The Diagnostic Value of FDG PET/CT in Detecting Ovarian Cancer Recurrence in Patients with Elevated CA-125 Levels: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

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levated levels of cancer antigen-125 (CA-125) are strongly associated with the likelihood of ovarian cancer recurrence, making it a significant concern in clinical practice. [18F]FDG PET/CT has emerged as a valuable tool for detecting recurrent ovarian cancer. This study aims to evaluate the diagnostic performance of [18F]FDG PET/CT in identifying ovarian cancer relapse among patients exhibiting rising CA-125 levels, through a systematic review and meta-analysis. A comprehensive search was carried out across PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library, encompassing all records up to July 2024. Studies were eligible for inclusion if they provided data on true positives (TP), false positives (FP), true negatives (TN), and false negatives (FN) regarding the detection of ovarian cancer recurrence in patients with elevated CA-125 levels. Studies were excluded if they were duplicates, lacked full-text availability, contained incomplete information or were unable to be included in data extraction, involved animal studies, or were reviews or systematic reviews. The data were analyzed using STATA version 15.1. Across all included studies, the pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.94 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89-0.97) and 0.89 (95% CI: 0.71-0.96), respectively. The positive likelihood ratio (LR+) was 7.11 (95% CI: 2.75-18.38), while the negative likelihood ratio (LR-) was 0.07 (95% CI: 0.03-0.15). The overall diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) amounted to 99.20 (95% CI: 26.66-369.14). Additionally, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) reached 0.97 (95% CI: 0.95-0.98). With its high sensitivity and specificity, [18F]FDG PET/CT serves as an effective tool for detecting ovarian cancer recurrence in patients exhibiting elevated CA-125 levels. These results endorse its effectiveness as a dependable diagnostic method in clinical settings. This meta-analysis provides updated pooled evidence that [18F]FDG PET/CT demonstrates excellent diagnostic accuracy (AUC 0.97) in detecting ovarian cancer recurrence in patients with elevated CA-125. Compared with earlier meta-analyses limited to PET alone, our findings highlight the added value of integrated PET/CT systems in improving specificity and reducing false positives, thereby supporting its recommendation in international guidelines and strengthening its role in clinical decision-making for recurrent ovarian cancer.

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  • Research Article
  • 10.1186/s43055-023-01108-8
The accuracy of whole-body 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT) in the detection of ovarian cancer relapse in patients with rising cancer antigen 125 (CA-125) levels
  • Sep 20, 2023
  • Egyptian Journal of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine
  • Soha Sami + 5 more

Background18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT is a noninvasive imaging tool that has been used successfully for the diagnosis, staging, restaging, therapy monitoring, and prognostic prediction of ovarian cancer. For ovarian cancer surveillance, rising CA-125 levels raise the suspicion of recurrence despite its reported low specificity; being elevated in other benign and inflammatory conditions, and thus, confirmation is required. This work aimed to evaluate the role of 18F-FDG PET/CT in suspected ovarian cancer recurrence in patients presenting with elevated CA-125 levels.ResultsFifty female patients with suspected ovarian cancer recurrence owing to elevated CA-125 levels were included in this study. Recurrence was confirmed in 46/50 cases whether by histopathological confirmation or by serial follow-up imaging and clinical follow-up. Positive PET/CT findings were reported in 45/50 cases with 2 false-negative cases and 1 false-positive case. PET/CT examination was found to be superior to contrast-enhanced CT in the detection of peritoneal metastatic nodules and metastatic lymph nodes. According to this study, the estimated sensitivity, specificity, and overall diagnostic accuracy of PET/CT in the detection of recurrent ovarian cancer were 95.6%, 75%, and 94%, respectively.ConclusionsIn ovarian cancer surveillance, 18F-FDG PET/CT was found to be a sensitive and accurate noninvasive imaging tool that can be used in the detection of recurrent ovarian cancer in patients with elevated CA-125 levels, thus interfering with the management plan. The advantage of whole-body imaging in PET/CT allows for the detection and precise localization of recurrent or metastatic foci in abdominal and extra-abdominal sites as well.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 20
  • 10.14218/jcth.2017.00070
CA-125 Significance in Cirrhosis and Correlation with Disease Severity and Portal Hypertension: A Retrospective Study
  • Jul 2, 2018
  • Journal of Clinical and Translational Hepatology
  • Raja Gr Edula + 6 more

