Unemployment, Trade Liberalization and Adjustment in Post-Transition South Africa

Abstract

Economic theory suggests that trade liberalization rewards relatively abundant factors of production — labor in most economically developing countries. In South Africa, trade liberalization has not benefited the locally abundant factor (unskilled labor). Instead, unemployment remains stubbornly high. The legacy of apartheid explains this surprising result; apartheid distorted factor markets (including patterns in land ownership, unionization, investment, infrastructural development and more). The gains from trade will remain elusive unless the Government engages in policies targeting flexibility in factor markets to support trade adjustment. ANC governments have introduced some policies along these lines, but have refrained from taking on certain politically powerful constituencies within their own party.