Trends in incidence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in the United States between 2001–2021: a United States Cancer Statistics database study

Cervical cancer incidence and mortality rates in the United States have substantially declined over recent decades, primarily driven by reductions in squamous cell carcinoma cases. However, the trend in recent years remains unclear. This study aimed to explore the trends in cervical cancer incidence and mortality, stratified by demographic and tumor characteristics from 1975 to 2018. The age-adjusted incidence, incidence-based mortality, and relative survival of cervical cancer were calculated using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-9 database. Trend analyses with annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) calculations were performed using Joinpoint Regression Software (Version 4.9.1.0, National Cancer Institute). During 1975-2018, 49,658 cervical cancer cases were diagnosed, with 17,099 recorded deaths occurring between 1995 and 2018. Squamous cell carcinoma was the most common histological type, with 34,169 cases and 11,859 deaths. Over the study period, the cervical cancer incidence rate decreased by an average of 1.9% (95% CI: -2.3% to -1.6%) per year, with the APCs decreased in recent years (-0.5% [95% CI: -1.1 to 0.1%] in 2006-2018). Squamous cell carcinoma incidence trends closely paralleled overall cervical cancer patterns, but the incidence of squamous cell carcinoma in the distant stage increased significantly (1.1% [95% CI: 0.4 to 1.8%] in 1990-2018). From 1995 to 2018, the overall cervical cancer mortality rate decreased by 1.0% (95% CI: -1.2% to -0.8%) per year. But for distant-stage squamous cell carcinoma, the mortality rate increased by 1.2% (95% CI: 0.3 to 2.1%) per year. For cervical cancer cases diagnosed in the United States from 1975 to 2018, the overall incidence and mortality rates decreased significantly. However, there was an increase in the incidence and mortality of advanced-stage squamous cell carcinoma. These epidemiological patterns offer critical insights for refining cervical cancer screening protocols and developing targeted interventions for advanced-stage cases.

10569 Background: Epidemiological data relating to non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC), including squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), is highly under-reported and under-studied due to its lower metastatic potential. In recent years, incidence and prevalence of SCC has increased in many countries due to earlier detection, increased ultraviolet light exposure, as well as increasing life expectancy. This investigation compared trends in SCC incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in 33 countries. Methods: We utilized the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database for 33 countries, including the European Union nations as well as other selected high-income countries including the UK and USA. We extracted data including age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) and DALYs for SCC of the skin from 1990 to 2017. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to describe the trends. Results: For both sexes, the highest ASIRs were seen in the USA and Australia: ASIRs were 362.8/100,000 and 283.7/100,000 respectively for males, and 171.2/100,000 and 152.4/100,000 respectively for females. Males had higher ASIRs than females at the end of the observation period in all countries. In contrast, the highest ASMRs for males were observed in Australia (2.77/100,000) and Latvia (2.44/100,000), while the highest ASMRs for females were observed in Romania (0.95/100,000) and Croatia (0.90/100,000). The highest DALYs for both sexes were seen in Australia and Romania: DALYs were 58.4/100,000 and 43.8/100,000 respectively for males, and 16.9/100,000 and 14.9/100,000 respectively for females. Over the observation period, there were more countries demonstrating decreasing trends in mortality than in incidence. There was also a disparity between which countries had comparatively high mortality rates and which had high incidence rates – for instance, the USA, which had by far the highest SCC incidence rates, had among the lower mortality rates. Overall reductions in DALYs were observed in 24 of 33 countries for males, and 25 countries for females. Conclusions: Over the past 27 years, although trends in SCC incidence have risen in most countries, there is evidence that mortality rates have been decreasing, especially towards the end of the observation period. Overall, burden of disease as assessed using DALYs has decreased in the majority of countries. Future work will explore potential explanatory factors for the observed disparity in trends in SCC incidence and mortality.

Squamous cell carcinoma: Could it be the most common skin cancer?

BackgroundRecent studies have indicated that the incidence of esophageal cancer has declined in the past decade in the U.S. However, trends in the incidence and survival have not been thoroughly examined.MethodsData from 46 063 patients with esophageal cancer between 1973 and 2015 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The trends in the age‐adjusted incidence and survival were analyzed using joinpoint regression models.ResultsThe age‐adjusted incidence of esophageal cancer increased from 5.55 to 7.44 per 100 000 person‐years between 1973 and 2004. Later, it decreased at an annual percentage change of 1.23%. In the last 40 years, the strong male predominance increased slightly. Importantly, the percentage of patients with localized stage of squamous cell cancer decreased. It was observed that the incidence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma declined since 1986, while the incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma sharply increased since 1973 and surpassed the rate of squamous cell cancer, mainly due to the increase in the incidence among men. Consistently, the estimated 40‐year limited‐duration prevalence of esophageal adenocarcinoma was higher than that of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Additionally, we observed a modest but significant improvement in survival during the study period.ConclusionThe incidence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma has decreased significantly over the past four decades in the U.S., while the incidence of adenocarcinoma has increased, particularly among men. Overall, the long‐term survival of patients with esophageal cancer is poor but it has improved over the past decades, especially for the localized disease.Key pointsSignificant findings of the studyThe incidence of esophageal cancer has decreased at an annual percentage change of 1.23% since 2004. The incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma has sharply increased since 1973 and surpassed the rate of squamous cell cancer, mainly due to the increase in the incidence among men.What this study addsThere has been a shift in the prevalence of esophageal cancer histological subtypes over the past decades in the U.S. We found that the incidence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma has continued to decrease, while the esophageal adenocarcinoma rate has continued to increase.

