Abstract

How might AI-infused cyber capabilities be used do subvert, or otherwise compromise, the reliability, control, and use of states’ nuclear forces? This chapter argues that AI-enhanced cyber capabilities could increase the risk of inadvertent escalation caused by the co-mingling of nuclear and non-nuclear weapons, and the speed of warfare. It examines the potential implications of cyber (offensive and defensive) capabilities augmented with AI applications for nuclear security. The chapter finds that future iterations of AI-enhanced cyber counterforce capabilities will complicate the cyber-defense challenge, thereby increasing the escalatory effects of offensive cyber capabilities.

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