The Lottery Problem for Ranking Theory

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Abstract Ranking Theory has been developed as an alternative to subjec- tive probability for modelling partial belief. It goes further than probability in that it jointly models both full and partial belief. One selling feature is that the Lottery Paradox does not arise in Ranking Theory. However, all is not well when it comes to modelling lottery beliefs with ranks. In this paper, I show how lotteries create problems for Ranking Theory.

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  • Research Article
  • 10.1007/s40961-020-00227-1
Countering the Counter Examples of Stewart Cohen: An Advancement of David Lewis’ Contextualist Solution to Gettier Problem, Lottery Paradox and Sceptical Paradox
  • Nov 24, 2020
  • Journal of Indian Council of Philosophical Research
  • Jayashree Deka

The main aim of this paper is to analyse David Lewis’ version of contextualism and his solution to the Gettier problem and the lottery problem through the employment of his Rule of Relevance and Stewart Cohen’s response to these problems. Here I analyse whether Stewart Cohen’s response to David Lewis’ solutions to these problems is on the right track or not. Hence, I try to analyse some concept in David Lewis and Stewart Cohen which has remained unanalysed. Cohen tries to show that when we try to solve some variation of the lottery problem and the Gettier problem by applying Lewis’s Rule of Relevance, then it generates some counterintuitive result. So Cohen gives Lewis some alternatives (which are explained in “The Strategy of Biting the Bullet and the Problem of Interference” and “Biting the Bullet Strategy as a Natural Extension of Contextualist Resolution to the Sceptical Problem and the Pity Poor Bill Variation of the Lottery Problem” sections) to avoid this counterintuitive result; this attempt, however, affects some other presuppositions of the contextual theory of David Lewis. My aim in this paper is to show how without taking these alternatives suggested by Cohen, Lewis can apply his Rules of Relevance to solve the lottery problem and the Gettier problem without any counterintuitive result.

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