Abstract
To support efforts to modernize aviation systems to be safer and more efficient, high-precision trajectory prediction and robust anomaly detection methods are required. The terminal airspace is identified as the most critical airspace for individual flight-level and system-level safety and efficiency. To support successful trajectory prediction and anomaly detection methods within the terminal airspace, accurate identification of air traffic flows is paramount. Typically, air traffic flows are identified utilizing clustering algorithms, where performance relies on the definition of an appropriate distance function. The convergent/divergent nature of flows within the terminal airspace makes the definition of an appropriate distance function challenging. Utilization of the Euclidean distance is standard in aviation literature due to little computational expense and ability to cluster entire trajectories or trajectory segments at once. However, a primary limitation in the utilization of the Euclidean distance is the uneven distribution of distances as aircraft arrive at or depart from the airport, which may result in skewed classification and inadequate identification of air traffic flows. Therefore, a weighted Euclidean distance function is proposed to improve trajectory clustering within the terminal airspace. In this work, various weighting schemes are evaluated, applying the HDBSCAN algorithm to cluster the trajectories. This work demonstrates the promise of utilizing a weighted Euclidean distance function to improve the identification of terminal airspace air traffic flows. In particular, for the selected terminal airspace, if trajectory points closer to the border of the terminal airspace, but not necessarily at the border, are weighted highest, then a more accurate clustering is computed.
Highlights
Introduction and BackgroundGlobal aviation system modernization efforts have been in progress in the last decades and include the FAA’s Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) [1] portfolio in the U.S.and the Single European Sky Air traffic management (ATM) Research (SESAR) [2] program in Europe
The comparison is represented as a bar chart of the percent of times each of the weighted Euclidean distance (WED) weighting schemes performs better than the ED
A box plot is generated to visualize the ratio between the mean distance between trajectories assigned to a flow and their respective flow centroid computed utilizing the ED and WED weighting schemes such that the improvement may be quantified
Summary
Global aviation system modernization efforts have been in progress in the last decades and include the FAA’s Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) [1] portfolio in the U.S. and the Single European Sky Air traffic management (ATM) Research (SESAR) [2] program in Europe. The modernization efforts are long-term plans with a large focus on improving the safety and efficiency of aircraft operations. High-precision trajectory prediction and robust trajectory anomaly detection methods are paramount to support efforts to improve the safety and efficiency of airspace systems. The abundance of sensor data collected from aircraft in flight has led to the establishment of structured routine data collection and analysis programs to improve safety. Due to the advances in modern machine learning techniques, operational insights utilizing data-driven techniques are gaining significant momentum to improve aviation safety and efficiency. Operations within the terminal airspace, in particular, are known to greatly impact both individual flight-level and entire airspace
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