Background and Aims: To evaluate the prevalence and significance of elevated cancer antigen-125 (CA-125) levels in patients with cirrhosis being treated in a tertiary care liver center and its correlation with objective markers of disease severity.Methods: We retrospectively reviewed medical records of 172 adult patients with cirrhosis (due to any etiology) after obtaining CA-125 serum analysis. Demographics, etiology of cirrhosis, model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, Child’s Turcotte-Pugh classification, albumin bilirubin (ALBI) score, degree of ascites, presence of esophageal varices, serum CA-125 level and various other parameters were collected. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS software and descriptive statistics.Results: Elevated CA-125 levels were noted in 147 patients (85%) of the study population. Higher MELD score was associated with higher CA-125 levels (p = 0.001). Statistically significant correlation was observed between elevated CA-125 levels and degree of ascites (p < 0.001), ALBI score (p < 0.001) and Child’s Turcotte-Pugh class (p < 0.001). No correlation was observed with presence or absence of esophageal varices. Near-normal CA-125 levels were noted in patients with cirrhosis but undetectable ascites on ultrasound imaging. No differences were observed in mean values between male and female patients (p = 0.207). Regression analysis confirmed that CA-125 levels had a better correlation with degree of ascites than MELD score or ALBI score.Conclusions: Elevated CA-125 levels were noted in 85% of patients with cirrhosis at our center. Our study establishes that the more advanced the degree of decompensation based on MELD score, Child’s Turcotte-Pugh classification and ALBI score, the higher the elevation in CA-125. Absence of ascites was associated with normal CA-125 level, with a direct correlation between high levels and worsening ascites, but there was no statistically significant correlation with esophageal varices, indicating that elevated CA-125 levels could be related to mechanical stretch of the peritoneum rather than portal hypertension itself. Further multi-centered studies are required to confirm and validate these findings.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 146
  • 10.1200/jco.2005.02.2582
Risk of Epithelial Ovarian Cancer Recurrence in Patients With Rising Serum CA-125 Levels Within the Normal Range
  • Dec 20, 2005
  • Journal of Clinical Oncology
  • Antonio Santillan + 6 more

To evaluate the risk of epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) recurrence in patients with rising serum cancer antigen 125 (CA-125) levels that remain below the upper limit of normal (< 35 U/mL). All patients treated for EOC between September 1997 and March 2003 were identified and screened retrospectively for the following: (1) elevated serum CA-125 at time of diagnosis, (2) complete clinical and radiographic response (CR) to initial treatment with normalization of serum CA-125, (3) at least three serial serum CA-125 determinations that remained within the normal range, and (4) clinical and/or radiographic determination of disease status at the time of last follow-up or recurrence. For statistical analyses, univariate regression models were used to compare absolute and relative changes in CA-125 levels among patients with recurrent disease and those without EOC recurrence. A total of 39 patients satisfied study inclusion criteria; 22 patients manifested EOC recurrence at a median interval from complete response of 11 months. The median follow-up time from complete response to last contact was 32 months for the 17 patients in the no recurrence group. A relative increase in CA-125 of 100% (odds ratio [OR] = 23.7; 95% CI, 2.9 to 192.5; P = .003) was significantly predictive of recurrence. From baseline CA-125 nadir levels, an absolute increase in CA-125 of 5 U/mL (OR = 8.4; 95% CI, 2.2 to 32.6; P = .002) and 10 U/mL (OR = 71.2; 95% CI, 4.8 to > 999.9; P = .002) were also significantly associated with the likelihood of concurrent disease recurrence. Among patients with EOC in complete clinical remission, a progressive low-level increase in serum CA-125 levels is strongly predictive of disease recurrence.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 2
  • 10.1186/s12905-024-03285-8
Pseudo-Meigs syndrome caused by a rapidly enlarging hydropic leiomyoma with elevated CA125 levels mimicking ovarian malignancy: a case report and literature review
  • Aug 7, 2024
  • BMC Women's Health
  • Longquan Zou + 3 more

