0.15–0.59, p = 0.001) while those with advanced-stage AD exhibited accumulation in later affected regions (TRIAD: β = 0.45, 95% CI 0.39–0.50, p < 0.001; ADNI: β = 0.31, 95% CI 0.14–0.49, p < 0.001). Stage-specific tau-PET region-of-interest selection reduced required sample sizes by 30%–93% for detecting hypothetical disease-modifying drug effects.DiscussionStage-specific patterns of tau-PET change highlighted the importance of baseline biological AD staging for selecting outcome regions of interest. Statistical power analyses indicated that aligning outcome regions with disease stage reduced sample size estimates, suggesting potential gains in trial efficiency. While findings were consistent across 2 independent cohorts, differences in tracers and demographic composition represent key limitations.

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  • Alzheimer's &amp; Dementia
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Regional pattern of cortical microstructural alterations along the AD continuum and association with plasma neurofilament light

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