Temporal-spatial change of China's coastal ecosystems health and driving factors analysis

Abstract

Understanding the spatial distribution pattern change and driving factors behind ecosystem health is essential to ecosystem management and restoration. However, in the research of regional ecosystem health, there is little research on ecosystem health in coastal regions, and there is little exploration of its temporal and spatial pattern change and its driving factors. In this study, we use the Vigor-Organization-Resilience-Services (VORS) model and marine ecosystem health index to diagnose the ecosystem health of the whole coastal area of China over the last 20 years, and find the main contributing factors affecting ecosystem health with the help of geographic detectors and geographic weighted regression analysis. Our results show that: (1) the ecosystem health level in the south of the coastal region is higher than that in the north, mainly with 30° north latitude as the main dividing line. (2) The regions with high change rate are mainly concentrated in Bohai Bay, the Yangtze River Estuary, Hangzhou Bay and the Pearl River Estuary, and the change is mainly negative. (3) Both natural and human factors have an impact on ecosystem health, and the influencing factors are different on different scales. The interaction between different factors is greater than the impact of a single factor on ecosystem health. The study puts forward a new evaluation framework for the study of ecosystem health in coastal areas, which can be applied to other coastal areas with similar conditions, and can help the sustainable and healthy development of coastal areas.