Pseudo-Meigs syndrome is a rare syndrome characterized by hydrothorax and ascites associated with pelvic masses, and patients occasionally present with elevated serum cancer antigen-125 (CA125) levels. Hydropic leiomyoma (HLM) is an uncommon subtype of uterine leiomyoma characterized by hydropic degeneration and secondary cystic changes. Rapidly enlarging HLMs accompanied by hydrothorax, ascites, and elevated CA125 levels may be misdiagnosed as malignant tumors. Here, we report a case of HLM in a 45-year-old Chinese woman who presented with ascites and hydrothorax. Preoperative abdominopelvic CT revealed a giant solid mass in the fundus uteri measuring 20 × 15 × 12 cm. Her serum CA125 level was elevated to 247.7 U/ml, while her hydrothorax CA125 level was 304.60 U/ml. The patient was initially diagnosed with uterine malignancy and underwent total abdominal hysterectomy and adhesiolysis. Pathological examination confirmed the presence of a uterine hydropic leiomyoma with cystic changes. After tumor removal, the ascites and hydrothorax subsided quickly, with no evidence of recurrence. The patient’s serum CA125 level decreased to 116.90 U/mL on Day 7 and 5.6 U/mL on Day 40 postsurgery. Follow-up data were obtained at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years after surgery, and no recurrence of ascites or hydrothorax was observed. This case highlights the importance of accurate diagnosis and appropriate management of HLM to achieve successful outcomes.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 9
  • 10.7863/jum.2011.30.7.943
Stage IA Ovarian Cancers
  • Jul 1, 2011
  • Journal of Ultrasound in Medicine
  • Makiko Hirai + 9 more

The purpose of this study was to compare sonographic findings and histopathologic types of stage IA ovarian cancers between groups with normal and elevated cancer antigen 125 (CA-125) levels. Between 2000 and 2009, 146 stage IA ovarian cancers were treated surgically (85 invasive and 61 borderline, 73 self-referred with tumor-related symptoms, 20 self-referred with nonspecific symptoms, 52 identified through screening, and 1 other). Of these, 87 cases (60%) had normal serum CA-125 levels (<35 U/mL). Their pre-operative sonographic findings and histopathologic types were compared to those of cases with elevated CA-125 levels. Statistically significant differences were found between the proportions of patients with elevated CA-125 levels in groups having tumors with maximal diameters of less than 20 cm and at least 20 cm (P = .03) and groups having tumors with less than 50% and 50% to 80% solid components (P = .02). In the group with normal CA-125 levels, we found predominantly mucinous adenocarcinoma in multilocular cysts with less than 50% solid components (25 cases), and clear cell adenocarcinoma in unilocular cysts with less than 50% solid components (12 cases), whereas in the group with elevated CA-125 levels, mucinous adenocarcinoma in multilocular cysts with less than 50% solid components (19 cases) and endometrioid adenocarcinoma in solid tumors (≥80% solid components) were predominant (5 cases). Stage IA ovarian cancers with normal CA-125 levels tend to be smaller, have less solid components, and have a slightly different distribution of histopathologic types than cancers with elevated CA-125 levels.

  • Research Article
  • 10.5348/ijcri-2016104-cr-10692
Tubo-ovarian abscesses with elevated CA-125: A case report
  • Jul 15, 2016
  • International Journal of Case Reports and Images
  • Kwok Wan Yeung + 1 more

Introduction: The detection of pelvic masses with an elevated blood cancer antigen 125 (CA-125) level is highly suggestive of ovarian cancer. However, various benign and inflammatory gynecological conditions and non-gynecological processes, such as liver and pulmonary diseases, may be associated with an elevated serum CA-125 level, especially in premenopausal women. Case Report: An 18-year-old female patient with lower abdominal pain for three days presented to our hospital. No fever was noted. Blood cancer antigen 125 (CA-125) level was elevated (660 U/mL; normal value, <35 U/mL), while the levels of other tumor markers (α-fetoprotein, carcinoembryonic antigen, β-human chorionic gonadotropin, and CA-199) were within normal limits. Transabdominal ultrasonography showed multicystic lesions with interior septation in the adnexal regions on both sides, suggesting the presence of cystic masses in both ovaries. Contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) revealed dilated and tubular structures with fluid-fluid level, wall thickening, and enhancement in the right pelvic cavity, and oval and septated masses with wall thickening and enhancement in both adnexal regions. A MRI diagnosis of right tubo-ovarian abscess and left ovarian abscess was made. Laparoscopy confirmed bilateral tubo-ovarian abscesses with pelvic adhesion. Right salpingectomy, left partial salpingectomy with end-to-end anastomosis, and adhesiolysis were performed. The patient was discharged with an uneventful course five days later. The blood CA-125 level dropped to 127 U/mL in 1 week, and to a normal value (6.5 U/mL) five months after surgery. Conclusion: Using CA-125 in isolation has limited value in differentiating benign from malignant pelvic masses. CA-125 levels are elevated in ovarian malignancy, as well as in pelvic inflammation, especially in a young woman with a sexual history. Clinical history and radiological information from US, CT, MRI and PET/CT provide important additional information for the disease entity. (This page in not part of the published article.) International Journal of Case Reports and Images, Vol. 7 No. 9, September 2016. ISSN – [0976-3198] Int J Case Rep Images 2016;7(9):583–586. www.ijcasereportsandimages.com Yeung et al. 583 CASE REPORT OPEN ACCESS Tubo-ovarian abscesses with elevated CA-125: A case report Kwok Wan Yeung, Hsin Chih Chao