To describe the incidence trends in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and adenocarcinoma among the three major ethnic groups in Singapore from 1968 to 2002. Esophageal cancer cases in Singapore citizens and permanent residents obtained from the Singapore Cancer Registry and population data derived from the national census were used to calculate the incidence rates from 1968 to 2002. The age-standardized incidence rates (ASRs) for SCC decreased progressively from 8.31 to 3.85 per 100,000 men (p = 0.017) and from 3.43 to 0.81 per 100,000 women (p = 0.027). The rates fell for all three ethnic groups. The ASR for adenocarcinoma rose from 0 to 0.54 per 100,000 men and from 0.03 to 0.13 per 100,000 women, although these time trends did not achieve statistical significance. The frequency of regular smoking in the population decreased from 23% in 1966/1977 to 12.6% in 2004. The percentage of obesity in adults rose from 4.3% in 1982-1985 to 6.9% in 2004. The frequency of esophagitis in Singapore based on endoscopic findings increased from 3.9% in 1992 to 9.8% in 2001. The decline in the incidence of SCC is likely to be associated with the known decrease in the frequency of smoking among Singaporeans. In contrast, there appears to be a trend toward an increase in the incidence of adenocarcinoma in Singapore, although the absolute incidence remains relatively low. This may be due to the associated rise in the frequency of reflux esophagitis and obesity in Singapore.

We examine trends in incidence, mortality and survival of penile squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) in Norway over 60 years. Data on all cases of penile cancer diagnosed in Norway during 1956–2015 were obtained from the Cancer Registry of Norway. Trends in age‐standardized rates of penile SCC incidence, mortality and 5‐year relative survival were assessed by the annual percentage change statistic and joinpoint regression. A total of 1,596 penile cancer cases were diagnosed during 1956–2015, among which 1,474 (92.4%) were SCC. During 2011–2015, the age‐standardized incidence and mortality of penile SCC were 0.91 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.78; 1.05) and 0.50 (0.42; 0.60) per 100,000, respectively, and the 5‐year relative survival was 61.6% (41.9; 76.4). The incidence of SCC increased during 1956–2015, with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of 0.80% (0.46; 1.15). The increase was strongest among men diagnosed at a relatively early age (age<=64 years; AAPC: 1.47% (0.90; 2.05)). Mortality also increased over the study period (AAPC: 0.47% (0.10; 0.85)), whereas 5‐year relative survival did not change (AAPC: 0.08% (−0.19; 0.36)). We conclude that the incidence of penile SCC has increased at a moderate and constant rate during 1956–2015, and that the most consistent increase occurred among younger men. Mortality also increased during the study period. However, survival did not change, thus changes in diagnostics and treatment had little impact on survival from penile SCC. Since a substantial proportion of penile SCC is caused by human papillomavirus (HPV), the incidence increase may in part be attributed to increased exposure to HPV in the population.

Incidence of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma in coastal and inland areas of Western Sweden

BACKGROUNDAn increasing incidence of oral carcinoma among young adults has been reported in the U.S. and Europe. Although the association between human papillomavirus infection and tonsillar carcinoma is now well established, to the authors' knowledge little is known about incidence trends in tonsillar carcinoma among younger adults. The objective of the current study was to explore the trends in both oral cavity and pharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) in younger U.S. populations, in particular tongue and tonsillar SCC.METHODSUsing the 1973–2001 Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database, we computed age, race, and site‐specific trends of oral and pharyngeal (excluding nasopharynx) carcinoma incidence rates. The percent change (PC) and annual percent change (APC) were computed to explore trends in incidence rates over time.RESULTSThere were 2262 SCC of the oral cavity and 1251 SCC of the pharynx reported to the SEER program from 1973 to 2001 in adults aged 20–44 years. There was a statistically significant increase in the incidence of oral tongue SCC (APC = +2.1; P &lt; 0.001), base of tongue SCC (APC = +1.7; P = 0.04), and palatine tonsil SCC (APC = +3.9; P &lt; 0.001) among younger white individuals, whereas the incidence of SCC in all other oral and pharyngeal sites decreased or remained constant.CONCLUSIONSThe increase in tonsil SCC incidence from 1973 to 2001 paralleled the increase in tongue SCC, whereas SCC in all other oral and pharyngeal sites remained constant or decreased. This may suggest similar etiologic factors for SCC affecting the palatine tonsils and tongue in younger populations. Cancer 2005. © 2005 American Cancer Society.

