Abstract
This paper presents a case study of travel demand forecasting in the Montreal metropolitan area that is based on an extensive study conducted for the Quebec Department of Transportation. The main goal was to determine whether or not there is a need for new infrastructure vs. travel demand management (TDM) measures to solve the problem of growing congestion on Montreal's bridges. Findings from this work show that strong aging trends will have the effect of reducing past tendencies toward rising global mobility and motorization, and diminished demand should be evident by 2011, especially if strong TDM measures are instituted. The combination of various TDM measures could have a prominent effect on future travel demand and appears to be a realistic alternative to installation of new infrastructure.
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