Abstract
This research investigates the relationship between under-expenditure of the social welfare budget within a limited budget and the determinants that have an effect on them. Relationships and determinants between under-expenditure of the social welfare budget have generally received relatively little attention from academics. The aim of this article is to examine the differences in the under-expenditures of the social welfare budget in the Korea between 1965 and 2008. It is shown that public assistance and social service expenditures are not comparable with national insurance expenditure according to the Box-Jenkins’ multi-variant ARIMA models. The appearance of them being commensurate is spurious because it is affected by political economic factors. The research findings in this paper can contribute to the development of budgetary theory and budgetary politics. However some findings within in the ARIMA models were incapable of being interpreted within existing theories and conjecture such as those with a 9 year time lag, etc. Further studies are therefore required.
Highlights
This research investigates the relationship between under-expenditure of the social welfare budget within a limited budget and the determinants that have an effect on them
The research findings in this paper can contribute to the development of budgetary theory and budget ary politics
Many political factors can be considered to affect the growth in government ex penditure: leader’s influence, legislators’ activities, bureaucrats’ behaviour, interest groups’ pressure or clients’ influence as well as public opinion
Summary
This research investigates the relationship between under-expenditure of the social welfare budget within a limited budget and the determinants that have an effect on them. Many political factors can be considered to affect the growth in government ex penditure: leader’s influence, legislators’ activities, bureaucrats’ behaviour (in cluding budgetary officials’ and street level bureaucrats’ perceptions and attitudes), interest groups’ pressure or clients’ influence as well as public opinion. Their effects are diverse: Some are negative, while others are positive; sometimes they offset each other, and sometimes they reinforce each other. Topics such as the nature o f need, the characteristics o f clients, fundraising methods, eligibility criteria for social service, methods o f service distribution, and the level o f social service offered by government in the range o f various social welfare initia tives have been lectured and discussed in the classroom, but have rarely been used to ex plain empirical research findings
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