Abstract
Asia remains the last net importing region without a gas hub or a representative gas price. However, increased market liquidity and more transparent pricing presage the development of hub-based trading in the region. This paper assesses three potential locations for an Asia Pacific gas hub, considering for each location the critical enabling factors of infrastructure, markets and regulation. We suggest that an Asian gas hub will evolve, but as a tripod, with: (1) an active contract trading hub in Singapore; (2) a secondary physical hub for volume storage and transfer in Tokyo harbour; and (3) a tertiary balancing point as the ultimate price arbiter in Shanghai. We do not expect this Asian hub to mature fully until the mid-2020s. However, we do see many of the crucial elements already emerging.
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