The economic impact of multimorbidity in Italy: evaluation of direct costs and scenario analysis of patients with type 2 diabetes, heart failure, and chronic kidney disease using real-world data

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ABSTRACTObjectives:This study aimed to evaluate the healthcare costs associated with managing type 2 diabetes (T2D), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and heart failure (HF) in Italy. Specifically, the research investigated the economic impact on the Italian National Health System due to the increased clinical complexity and multimorbidity among patients with these conditions.Methods:A predictive model was developed to estimate the costs of managing patients with T2D, CKD, and HF, either as standalone diseases or in combination. Epidemiological data were derived from real-world data, analyzing a sample corresponding to approximately 10% of the Italian population. The model stratified patients into seven groups based on disease combinations and estimated direct healthcare costs, resulting from hospitalizations, medications, and outpatient services. Scenario analyses were performed to forecast costs based on the expected progression of single diseases to multimorbid conditions.Results:The analysis estimated a total annual healthcare expenditure of approximately €18.7 billion for the 5.77 million Italian patients with at least one of these diseases. Patients with T2D, CKD, and HF had an average yearly cost of €2,002, €4,322, and €5,061, respectively, with multimorbid patients incurring significantly higher costs. Scenario analyses predicted a potential increase in total healthcare expenditures to €19.5 billion, with an additional burden of €775 million.Conclusions:The findings underscore the substantial economic burden of T2D, CKD, and HF, exacerbated by multimorbidity. The results highlight the need for early diagnosis, targeted prevention, and optimized treatment strategies to mitigate rising healthcare costs and improve patients’ outcomes.

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IntroductionAnemia is a common comorbidity of chronic kidney disease (CKD) that has been associated with increased risk of complications, healthcare expenditure, and reduced quality of life. In China, the treatment of anemia of CKD has been reported to be suboptimal in part because of a lack of awareness of the condition and its management. It is therefore important to raise awareness of the condition by estimating the future health and economic burden of anemia of CKD and also to understand how it may be addressed through proactive policies. This study aims to project the health and economic burden of anemia of CKD, in China, from 2023 to 2027 and to estimate the impact of a hypothetical intervention on related clinical and cost outcomes.MethodsA virtual Chinese population was simulated using demographic, clinical, and economic statistics within a validated CKD microsimulation model. Each individual was assigned a CKD stage, anemia stage, comorbidity status (type 2 diabetes, hypertension), complication status (stroke, heart failure, and/or myocardial infarction), and a probability of receiving treatments and therapies. Annual direct healthcare costs were assigned and based on these factors. The hypothetical intervention reduced the prevalence of moderate and severe anemia by 5% annually. This hypothetical scenario was chosen to highlight the impact of implementing policies that could reduce anemia of CKD, and is aligned with the Healthy China 2030 policy, which aims to reduce mortality from noncommunicable diseases by 30%. Interventions could consist of early screening and intervention to reduce the escalation of anemia from mild to moderate or severe. Results were compared with a baseline “no change” scenario which reflects current trends.ResultsThe number of patients with moderate/severe anemia of CKD was projected to increase from 3.0 to 3.2 million patients, with associated costs increasing from ¥22.0 billion (B) to ¥24.4B between 2023 and 2027, respectively. Compared with the no change scenario, the hypothetical intervention reduced the prevalence of moderate and severe anemia of CKD, saving ¥3.9B in healthcare costs in 2027 (¥24.4B vs ¥20.6B, respectively).ConclusionsConsistent with trends in CKD burden in China, the prevalence of anemia of CKD is projected to increase, leading to greater related healthcare costs. The introduction of healthcare interventions designed to screen for and treat anemia more effectively could therefore reduce its future burden and related costs.Supplementary InformationThe online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12325-024-02863-4.