  • Research Article
  • 10.1200/jco.2024.42.16_suppl.11027
Current diagnostic guidelines and perpetuation of inequities in ovarian cancer: A National Cancer Database study.
  • Jun 1, 2024
  • Journal of Clinical Oncology
  • Anna Jo Bodurtha Smith + 5 more

11027 Background: International guidelines use cancer antigen 125 (CA-125) thresholds to recommend which patients with pelvic masses should undergo evaluation by gynecologic oncologists for ovarian cancer and which patients can be observed without intervention. However, CA-125 thresholds were developed from white populations, and CA-125 levels have been shown to be 10-29% lower in healthy Black women than white women. If CA-125 levels also differ among patients with cancer, current guidelines may contribute to missed or delayed ovarian cancer diagnoses among Black women. Our objective was to examine CA-125 levels at cancer diagnosis by patient race and associations of CA-125 elevation with timely treatment. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients with ovarian cancer ages 0 to 90+ years diagnosed from 2018-2020 using the National Cancer Database. CA-125 was defined as positive/borderline or negative/normal by each site. We report descriptive CA-125 elevated by patient characteristics. We use multivariate logistic regression models to examine the association of patient characteristics with CA-125 level overall and for epithelial and high-grade serous cancers. We used generalized linearized models to examine the association of CA-125 with days from diagnosis to chemotherapy start for patients with Stage II-IV disease. Results: Of 38,707 patients diagnosed with ovarian cancer and with reported CA-125, 13.4% of patients did not have an elevated CA-125 at diagnosis. Patients who identified as Black, Asian, or Hispanic were less likely to have an elevated CA-125 at ovarian cancer diagnosis as were patients with early-stage disease. Among patients with high-grade serous cancer (n=18,151), 8% of Black patients had normal CA-125 at diagnosis compared to 6% of white patients. In multivariate analyses, being Black remained associated with lower odds of elevated CA-125 (OR 0.71, 95%CI 0.63-0.81), after adjustment for menopausal status, comorbidities, and stage. Even among patients with high-grade serous ovarian cancer, being black was associated with lower odds of having an elevated CA-125 (OR 0.78, 95%CI 0.64-0.96). Patients with Stage II-IV ovarian cancer who had a normal CA-125 at diagnosis had 12 days longer on average to chemotherapy initiation compared to patients with elevated CA-125. Conclusions: Current thresholds for CA-125 and gynecologic oncology referral likely miss Black patients with ovarian cancer and may delay timely treatment. Work is needed to develop inclusive CA-125 thresholds and guidelines for ovarian cancer diagnosis and not compound disparities.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 2
  • 10.1016/j.medcli.2017.11.019
Usefulness of CA125 and its kinetic parameters and positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) with fluorodeoxyglucose ([18F] FDG) in the detection of recurrent ovarian cancer
  • Dec 21, 2017
  • Medicina Clinica
  • Azahara Palomar Muñoz + 7 more

Usefulness of CA125 and its kinetic parameters and positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) with fluorodeoxyglucose ([18F] FDG) in the detection of recurrent ovarian cancer

  • Research Article
  • 10.1016/j.medcle.2017.11.047
Usefulness of CA125 and their kinetic parameters and positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) with fluorodeoxyglucose ([18F] FDG) in the detection of recurrent ovarian cancer levels
  • Aug 1, 2018
  • Medicina Clínica (English Edition)
  • Azahara Palomar Muñoz + 7 more

