The Impacts of Climate Change on Food Security – Case Study: Egypt

Abstract

This study analyses the impacts of climate change on food security in Egypt. The study depends on using ARDL model (Auto regressive distributed lag model) in order to estimate the impacts of climate change on food security dimensions in Egypt. The study found that there is a negative and significant impact of temperature on food production as increasing temperature leads to decreasing some crops’ production. Also, there is a positive and significant impact of temperature on food access as increasing temperature leads to increase food prices. These findings showed that unless sufficient adaptation, Egypt will suffer from negative effects on food production and food access and that will result in a high insecurity of food. This study reached a recommendation of enhancing a comprehensive adaptation system in order to lower the negative impacts of climate change on food security.