Abstract

The Sidoarjo mud volcano is a geological disaster which still erupting after 16 years located in a densely populated. The eruption of Sidoarjo mud volcano is the longest continous disaster that Indonesia has ever experienced. It is known that there is overpressure in subsurface that propagated to the surface throught faults. However, the overpressure generation leads to the increase of pore water pressure, so the effective soil stress decreases. This study aims to estimate the change of pore water pressure and effective stress on the subgrade of Sidoarjo mud volcano due to the subsurface pressure. Furthermore, this study considers the existing embankment and excess pore water pressure due to the consolidation process using Finite Element Method. The results show high active pore water pressure in these area is around -580 kPa, due to the consolidation process is -372 kPa and the contribution of subsurface pressure is -208 kPa. The anomaly of effective stress occur from a depth of -13 m to -30 m. Thus, the reduction of effective stress is around 6%-56% from the ideal conditions with the largest reduction occurred at a depth of -30 m.

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