Abstract
We live in an age of increased awareness of climate change and its potential eects on our ecosystems. Here we look at the eect of one aspect of climate, directional wind components, on the survival of Little Penguins Eudyptula minor on Phillip Island in southeastern Australia, using mark-recapture data gathered over a 42 year period since 1968. We apply biologically realistic age structures for the survival and recapture probabilities, and use mean seasonal wind magnitudes from the four cardinal compass directions as covariates in our modelling of the survival probability. Results indicate that rst year survival is most aected by southerly winds in the winter prior to the chick’s
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