Abstract

Annual data for Norway, Sweden, the UK and the USA are investigated. What drive business cycle movements is influenced by the availability of a range of macroeconomic time series. The relationship between output movements in Norway, Sweden, the UK and the USA is non‐linear. Large shocks, such as the Great Depression or global conflicts, do get transmitted and there is seemingly little that a chosen monetary policy regime can do to prevent such an outcome. Finally, 19th and 20th century business cycles are different likely due to the introduction of counter‐cyclical policies in all of the countries in our sample.

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