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Annual health care resource utilization and cost among type 2 diabetes patients with newly recognized chronic kidney disease within a large U.S. administrative claims database.
  • Dec 1, 2020
  • Journal of managed care & specialty pharmacy
  • Kerstin Folkerts + 6 more

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is one of the most common complications of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) and results in considerable economic burden. Current studies describing cost and health care resource utilization (HCRU) in T2D patients with CKD in real-world data are few. Even more scarce is evidence that takes into account disease severity and other comorbidities. OBJECTIVES: To (a) describe T2D patients with CKD identified in U.S. administrative claims data using laboratory test results for kidney function that are considered the gold standard criteria for kidney disease diagnosis and (b) estimate the annual HCRU and costs among these patients, overall and by disease severity and comorbidity subgroup. METHODS: Optum CDM data between the years 2008 and 2017 were used to identify T2D patients with newly recognized CKD, using laboratory test results for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR). The study estimated annualized total, inpatient, outpatient, and pharmacy costs and the number of outpatient, inpatient, and emergency room visits in the first year after CKD identification. Analyses were stratified by prevalent anemia, heart failure (HF), resistant hypertension, and by CKD stages. RESULTS: T2D patients with newly recognized CKD (n = 106,369) had a high prevalence of cardiovascular comorbidities and incurred on average $24,029 of total cost per person per year in the first year after CKD identification. Patients with HF and anemia incurred on average $41,951 and $31,127 of total annual cost, respectively. Patients identified at stage 5 CKD incurred on average $110,210 of total annual cost and had roughly a 7-fold higher annual inpatient hospitalization rate compared with patients identified at stage 1 CKD. CONCLUSIONS: Administrative claims data linked to laboratory results provide an opportunity to identify CKD patients using the gold standard criteria from clinical practice, minimizing potential misclassification of patients. Identified CKD patients, particularly those with HF, anemia, and more advanced CKD stage, incur high HCRU and cost. Better monitoring, earlier CKD diagnosis, and interventions that are effective in halting or slowing the progression of CKD, as well as at managing comorbid conditions, could be effective means to reduce the economic burden of CKD in T2D. DISCLOSURES: This study was funded by Bayer. Kelly is an employee of, and owns stock options in, Aetion, which was contracted by Bayer to conduct the study. Petruski-Ivleva was an employee of Aetion during the planning, analysis, and interpretation stages of the study. Kovesdy received honoraria from Amgen, Astra Zeneca, Bayer, Cara Therapeutics, Reata, Takeda, and Tricida. Fried received consultant fees from Bayer, Novo Nordisk, and Bristol-Meyers Squibb. Folkerts, Blankenburg, and Gay are Bayer employees. This work was presented as a poster at the annual European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD) conference held in Barcelona, Spain, on September 16-20, 2019.

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1028-P: Inside CKD: Modeling the Clinical and Economic Impact of Routine Screening for Albuminuria in People with Type 2 Diabetes
  • Jun 1, 2021
  • Diabetes
  • Stephen Nolan + 20 more

