Teachers' predictions and pupils' destinies: A West African survey

Abstract

This article presents a case study of the primary schooling and post-primary careers of a group of West African pupils. Their school performance and later careers were studied in relation to a number of variables, some relating to the school itself, others to background factors. Among the most important of the former were the predictions made by teachers about the pupils' ability to succeed. While teachers' predictions tended to be fairly accurate, they also functioned to some extent as self-fulfilling prophecies. The study shows that socio-economic and cultural variables are as important as school variables in explaining variations in former pupils' geographical location and socio-economic position eight to nine years later. The study has implications in relation to the improvement of the quality of primary education, since out-of-school variables cannot be manipulated through educational policies alone.