The Lack of Predictive Value of Prostate Specific Antigen Density in the Detection of Prostate Cancer in Patients with Normal Rectal Examinations and Intermediate Prostate Specific Antigen Levels

Abstract

Purpose The management of patients with a normal digital rectal examination and a prostate specific antigen (PSA) level of 4.0 to 10.0 ng./ml. remains controversial. To improve the specificity of cancer detection in this group, PSA density has been recommended with biopsies based on a PSA density of 0.15 or more. To evaluate PSA density as a discriminator of prostate cancer we enrolled patients in a prospective study. Materials and Methods A prospective evaluation was done of 44 consecutive patients with a palpably normal digital rectal examination and a serum PSA level of 4.0 to 10.0 ng./ml. enrolled during a 13-month period. All patients underwent transrectal ultrasound with sextant biopsies regardless of calculated PSA density. Results Overall, 8 of 44 men (18 percent) had prostate cancer. There was no significant difference in the mean PSA density between the patients with positive and negative biopsies (mean 0.12 and 0.15, respectively, p = 0.258). Also, there was no significant association between PSA or PSA density and a positive biopsy in multivariate analysis (p = 0.863). Receiver operating characteristic curves for PSA and PSA density failed to demonstrate any superior benefit for PSA density in this patient population. A PSA density of 0.15 was an unreliable indicator of cancer (sensitivity 12.5 percent, specificity 61.1 percent and positive predictive value 6.7 percent). Conclusions In our study, PSA density did not discriminate between patients with positive and negative biopsies, and in fact most cancers would not have been detected if a PSA density of 0.15 or more had been used as the sole indication for biopsy. Therefore, we recommend systematic biopsies in these patients independent of calculated PSA density.