Abstract
ABSTRACTOn 13 November 2015, a disastrous rockslide-debris avalanche occurred in the Lidong village of Liandou District, Lishui City (south-western Zhejiang, China), which overwhelmed 27 houses and killed 38 people in the village. The geological survey on the slope revealed that prior to this incident, a rupture zone existed between the highly weathered volcanic rock and the underlying weathered volcanic rock in this slope. The rupture zone has dip direction coinciding with the slope aspect and some of the existing cracks in the surface are likely extended from the surface to the rupture zone. This study summarizes the past history and main characteristics of the landslide, simulates the correlation between the safety factor of the slope and the rainfall level using a physically based triggering model, and analyses the distribution of the effective antecedent rainfall that influences landslide occurrence, showing that the landslide on 13 November 2015 was triggered by the very low intraday rainfall and the 15-day antecedent rainfall. The results demonstrate that for a potential unstable slope with increasingly wet antecedent conditions, very low daily rainfall may be able to trigger landslides on a given day, which is important for improving landslide warning systems based on the rainfall–landslide relationship.
Highlights
At 22:50 on 13 November 2015, a disastrous landslide occurred in the Lidong village of Liandou District, Lishui City, Zhejiang Province, China (Figure 1)
A landslide in the Lidong village of Liandou District, Zhejiang Province occurred on 13 November 2015 on the slope that had been identified as unstable in 2012
Some of the existing cracks in the surface are likely extended from the surface to the rupture zone, suggesting that the slope was predisposed to failure before the landslide on 13 November 2015
Summary
At 22:50 on 13 November 2015, a disastrous landslide occurred in the Lidong village of Liandou District, Lishui City, Zhejiang Province, China (Figure 1). This unstable slope has an altitude ranging from 197 m to about 340 masl; the entire terrain is inclined from the west toward the east and drops in a step form, and the outcropping rocks are highly crushed and weathered due to the influence of the faults. The Lidong village is located at the Liandou District, Lishui City, south-western Zhejiang (Figure 2). The Zhejiang Province belongs to a subtropical monsoon zone and is highly prone to rainfall-triggered landslides because of its geologic, geomorphologic and climatic settings (Li et al 2010, 2011, 2012; Ma et al 2014, 2015). The average daily temperatures are highest (>35) in July and lowest (
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