Background: Early chronic kidney disease (CKD) diagnosis in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) followed by guideline-recommended interventions are key to slowing CKD progression, but adherence to screening recommendations is suboptimal. Inside CKD models the global clinical and economic burden of CKD using country-specific, patient-level microsimulation models. We model the effects of targeted implementation of urine albumin:creatinine ratio (UACR) measurement and intervention in patients with T2D.Methods: We used the Inside CKD microsimulation to model the impact of measuring UACR during routine primary care visits with subsequent intervention in patients with T2D aged ≥45 years, versus current practice. Virtual populations were constructed using published country-specific data on demographics, CKD, T2D, comorbidities and complications.Results: Preliminary data for three countries show that in 2020-2025, measurement of UACR in patients with T2D would prevent CKD progression to stages 3b-5 in 80 000 patients in the UK, 350 000 in the US and 70 000 in Canada (Figure). Associated cost savings would be £90M, $5B and C$1.7B. More countries will be analysed.Conclusion: Preliminary data show that routine UACR measurement with subsequent intervention could potentially reduce the global burden of CKD and healthcare costs in patients with T2D, and improve outcomes.View largeDownload slideView largeDownload slide DisclosureS. T. Nolan: Employee; Self; AstraZeneca, Employee; Spouse/Partner; Biomarin, Stock/Shareholder; Self; AstraZeneca, Stock/Shareholder; Spouse/Partner; Biomarin. J. Sanchez: Employee; Self; AstraZeneca, Stock/Shareholder; Self; AstraZeneca. J. Halimi: None. E. Kanda: Speaker’s Bureau; Self; AstraZeneca K. K. G. Li: None. F. Mennini: None. J. Navarro-gonzalez: None. A. Power: Advisory Panel; Self; AstraZeneca, Bayer U. S., Napp Pharmaceuticals, Vifor Pharma Management Ltd., Consultant; Self; AstraZeneca, Speaker’s Bureau; Self; Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc., AstraZeneca, Napp Pharmaceuticals, Vifor Pharma Management Ltd. L. Retat: Employee; Self; HealthLumen. N. Tangri: Consultant; Self; AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim (Canada) Ltd., ClinPredict Inc, Eli Lilly and Company, Mesentech, Otsuka America Pharmaceutical, Inc., PulseData, Roche Pharma, Tricida, Inc., Research Support; Self; Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. L. Webber: Employee; Self; HealthLumen. A. Sultan: Employee; Self; AstraZeneca, Stock/Shareholder; Self; AstraZeneca. J. Wish: Advisory Panel; Self; Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., AstraZeneca, Rockwell Medical, Vifor Pharma Management Ltd., Speaker’s Bureau; Self; Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., AstraZeneca. M. Xu: Employee; Self; HealthLumen. J. Ärnlöv: Advisory Panel; Self; AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Other Relationship; Self; Novartis AG. M. C. Batista: None. C. Cabrera: Employee; Self; AstraZeneca, Stock/Shareholder; Self; AstraZeneca. J. Card-gowers: Employee; Self; HealthLumen. S. Chadban: Advisory Panel; Self; Astellas Pharma Inc., AstraZeneca, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation. G. M. Chertow: Advisory Panel; Self; Ardelyx, Baxter, Cricket Health, DURECT Corporation, Gilead Sciences, Inc., Reata Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Other Relationship; Self; Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., AstraZeneca, Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated. L. Denicola: Consultant; Self; AstraZeneca, Mundipharma International, Novo Nordisk.FundingAstraZeneca

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 89
  • 10.1176/ajp.156.8.1250
Shifting to outpatient care? Mental health care use and cost under private insurance.
  • Aug 1, 1999
  • American Journal of Psychiatry
  • Douglas L Leslie + 1 more

Concern over rising health care costs has put pressure on providers to reduce costs, purportedly by reducing inpatient care and increasing outpatient care. Inpatient and outpatient claims were analyzed for adult users of mental health services (180,000/year on average) from a national study group of 3.9 million privately insured individuals per year from 1993 to 1995. Costs and treatment days per patient were compared across diagnostic groups and stratified by whether patients were hospitalized. Inpatient mental health costs fell $2,507 (30.4%) over the period, driven primarily by decreases in hospital days per patient per year (19.9%), with smaller changes in the proportion of enrollees who received inpatient care (increase of 0.8%) and a decrease in per diem costs (9.1%). Outpatient mental health costs also declined over the period, falling 13.6% for patients also using inpatient services and 14.6% for patients receiving only outpatient care. Patients whose primary diagnosis was mild to moderate depression saw the largest decreases in inpatient cost per patient (42.8%); those diagnosed with schizophrenia experienced the smallest decrease (23.5%). For patients using outpatient services only, those diagnosed with substance abuse experienced the largest decrease in costs (23.5%); those diagnosed with schizophrenia experienced the smallest decrease (8.6%). Substantial cost reductions for mental health services are primarily a result of reductions in inpatient and outpatient treatment days. Declines in inpatient service use were not accompanied by increases in outpatient service use, even for severely ill patients requiring hospitalization. Managed care has not caused a shift in the pattern of care but an overall reduction of care.

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