Abstract
Forestry plays an essential role in reducing CO2 emissions and promoting green and sustainable development. This paper estimates the CO2 emissions of 30 provinces in China from 2008 to 2017, and uses Global DEA-Malmquist to measure the total factor productivity of the forestry industry and its decomposition index. On this basis, by constructing a spatial econometric model, this paper aims to empirically study the impact of forestry industry's total factor productivity and its decomposition index on CO2 emissions, and further analyze its direct, indirect and total effects. The study finds that the impact of forestry industry's total factor productivity on CO2 emissions shows an "inverted U-shaped" curve and the inflection point is 0.9395. The spatial spillover effect of CO2 emissions is significantly negative. The increase of CO2 emissions in adjacent areas will provide a "negative case" for the region, so that the region can better address its own energy conservation and emission reduction goals. TFP of forestry industry also has positive spatial spillover effect. However, considering the particularity of forestry industry, this effect is not very significant. For other factors, such as foreign direct investment, urbanization level, industrial structure and technology market turnover will also significantly affect regional CO2 emissions.
Highlights
Forestry plays an essential role in reducing CO2 emissions and promoting green and sustainable development
According to the above research, we find some interesting phenomena: Firstly, in 2008 to 2017, the development focus of forestry industry gradually shifted from the eastern China to the central and western, which shows the transfer of total factor productivity (TFP) and technical efficiency change (EC) of forestry industry
It is worth mentioning that the TFP improvement of forestry industry in nearby areas will increase the C O2 emission of the region, which requires each region to adjust measures to local conditions and find the forestry production mode suitable for its own development according to its own natural resource endowment, instead of blindly imitating the neighboring regions and limiting the emission reduction work of the region
Summary
Forestry plays an essential role in reducing CO2 emissions and promoting green and sustainable development. This paper estimates the CO2 emissions of 30 provinces in China from 2008 to 2017, and uses Global DEA-Malmquist to measure the total factor productivity of the forestry industry and its decomposition index. As one of the components of China’s national economy, is a production sector that protects the ecological environment, cultivates and protects forests to obtain timber and other forest products, and uses the natural characteristics of forest trees to play a protective role. It plays an important role in reducing emissions and sequestering carbon[6,7,8]. The spatial dynamics of regional C O2 emissions and forestry industry development cannot be ignored
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