Racial variation in the incidence of squamous cell carcinoma of the bladder in the United States.

Population-based studies in Western countries suggest that the incidence of oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OA) and gastric cardia adenocarcinoma (GCA) is increasing, whereas the incidence of distal gastric carcinoma and oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) is declining. This is the first population-based study carried out in a southern European region to evaluate the time trends in incidence rates of oesophageal and gastric tumours according to subsite and histology over the period 1986-1997. Cancer cases were drawn from seven registries of the Italian Network of Cancer Registries, which covers approximately 9% of the Italian population (annual average 5 027 944). Time trends in age and sex-standardized incidence rates were reported. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) and related 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated by modelling age, sex, subsite and morphology-specific incidence rates through Poisson log-linear regression, and whenever necessary negative-binomial regression. Overall, 25 895 gastric and 2497 oesophageal carcinomas were examined. On the whole, an increasing trend was observed for OA plus GCA. The increase was statistically significant in younger women (<60 years: EAPC 3.7; 95% CI 0.2; 7.3) and in older men (>75 years: EAPC 4.0; 95% CI 1.2; 6.9). Similar trends were also observed in proximal gastric cancer (GCA plus fundus). A decline in the stomach subfundus incidence was observed in both sexes and in each age group. OSCC decreased significantly in men (EAPC-2.6; 95% CI-4.1;-0.9). It is plausible that the different tendencies in oesophageal and proximal gastric cancer in men and women are attributable to heterogeneous distributions of risk factors by sex or age.

We aimed to improve our understanding of the epidemiology of squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma of the esophagus. We estimated average annual percent change and analyzed age-period-cohort trends on population-based cancer data. We found decreases in squamous cell carcinoma incidence in half of male populations (largest decrease in US black males [average annual percent change -7.6]) and increases in adenocarcinoma incidence in nearly a third of populations. Trends may be associated with a mix of birth cohort and period effects. More complete data and evidence are needed to conclude the reasons for the observed trends (see Visual Abstract, Supplementary Digital Content 4, http://links.lww.com/AJG/B823).

Lung cancer is a major public health concern worldwide. Our study aims to examine trends in incidence of lung cancer in Scotland during 1959-97 and by histologic type for 1975-97. In Scotland, lung cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer in men and is the second most commonly diagnosed cancer in women. Due to poor survival rates, trends in incidence and mortality display similar patterns. Within the United States and many parts of Europe, falls in the incidence of squamous cell carcinoma have occurred whilst the incidence of adenocarcinoma has increased. Data were extracted from the Scottish Cancer Registry. Trends in incidence were examined by standardising rates to the World Standard Population. Age-specific rates were examined by year of diagnosis and mid year of birth. In Scotland the incidence of lung cancer in men has fallen since the late 1970s, whereas incidence in women has continued to increase. Incidence rates of adenocarcinoma have increased over time but squamous cell carcinoma remains the predominant type of lung cancer in Scotland. The quality of lung cancer registration data has improved over time, although a large proportion of lung cancers (>20%) are not microscopically verified. Changes in histologic types are unlikely to be solely due to diagnostic advances. Rates of adenocarcinoma have increased steadily over time, and this may be due to changes in cigarette design during the 1950s.

Decreases in lung cancer incidence in the United States (US) have paralleled decreasing smoking prevalence for several decades; however, recent data has revealed slower declines among females than males. Sex-based differences in histologic lung cancer-and specifically adenocarcinoma-for all 50 US states and the District of Columbia have never been investigated. Using population-based cancer registry data from the US Cancer Statistics, we examined age-adjusted histologic lung cancer incidence rates and trends by sex and state of residence at diagnosis. We compared state-level adenocarcinoma incidence to lung cancer screening (LCS) adherence and smoking prevalence estimates. Average annual percentage change (AAPC) and incidence rate ratios (IRR) were used to assess changes over time. Nationally, females experienced faster increases in adenocarcinoma incidence than males (1.75%/year vs. 0.35%/year), and slower decreases in incidence of squamous cell (-0.06%/year vs. -1.58%/year) and small cell carcinoma (-2.06%/year vs. -3.19%/year). Adenocarcinoma incidence increased significantly (AAPC>0) in 41 states among females compared to 10 among males. Significant adenocarcinoma increases in individuals under age 55 (IRR >1) occurred among females in six states (four in the southeastern US) and none among males. State-level LCS adherence was significantly associated with adenocarcinoma incidence among females (r = 0.39; p<.01) but not males, though screening cannot account for increases among females under age 55. Our results highlight sex-based differences in histologic lung cancer incidence trends, with specific concern for increases in adenocarcinoma in the southeastern US. Further research is needed into appropriate LCS eligibility criteria and the risk factors driving sex-based disparities.

Racial Variation in the Incidence of Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Bladder in the United States

Incidence and survival trends of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma in the Netherlands between 1989 and 2011