Usefulness of CA125 and their kinetic parameters and positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) with fluorodeoxyglucose ([18F] FDG) in the detection of recurrent ovarian cancer levels

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  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 35
  • 10.3390/diagnostics12122985
The Potential Role of MUC16 (CA125) Biomarker in Lung Cancer: A Magic Biomarker but with Adversity.
  • Nov 29, 2022
  • Diagnostics
  • Hebatallah M Saad + 14 more

Lung cancer is the second most commonly diagnosed cancer in the world. In terms of the diagnosis of lung cancer, combination carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and cancer antigen 125 (CA125) detection had higher sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratios than CEA detection alone. Most individuals with elevated serum CA125 levels had lung cancer that was either in stage 3 or stage 4. Serum CA125 levels were similarly elevated in lung cancer patients who also had pleural effusions or ascites. Furthermore, there is strong evidence that human lung cancer produces CA125 in vitro, which suggests that other clinical illnesses outside of ovarian cancer could also be responsible for the rise of CA125. MUC16 (CA125) is a natural killer cell inhibitor. As a screening test for lung and ovarian cancer diagnosis and prognosis in the early stages, CA125 has been widely used as a marker in three different clinical settings. MUC16 mRNA levels in lung cancer are increased regardless of gender. As well, increased expression of mutated MUC16 enhances lung cancer cells proliferation and growth. Additionally, the CA125 serum level is thought to be a key indicator for lung cancer metastasis to the liver. Further, CA125 could be a useful biomarker in other cancer types diagnoses like ovarian, breast, and pancreatic cancers. One of the important limitations of CA125 as a first step in such a screening technique is that up to 20% of ovarian tumors lack antigen expression. Each of the 10 possible serum markers was expressed in 29-100% of ovarian tumors with minimal or no CA125 expression. Therefore, there is a controversy regarding CA125 in the diagnosis and prognosis of lung cancer and other cancer types. In this state, preclinical and clinical studies are warranted to elucidate the clinical benefit of CA125 in the diagnosis and prognosis of lung cancer.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 2
  • 10.1016/j.ejso.2018.10.053
Prognostic significance of CA-125 re-elevation after interval debulking surgery in patients with advanced-stage ovarian cancer undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy
  • Oct 11, 2018
  • European Journal of Surgical Oncology
  • Yong Jae Lee + 6 more

Prognostic significance of CA-125 re-elevation after interval debulking surgery in patients with advanced-stage ovarian cancer undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 4
  • 10.1684/bdc.2007.0415
Factors predictive of elevated serum CA125 levels in patients with epithelial ovarian cancer.
  • Jul 1, 2007
  • Bulletin Du Cancer
  • Houda Bouanène + 4 more

Our objective was to identify factors that correlate with high CA125 (cancer antigen 125) concentrations in Tunisian women with epithelial ovarian cancer and to introduce recommendations for reporting and interpreting individual CA125 assay results. We analyzed repeated serum CA125 levels, by the immunoenzymatic assay using an AxSym CA125 kit, in 90 patients who were treated for ovarian cancer from 1994 to 2006 in CHU Farhat Hached Sousse Tunisia. Using a logistic model, we found that carcinosis is significantly predictive of high levels of serum CA125 (p = 0.005). A woman's age (> or = 45 years, p = 0.016) and menopausal status (postmenopausal patient, p = 0.034) are also predictive of increased CA125 concentration. Patients with serous histological subtype have higher CA125 values (p = 0.001). Presence of ascites is associated with high serum CA125 values and thus could be considered as a predictor of high serum CA125 concentration (p = 0.023). The International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics stage and primary tumor size are not significant predictors of CA125 concentrations (p > 0.05). We conclude that clinically significant parameters should lead to the best interpretation of rising CA125 levels and consequently to more appropriate management of epithelial ovarian cancer patients.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 104
  • 10.1006/gyno.2001.6575
Serum, Pleural Effusion, and Ascites CA-125 Levels in Ovarian Cancer and Nonovarian Benign and Malignant Diseases: A Comparative Study
  • Apr 1, 2002
  • Gynecologic Oncology
  • Omer Topalak + 6 more

Serum, Pleural Effusion, and Ascites CA-125 Levels in Ovarian Cancer and Nonovarian Benign and Malignant Diseases: A Comparative Study

