Abstract

Recent work on Sahelian rainfall anomalies has concentrated on modelling of both ocean heat anomaly forcing of regional low-mid troposphere circulation and land surface forcing of precipitation processes. This paper, however, assesses the role of an upper troposphere synoptic feature of importance in modulating surface rainfall over Sudan in the eastern Sahel: the Tropical easterly Jet (TEJ). The TEJ provides an example of an inter-regional circulation feature linking the Sahelian and southeast Asian monsoons and ultimately, perhaps, forced by ENSO-related anomalies. Using the literature, intra-and inter-year variations in TEJ intensity, latitude and extent over northeast Africa are discussed and related to the lower tropospheric ITD and precipitation anomalies. The paper outlines ideas to be pursued in relating TEJ behaviour to surface rainfall, upper air windflow, and mid-troposphere water vapour (WV) as derived from METEOSAT data.

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