The forecasting of surface displacement for tunnel slopes utilizing the WD-IPSO-GRU model

Abstract

To quickly assess slope stability based on field displacement monitoring data, this paper constructs a hybrid optimization model that predicts surface displacement during tunnel excavation in base-overburden slopes. The model combines Wavelet Decomposition (WD) with a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and the GRU's hyperparameters are optimized using an Improved Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm (IPSO). The specific steps are as follows: First, the Wavelet Decomposition (WD) technique is applied to decompose the raw displacement data, extracting features at different time–frequency scales. Next, the Dropout technique is incorporated into the GRU model to prevent overfitting. Additionally, nonlinear inertia weight ω improved cognitive factor c1, and social factor c2 are introduced. The PSO algorithm is improved by integrating crossover and mutation concepts from genetic algorithms. Finally, the IPSO is used to optimize the number of neural units hN, HN, LN and dropout rates D1 and D2 in the GRU network architecture. After constructing the WD-IPSO-GRU model, a comprehensive comparison is made with various swarm intelligence algorithms and state-of-the-art models. The experimental results demonstrate that the WD-IPSO-GRU model significantly improves the prediction accuracy of surface displacement in slopes during tunnel excavation. Compared to directly using raw data for prediction, the introduction of the WD preprocessing technique improved the prediction accuracy at measurement points 01 and 02 by 28% and 45.9%, respectively. Additionally, with the model optimized by IPSO, the prediction accuracy at measurement points 01 and 02 increased by 76% and 56.7%, respectively. The WD-IPSO-GRU model effectively addresses the challenges of extracting features from univariate displacement time-series data and determining the parameters of the GRU network. It improves the prediction accuracy of surface displacement in base-overburden type slopes and demonstrates excellent generalization ability and reliability. The research results validate the potential application of the model in geotechnical engineering and provide strong support for assessing slope stability during tunnel excavation.