The Effects of a Physician Slowdown on Emergency Department Volume and Treatment

Abstract

In February 2003, many physicians in New Jersey participated in a work slowdown to publicize large increases in malpractice premiums and generate support for legislative reform. It was anticipated that the community physician slowdown (hereafter referred to as "slowdown") would increase emergency department (ED) visits. The authors' goal was to help others prepare for anticipated increases in ED volumes by describing the preparatory staffing changes made and quantifying increases in ED volume. This was a retrospective cohort study performed at a New Jersey suburban teaching hospital with 70,000 annual visits. Consecutive patients seen by emergency physicians were enrolled. The authors extracted patient visit data from the computerized tracking system and analyzed hours worked by personnel, patient volumes, admission rates, and patient throughput times. Variables from each day of the slowdown with baseline values for the same day of the week for the four weeks before and after the slowdown were compared. A Bonferroni correction was used, with p < 0.01 considered statistically significant. Total patient volume increased 79% from baseline (95% confidence interval [CI] = 20% to 137%). Pediatric volume increased 223% (95% CI = 171% to 274%). Overall admission rate decreased 29% compared with baseline (95% CI = 8% to 51%). Patient throughput times did not change significantly. Similar results for these variables were found for the second through fourth days of the slowdown. Emergency department visits, especially pediatric visits, increased markedly during the community physician slowdown. Anticipatory increases in staffing effectively prevented increased throughput times.