  • Research Article
  • 10.14744/anatoljcardiol.2025.5195
CA125 as a Biomarker for Identifying Disease Severity and Right Ventricular Dysfunction in Obstructive Sleep Apnea
  • May 26, 2025
  • Anatolian Journal of Cardiology
  • İlke Erbay

Background:Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is associated with increased cardiovascular risk, particularly through right ventricular (RV) dysfunction. Cancer antigen 125 (CA125), a biomarker traditionally used in ovarian cancer, has shown potential as an indicator of RV dysfunction. This study aims to compare CA125 levels between OSA patients and controls and to evaluate its association with disease severity and subclinical RV dysfunction.Methods:This cross-sectional study included sixty OSA patients, divided into severe (apnea-hypopnea index [AHI] ≥ 30) and non-severe groups, and sixty age- and sex-matched controls. Cancer antigen 125 levels were assessed together with echocardiographic markers. Regression analysis identified predictors of severe OSA, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis assessed the diagnostic performance of CA125.Results:Cancer antigen 125 levels were significantly elevated in severe OSA patients compared to non-severe and control groups (median 34.3 vs. 12.9 vs. 10.3 U/mL, P < .001). Cancer antigen 125 correlated with RV fractional area change (RV-FAC) (r = −0.496, P < .001), tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) (r = −0.285, P = .027), and AHI (r = 0.581, P < .001). Regression analysis identified CA125 (odds ratio [OR] = 1.259, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.102-1.438, P = .001) and TAPSE (OR= 0.425, 95% CI: 0.217-0.834, P = .013) as independent predictors of severe OSA. ROC analysis showed that CA125 could effectively predict RV dysfunction (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.857) and severe OSA (AUC = 0.804).Conclusion:Elevated CA125 levels are associated with increased disease severity and subclinical RV dysfunction in OSA, suggesting its potential as a biomarker for early cardiac involvement.

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  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 106
  • 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003295
The diagnostic performance of CA125 for the detection of ovarian and non-ovarian cancer in primary care: A population-based cohort study.
  • Oct 28, 2020
  • PLoS medicine
  • Garth Funston + 5 more

The serum biomarker cancer antigen 125 (CA125) is widely used as an investigation for possible ovarian cancer in symptomatic women presenting to primary care. However, its diagnostic performance in this setting is unknown. We evaluated the performance of CA125 in primary care for the detection of ovarian and non-ovarian cancers. We studied women in the United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink with a CA125 test performed between 1 May 2011-31 December 2014. Ovarian and non-ovarian cancers diagnosed in the year following CA125 testing were identified from the cancer registry. Women were categorized by age: <50 years and ≥50 years. Conventional measures of test diagnostic accuracy, including sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value, were calculated for the standard CA125 cut-off (≥35 U/ml). The probability of a woman having cancer at each CA125 level between 1-1,000 U/ml was estimated using logistic regression. Cancer probability was also estimated on the basis of CA125 level and age in years using logistic regression. We identified CA125 levels equating to a 3% estimated cancer probability: the "risk threshold" at which the UK National Institute for Health and Care Excellence advocates urgent specialist cancer investigation. A total of 50,780 women underwent CA125 testing; 456 (0.9%) were diagnosed with ovarian cancer and 1,321 (2.6%) with non-ovarian cancer. Of women with a CA125 level ≥35 U/ml, 3.4% aged <50 years and 15.2% aged ≥50 years had ovarian cancer. Of women with a CA125 level ≥35 U/ml who were aged ≥50 years and who did not have ovarian cancer, 20.4% were diagnosed with a non-ovarian cancer. A CA125 value of 53 U/ml equated to a 3% probability of ovarian cancer overall. This varied by age, with a value of 104 U/ml in 40-year-old women and 32 U/ml in 70-year-old women equating to a 3% probability. The main limitations of our study were that we were unable to determine why CA125 tests were performed and that our findings are based solely on UK primary care data, so caution is need in extrapolating them to other healthcare settings. CA125 is a useful test for ovarian cancer detection in primary care, particularly in women ≥50 years old. Clinicians should also consider non-ovarian cancers in women with high CA125 levels, especially if ovarian cancer has been excluded, in order to prevent diagnostic delay. Our results enable clinicians and patients to determine the estimated probability of ovarian cancer and all cancers at any CA125 level and age, which can be used to guide individual decisions on the need for further investigation or referral.

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